US 10Y TECHNICAL OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK JUN 16-20 (UPDATED DAILY) US 10Y TECHNICAL OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK JUN 16-20 (UPDATED DAILY)
Overnight
U.S. Treasuries ended the week lower as rising energy prices sparked inflation concerns, potentially delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts. Crude oil surged $5.12 (7.5%) to $73.16/bbl, up 13.3% weekly, following Israel’s strike o
Government bonds
US 10Y TREASURY: eyes FOMC projections The US inflation data were posted during the previous week, showing that the inflation continues to slow down, with 0,1% in May. Also, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data are showing decreasing inflation expectations for this year at 5,1%, from previously posted 6,6%, while the five y
Recession delayed like in the past (higher yield)yield inverted, usually a signal for recession, but there is a case that the recession delayed
It's during the recession of 1992, 2009, and now it should happen this year, but the chance has dropped from 70% to 30%
delayed recession moght be delayed for 4 year or until yield making higher high
af
US10Y Big downside potentialThe U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has been since last week on a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) rebound, consistently rising since the April 04 Low (Support 1). The presence of the Lower Highs trend-line just above it, puts strong selling pressure long-term.
As a result, either now or upon a L
Eurobonds: Europe Seizes on Trump’s Fiscal MisstepBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The tax bill proposal put forward by the Trump administration — known as the “Big Beautiful Bill” — includes a controversial clause, number 899, which threatens to tax dividends and coupons from U.S. assets received by foreign investors from countries deemed
US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield) Weekly TF 2025
📊 Chart Context
Current Yield: \~4.50%
Current Structure: Consolidation below major Fibonacci resistance, with multiple breakout and breakdown paths marked by confluence zones.
📉 Key Technical Observations
Bullish Scenario – Yield Rally (Rate Hike Cycle / Inflation Surprise)
TP1 (5.0%
A case for an 8% Higher for LongerThe monthly line chart is starting to look similar to the 2000-2008 timeframe; however instead of a prolonged Bear Flag; it looks like a prolonged Bull Flag in the making. Should that bull flag break to the upside; a doubling of the "pole" could put rates at or near the 8% range. (the dates rhyming
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