ETH Short – Smart Money Setup | 17.06 🔍 Context:
After a strong dump on ETH, clearly visible on the 1H chart (left side of image), I waited for a retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone — typical Smart Money behavior. That’s where I started looking for a short setup.
🎯 Entry Logic:
Now here's the part I’d love to discuss with you.
The classic and maybe "cleanest" approach would be to wait for a market structure break on a lower timeframe and then enter on the continuation, targeting rejection zones visible again on the 1H.
But…
Lately, I’ve been taking entries directly from FVG, even before the break, if another FVG forms on the lower timeframe inside the higher timeframe zone. That’s what happened here — I saw a second FVG form in the key area, and took the short from that.
Sometimes I even treat two FVGs in the same direction (on the same or different timeframes) as a valid entry point on their own.
🤔 Question to the community:
How do you usually approach this?
Do you wait for confirmation/structure break on the lower TF before entering, or do you also go straight from the FVG if the zone is respected well enough?
Would love to hear how others manage similar setups.
Crypto market
BITCOIN UPDATE: Not looking good for Bitcoin ladies and gentlemen . Its going down too fast and it just started the 1hr Bearish TIME Cycle, bears have plenty of TIME to do damage to the trend.
This is the drop that I was talking about the one that can cause serious damage to the trend.
Will see how it ends up at end of week.
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD), DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rate Correlations
As of June 2025, the relationships between these assets reflect a mix of traditional dynamics and evolving market forces. Below is a breakdown of their correlations and current data:
1. Gold (XAU/USD) and DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
Traditional Inverse Relationship: Gold is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (higher DXY) typically makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices.
Recent Anomaly (2023–2025): Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Iran-Israel conflict, U.S.-China trade disputes) and central bank gold purchases (notably by China and Russia) have driven simultaneous strength in gold and the dollar. For example:
Gold hit a record high of $3,500/oz in April 2025 despite DXY hovering near 98.43.
Central banks bought 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2024, offsetting typical dollar-driven headwinds.
The inverse correlation is reasserting as Fed rate-cut expectations grow, but geopolitical risks still support gold.
2. Gold and 10-Year Treasury Yield
Inverse Correlation Typically: Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
Inflation Hedge Exception: When real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation) are negative or low, gold rises despite higher yields. For example:
10-year yield: 4.450% (June 2025)
U.S. inflation: 3.1% (May 2025) → real rate ~1.26%, reducing gold’s appeal but not eliminating it.
Current Driver: Market focus on Fed policy (potential cuts) and inflation persistence keeps gold supported even with elevated yields.
3. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield
Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, boosting dollar demand (DXY↑).
Divergence Risks: Geopolitical tensions can decouple this relationship (e.g., safe-haven dollar demand outweighs yield changes).
4. Interest Rates and Gold
Fed Policy Impact: Higher rates strengthen the dollar and dampen gold demand, while rate cuts weaken the dollar and boost gold.
2025 Outlook:
Fed funds rate: 4.25–4.50% (held steady in June 2025).
Geopolitical Risks: Safe-haven demand for gold and the dollar persists.
Real Interest Rates: Gold’s performance hinges on whether real rates stay subdued.
Central Bank Demand: Record gold purchases (1,200+ tonnes in 2024) provide structural support.
Conclusion
While traditional correlations between gold, DXY, and yields persist, structural shifts (central bank buying, geopolitical fragmentation) and evolving Fed policy are redefining these relationships. Gold remains bullish in the medium term.
WATCH MY GREEN BAR ZONE FOR BUY.
#gold
Bitcoin 30-Minute Chart –Bearish Reversal After Triple top formThis 30-minute Bitcoin chart shows a clear bearish reversal pattern following a triple top formation near the $109,000 resistance zone. The price broke below the ascending trendline support, confirming bearish momentum. A highlighted potential bounce zone is around $103,000–$104,000, suggesting short-term support. A minor retracement is expected before any further downside continuation, as shown by the projected path. The chart indicates a potential shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish, emphasizing caution for long positions.
Bitcoin - Levels of the Range On the hourly time frame it is clear that BTC is within a rangebound environment. Using key levels such as the weekly highs and lows with Mondays highs and lows to to paint a picture of where support and resistance may be.
In the "weekly outlook" post for this week I suggested a retest of the $108,500 area, an orderblock that pushed prices lower and is notorious for protecting Stop losses of the shorts that pushed price lower, nearly instantly as the week starts we get that move to sweep the supply zone and stop hunt the short trades.
After a successful sweep the swing fail pattern typically follows when in a rangebound environment or absent of a trend. This structure plays out and the sell-off follows.
Price breaks through the Monday low with zero fight so momentum is with the bears in the low time frame. Should momentum continue the previous week low is @ $102,500 which is in line with HTF key level too.
RSI is also entering the oversold zone and in a rangebound environment can be when price reverses direction, as seen by the previous Monday High and Previous week low.
With FOMC just over 24 hours away volatility usually follows. No rate cut forecast however many think the interest rate should be brought down in line with inflation as the ECB has already done.
In conclusion, BTC is in a clear rangebound environment on the hourly time frame.
Stop loss hunt/supply zone sweep and then SFP, the LTF momentum is with the bears going into FOMC.
Next point of support at $102,500 (Previous week low) and could be boosted by the oversold RSI.
An FOMC rate cut should be bullish although currently thought to be unlikely.
Solana scalp shortRecently opened a scalp short position on solana. The market structurally is at LL point in usual market continuation but we having a big sell off it seems so could push lower down to $144.35 area before we get a bounce. In the event though I get stop I"ll look for a re-entry as $144.35 is like area to get tested before any major upside.
BCH ANALYSIS🔆#BCH Analysis : Channel Following ⛔️⛔️
As we can see that #BCH is following ascending channel on daily time frame. Also there is an instant resistance area. We can see a bullish formation here. And if it trade with good volume then we can see a proper bullish move in #BCH
🔖 Current Price: $463
⏳ Target Price: $598
⁉️ What to do?
- Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸
#BCH #Cryptocurrency #ChartPattern #DYOR
Is the Bitcoin Cash Hype Over? BCH/BTC Ratio Flashes WarningThe Great Divergence: Why the Bitcoin Cash-Bitcoin Ratio Breakdown Signals More Than Just a Price Drop
In the unforgiving arena of the cryptocurrency markets, every chart tells a story. Some whisper of quiet accumulation, others scream of speculative frenzy. But few charts tell a story as profound and historically charged as the Bitcoin Cash to Bitcoin (BCH/BTC) ratio. For years, this ratio has been the ultimate barometer of a digital civil war, a measure of the hopes and failures of a project born from a contentious schism. Recently, that barometer has given its clearest signal in months: a decisive and powerful breakdown from a multi-month triangle pattern.
This technical event is far more than a simple squiggle on a screen for traders. It represents the potential end of a speculative, hype-driven rally and the forceful reassertion of a brutal, long-term trend. It signals that the fundamental chasm between Bitcoin, the undisputed king of digital assets, and Bitcoin Cash, its most famous and ambitious offshoot, may be widening once again. The breakdown suggests that the brief period of optimism for Bitcoin Cash, fueled by its own halving event and a broader market updraft, may be conclusively over. To understand the gravity of this moment, one must dissect not only the technical pattern itself but also the deep-seated historical and fundamental weaknesses that made this breakdown almost inevitable.
The Anatomy of a Technical Collapse: Smashing the Triangle
For much of 2024, the BCH/BTC ratio was trapped in a state of compression. On the chart, this appeared as a classic symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern is defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows, creating two converging trendlines that form the shape of a triangle. In market terms, it represents a period of intense equilibrium and indecision. Buyers and sellers are locked in a fierce battle, with neither side able to gain a definitive edge. The price coils tighter and tighter, like a compressed spring, building up energy for an explosive move. The only question is which direction it will break.
In the case of the BCH/BTC ratio, that question has been answered with a resounding crash. The price has decisively broken below the lower trendline of the triangle. This is known as a "breakdown," and it is a powerfully bearish signal. It signifies that the sellers have overwhelmed the buyers, the equilibrium has been shattered, and the path of least resistance is now firmly downwards.
Traders often measure the potential target of such a breakdown by taking the height of the triangle at its widest point and projecting that distance downwards from the point of the breakdown. Given the scale of this particular pattern, this technical measurement points to a significant further decline in the ratio, potentially revisiting and even surpassing its all-time lows. This isn't just a minor dip; it's a structural failure on the chart that suggests a new, sustained leg down in Bitcoin Cash's performance relative to Bitcoin. The "hype rally" that saw the ratio climb in the lead-up to the Bitcoin Cash halving has been effectively erased, and the market is signaling that the fundamental gravity of the long-term downtrend is taking hold once more.
A Ghost in the Machine: The Lingering Shadow of the 2017 Fork
This technical breakdown did not occur in a vacuum. It is a single chapter in a long and bitter saga that began in 2017. To grasp its significance, we must revisit the great "Block Size War" that tore the Bitcoin community apart. At its heart was a philosophical disagreement about how to scale Bitcoin to accommodate more users.
One camp, which included many of the earliest adopters and evangelists, argued for a simple solution: increase the block size. By allowing more transactions to fit into each block, the network could process more volume and keep fees low, preserving what they saw as Bitcoin's original vision of a "peer-to-peer electronic cash system."
The other camp, which ultimately retained control of the Bitcoin protocol, argued for a more cautious approach. They feared that large blocks would lead to centralization, making it too expensive for ordinary users to run a full node and validate the blockchain. Their solution was to keep the base layer small and secure, and to build scaling solutions on top of it, such as the Lightning Network.
This ideological impasse led to a "hard fork" in August 2017, creating Bitcoin Cash. For a brief, euphoric period, BCH was seen as a legitimate contender. Fueled by a powerful narrative and influential backers, its price soared, and the BCH/BTC ratio hit an all-time high of over 0.5 in late 2017, sparking serious talk of a "flippening"—the moment BCH would overtake BTC in market capitalization.
That moment never came. Since that peak, the BCH/BTC ratio has been locked in a devastating, multi-year downtrend. The recent triangle pattern was merely a pause, a brief consolidation within this much larger waterfall decline. The breakdown from the triangle is therefore not a new event, but a continuation of a historical trend. It is the market's brutal verdict on the outcome of that civil war.
The Fundamental Chasm: Why Bitcoin Cash Keeps Losing Ground
A chart pattern is ultimately a reflection of underlying fundamentals. The relentless decline of the BCH/BTC ratio is a direct consequence of the widening gap between the two networks across every meaningful metric.
1. Narrative and Brand Identity: Bitcoin has successfully cultivated a simple, powerful, and globally understood narrative: it is digital gold. It is a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a pristine, unconfiscatable asset. This narrative has attracted institutions, nation-states, and trillions of dollars in potential capital. Bitcoin Cash, meanwhile, has struggled to define itself. Its narrative as "peer-to-peer electronic cash" is less compelling in a world with countless low-fee payment options, including stablecoins and Bitcoin's own Lightning Network. Without a clear and unique value proposition, it has failed to capture the market's imagination.
2. Security and Hash Rate: The most critical measure of a proof-of-work blockchain's health is its hash rate—the total computational power dedicated to securing the network. Here, the difference is staggering. Bitcoin's hash rate is orders of magnitude higher than Bitcoin Cash's. This makes Bitcoin exponentially more secure and resistant to a 51% attack, where a malicious actor could gain control of the network. Bitcoin Cash, with its comparatively minuscule hash rate, remains theoretically vulnerable, a fundamental flaw that deters serious institutional capital.
3. Developer Activity and Innovation: The heart of any technology is its developer community. The most innovative and exciting developments in the Bitcoin ecosystem are happening on the main chain. The activation of Taproot, the explosion of Ordinals and Inscriptions, and the continued growth of the Lightning Network all demonstrate a vibrant and evolving protocol. In contrast, the developer ecosystem for Bitcoin Cash has been far less dynamic. While it has its dedicated builders, it has not produced the kind of groundbreaking innovation needed to attract new users and capital.
3. Adoption and Network Effects: Bitcoin's network effect is its ultimate moat. It has spot ETFs trading on major stock exchanges, granting it unparalleled access to traditional finance. It is held on the balance sheets of public companies and is recognized as legal tender in some countries. Bitcoin Cash has none of these things. Merchant adoption has stalled, and institutional interest is virtually non-existent. In the world of networks, winners tend to take all, and Bitcoin's lead has become seemingly insurmountable.
The Aftermath: What Comes Next for the BCH/BTC Ratio?
With the triangle pattern now shattered, the path forward for the BCH/BTC ratio looks precarious. The most likely scenario is a continuation of the bearish trend that has been in place for over six years. The breakdown has released the coiled energy to the downside, and the ratio will likely seek out lower levels of support, potentially bleeding towards its all-time lows. For investors, this serves as a stark reminder of the risks of holding assets that are fundamentally and technically weaker than the market leader.
Is there any hope for a reversal? A bull case for Bitcoin Cash would require a monumental shift. It would need to carve out a sustainable niche that Bitcoin cannot serve, perhaps in ultra-low-fee microtransactions. It would require a renaissance in developer activity, producing a "killer app" that draws in millions of users. More likely, any significant bounce in the BCH/BTC ratio would probably be a result of a massive, indiscriminate altcoin rally that lifts all boats, rather than a specific vote of confidence in Bitcoin Cash itself. Even then, history suggests such bounces are temporary and ultimately present better opportunities to sell than to buy for the long term.
Conclusion: The Market Has Spoken
The breakdown of the BCH/BTC ratio from its multi-month triangle is a technically significant event with profound fundamental implications. It is the market's latest verdict in the long-running war for the "real Bitcoin" title. The verdict is clear: the hype is over. The dream of a "flippening" is a distant memory, a ghost from 2017.
The story of the BCH/BTC chart is a powerful lesson in market dynamics. It shows that in the brutal competition of open-source protocols, a superior narrative, impenetrable security, and a powerful network effect are the ultimate weapons. Bitcoin Cash began its life as a legitimate contender with a compelling vision. But over time, it has been outmaneuvered, out-developed, and out-adopted. The chart does not lie. It simply reflects this divergent reality, and its latest signal suggests that the great divergence between Bitcoin and its most famous offspring is set to continue.
Test the crucial round-number threshold of $100,000.Affected by sudden news factors, the Bitcoin market has seen sharp fluctuations. The price started a significant downward trend from the $108,900 level and has dropped to around $104,000 as of now. This decline has caused Bitcoin to break through multiple key support levels.
On the daily timeframe, the originally important support range of $106,000 - $107,000 was easily breached, with market bearish forces gaining absolute dominance. Bitcoin is facing significant downward risks and is highly likely to continue falling to test the crucial psychological level of $100,000.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@104000-104500
TP:102000-1025000
Theta Is Ready for a Strong Recovery Soon!Looking at Theta, I see strong potential for a recovery very soon. We just completed a classic ABC correction, very similar to what Amazon experienced back in the day. I expect a big bullish move on this coin shortly. We are primed for a strong reversal here.
Theta is undervalued on both the higher and lower time frames, and with such strong project fundamentals, I see this as a major mover in the upcoming altcoin bull market. There’s potential for insane gains on the larger time frames and a strong recovery on the smaller ones.
Don’t focus on the news or media—crypto is ready for big things. As always, stay profitable.
— Dalin Anderson
BTC/USD Analysis – Is the Pullback Just Beginning?Bitcoin has recently faced strong resistance at the $108,874 zone, a high-volume supply area identified by the LuxAlgo Visible Range. Price was rejected sharply, and now BTC is trading at $104,746 after a -1.32% move down.
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🔍 Technical Breakdown:
🟥 Supply Zone:
$106,800 – $108,800
Price has tested this area multiple times but failed to break above it.
🟦 Key Support Zones to Watch:
1. $94,334: Mid-level support; if broken, it confirms bearish strength.
2. $77,957 – $80,000: Strong demand zone; potential reversal or consolidation area.
📉 Bearish Signals:
Lower highs forming after rejection at resistance.
Red arrows indicate potential drop targets.
Volume fading on recent rallies – suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
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🎯 Potential Trading Plan:
🔻 Short Setup:
Entry: $104,500 – $105,000 (below current structure)
TP1: $94,300
TP2: $80,000
SL: $106,800 (above resistance zone)
🟠 Long Setup (if price reaches demand):
Entry: $78,000 – $80,000
SL: $76,000
TP: $94,000 / $100,000
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⚡News Catalyst:
⚠️ Major U.S. and global economic events expected soon. Be ready for volatility spikes (icons indicate calendar impact).
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📊 What I'm Watching:
Volume divergence
Price reaction to $94k level
Fed announcements and macro impact on crypto
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💬 Do you think BTC will bounce from $94k or head to $80k?
Comment below your trade setup 👇
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🔖 Hashtags for Reach:
#BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #BTCShort #PriceAction #BitcoinCrash #CryptoTA #BTCTradeSetup #tradingviewcommunity
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Tron (TRX) Price Prediction: Nasdaq Deal Fuels Bullish ForecastThe $210 Million Nasdaq Rumor: Deconstructing the Hype for a Realistic Tron (TRX) Price Prediction
In the volatile theater of cryptocurrency, headlines can ignite market-moving frenzies, and few have been as potent as the recent whirlwind of news surrounding Tron (TRX). The prospect of a planned Nasdaq listing via a $210 million reverse merger, intertwined with the enigmatic presence of the Trump family, sent shockwaves through the community, promising a new era of mainstream legitimacy and sparking wildly bullish price predictions. However, as the dust settles, a clearer, more nuanced picture emerges—one that separates explosive rumors from the fundamental drivers that will truly dictate the future of Tron's price.
The core of the excitement stemmed from a strategic deal involving SRM Entertainment, a Nasdaq-listed company specializing in theme park merchandise. In a stunning pivot, SRM announced it would rebrand as Tron Inc., initiate a substantial TRX treasury funded by a $100 million private equity investment, and appoint Tron's founder, Justin Sun, as an adviser. This "reverse merger" was widely interpreted as a backdoor for the Tron blockchain to gain a coveted spot on a major U.S. stock exchange, a move that would grant it unprecedented access to traditional capital and validation. Adding a layer of political intrigue, the deal was facilitated by an investment bank where Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. serve on the advisory board.
This confluence of high finance, crypto ambition, and political association created a perfect storm for speculation. The stock price of SRM Entertainment skyrocketed over 500%, and the price of TRX saw a notable jump. However, the narrative quickly became more complex. Eric Trump clarified his position, denying any direct "public involvement" in the new company, despite expressing his admiration for Justin Sun and their established business connections.
While the deal with SRM Entertainment is very real, its direct implications for the TRX token are more complex than a simple "Nasdaq listing." The transaction is for the corporate entity, which will hold TRX in its treasury, not for the decentralized TRX asset itself to be traded on Nasdaq like a stock. This distinction is critical. The move provides Tron with a publicly-traded vehicle and significant capital, but the ultimate value of TRX still hinges on the utility and adoption of the Tron network itself. Therefore, a realistic price prediction must look beyond the initial hype and analyze the bedrock of Tron's fundamentals.
Deconstructing the Hype: The Nasdaq Deal and Trump Connection
The plan for SRM Entertainment, a Florida-based supplier of toys and souvenirs, to morph into Tron Inc. is a masterclass in financial engineering. Through a reverse merger, a private company (in spirit, Tron) can go public by merging with an existing publicly-traded company (SRM), bypassing the rigorous and lengthy process of a traditional Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The deal, valued at up to $210 million upon full exercise of warrants, involves SRM receiving a $100 million equity investment from a private investor to initiate a "TRX Treasury Strategy." This strategy mirrors the approach of companies like MicroStrategy with Bitcoin, where the public company's assets are heavily invested in a specific cryptocurrency, making its stock a proxy for that asset. With Justin Sun serving as an adviser, the new Tron Inc. plans to implement a TRX staking program and even a dividend policy for its shareholders, further intertwining its fate with the Tron ecosystem.
The involvement of the investment bank brokering the deal brought the Trump name into the headlines. Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr.'s roles on the bank's advisory board led to speculation about their involvement in the new Tron Inc. However, Eric Trump later clarified his position, separating his personal and business relationships from a formal executive role in the public venture, though the connection undeniably added to the initial media frenzy.
Beyond the Rumors: Tron's True Fundamental Strengths
With the Nasdaq hype contextualized, the real question for investors is: what is the intrinsic value of the Tron network? The answer lies in its undeniable dominance in one of the most crucial sectors of the digital economy: stablecoins.
The Undisputed King of USDT
The Tron network has become the world's primary settlement layer for Tether (USDT), the largest stablecoin by market capitalization. The network hosts over $78 billion in USDT, a figure that has surpassed the amount on its main rival, Ethereum. This dominance is not accidental. Tron's architecture, which allows for high throughput and extremely low transaction fees, makes it the preferred network for USDT transfers, especially for retail users and in emerging markets.
During a single month in mid-2025, the Tron network processed over $694 billion in USDT transfers through nearly 90 million contract interactions. The vast majority of USDT holders on Tron are retail users with balances under $1,000, highlighting the network's deep penetration into everyday peer-to-peer and remittance use cases. This immense and consistent utility generates real, sustained demand for the network, forming the most solid pillar of its valuation.
A Growing DeFi and dApp Ecosystem
While stablecoins are its main draw, Tron's Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystem is also substantial. The network holds a Total Value Locked (TVL) of over $8 billion, placing it among the top layer-1 blockchains. Platforms like the lending protocol JustLend and the decentralized exchange SunSwap are key contributors to this activity.
The network has processed over 10.5 billion transactions from more than 313 million user accounts, demonstrating a vibrant and active user base. Although a recent decline in TVL from its peak and slowing DEX volume has been observed, the sheer number of daily active users and transactions suggests a pivot towards non-DeFi dApps and peer-to-peer transfers, reinforcing its utility beyond pure financial speculation.
Tron (TRX) Price Prediction: Technical Analysis and Future Outlook
Given the strong fundamentals, particularly its role as the leading stablecoin platform, what can be expected from the TRX price?
Technical Indicators
As of mid-2025, TRX has shown resilience. Technical analysis reveals a generally neutral to bullish sentiment. The price has been consolidating in a horizontal channel, with key resistance and support levels being closely watched. Bullish signals, such as a "golden cross" and a bullish MACD crossover, suggest potential for upward momentum. A key indicator of its potential is its market-cap-to-TVL ratio, which, at 0.26, suggests the coin may be significantly undervalued compared to the value of the assets secured on its network.
Price Forecasts for 2025 and Beyond
Price forecasts for the end of 2025 vary but are generally optimistic, contingent on broader market conditions.
• Conservative Outlook: A conservative forecast places the potential price of TRX in a range between $0.18 and $0.35 for 2025. A move toward the upper end of this range would depend on a sustained crypto bull market and continued growth in Tron's user base.
• Bullish Scenario: An optimistic forecast suggests that if a full-blown "altseason" takes hold, TRX could surpass its previous highs and target levels between $0.45 and $0.70. Some long-term models even project a path toward $1.00 or higher by 2030, assuming Tron maintains its competitive edge and expands its use cases.
• Bearish Scenario: Risks remain. A regulatory crackdown on stablecoins, particularly Tether, could disproportionately impact Tron. Furthermore, a recent $2 billion drop in its DeFi TVL, despite user growth, suggests a potential weakness in its financial ecosystem that warrants monitoring. In a bearish turn, TRX could fall back to support levels around $0.21 or lower.
The "100x Gem" Fallacy
The headlines promoting Tron's Nasdaq deal were often accompanied by mentions of speculative new tokens like "BTC Bull Token," promising astronomical 100x returns. It is crucial for investors to recognize this as a common marketing tactic that leeches onto legitimate news to promote highly speculative and often worthless assets. The future success of Tron will not be found in chasing such gambles, but in the sustained growth of its core network. The real "alpha" is in understanding the fundamental utility that drives billions of dollars in transactions daily, not in lottery-ticket tokens.
Conclusion: A Bullish Continuation Built on Reality, Not Rumor
The story of Tron's Nasdaq listing is a potent reminder of the crypto market's susceptibility to hype. While the reverse merger with SRM Entertainment is a significant strategic maneuver that provides Justin Sun's ecosystem with a public-facing entity and a war chest, it is not the magic bullet that guarantees a higher TRX price.
The true bullish case for Tron is more mundane but far more powerful. It is the network's unparalleled dominance as the world's preferred highway for stablecoin transactions. This utility provides a constant, powerful demand for the network's resources. As long as Tron remains the fastest, cheapest, and most accessible platform for billions of dollars in daily USDT transfers, its intrinsic value will continue to grow.
The Nasdaq deal is a catalyst, but the engine is the ecosystem. Investors looking for a bullish continuation should focus on the steady hum of that engine—the growth in active wallets, transaction counts, and stablecoin volume—rather than the fleeting roar of market rumors. Based on these fundamentals, a steady, upward trajectory for TRX seems not only possible but probable, with the potential to retest and surpass previous highs as the digital asset market matures.
₿itcoin: Directly or with a Detour?!Under our primary scenario, Bitcoin remains on track to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891 during green wave B. The key question at this stage: will the crypto giant head straight for the zone – or take a detour below the $100,000 level first? Either path remains structurally consistent with the broader outlook. Once wave B concludes, we expect a pullback to unfold in wave C, with the low of that move – and the bottom of orange wave a – anticipated in the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. From there, orange wave b should initiate a corrective rally, likely rebounding toward the $100,000 mark. This would set the stage for the final leg down in blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, our alternative scenario remains intact on the 8-hour chart. This 30% likely scenario suggests Bitcoin is still advancing within blue wave alt.(i) , rather than correcting in wave (ii). A confirmed breakout above $130,891 would validate this outcome.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Bitcoin to revisit $100k | Summer price target = $120kGeopolitical tension is causing fear in the markets. Today, Bitcoin fell from $107.7k to current price $105k with no sign of buyer support whatsoever, printing 11 consecutive H1 red candles intraday. Like a hot knife through butter.
At $105k, there is very little support. Sell volume absolutely overshadowed the tiny buy volume. Bulls have yet to close a green candle. I believe in the next few hours Bitcoin will be trading at $104k, followed by the first stop $102k.
$102k can serve as an entry point, depending on how price reacts. $100k is the optimal entry point for maximum profit, after mass liquidations. Retail traders are confident that the liquidity hunt is over after the initial tap, placing stops and liquidation levels at $100k.
Invalidation level will be beyond the 200SMA. The 200SMA have historically proven itself time and time again as a safe zone during rallies after golden crosses.