Gold rises to 3400 and becomes the next breakthrough pointGold continued to rise during the day, then fell sharply and entered a clear upward trend after a wave of wash-out. The expected target for the week was gradually realized - the 3370 line has been broken, and the next core target is the 3400 mark. From a technical perspective, the daily line closed with a large positive column on Wednesday and stood firmly on the Bollinger middle track. The moving average system is in an upward divergent state. Under the strong pattern, it is expected to further challenge the Bollinger upper track high point near 3400; the H4 cycle is due to the current round of Bollinger opening enlarged, or continue the unilateral upward rhythm.
Gold recommendation: light position long at the current price of 3360, and cover the position when it falls back to around 3350. Stop loss 3343 target 3390
Xauusdupdates
Beware of Bear Traps — Avoid Chasing Prices Blindly!Today, gold rallied up to 3380, then retraced to retest the 1H MA60 (around 3340),
before making another strong upward breakout, surpassing the earlier Asian session high.
📌 This upward move was driven by a combination of key factors:
🔸 Trump’s announcement of new tariffs to be imposed within two weeks
🔸 Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, fueling safe-haven demand
🔸 A weaker-than-expected CPI yesterday
🔸 And an upcoming PPI release later today
📉 Current Price Outlook:
🔺 Strong resistance at 3392, closely watched
🔺 Next resistance zone: 3403–3414
🔻 Key support zones: 3360–3350
⚠️ Also note: the 3289 price gap remains unfilled,
which means downside risks haven’t been fully eliminated — avoid chasing rallies blindly!
✅ Trading Strategy:
Stick with the approach:
📌 Buy near key support, sell near known resistance
📌 Stay alert for news-driven bull traps, and manage risk wisely
Long profit-taking,how to position gold before unemployment data📰 Impact of news:
1. Pay attention to the initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
After being pulled down, the gold price quickly rebounded to around 3385, and the RSI showed a V-shaped reversal. It is not recommended to chase the rise at present. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance area of 3385-3395. If the gold price effectively breaks through this resistance area, it is expected to touch the 3400-3410 line. On the contrary, it encounters resistance and pressure at the 3385-3395 line, and may retreat to the 3370-3360 line in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3385-3395
TP 3370-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAU/USD 4H Updated Technical Analysis 06/12/20254H Market Structure & Trend
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,383, showing a generally bullish market structure on the 4-hour chart. The price has been making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) – a classic uptrend pattern
Recently, bulls broke above a notable resistance level (a Break of Structure, or BOS), confirming continued upside momentum
So far no Change of Character (CHOCH) signal (which would require a lower low to hint at a trend reversal, meaning the uptrend remains intact. Gold is also trading above its daily pivot point (3370), reflecting a bullish intraday bias
Overall, sentiment on the 4H timeframe is positive unless key support levels give way.
Key Support & Resistance Zones (Demand vs. Supply)
Support (Demand Zones): Immediate support lies in the 3355 – 3340 region (marked by S1 and S2). This zone lines up with prior price congestion and is viewed as a demand zone, where buyers have historically stepped in
In fact, multiple support levels cluster here (e.g. previous lows and trendline intersection), creating a broad buy zone. The idea is that as price dips into this area, buy orders are likely waiting, and the deeper it goes into the zone, the more attractive it becomes for bulls
If 3340 fails, the next support is around 3325 (S3), another potential demand area where gold found a footing earlier. Traders will watch these support zones for bullish reversal signals (like a strong bounce or candlestick patterns) to confirm that demand is indeed active. Resistance (Supply Zones): On the upside, initial resistance is seen at 3385 (R1), with a stronger supply zone around 3400 (roughly the R2 3402 level). Here, multiple technical levels overlap – including a recent swing high and a psychological round number. This convergence of resistances creates a supply zone where sellers may be waiting.
As gold approaches 3385–3402, it’s likely to encounter profit-taking or new short positions. If price does punch through 3400, the next resistance is around 3415 (R3), which could attract even more selling interest. Within the 3385–3415 zone, expect price to possibly stall or reverse, unless bulls muster a strong breakout. Traders should be cautious about bullish positions as price nears this supply area, and watch for any bearish reversal clues (like wicks or a double-top) indicating that sellers are active
Fibonacci Retracement Confluence
Recent price swings show Fibonacci retracement levels aligning with the above zones, adding confidence to those areas. For instance, the rally from the last 4H swing low (around 3325) up to the recent high (~3385) has a 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement roughly in the 3340–3355 range. Fibonacci levels often pinpoint where price might stall or reverse during a pullback, and indeed this $3,340-$3,355 support zone corresponds to the popular 50%–61.8% retracement band – a prime spot where bargain-hunting buyers could step in.
In an uptrend, a pullback to these Fib levels is considered a healthy correction rather than a trend change. Thus, if gold dips to that area, many bulls will be watching for a bounce. On the flip side, if gold extends higher, Fibonacci extension levels suggest the 3400+ region might be a measured move target (for example, 100% extension of the last pullback lands near 3400). This reinforces that the 3385–3415 supply zone is a critical hurdle. In summary, Fibonacci analysis supports the idea that mid-$3300s is a value zone for buyers, while around $3400 is a potential exhaustion area for the current upswing.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Insights
From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, institutional footprints are visible on the chart. The ongoing bullish structure (higher lows, no lower low yet) means no CHOCH (trend change) has occurred
Smart money likely continues to favor longs until a key low breaks. We can identify a possible bullish Order Block in the 3340 area, which is essentially the last small bearish candle on 4H before the strong push up
This order block (an institutional buy zone) overlaps with our demand zone, suggesting big players placed buy orders around 3340. If price revisits that zone, it could ignite another rally as those orders get filled. There are also liquidity considerations in play: Above $3,400, there may be clusters of buy stop orders (from breakout traders or short stops) – what SMC traders call buy-side liquidity.
It wouldn’t be surprising to see gold spike above 3400 to grab that liquidity (stop-loss hunt) before either accelerating higher or sharply reversing. Conversely, below $3,340, many bulls likely have stop-losses (sell orders) – sell-side liquidity resting under support.
A quick dip under S2 (liquidity grab) followed by a recovery would actually be a bullish signature (a bear trap by smart money). However, if price breaks significantly below 3325 and holds, that would mark a bearish CHOCH (first real trend change signal) and indicate the smart money possibly switching to selling rallies. Until then, the path of least resistance is still up. Any fair value gaps (imbalances) left from the rapid rise may exist around 3360 (for example), but so far gold has been backfilling these moves, keeping the trend steady.
Potential Trading Setups (4H Outlook)
Given the above analysis, here are two possible trade ideas on the 4H timeframe – one bullish and one bearish – with high-conviction zones in focus:
Bullish Buy Setup (Buy the Dip):
A pullback into the 3355–3340 support demand zone could offer a buying opportunity. This area has multiple factors of confluence: pivot S1/S2 supports, a Fibonacci 50–61.8% retracement, and an order block. If gold’s price action shows a clear reversal here (for example, a bullish engulfing candle or double bottom on 1H/4H), buyers can consider going long. The upside targets would be a return to 3385 (R1), with stretch targets near 3400–3415 (R2/R3). A prudent stop-loss could be placed just below 3325 (just under S3 and below the demand zone) to avoid a deeper reversal. This setup aligns with the prevailing uptrend (trading with the trend) and aims to “buy low” in the value zone.
Bearish Sell Setup (Sell the Rally):
If gold surges into the 3385–3402 resistance supply zone without slowing, traders should watch for signs of buyer exhaustion. In a still-range-bound market or if momentum wanes near the top, one might consider a short position in this zone if bearish signals emerge (e.g. a 4H shooting star candle, bearish divergence, or a minor BOS downward on lower timeframe). The idea is that smart money could use the liquidity above 3385/3400 to sell into. Initial downside targets could be the pivot area around 3370 and then the 3355 support. A stop-loss would ideally be just above 3415 (clear of the R3 level), in case gold breaks out to new highs. This counter-trend style trade is riskier since the 4H trend is up, so it’s crucial to wait for confirmation of a reversal before selling. Essentially, you’d be selling high at known resistance, but only if the market shows it can’t push further.
Both setups hinge on patience and confirmation. Rather than blindly picking tops or bottoms, let the price action confirm that the zone is holding. Remember that support and resistance levels are zones, not exact lines – price can wick through slightly before reversing. Always manage risk carefully.
Key Levels Snapshot
Pivot: 3370
R1: 3385 – R2: 3402 – R3: 3415
S1: 3355 – S2: 3340 – S3: 3325 These levels are derived from the classic pivot point formul, using recent price data. The pivot point at 3370 is the average of the previous session’s high, low, and close.
Trading above this pivot supports a bullish bias, while below it turns the bias bearish.
The R1/R2/R3 levels mark successive resistance hurdles above the pivot, and S1/S2/S3 mark support floors below it. Traders often use these as guideposts for intraday moves.
Takeaway:
Gold’s 4H chart shows bullish momentum with key support in the mid-$3300s and resistance near $3400. It’s wise to trade the reaction at these zones – buy dips near support in an uptrend, or sell rallies at resistance if momentum fades. In all cases, wait for price to confirm direction and stick to your trading plan. Happy trading!
Analysis of the latest market trends of gold surge and plungeFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3338-45. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3338-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3329, target 3375-3380, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold 200% Trading SignalsI'm provided, here’s a breakdown of the buy trade setup and potential Take Profit (TP) levels for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe:
🟢 Buy Setup Summary:
Pattern Identified: Bullish wedge (indicates potential breakout upward).
Support Trend Line: Clearly marked under price, showing consistent higher lows.
Breakout Zone: Around 3,378.463 (current resistance area).
Setup Trigger: Buy after bullish breakout above resistance (3,378 area).
📌 Buy Entry:
Entry Price: After confirmed breakout and retest of resistance around 3,378.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels:
1. TP1: 3,390 (psychological round number + minor resistance zone
2. TP2: 3,410 (intermediate resistance)
3. TP3 (Final Target): 3,450 (as per chart label: ~1000 pips move
🔒 Stop Loss (SL):
Below the wedge pattern, possibly at 3,295–3,305, depending on your risk tolerance.
🔁 Trade Management:
Consider trailing SL once TP1 is hit.
Watch for price action around TP1 and TP2 for partial profits or exit signs.
Be cautious around news events that could impact Gold prices (e.g., FOMC, CPI, etc.).
Let me know if you want this translated into a MetaTrader or TradingView script, or help setting alerts for each TP.
Gold 100% Trading SignalsAfter the changes in the first four trading days of this week, everyone is convinced that gold will rise after adjustment. Now that the trend has been strengthened, today we will discuss where the strength of this bullish trend can reach this week. This week, it has been emphasized that the expected rising space within the week will be 3370-3400. It has almost reached 3375. The target of the next wave of gold rise is 3400.
From a technical point of view, the daily line appeared on Wednesday, standing firmly above the middle track of Bollinger, and the moving average system diverged upward. In the 4-hour chart, the golden cross of the random indicator MA5-MA10 continued, which was good for intraday fluctuations and rises; MACD continued to hit the red kinetic energy column. In terms of form, it continued to rise slowly, which was a bullish signal; then it is expected to rise to the upper track high of Bollinger near 3400 under strong pressure. After this round of rising and pulling up, Bollinger opened in the 4-hour chart. Today may be a one-sided trend, and the intraday support is near 3342. After adjusting to 3342 during the day, you can go long and see today's rising space.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long at 3345-3350, stop loss at 3340, target at 3360-3370; it is recommended to go short at 3400, stop loss at 3410, target at 3380-3370.
XAU/USD: Ushering in a Critical Node of Long-Short GameYesterday, while CPI data boosted gold, the Middle East situation remained on the brink of explosion.
The regional tensions in the Middle East have escalated sharply. Religious differences and historical disputes have deepened the contradictions between the two nations, while the nuclear issue has further intensified the conflict. Iran insists its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes, but Israel has long alleged that Iran is secretly developing nuclear weapons, posing a significant threat to Israel's national security.
Recently, CBS News cited U.S. sources reporting that Israel is fully prepared to launch military operations against Iran. If Israel strikes Iran, Iran will inevitably fight back, potentially igniting all-out war in the Middle East. As a major global oil-producing region, turmoil in the Middle East will inevitably trigger sharp fluctuations in international oil prices, thereby impacting the global economy and drastically escalating market risk aversion.
Against this backdrop, gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has been hotly pursued by investors. Given that the current tension between Israel and Iran far exceeds previous levels, if all-out war breaks out, gold's safe-haven properties will be further activated, with prices likely to break through previous highs and continue to rise sharply. However, if the situation is controlled or eased in the short term, gold prices may drop rapidly as risk aversion subsides.
After breaking through the resistance of the narrow range at $3,350 and hitting $3,360 yesterday, gold prices pulled back to around $3,320. The current trading range is $3,330 - $3,380.
With the recent stable breakout, shorting is not advisable for now. The optimal strategy is to go long on pullbacks.
XAU/USD
buy@3340-3350
tp:3370-3380-3400
sl:3320
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (June 12, 2025)🌀 Wave Structure
According to yesterday's plan, the green abc corrective wave likely completed around the 3293 level. The subsequent bullish move is considered Wave 1 in a triangle form, and last night’s news helped Wave 5 hit the target, yielding over 200 pips in profit.
After that, price corrected in a black abc structure. Although the CPI release printed a sharp H1 wick (alongside overlapping waves supporting sellers), the price reversed sharply to the upside — further reinforcing the idea that the correction phase has ended.
Currently, price is testing the previous green Wave b high at 3375.954. A break and close above this level could strengthen the bullish wave scenario. If Wave 1 is indeed a triangle, Wave 3 may extend strongly, with a potential upside target near 3428.
In the short term, price may be forming Wave 1 within Wave 3, and we are watching two key zones:
3358 – 3355
3390 – 3393
⚠️ If price breaks and closes below 3350, the current wave count will be invalidated, and we will shift to a deeper corrective scenario. I will update accordingly to avoid confusion.
🔍 Momentum Outlook
D1: Momentum is rising, supporting the continuation of Wave 3 into next week.
H4: Still bullish; needs 1–2 more candles to reach the overbought zone.
H1: Currently overbought → possible pullback if price hits the 3390–3393 resistance.
⏱️ Bearish momentum reversal at 3390–3393 → confluence zone for a SELL setup
⏱️ Bullish momentum reversal at 3358–3355 → confluence zone for a BUY setup
🎯 Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 3358 – 3355
SL: 3348
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3389
SELL ZONE: 3390 – 3393
SL: 3404
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3358
Repeated sweeps, gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. Pay attention to the initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold price jumped higher in Asian session. The short-term upper pressure is at 3375. Once it breaks, the upward route of bulls will be opened. The RSI indicator in the 1H chart began to retreat after touching the overbought area. Last night's high of 3360 is now a breakthrough, and the previous strong suppression is at 3350. This morning's Asian session was also broken and stabilized. Then 3360-3350 has changed from a suppression position to a support position. Therefore, the next position we should pay close attention to should be around 3360-3350. If it can fall back to 3360-3350 in the future, it is possible to enter the market to do more, but at the same time, it is also necessary to defend 3345. Independent trading requires a SL.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3360-3350
TP 3370-3380-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD IS MOVING UPWARD.#xauusd #gold
Hello friends, very busy this days and also no well, had little health issue. But I was watching gold closely in that days too, caught some great moves. In previous analysis I mentioned gold will move upward, unfortunately gold breaked the pattern and moved down to 3394 after that we see again upward movement started. Again a bearish flag pattern is formed but due to tension in geopolitics gold is strongly bullish also yesterday was CPI news where dollar news was negative and dollar move down due to which gold pushed upward. Today gold opening was in gap in upward.
Today I am expecting to move upward and later on it will definitely come down to fill the gap near 3355. So our main target is now 3380-3391-3402.
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Gold Trading Strategy June 11Yesterday's D1 candle was still a balance candle closing below the important breakout zone 3347. Today's Asian session, strong buying pressure pushed the price back close to the important resistance zone in shaping the trend.
3326 is also worth noting in the European session, so wait for price reaction to BUY, but in the US session, there is CPI news, this zone will be difficult to maintain. The breakout zone 3310 is also very important to wait for price reaction for BUY scalping points. 3295 is an important daily support zone. If there is a price slide from 3295, do not BUY until it touches the support zone 3275.
In the opposite direction of today's Break 3345, wait for 3363-3365 to SELL. The 3345 zone is considered a Breakout zone when broken to trade BUY.
Support: 3310-3295-3275
Resistance: 3364-3380
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 🪙📈
📊 Technical Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound market structure with well-defined zones of support and resistance:
📍 Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,380 – $3,400
Price has been rejected multiple times from this level, as indicated by red arrows. It marks a strong supply zone.
🟢 Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,300
Price has bounced several times from this demand area, forming a reliable support base.
📏 Intermediate Level: $3,319.38
Marked with a purple line, this is likely a mid-range liquidity zone or a previous minor structure level.
🔄 Price Action Insights:
Double Bottom Formation: Notable at the support zone, confirming strong buying interest (highlighted with orange circles and green arrows). This pattern often signals a bullish reversal.
Current Price: Trading near $3,375.645, approaching the resistance area again.
Projected Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation 📈: Break and close above the resistance could trigger momentum to the upside — watch for a breakout with strong volume.
Pullback Scenario 🔁: A rejection from resistance could cause a retest of $3,319.38 or even the support zone, forming a higher low before a potential rally.
🧠 Strategy Outlook:
Bullish Bias 🐂 as long as price holds above $3,319.38.
Watch for Breakout 🚀 above resistance with volume confirmation for long entries.
Caution ⚠️ near resistance; ideal to wait for either a breakout or clear rejection.
📌 Conclusion:
The chart reflects accumulation within a range, with bullish structure emerging. A break above $3,400 could shift market sentiment decisively upward, while a failure at resistance invites a deeper pullback.
The bulls rise strongly and continue to rise after falling backFrom the 4-hour analysis, today's support is around 3345-50. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold falls back to 3340-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3335, target 3375-3380, continue to hold if it breaks
Gold: Rebounding and Stabilizing Near 3340Gold Market Outlook: Watching Inflation, Technical Pressure Builds
Markets are squarely focused on the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which could serve as a pivotal moment for shaping Federal Reserve policy expectations ahead of the September meeting. Current market pricing suggests a roughly 52% probability of a rate cut, but this is highly sensitive to how inflation data unfolds. The consensus anticipates headline CPI growth of 0.2% and core inflation at 0.3%. Any deviation—especially a softer reading—could significantly sway sentiment in favor of monetary easing, thereby reinforcing gold’s appeal as a defensive asset.
Beyond the macroeconomic calendar, broader geopolitical undercurrents continue to influence the landscape. Optimism stemming from recent progress in U.S.-China trade discussions has buoyed risk appetite, yet this is tempered by lingering concerns after a court ruling upheld former President Trump’s authority to maintain certain tariffs. This legal development introduces fresh layers of ambiguity, keeping the U.S. dollar on the defensive and lending indirect support to gold prices.
From a technical standpoint, gold remains confined within the narrowing bounds of a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic sign of consolidation and potential volatility ahead. The price action reflects a broader indecisiveness prevalent across multiple asset classes, as traders await clearer macro signals before committing to directional moves.
Key support lies at 3301, 3330, and 3340, while resistance is seen at 3349, 3361, and 3375. Special attention should be paid to the critical 3330–3340 range, which has acted as a magnet for price in recent sessions. A decisive break and sustained hold above this zone—especially if supported by softer inflation data—could hand the bulls a tactical advantage, opening the door for a push toward higher resistance areas and renewed bullish momentum.
In summary, gold is at a technical and fundamental crossroads. Inflation data will likely determine whether the metal can break free from its current consolidation or remain range-bound amid ongoing uncertainty.
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Outlook – 12 June 2025Current Price: ~$3,373 (intraday) –
Gold is holding near recent highs after a sharp rally. Bullish momentum has improved markedly, fueled in part by favorable fundamentals (soft US CPI and geopolitical tensions lifting safe-haven demand)
On the charts, the short-term trend is upward, with buyers firmly in control following a breakout above prior resistance.
4H Trend & Key Levels
4H chart highlighting break of structure, demand (green) and supply (red) zones, and key intraday levels. Note the major demand zone that held around 3,214 (green) and the supply zone near 3,284 (red) which was a focal resistance. The 50% retracement of the prior day’s range (blue line near 3,274) acted as intraday resistance in that earlier session
Such annotations show where institutional activity likely set support (demand) and resistance (supply) areas. On the 4-hour chart, gold’s momentum is strongly bullish. The recent surge to 3375 pushed price above its 10-day moving average and widened the upper Bollinger Bands on both H1 and H4 – signs of a powerful uptrend. This came after gold cleared a major resistance around the $3,350 zone, which had capped prices earlier. With that barrier broken, the next upside target on the higher time frame is the $3,400 level (a notable psychological and technical hurdle)
In fact, it can be projected that a clean breakout above the ~3,380/3,390 zone could open the path toward $3,403 and even $3,430 in extension
Reflecting the next supply areas or Fibonacci extension targets above. Support levels on the 4H are stepping up as the trend rises. Previously, $3,320 (the last day’s high in late May) turned from resistance into support after the breakout. Now, immediate support is seen around $3,345–3,350, which corresponds to the top of the recent consolidation and roughly the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of this week’s rally
Below that, the $3,330–3,335 zone (around the 61.8% retracement of the rally) is a secondary intraday support area
These levels also align with prior demand zones and the previous day’s lows, making them likely zones where buyers might step in on dips. Overall, as long as gold holds above the mid-$3,300s, the 4H bias remains bullish. The 4H structure shows higher highs and higher lows, and technical signals (price above short-term EMAs and an improving RSI) reinforce the short-term bullish outlook
Educational Note: In an uptrend, old resistance often becomes new support. Here $3,350 was a major resistance in the past and could serve as support if prices pull back. Traders also watch Fibonacci retracement levels within the up-move for potential bounce points – for gold, the 35-50% retracement zone of the latest swing (approximately $3,350 down to $3,330) is viewed as an attractive “buy-the-dip” area intraday.
On the 1-hour chart, gold has been oscillating upward within a rising channel. After each push higher, it has formed brief consolidations or bull flags that resolved to the upside.
For example, after the strong push to ~3375, price coiled in a classic bull flag pattern, hinting at momentum building for another breakout. This pattern of consolidation after a rally shows healthy bullish behavior – buyers pausing before continuing the move. Higher lows (HL) and higher highs (HH) are clearly present, indicating a steady uptrend structure on the 1H
In fact, gold’s price action has been “taking out liquidity then taking out highs and creating new highs,” leaving no sign of bear control so far. This means each time the price dips and grabs some stop-loss liquidity from weak longs, it quickly reverses and surges to a fresh peak – a hallmark of a strong trend supported by larger players. From an SMC perspective, we can spot where institutional traders may be active. Recently, gold retested a major demand zone in the low $3,300s and rocketed higher. Specifically, price dipped to about $3,297 (just below a prior support), which appears to have been a liquidity grab (fake-out) below the obvious support level
Smart money often drives price briefly below such a level to trigger stop-losses, then buys into that liquidity. Indeed, a strong bullish rejection off $3,297-3,300 occurred, indicating aggressive buying (accumulation) by big players at that historical support
This confirmed a solid demand zone, and bulls defended it vigorously – a clear sign that institutional demand underpins that area. After the fake-out and bounce, gold quickly resumed making higher lows, confirming the uptrend’s resumption. Now, the focus shifts to the overhead supply zone. Gold is trading just below $3,380–3,390, a zone that previously acted as major intraday resistance.
In past attempts, price sharply sold off from this area, suggesting it’s a pocket of supply (sell orders) or profit-taking for institutions. This makes $3,380-$3,390 a key decision point: if bullish momentum is strong enough to drive a clean break through this supply, we could see a swift move higher (as mentioned, targets in the low $3,400s become viable)
However, if gold struggles and prints bearish signals (e.g. aggressive wick rejections or a change in character to lower lows on 15m/1H) near 3380-3390, it may indicate that sellers are defending this zone again, potentially causing a pullback. Traders are watching closely to see if smart money will cap the price here or let it run. It’s worth noting that intraday liquidity has built up around certain levels. Minor equal highs around $3,375-3,377 were taken out earlier (as gold hit a weekly high of ~$3,377) ,and now liquidity might reside just above $3,390 (at buy stops of breakout traders) and below $3,340 (sell stops of longs). The path of least resistance intraday appears upward unless those lower support levels start breaking. As long as gold remains inside this rising structure, the bias is to buy dips rather than sell rallies. Only a clear break below the $3,337–3,340 support (recent range floor) would hint at a short-term trend shift down. Until then, bulls are in charge. Educational Note: Order blocks and supply/demand zones are areas where price saw a sharp move, indicating institutional orders. In gold’s case, an H1 demand block near $3,300 (origin of the recent rally) is such an area – price dipped into it and then launched higher
Conversely, the $3,380-$3,390 area is a supply zone from which price fell previously.
Watching price behavior at these zones (e.g. strong rejection vs. breakthrough) gives clues: a heavy rejection implies continued range or reversal, while a breakthrough suggests a new leg of trend.
Trade Setups
Buy on Dip (Bullish Setup):
If gold retraces into the $3,345–3,355 support zone, consider a long entry near ~$3,350 (a key Fibonacci support & prior breakout level)
A suggested stop-loss is just below $3,335 (to stay under the 61.8% retracement and recent swing low). Target the $3,375 area for partial profits, and $3,385–3,390 if momentum continues. This buy-on-dips approach aligns with the prevailing uptrend – as one analyst noted, “Gold below 3350 is an opportunity to buy on dips”
(Rationale: You’re buying at support in an uptrend, aiming for a retest of the highs.)
Sell Near Resistance (Bearish Setup):
If gold rallies toward the $3,390–3,400 zone but shows rejection (stalling candles or a bearish reversal pattern) at that resistance, one can consider a short entry around ~$3,395. Place a tight stop-loss above $3,405 (just beyond the major resistance). Target a pullback to about $3,370 first, and $3,350 on an extended drop. This trade fades a possible near-term top in case the supply zone holds. For instance, a suggested plan from another analyst was to “sell around 3397–3400” with stops above 3409, looking for a move back to the mid-$3,300s
(Rationale: You’re selling at an identified supply zone, expecting a short-term correction.)
Breakout Scenario:
For traders who prefer momentum plays, watch $3,380 on the upside and $3,340 on the downside. A 1H candle close beyond $3,380 with strong volume would confirm a breakout – you could then target ~$3,405 and above (trail stops as it goes)
Conversely, a drop below $3,340 might signal a bearish intraday reversal, opening downside targets near $3,315 and $3,300
If trading the breakout, ensure confirmation (no fake-outs) – wait for a retest if possible, and then ride the move. (This scenario is only for when price definitively exits the current range.)
Remember: The intraday trend is bullish, so lean toward long setups unless key supports break. Keep it simple – trade the price action you see. Gold can be volatile, so it's wise to use stop losses and not over-leverage. Happy trading! 📈✨
TODAY'S XAUUSD WONDERMAP!
TODAY'S XAUUSD WONDERMAP!
BUY BIAS ENGAGED
Here's the breakdown:
Daily candle - Closed bullish
H4 support - Retested and respected
H1 breakout - Fresh impulse
structure
M30 RBS - Holding with strength
M15 continuation - Looking for
confirmation entry
P Buy Zone: 3373-3372
Target Zone: 3384+
Price may pullback first before launching. Let the setup cook, then
EXECUTE.
Will gold surge and then fall after CPI?Judging from the 4-hour gold chart, gold maintains an overall volatile upward trend, so I think the data may be an opportunity to arrange short orders at highs. Although the price of gold has risen rapidly after the data was released, it should be noted that it has shown obvious signs of pressure in the volatile trading concentration area of 3380-3390. Since the current bullish momentum is not enough to effectively break through this key resistance level, the decline of gold prices after rising is in line with technical logic. Specific operation suggestions are to follow the trend of low-long and high-short trading strategies. From the current situation, I suggest that gold rebounds to around 3380-3385 to arrange short orders.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold near the rebound of 3380-3385, with a stop loss at 3393 and a target of 3360-3340;
XAUUSD: Volatile Uptrend Breaks Through Narrow RangeTechnical indicators are just references for the trend of gold, and the real market movement is driven by market sentiment.
The CPI data released today was lower than expected, which is a bullish signal for gold. The information on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond auction released in the evening is bearish based on the data. In addition, news about various geopolitical conflicts are all influencing and driving market sentiment.
In the long term, gold is definitely trending upward. For short-term operations, technical analysis needs to be combined with the current market sentiment.
Today's various data have caused gold to show a volatile upward trend. After breaking through the resistance of the narrow range at $3,350 and reaching $3,360, it retracted to around $3,320. The current trading range is $3,300-$3,380.
XAU/USD
buy@3310-3320-3330
tp:3350-3360-3370
sell@3380-3370-3360
tp:3345-3335-3325
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Gold shocks and other stimulusFrom the 4-hour analysis, today's support is around 3315-21. If we fall back during the day, we will continue to look at the rebound and upward continuation. The upper resistance is around 3345. The overall gold price will continue to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation based on the 3345-3315 area.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3315-17 and buys more. Fall back to 3295-3003 and add more positions. Stop loss 3285, target 3345-3350, break and continue to hold
High-level shock, pay attention to the upper suppression levelFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3315-20. If it falls back to this position, we will continue to look at the rebound and upward continuation. The resistance above is around 3345-50. The overall gold price remains the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy in the channel, please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold falls back to 3315-20, buy more. If it falls back to 3295-3003, buy more. Stop loss 3285, target 3345-3350, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 11, 2025Currently, the price is moving sideways within a channel.
🔍 Wave Structure Analysis:
Looking closely at the wave patterns inside this price channel, we can clearly see a series of 3-wave structures developing. Previously, we also observed what appears to be an abc corrective pattern (black), which leads me to suspect that we might be forming a triangle structure as the beginning of a wave 1 sequence (12345 in green).
It seems that wave 4 has already completed, and the price is currently in wave 5. Structurally, wave 5 may take the form of a 3-wave move, and the key confirmation we want to see is a break above 3349, signaling that the top of wave 5 is in place.
☄️ Typically, once a wave 1 triangle completes, the market tends to enter a sharp and deep corrective move in the form of a zigzag.
🎯 Potential Target Zones (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):
Target Zone 1: 3352 – 3355
Target Zone 2: 3362 – 3365
⚡️ Momentum Outlook :
D1 Momentum: Starting to turn bullish, suggesting the current correction is nearing completion and we could see a bullish week ahead.
H4 Momentum: Currently in overbought territory – I expect the price to break above 3349, followed by a momentum reversal on H4, which could provide a great SELL opportunity at the upper targets.
H1 Momentum: Is about to turn bearish, indicating a short-term pullback may occur. If this correction fails to break below 3315, the price may be completing wave 5 as a 3-wave structure. In that case, we should wait for H1 momentum to turn bullish and then bearish again to confirm wave 5 completion.
📌 Trading Plan :
🔻 SELL Zone: 3352 – 3355
⛔️ Stop Loss: 3369
🎯 TP1: 3334
🎯 TP2: 3307