USDJPY - Now or Never!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as an over-bought zone.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong weekly resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Yen
USDJPY: The Fed & BOJ Likely To Keep Rates In Place. Buy It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
USDJPY
The FED and BOJ are expected to keep their perspective interest rates, come Wednesday. The USD is stabilizing, a US-Japanese tariff deal inked, and investors are slowing moving money from the Yen safe haven to riskier assets.
Look for USDJPY to slowly move higher.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USDJPY Setup: Prime Buy Zone with a Clear Target!Good morning my friends,
I've prepared a fresh USDJPY analysis just for you.
Currently, the most logical buy zone sits at 147.170. If price reaches this level and performs a retest, it’s likely to target the 149.185 level.
I'll personally be entering at 147.170 and waiting for my target: 149.000.
This setup is based on the 4-hour timeframe, so it may take some time to reach the target.
Every single like you give is a major source of motivation for me to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks so much to everyone supporting with a like!
USDJPY UPSIDE The dollar index (DXY00) on Tuesday rose by +0.22% and posted a 5-week high. The dollar has carryover support from Monday following the EU-US trade deal that is seen as favoring the US. Also, expectations for the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at the end of Wednesday's 2-day FOMC meeting are supportive of the dollar. The dollar extended its gains after the US Jun advance goods trade deficit unexpectedly shrank, a supportive factor for Q2 GDP, and after July consumer confidence rose more than expected.
Singapore Dollar: Asia’s Quiet Safe Haven with Eyes on ParityThe Singapore dollar has quietly emerged as one of the strongest performers in Asia, gaining over 7% against the US dollar this year.
While much of the FX world fixates on the yen or franc in times of uncertainty, the SGD is carving out a niche as a regional safe-haven, driven not by size or liquidity, but by credibility.
The strength in the SGD isn’t just about USD weakness. Singapore's macro fundamentals
budget surpluses,
robust reserves, and
deep-rooted investor confidence
offer a kind of quiet strength that traders tend to overlook until it becomes obvious.
This makes the SGD a compelling hedge against both regional turmoil and global dollar decay.
As more global capital looks for stable homes outside of the traditional, Singapore’s financial system and currency are set to benefit.
The idea of SGD hitting parity with the USD, once dismissed as unrealistic, is now getting serious attention.
Analysts have suggested that it could happen within five years, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it comes sooner!
The greenback’s structural issues of twin deficits, political gridlock, and de-dollarization headwinds are no longer theoretical.
That said, liquidity is still a constraint. The SGD makes up just 2% of global FX turnover, and the MAS actively manages the currency to avoid excessive volatility.
This means that while the long-term trend favors SGD appreciation, traders betting on a rapid sprint to parity may be left waiting.
In my view, the SGD is one of the most underappreciated macro trades in FX.
CHFJPY - The Bulls Are Exhausted!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈CHFJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue and it is currently retesting the upper bound of it.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong supply.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CHFJPY is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 24, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened against its US counterpart for the fourth consecutive day and reached a nearly three-week high during Asian trading on Thursday. The recently announced trade deal between Japan and the US reduces economic uncertainty and increases the likelihood that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will resume its tightening cycle at the end of this year, which in turn is seen as a key factor continuing to support the JPY. The US dollar (USD), on the other hand, is languishing near two-and-a-half-week lows and is putting additional pressure on the USD/JPY pair.
However, domestic political uncertainty and disappointing data on Japan's manufacturing PMI may keep yen bulls from aggressive bets. Moreover, the optimistic market sentiment should help limit the safe-haven yen's gains and further losses for the USD/JPY pair. Traders are now eagerly awaiting the release of US flash PMI indices to take advantage of short-term opportunities later in the North American session. However, the mixed fundamental backdrop calls for caution before making aggressive directional bets.
Trade recommendation: SELL 146.00, SL 147.10, TP 145.00
USD/JPY Possible Bear Scenario🔍 Analysis Summary:
USDJPY has failed to close above 146.1 on the weekly for the past 13 candles, showing clear signs of price exhaustion at this level. Price has also tapped into a marked 8HR bearish order block and printed a Daily Pin Bar — a strong reversal signal indicating potential downside.
📍Key Technicals:
• Resistance Holding: 146.1–146.6 zone
• Bearish Rejection: Pin Bar off resistance + order block
• Risk Area (Stop Zone): Above 147.16
• Target Zones: 144.2 (interim) → 142.4 (swing level)
🛠 Confluence:
• Order block rejection
• Multi-week resistance
• Clean structure with defined R:R
• Bearish candlestick confirmation
📊 Timeframe: 8HR
📉 Bias: Short
🔐 Risk Management: Proper stop loss in place above structure. Use personal risk limits.
⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Always conduct your own analysis and use risk management based on your personal trading plan.
GBP/JPY H1 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?GBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 199.42 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 199.08 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 199.79 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Yen Futures Options: What the "Put Condor" Tells Us About FutureA quick look at the options sentiment on Japanese Yen futures (not spot) — and there’s something interesting on the flow radar.
On July 10 , a "Put Condor" was placed — boundaries marked by the yellow rectangle on the chart (№1).
The goal of this setup? Price should expire within these boundaries — meaning the seller expects limited downside , but still allows for some controlled movement.
What’s notable?
This position was placed before the yen started to weaken — so someone was clearly preparing for this scenario in advance .
Also worth watching:
Further down (№2 on the chart), there’s another cluster of put options at 0.0067 — suggesting this level could act as a support zone if the futures contract drops that low.
📊 Bottom Line:
There are clear signs pointing to continued downside pressure in Yen futures.
The 0.006685 level is key — potential support for a bounce back into the 0.00675–0.00685 range .
Clear Entry, Clear Targets! Strategy Kicks Off with EUR/JPYHey everyone 👋
📌 SELL LIMIT ORDER / EUR/JPY Key Levels
🟢 Entry: 172,779
🎯 Target 1: 172.598
🎯 Target 2: 172.389
🎯 Target 3: 171,775
🔴 Stop: 173.097
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.17
I double-checked the levels and put together a clean, focused analysis just for you. Every single like seriously boosts my motivation to keep sharing 📈 Your support means the world to me!
Huge thanks to everyone who likes and backs this work 💙
Our goals are crystal clear, our strategy is solid. Let’s keep moving forward with confidence and smart execution!
Breaking News - Trump vs. PowellJul 16 2025 16:56:19 CET: CBS CITING SOURCES:
TRUMP ASKED REPUBLICAN LAWMAKERS IF HE SHOULD FIRE FED'S POWELL
OANDA:XAUUSD sees upside +35$/oz after Trump has asked the republican lawmakers if he should fire Powell.
TVC:DXY weakens against TVC:EXY and TVC:JXY after Trumps question.
Volatility is increased.
JXY with JXY looking monthly downside and DXY looing upside i will be looking for 35 years breakout of usdjpy meanning uj is a long therm upside
How to View the Assets in Japan
It should be noted that many of the assets the government owns are not marketable, or, if so, their
price can sharply drop in the case of fiscal crisis. Therefore, the financial situation should be assessed
first by gross debt.
In addition, the assets earmarked with the liabilities (such as pension reserves and FILP loans) are
not directly related to fiscal consolidation because they are not included in “Bonds outstanding of
central and local governments”, which is the benchmark of fiscal consolidation target
GBP/JPY H4 | Yen weakness to persist?GBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 197.98 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 196.68 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 199.75 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY: Bearish Divergence – Eyeing Shorts to 143 CAPITALCOM:USDJPY
We’re seeing strong bearish divergence in USDJPY near the 148 resistance zone, shifting our focus to short opportunities with a medium-term target at 142.
📈 Trading Plan:
🔻 SELL Stop: 147.040
❌ Stop Loss: 149.220
✅ Take Profit: 143.000
(Click 👉 Trade Now 👈 on your mobile to copy SL & TP easily)
🔍 Why am I short here?
✅ Technical: Clear bearish divergence on the H4 (RSI & MACD), indicating potential reversal signals.
✅ Resistance Zone: Price is testing the key 148 resistance, providing an ideal risk-reward location for shorts.
✅ Macro Event: Ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI release, a conservative trade structure is maintained to manage volatility risks.
📰 Fundamental Snapshot:
Japan’s economy shows signs of stabilization:
Core machinery orders fell only 0.6% MoM in May to ¥913.5B, much better than April’s -9.1% and forecasts of -1.5%.
Despite the headline decline, it indicates resilience in Japan’s capital spending, supporting the JPY’s medium-term outlook amid global trade and growth risks.
Trade cautiously!
Volatile Times for GBPJPY: What’s Going On Behind the Moves?Good morning, Guys,
I’m anticipating a new short opportunity on GBPJPY once the pair reaches my sell zone level. From there, my target is set at 197.934.
Every like from you is what truly motivates me to keep sharing these insights.
Massive thanks to everyone who shows love and support!
Why election risk means yen volatility could rise this weekThe Japanese yen remains vulnerable ahead of Japan’s Upper House election on July 20.
Polls suggest the ruling LDP-Komeito coalition may lose its Upper House majority. Such an outcome would further weaken Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s position, with his government already operating as a minority in the Lower House.
Adding to the pressure, the U.S. is set to impose 25% tariffs on Japanese goods from August 1—part of a broader protectionist push.
USD/JPY H4 | Approaching a swing-high resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 147.03 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 147.75 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 145.85 which is an overlap support that aligns closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.