$XOM Analysis, Key levels & Targets$XOM Analysis, Key levels & Targets
By request… and thank you because I will play this one… Some of you know that I'm originally an energy sector trader... don't enter this trade unless you know the riskes... and have fun...
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I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
XOM
XOM, Cup and Handle Break out ! Long above 92.05 !XOM is beautifully formed a classic cup and handle pattern.
So far, we have break out , pull back and only remaining point to safe entry is a bullish candle above 92.05.
First target which was obtained by adding the depth of cup ( shown as H on the chart ) to the break out line is 104-105 USD.
Please note the crude oil trend is also up therefore , it is reasonable for energy stocks to go up.
In terms of Elliott waves, XOM may see much higher prices especially in long terms . I will publish my broader view for the stock later and propose my wave count and related long term targets ( s.th close to 200 USD !! ). For now, I just tried to keep it as simple as possible.
Wish you nice profits.
How To Be ContrarianMy goal is to try to make traders and investor THINK DIFFERENTLY about markets. I believe as humans we seek validation, comfort in affirming our beliefs, and that manifests in the wild swings of the market when the narrative is proven wrong. Back in January 2021 I made an uncomfortable bet on Exxon NYSE:XOM . It was uncomfortable at the time because the narrative was that "dirty energy" was dead, oil was going down to $12/barrel, and EV was the future. These may very well all be true... but it was early. And in investing; being early and being wrong are often indistinguishable. At the time, Exxon was trading below book value (market cap < assets-liabilities on balance sheet), it offered a 7% dividend yield which they did not cut, and had just hit a double bottom. It was NOT obvious at the time... only in hindsight. But these are the types of contrarian trades that investors MUST look at to achieve outsized gains.
XOM - Re-Testing the L-MLHXOM is super strong.
I use my favorite tool, the pitchfork, to apply projections of price, filtering, find entries, exits etc.
What many pitchfork traders don't understand is, that they can't just apply this tool to the chart. I see many doing it wrong anyways, which has to do with identifying the correct pivot/swing/pendulum swing points, and not being aware of the rules.
However, using the rules is equally important. Because the rules define the framing around this tool. Otherwise it's worth nothing, or even harmful to the trader.
One of the rules says, that if price is trading outside the pitchfork, it often is going to test/re-test the line where it fell/zoomed out of.
In this case it's the L-MLH, the Lower-Medianline-Parallel. As we see, the first test was just a couple days ago. Now, it looks like XOM is re-testing the L-MLH again.
What happens after the re-test?
a) price is either strong enough to trade back into the projected pitchfork again, recapturing the previous slope/path of price.
or
b) price will trade to the next WL (Warning Line), going south or eating up time by trading sideways.
As a firm believer in the rules of the pitchfork, I'm long this stock, playing for a re-test at the L-MLH.
Ascending Triangle in the XLEThe Macro trends of 2022 are no secret to any of us. Sky rocketing inflation and the war in Ukraine have lead to soaring energy costs around the world. As a result, Oil has seen a period of extreme volatility, reaching a high of closing high price of 129.44 on March 8th. As a result, the XLE has followed suit and is up about +30% year to date. Exxon, the largest holding in the XLE, reports earnings on April 29th and has expressed that the anticipate setting record profits. Buy the rumor?
The XLE appears to be forming a nice Ascending Triangle, which could be suggesting a bullish continuation. The Ascending Triangle isn't a particularly strong pattern from a statistical perspective with only about a 60% chance of realizing the bullish continuation. Take it with a big grain of salt, but there is also a very slight Hidden Bullish Divergence on the MACD. Nevertheless, it warrants paying attention to as a potential swing trade.
A lot will depend on what Oil does, and the fact that XOM and CVX are reporting earnings on the 29th muddies the waters a bit. However, it could offer a nice opportunity for a shot in the dark trade to the upside looking for a pop the upside in advance of the earnings. Maybe something like an OTM Call spread around the .30 delta in XLE 30 days out or so...
XOM bullishI have been showing many positions with bearish direction recently. This position is meant to be a hedge to many of those, and this is one of the very few I could find that look really good bullish. So going to do the Apr 1 84/86 bull call vert. I like the trade a lot but it is mostly to offset many of the shorts I have open, so I am making this position larger than normal.
ENSV and Oil, Up Up and Away?I'm still researching, i.e. justifying my bag holding, XOM and NINE have both had good surprises for their earning reports. We'll keep an eye on the rest of the sector as they have earnings reported, but I suspect they are all going to be good surprises for a big win in the next week or two.
3/13/22 XOMExxon Mobil Corporation ( NYSE:XOM )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Integrated Oil)
Market Capitalization: $359.517B
Current Price: $84.92
Breakout price: $83.00 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $82.90-$77.15
Price Target: $85.00-$86.20 (Reached), $98.00-$100.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 50-52d
Contract of Interest: $XOM 6/17/22 105c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.25/contract
Shorting Exxon. XOMGoals 73, 72, 70. Invalidation at 88.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
XOM coming in hot!$XOM coming in as a hot commodity right now, with the possibility of banning Russian oil in the US and other allied countries.
left the other oil producers to be on the hot list for possible back up producer to counter the banning. for the people who doesn't know,
Russia is the 3rd largest oil and natural gas producer in the world. with the banning being imposed, this will take a toll on most countries
who relied on Russian oil and gas making a possible world wide shortage of oil and natural gas if the other oil producer can't keep up.
Day trade or scalp target play: 03/ 08 /22
Buy call above 85.06 sell at 86.36
Buy puts below 83.67 sell at 81.74
Hello everyone,
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