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#SOL/USDT#SOL The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 142. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are heading for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 144 First target: 149 Second target: 153 Third target: 157
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BITCOIN BITCOIN weekly candle closed respecting the demand ascending trendline and we have seen buyers return against speculation from elite traders, the retest of daily roof will be watched for potential rejection at 111-117k, and i will be watching 125k-136k ascending trendline roof should we have a daily break of structure above the current ALTH. keep eyes on break of the current floor break out on daily, close below will be a a new week rejection ,where we will likely hold sell into 98-97k zone .
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Ethereum’s 19-Day ETF Inflow Streak: What Really HappenedEthereum’s 19-Day ETF Inflow Streak: What Really Happened to Price, Structure, and Sentiment Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary 2. ETF Backdrop: How the 19-Day Inflow Wave Took Shape 3. Chronology of Price: Day-by-Day Performance 4. Weekly Chart Anatomy: The “Pre-Tower Top” Signal Explained 5. Intraday Technicals: From $2,450 Low to the $2,620 Hurdle 6. On-Chain & Derivatives Lens: Funding, OI, CEX Balances 7. Fundamental Undercurrents: Dencun Afterglow, L2 Fees, Staking Yields 8. Risks & Catalysts: ETH vs. Macro, vs. BTC Dominance, vs. SEC Noise 9. Playbooks for Traders and Long-Term Allocators 10. Conclusion: A Pause, Not a Peak—If Key Levels Hold ________________________________________ 1. Executive Summary • Ethereum received 19 consecutive days of net inflows into spot-linked exchange-traded products (ETPs) totaling $1.37 billion, the longest positive streak since the 2021 bull-run. • Over the same period ETH/USD rose 18.4 %, printing a local high at $2,750, but has since pulled back to $2,575 amid broad crypto risk-off and Middle-East tensions. • The latest weekly candle morphs into a “pre-tower top” pattern—two tall green candles followed by a small-bodied doji—often a harbinger of heavy distribution if confirmed by another red week. • Short-term structure improved Monday: price pierced a contracting-triangle ceiling at $2,550, reclaimed the 100-hour SMA, and now eyes $2,620 as the gatekeeper to renewed upside. • Funding rates flipped neutral, exchange reserves hit a 7-year low, and staking deposits outpace withdrawals 1.7 : 1—on-chain signs that the sell-off is more leverage shakeout than top formation. ________________________________________ 2. ETF Backdrop: How the 19-Day Inflow Wave Took Shape 2.1. The Players Unlike Bitcoin’s mammoth U.S. spot ETFs, Ethereum’s inflow streak drew from Europe and Canada, where physically backed ETPs have traded since 2021. The three biggest contributors: Product Country 19-Day Net Flow AUM Growth 21Shares Ethereum ETP (AETH) Switzerland +$502 m +38 % CI Galaxy Ethereum ETF (ETHX) Canada +$458 m +29 % WisdomTree Physical Ethereum EU +$227 m +24 % Rumors of an SEC approval window “after the U.S. election” sparked pre-positioning; asset managers figured it was cheaper to accumulate now than chase later once liquidity explodes on Wall Street. 2.2. Flow Mechanics When an ETP issues new shares, it must buy spot ETH or tap an AP that can supply coins—direct demand unmatched by equivalent selling pressure. Over the 19-day window, the net 396 k ETH of creation equaled 57 % of all new issuance from block rewards post-Dencun, creating a measurable supply squeeze. 2.3. Historical Context The only longer stretch was January–February 2021 (27 days), which culminated in ETH exploding from $1,400 to $2,000. The key difference today: market cap is six times larger, so identical inflows exert a milder percentage impact, explaining why price “only” added ~18 %. ________________________________________ 3. Chronology of Price: Day-by-Day Performance Day Date ETF Net Flow Price Close % Δ vs. Prior Day 1 Mar 18 +$58 m $2,110 — 5 Mar 22 +$73 m $2,265 +7.3 % 10 Mar 27 +$94 m $2,430 +2.4 % 15 Apr 1 +$125 m $2,690 +3.8 % 19 Apr 5 +$81 m $2,750 +0.9 % Across the stretch, realized volatility rose from 32 % to 46 %, but skew stayed positive, showing call demand outpaced puts until the very end, when geopolitical headlines flipped sentiment. ________________________________________ 4. Weekly Chart Anatomy: The “Pre-Tower Top” Signal Explained 4.1. What Is a Tower Top? In candlestick lore, a tower top comprises: 1. A tall green candle (strong breakout) 2. Another tall green candle (exhaustion) 3. A narrow doji or spinning top (equilibrium) 4. A large red candle (breakdown confirmation) We currently have the first three pieces: the last two weeks of March delivered back-to-back 10 % advances; the first week of April closed as a +0.6 % doji. The pattern is not confirmed until a decisive red week engulfs the doji body (< $2,540). 4.2. Indicators • RSI (weekly): 59 → ticking down from 68 high; still shy of overbought. • MACD histogram: Positive but flattening. • Bollinger bands: Price mid-point of upper band, room for one more expansion. Conclusion: the candle warns of fatigue, but momentum hasn’t rolled over—yet. ________________________________________ 5. Intraday Technicals: From $2,450 Low to the $2,620 Hurdle 5.1. Hourly Chart (Kraken Feed) • Triangle Breakout: Price sliced through descending trend-line at $2,550, tagging $2,590. • Moving Averages: ETH trades marginally above the 100-hour SMA ($2,575) but below the 200-hour ($2,610). • Fibonacci Zones: $2,620 aligns with 0.5 retrace of the $2,750→$2,450 fall—classic reversal pivot. A clean hourly close >$2,620 opens the door to $2,680 (0.618 Fib) and psychological $2,700. Failure rejects to $2,520 support cluster. 5.2. Order-Book Heat Map Coinbase Pro data shows 1,300 ETH ask wall at $2,620 and a thinner 890 ETH bid at $2,520. Liquidity skew favors dip-buying, but bulls need market orders >1 k ETH to smash the ask block. ________________________________________ 6. On-Chain & Derivatives Lens 6.1. Exchange Reserves Centralized exchanges now hold 12.9 million ETH, lowest since July 2017. The 19-day ETF harvest accelerated an already extant down-trend of roughly 60 k ETH/week outflows, mostly into staking contracts and L2 bridges. 6.2. Staking Flows • Beacon deposit contract: +188 k in April’s first week. • Withdrawal queue: 11 k ETH—tiny relative to deposits. • Effective deposit APR after Dencun: 3.2 %, still beating U.S. 2-year T-notes post-tax for many investors. 6.3. Perpetual Funding & OI • Funding normalized to 0.007 %/8 h (≈ 3.2 % APR), down from 9 % at March highs—spec longs flushed. • Open Interest shed $420 m in the two-day dip—liquidations, not fresh shorts, drove the wash-out. 6.4. Options Skew • 25-delta risk reversal (1-month): flipped to –4 % (puts pricier than calls) for first time since January—hedging demand but nowhere near panic-level (–12 % in 2022 bear). ________________________________________ 7. Fundamental Undercurrents 7.1. Dencun Afterglow & L2 Fees Proto-danksharding (EIP-4844) slashed L2 data costs by 85 %, pushing average Arbitrum and Optimism transaction fees under $0.02. Cheaper blockspace fuels on-chain activity: Metric Pre-Dencun Post-Dencun Δ Daily L2 Txns 2.4 m 4.1 m +71 % Bridged ETH to L2s 6.8 m 7.9 m +16 % More usage → more gas burned → structural tailwind to ETH as a fee-burn asset. 7.2. DeFi TVL Total value locked rebounded to $61 billion, led by EigenLayer and restaking hype. ETH comprises 68 % of TVL collateral—every lending loop pins additional demand. 7.3. Competing Narratives • Solana season siphoned retail mind-share; SOL/ETH ratio popped 42 % YTD. • Bitcoin L2s (Stacks, Rootstock) attempt to mirror Ethereum’s smart-contract moat, but dev tooling remains nascent. • Net: Ethereum retains developer supremacy (70 % of new GitHub commits among smart-contract chains) and therefore garners institutional comfort. ________________________________________ 8. Risks & Catalysts Factor Bearish Angle Bullish Rebuttal Macro Sticky U.S. CPI halts Fed cuts → higher real yields weigh on non-yielders ETH staking yield + MEV is real cash-flow; Dencun lowers L2 costs → adoption offset SEC Spot ETF Delay past Jan 2026 or outright denial kills U.S. inflow dream 19-day streak proves ex-U.S. capital is hungry; approval >0 is all it takes for supply shock BTC Dominance Halving FOMO may keep Bitcoin’s share >55 %, starve ETH rotation Historical pattern: ETH rips 6-10 weeks post-halving as beta plays catch-up Tower-Top Pattern Weekly confirmation could spark drop to $2,200 support Pattern fails if bulls recapture $2,750 quickly, turning doji into bullish flag ________________________________________ 9. Playbooks for Traders and Long-Term Allocators 9.1. Short-Term Momentum (0–7 days) • Bias: Range-trade $2,520–$2,620 until breakout. • Instruments: ETH-perp on Bybit/Deribit, 3× leveraged tokens for reduced funding bleed. • Trigger: 15-minute candle above $2,620 with ≥ $50 m aggregated CVD buys. • Stop: $2,560 (triangle retest). • Target: $2,680 then $2,700. 9.2. Swing (1–8 weeks) • Bias: Accumulate dips as long as weekly stays >$2,350 (0.382 Fib of Oct→Mar leg). • Tools: 1-month $2,500-$2,800 call spreads; spot with 25 % collar protection. • Catalysts: SEC commentary May 23, FOMC June 18. 9.3. Position (6–18 months) • Bias: Dollar-cost average into staking nodes; carry 4 % ETH on portfolio NAV. • Thesis: EIP-4844 usage boom + probable U.S. ETF = $4–5 k fair value by 2026. • Risk Control: Hedge 25 % notional via BTC-perp short if BTC.D >58 %. ________________________________________ 10. Conclusion: A Pause, Not a Peak—If Key Levels Hold The 19-day ETF inflow streak proves that institutional demand for Ethereum exists even without a U.S. spot vehicle. Price responded vigorously but not parabolically, reflecting the asset’s growing market-cap gravity. The nascent “pre-tower-top” weekly candle warns of exhaustion; confirmation, however, requires another bearish week that cracks $2,540 support. Short-term order-flow shows willing dip buyers, staking metrics scream supply sink, and the macro backdrop—while shaky—fails to dent ETH’s relative value proposition versus fiat yields. Translation: Ethereum is vulnerable to headline-driven squalls but structurally sound. If bulls recapture $2,620, the path to retest $2,750 and ultimately $3,000 reopens. Lose $2,450 and the tower top will complete, sending ETH toward $2,200 where ETF inflow buyers likely reload. For now, the balance of evidence favors consolidation with an upward skew—tower construction, perhaps, but no wrecking ball yet.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitics Could Delay ItBitcoin’s “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitical Shocks Could Delay the Breakout Deep dive into price action, derivatives, on-chain data, and the tug-of-war between Middle-East risk and crypto bull-run momentum ________________________________________ Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed 13. Disclaimers ________________________________________ 1. Executive Summary • Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a tight $103 K–$108 K band, unable to confirm a breakout as Middle-East tensions push investors into hedging mode. • A Golden Cross—the 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day—could flash within 10 trading sessions, historically adding +37 % median upside over the subsequent 90 days. • Options flow has flipped decisively toward puts, with the 25-delta skew hitting –10 %, its most bearish since the FTX collapse, signaling short-term anxiety even as long-term bets remain bullish. • On-chain metrics (exchange balances at six-year lows, HODLer supply at all-time highs) reveal structural demand; Glassnode notes a 656 % cycle advance despite a trillion-dollar market cap. • Analysts’ upside targets range from $140 K (Q3) to $270 K (October) and even $229 K based on the Golden Cross fractal. Yet a clean break of $104 K support opens room to $97 K first. ________________________________________ 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge Bitcoin entered 2025 with a blistering rally—spot ETFs hoovered nearly 200 K coins in four months, miners sold aggressively into strength, and macro tailwinds (Fed easing, USD weakness) fueled risk appetite. Then two macro curveballs hit: 1. Sticky U.S. core inflation revived “higher-for-longer” rate fears. 2. Israel–Iran hostilities spooked global markets, sending Brent crude to $76 and sparking a dash for USD liquidity. BTC, once heralded as “digital gold,” behaved like a high-beta tech stock: it slipped 7 % in 48 hours, tagging $103,200 before bargain hunters stepped in. As of this writing, price sits near $105,800—right on the 100-hour SMA. Whether we escape the range depends on which force proves stronger: geopolitical dread or the long-term structural bid. ________________________________________ 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means A Golden Cross occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA-50) crosses above the 200-day (SMA-200). In Bitcoin’s 14-year history, we have logged nine such events: Year Days to Cross 90-Day Return 180-Day Return 2013 51 +88 % +202 % 2015 73 +34 % +67 % 2019 46 +193 % +262 % 2020 38 +77 % +112 % 2023 59 +29 % +48 % Median 90-day gain: +37 % Median drawdown post-cross: –12 % We are ~$700 shy of triggering the cross (SMA-50 at $97.9 K, SMA-200 at $98.1 K and rising). Assuming volatility stays muted, the lines converge within two weeks, potentially firing a widely watched buy signal. But remember: the cross is lagging; smart traders anticipate, not react. ________________________________________ 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle Key intraday levels (Kraken feed): • Support 1: $104,000 – prior weekly low + bullish order-block • Support 2: $101,200 – 0.786 Fib retrace of the Feb–Mar impulse • Bear Pivot: $97,000 – 200-day EMA + high-confluence volume node • Resistance 1: $106,800 – last week’s swing high; three failed probes • Resistance 2: $108,500 – May monthly open • Bull Pivot: $113,000 – neckline of the March distribution range Monday’s bounce broke a declining trend-line from $110 K, printing a higher low—constructive, yet bulls require a daily close >$106.8 K to invalidate the short-term bearish structure. ________________________________________ 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts Deribit data (largest BTC options venue): • Put/Call Ratio: 0.62 last Friday → 0.91 today • 25-Delta Skew (1-month): –10 %, lowest since Nov-2022 • Max-Pain for April 26 expiry: $104 K (huge open interest) Translation: traders rushed to buy protective puts as Iran war headlines crossed. Market-makers, short those puts, delta-hedged by shorting spot or perpetual futures, adding downward pressure—classic gamma feedback loop. Yet term structure remains contango; June and September IVs price higher topside. Institutions appear to sell near-dated panic, accumulate long-dated calls—a bullish medium-term stance. ________________________________________ 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 1. Risk-Off Correlation: Despite “digital gold” narratives, BTC’s 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq-100 sits at 0.64; equities slide → crypto follows. 2. USD Liquidity Drain: War premium lifts oil, stoking inflation and forcing the Fed to delay cuts; higher real yields pressure non-yielding assets. 3. Regulatory Optics: Heightened national-security chatter emboldens lawmakers keen to scrutinize crypto, a perceived sanctions-evasion channel. 4. Regional Flows: The Middle-East hosts some of the largest sovereign-wealth pools; risk aversion could pause their crypto allocations. 5. Hence, every missile headline becomes a volatility catalyst. Still, flash-risk events fade quickly if energy supply stays intact, offering windows for BTC to re-assert its secular trend. ________________________________________ 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 Glassnode frames Bitcoin’s ongoing bull as “one of the most explosive relative to market cap gravity.” Highlights: • Cycle Return: 656 % from the $14 K November-2022 bottom—impressive given the asset is now >$2 T in free-float value, dwarfing 2017’s sub-$100 B base. • Exchange Balances: Just 2.02 M BTC on centralized venues—13-year low. • Realized Price (short-term holders): $92,500—suggests marginal buyers remain well in profit. • Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow: At 275 K BTC/day vs. 2021’s 550 K—implying HODLers are less willing to spend. Put simply: even after a seven-fold rally, supply scarcity persists. ________________________________________ 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve The April 20 adjustment saw difficulty dip 1.2 %, the first contraction since January. Why it matters: • Post-Halving Breathing Room: Block subsidy fell to 1.5625 BTC; a difficulty rollback cushions miner profit margins, lowering forced selling risk. • Hashrate Plateau: Network hashrate hovers at 640 EH/s, only 3 % off the ATH—miners remain confident. • Transaction Fees: Average fee per block = 0.37 BTC, still elevated by historical standards thanks to BRC-20 activity. Miners thus appear cash-flow stable, reducing downside pressure on spot markets compared to previous post-halving eras. ________________________________________ 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid Since MicroStrategy cracked the dam, 68 public companies now hold BTC on balance sheets, totaling 412,000 coins (~$43 B). Recent newcomers: Company Purchase Date BTC Added Avg Cost SemiconX Feb-2025 2,500 $94,800 Nordic Logistics Mar-2025 800 $98,200 Atlantech Energy Apr-2025 1,200 $101,500 Traits of corporate treasuries: • Long-Dated Liabilities: Align with Bitcoin’s four-year halving cadence. • Low Turnover: None of the 68 have sold core holdings despite 80 % drawdowns in 2022. • Regulatory Transparency: SEC filings broadcast purchases, inviting copycat demand. This sticky bid stabilizes spot markets during macro squalls. ________________________________________ 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside Bearish Path (30 % probability) • Trigger: Israel–Iran broadens, Fed signals no cuts in 2025. • Price Action: Break $104 K, bulls capitulate at $97 K (200-day). • Depth: Could wick to $88–90 K (0.618 retrace) if macro gloom persists. Base Case (50 % probability) • Trigger: Skirmishes contained; oil cools, Fed cuts twice by December. • Price Action: Golden Cross confirms, BTC grinds to $128 K by September. • Highs: $140 K tap as ETF inflows resume. Bullish Path (20 % probability) • Trigger: Middle-East cease-fire + ETF FOMO round two + dovish Fed pivot. • Fractals: Prior Golden-Cross extensions averaged +120 % at extreme. • Price Action: $150 K by summer, $229 K (Fib 2.618 from 2022 low) by year-end. • Blow-Off: $270 K October spike before the next cyclical bear begins. ________________________________________ 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors Horizon Bias Instruments Risk Management Intraday (0–48 h) Range scalp $104–$107 K Perp futures (5× max), options gamma scalping Hard stop $103 K; position <1 % equity Swing (2–8 wks) Buy pullbacks ahead of Golden Cross Spot, dated futures roll, 1-month $110 K calls Stop $97 K daily close; size 5–10 % Position (3–6 mo) Accumulate for $140–150 K target Spot, June/Sept call spreads ($120/150) Hedge via 25 % put collar Long-Term (1–4 yr) Maintain core stash; ignore noise Cold storage, DCA Re-balance only when price doubles Optional hedge: Long Gold / Short BTC ratio spread as a geopolitical shock absorber; ratio 1.3 currently, mean-reverts to 1.1 post-crises. ________________________________________ 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed Bitcoin stands at a crossroads: a textbook Golden Cross beckons, ETF inflows smolder, miners relax, and corporate treasuries drip-feed demand. Yet war headlines and a cautious options market act as sandbags on the balloon. History says macro shocks slow, not stop secular bull cycles. Unless Middle-East conflict strangles global liquidity or the Fed slams the brakes far harder than priced, BTC’s higher-time-frame structure remains bullish. Expect turbulence, embrace risk controls—but don’t mistake a weather delay for a busted engine. ________________________________________ 13. Disclaimers This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investing involves substantial risk; never invest more than you can afford to lose.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BitcoinEntry Point: Entry Level: 106,300 USDT Price is currently slightly below entry (106,254.67), so the trade setup is still valid and could trigger soon. Stop-Loss (SL): Stop Level: 104,250 USDT Defined just below the lower FVG zone, indicating where invalidation would occur. Take-Profit Targets (TP): TP1: 109,000 USDT (near minor resistance) TP2: 113,250 USDT (major target) The Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) looks favorable — possibly over 3:1, which is strong. Shift stop to entry after reaching TP1
Long
by Tdawly_Official
XRP/USDT Daily-Timeframe (DTF) Technical & Fundamental AnalysisXRP/USDT Daily-Timeframe (DTF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis On June 12, Ripple and the SEC jointly petitioned Judge Torres to vacate the injunction on institutional XRP sales and reduce penalties. Legal analyst John Deaton estimates a 70% chance that the outcome will favor Ripple, which could unlock momentum toward the $3.55 high. On Technical side XRP/USDT is consolidating within a descending triangle pattern, reflecting both indecision and potential breakout pressure. The price is currently ranging between 2.0800–2.3300, with several minor key levels recently invalidated , indicating liquidity grabs and a developing Accumulation-Manipulation phase common in smart money behavior. We’ve identified a potential buy-side opportunity if the price breaks and closes above 2.2700, a key minor resistance level. The trendline has been respected with three confirmed touches, but price remains just outside it, suggesting that a breakout above the triangle and the 2.2700 zone could trigger a strong impulsive move toward the upside. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 2.2720 (Buy on DTF candle close above) 🛡 Stop-Loss: 2.0900 (Below the liquidity zone) 🎯 Take Profit: 2.8320 (Next minor resistance / ~1:3 RR) This setup is supported by institutional accumulation behavior, with manipulation and invalidated key levels paving the way for a potential breakout and rally. Fundamental Outlook ISO 20022 Compliance Boost Ripple’s Interledger Protocol (ILP) recently gained formal approval for ISO 20022, the global standard for financial messaging adopted by banks and SWIFT. This enhances RippleNet and XRP’s integration into the traditional financial system. SWIFT Endorsement SWIFT has officially endorsed ISO 20022-compatible digital assets, directly benefiting XRP and increasing its potential utility across cross-border payment systems. ETF Momentum According to Polymarket, there’s an 83% probability that a WisdomTree XRP spot ETF will be approved this year — a major step toward institutional exposure and credibility. Geopolitical Recognition In a surprising move, former President Trump included XRP among five digital assets proposed to be part of a U.S. “crypto reserve”, signaling growing mainstream and governmental recognition. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 101,082.81 1st Support: 94,030.59 1st Resistance: 110,969.18 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
UNI is gearing up! Are you ready?Today, we’re going to discuss UNI and analyze the chart to identify the best possible scenario. UNI/USDT has recently broken above the resistance trendline, showing a solid price acceleration from $6 to $8. If we take a closer look at the previous rally in November 2024, we’ll notice that the price stayed above the 50 EMA, maintained a gradual rally, and then surged all the way up to $19.5. A similar pattern is emerging now — the price has broken above the 50 EMA after six months of a continuous downtrend and is now aiming for a potential 175% rally. Here's the strategy to trade: ~ Entry: $7 to $7.6. ~ Trade type: Spot. ~ Period: Till July 2025. ~ Target: $15 to $18. Note: Always do your own research and analysis before investing.
Long
by Dexter_The_Trader
1
Long trade 🟢 PEPEUSDT – Buyside Trade Date: Sunday, 15th June 2025 Session: Asia Session AM Time: 6:15 AM Entry Timeframe: Short-term (scalp entry) Trade Parameters Entry: 0.00001112 Take Profit: 0.00001158 (+4.14%) Stop Loss: 0.00001101 (−0.99%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.18 🧠 Trade Reasoning Price action on PEPEUSDT was consolidating within a tight range following a liquidity sweep beneath the 0.00001100 handle. Entry was taken after observing bullish confirmation at a micro demand zone, with the price reclaiming a short-term range low.
Long
by davidjulien369
2
Dogecoin Ready for Bounce? Key Demand Zone Holding Strong!DOGEUSD has once again tapped into the high-confluence demand zone near $0.171, where price previously reversed sharply. Bulls are now watching closely for a potential bounce setup, with momentum expected to build into the coming sessions. 👇 🔍 Chart Breakdown: 🔸 Current Price: $0.1713 🔸 Strong Support Zone: $0.1710 – $0.1702 (orange box) 🔸 Mid-Term Resistance: $0.1862 🔸 Major Supply Zone: $0.2004 – $0.2040 Price action is respecting the lower boundary of the demand zone, and if this level holds, we could see a bullish reversal play toward: ✅ Target 1: $0.1862 ✅ Target 2: $0.2004 (supply zone & previous rejection area) 💡 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice): Watch for bullish candlestick confirmation from this zone. A solid 4H close above $0.175 could trigger upside continuation. 📅 Upcoming Fundamentals: Multiple USD-related events are approaching, which may increase volatility. Stay alert! --- 🐕 Community Insight: Dogecoin remains a community-driven asset with high speculation potential. Combine technicals with sentiment and volume for stronger conviction. 💬 What do you think? Is DOGE ready to bounce or will bears break this zone? Drop your thoughts in the comments! #DOGE #Dogecoin #Crypto #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportResistance #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #DOGEUSD #LuxAlgo #BullishSetup
CAPITALCOM:DOGEUSDLong
by FrankFx14
1
BTCUSD GOING LONG AFTER AN UPWARD SHIFTBTC has recently broken its last lower timeframe High, shifting market structure and indicating Buyers are currently in control. This break opened up a clear Demand Zone below, a small base or last bearish candle before the rise, which is a key area where unfulfilled buy orders may be resting. Price is likely to retrace back into this Demand Zone to fill those orders. Once it reaches this area, we expect buying pressure to resume and push price upward, honoring the imbalance left by the rise. Entry: I’m looking to buy from this Demand Zone on a pullback, adding to go long when price enters this area. This lets me enter at a discount price while trading in direction of the newly established upward momentum. Target: The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next supply Zone above, where selling pressure might emerge. Stop Loss: To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just below the demand Zone. If price drops below this area, it would invalidate the demand’s ability to hold, signaling a potential reversal. ✅ Summary: • Market has shifted to bullish after breaking last high. • Demand Zone below is a key area to watch for buying opportunities. • Buy upon retracement into Demand, with Stop Loss below and Target at supply above.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by AFOKE
SOLUSDT Perpetual–High R:R Short Setup from Key Resistance ZoneSOLUSDT printed a strong bullish impulse candle, reaching a key resistance zone around $151.76, where a short position has been opened, anticipating a potential reversal. Trade Details: Position: Short Entry: $151.76 Stop Loss: $153.17 (0.88%) Take Profit: $142.05 (6.44%) Risk/Reward Ratio: 7.3, highly favorable for intraday or swing shorts Setup Rationale: Price tapped into a potential supply zone / previous resistance Sharp move up without pullback may indicate overextension Ideal for traders using a fade-the-pump or reversal-based strategy This setup relies on a quick rejection from resistance, with tight risk control and a deep profit target — a clean and efficient play for high-risk:reward traders.
Short
by NakamotoZzzz
1
MEMEFI/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.001370 - 0.001400 LMT v2.0 detected. The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align. Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading) - Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL. - While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones. - That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading. Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT) Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by: - Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork. - Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup. - Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively. - Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets. Whenever I share a signal, it’s because: - A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe. - Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent. - The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry. ***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note: The Role of Key Levels - Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer. - Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance. My Trading Rules (Unchanged) Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5% - Leverage: 5x Exit Strategy / Profit Taking - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike. - Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R. - Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History HM Signal : Date: 17/08/2023 - Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends - Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum - Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups HMT v1.0: Date: 18/10/2024 - Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework - Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis. - Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum HMT v2.0: Date: 17/12/2024 - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: Date: 23/12/2024 - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: Date: 31/12/2024 - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: Date: 05/01/2025 - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: Date: 06/01/2025 - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency LMT v1.0 : Date : 06/06/2025 - Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework LMT v2.0 Date: 11/06/2025 - Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic - Enhanced entry timing for better precision and alignment with key levels
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
1
$PEPE follow up for June 2025Follow-up on my previous CRYPTOCAP:PEPE analysis — it played out exactly as expected. CRYPTOCAP:PEPE remains my top meme coin, backed by some of the strongest tokenomics in the space. When altseason hits — if it hits — this one is primed to pump hard. Like most altcoins right now, CRYPTOCAP:PEPE is in a short-term corrective pattern. That opens up another great opportunity to enter low and potentially ride a 2x or 3x move on the next leg up. I’ve marked my usual buy zone. It may seem optimistic for now, but history shows how fast meme coins can dump… and then recover just as quickly. A drop into that green zone is entirely possible. 📲 Follow me for alerts — I’m monitoring CRYPTOCAP:PEPE daily. It’s one of my top picks. DYOR. Here was the previous analysis: #PEPE #MemeCoin #Altseason #CryptoGems #BuyTheDip #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #Tokenomics #DYOR #CryptoAlerts
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
Bitcoin Pushed Crypto Market Into A Higher Degree CorrectionGood morning Crypto traders! Cryptos are coming lower and we can now see a five-wave drop on Bitcoin, which indicates for a deeper, higher degree correction, so Crypto TOTAL market cap chart may stay in consolidation within an ABC correction, which can retest 3.0T – 2.8T support zone before bulls return. Bitcoin has impulsive characteristics on 4h time frame, and we can clearly see five waves up that can send the price even higher after a pullback. Now that it’s back to all-time highs, we can see it making a higher degree ABC correction, which can take some time, and it can retrace the price back to 97k-93k support zone before a bullish continuation. However, we may now see a temporary corrective recovery in wave B, where some ALTcoins could still be doing well, if we consider that ALTcoin dominance may start kicking in. Yesterday we shared a chart of the ratio of TOTAL3(ALTcoins) market cap against Bitcoin with ticker TOTAL3ESBTC, which shows that ALTcoins may start outperforming BTC soon. It can be finishing final subwave C of (Y) of a correction in blue wave B which may cause a new strong rally into wave C that can bring the ALTseason similar as in the beginning of 2021.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by ew-forecast
Aerousdt trading opportunityAEROUSDT has completed a 5-wave decline into a Strong Demand Zone around $0.40, followed by a classic liquidity sweep below the swing low, this move suggesting potential exhaustion of the bearish momentum. The subsequent recovery and structure shift have validated a bullish reversal, as price reclaims above the strong demand zone and now trading towards $0.718. Price currently forming potential bullish formation with base zone around the provided Buy Back zone towards $0.57, A break above this bullish formation could trigger a wave-based impulsive rally toward $0.916, then $1.635, and ultimately the External Supply Zone near $2.351–$2.372. Failure to maintain the ascending trendline support or a breakdown back into the demand region would invalidate the bullish projection and call for reassessment of underlying demand strength.
Long
by weslad
2
PENGUUSDT Forming Falling WedgePENGUUSDT is currently showing a textbook falling wedge pattern on the daily chart, which is a bullish technical setup often signaling a trend reversal. The price has been compressing within downward-sloping resistance and support lines, and with the wedge tightening, a breakout is becoming more likely. This setup is particularly appealing when paired with the recent increase in trading volume, suggesting accumulation and growing market interest. If a breakout confirms, the projected upside could be in the range of 90% to 100%+ based on historical wedge breakouts and current technical targets. From a volume and sentiment perspective, the coin has seen consistent liquidity, and investor chatter is increasing across forums and social platforms. The consolidation after a previous strong uptrend adds further strength to the setup — a classic "bullish continuation" after a healthy correction phase. Traders often look for such patterns to catch early momentum before a full-scale rally unfolds. In the case of PENGUUSDT, once resistance breaks convincingly, a strong wave upward could follow swiftly. The breakout zone to watch sits slightly above the upper descending trendline, and with price already nudging against it, traders should keep an eye on confirmation candles with strong volume. Given the relatively clean overhead structure, any successful breakout could lead to a quick retest of previous highs, providing significant upside. The 100% profit projection marked on the chart highlights the measured move target, aligning with prior resistance zones. Technically sound and backed by rising interest, PENGUUSDT presents a high-potential opportunity for short-term and swing traders. If momentum continues, this could become one of the top-performing micro-cap plays in the coming weeks. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX