Crypto market
Macromics Group: Market Trends Overview (June 2025)Global Economic Landscape: What Has Changed?
June 2025 marks significant shifts in the global economy. After several years of instability caused by the pandemic, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, markets are gradually stabilizing. However, new challenges are emerging: rising risks in Asia, digital transformation in Europe, and strategy shifts in the U.S.
China and India continue to show strong growth rates—5.8% and 6.5% respectively. Europe, by contrast, is lagging behind due to slow recovery and persistent inflation. The U.S. maintains a steady course driven by consumer spending and innovation, reporting 2.1% GDP growth.
Macromics Group continues to deliver in-depth analytics and strategies for clients seeking to understand and capitalize on these changes. We analyze trends across more than 120 industries, helping companies adapt and thrive.
Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy: A Shift Toward Stabilization
Financial regulators have begun cautiously lowering interest rates after the peaks of 2024. The U.S. Federal Reserve has dropped its rate to 4.5%, while the ECB has reduced its rate to 3.75%. This is made possible by a decline in inflation: 2.7% in the U.S. and 3.1% in the EU.
Meanwhile, developing nations like Turkey and Argentina are still grappling with high inflation. These countries risk falling behind the global recovery unless decisive steps are taken.
Overall, the global course is toward soft stabilization: interest rates remain high but steady. This creates favorable conditions for investment and long-term planning.
Financial Markets: From Caution to Moderate Optimism
Stock markets in June 2025 show mixed performance. U.S. indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs, thanks to the booming tech sector. Stocks of companies involved in AI, quantum computing, and cybersecurity are particularly strong.
European markets are less active but relatively stable. Growth is limited by high costs, demographic issues, and the transition to ESG standards. In Russia and CIS countries, markets are under pressure due to sanctions, currency restrictions, and reduced investment.
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar and Chinese yuan dominate. The ruble is volatile, the euro is stable, and the yen is strengthening as a safe haven asset.
Technology: The Engine of New Markets
The main trend in 2025 is AI and automation. Companies are deploying neural networks in logistics, marketing, finance, and HR to cut costs and boost efficiency. Demand for AI professionals and developers is surging.
5G infrastructure has matured in most developed countries, unlocking new potential in IoT, telemedicine, and remote work. At the same time, quantum computing is advancing rapidly, with commercial solutions expected by 2026.
Macromics Group invests in next-generation analytical platforms, enabling clients to access real-time insights and forecast trends before they go mainstream.
Energy and Sustainability: ESG and the “Green” Shift
Energy markets have stabilized after the turbulence of 2024. Oil prices remain between $70–$85 per barrel—comfortable for both producers and consumers. Meanwhile, renewable energy—solar, wind, and hydrogen—is seeing record investment.
Corporations are increasingly reporting according to ESG standards. It’s not just a trend, but a new business reality. Investors demand transparency, consumers prefer socially responsible brands, and regulators impose mandatory reporting.
Macromics Group supports clients in transitioning to sustainable models by developing ESG strategies, assessing risks, and offering financial solutions.
Conclusion: Outlook for the Second Half of 2025
The first half of 2025 showed that markets are learning to operate in a new reality. The global economy is no longer chasing rapid growth, but adapting to volatility. Key focus areas are technology, sustainability, and smart resource management.
For businesses, this means quick adaptation, innovative thinking, and reliance on data-driven decisions. In this context, Macromics Group serves not just as an analyst but as a strategic partner.
Our recommendation: act proactively. In times of uncertainty, those who plan years ahead and use quality data will win.
Automated Trading with Pine ScriptIn the digital age, trading is gradually shifting from manual analysis to automated solutions. A key player in this process is Pine Script — a programming language developed for the TradingView platform, enabling users to create custom indicators, strategies, and automated signals. Its simplicity and powerful capabilities have made it especially popular among retail traders.
What is Pine Script?
Pine Script is a language developed by the TradingView team specifically for financial market analysis. Unlike general-purpose languages like Python or C++, Pine Script is designed for tasks related to technical analysis and trading automation.
It is used for:
Creating custom indicators;
Writing trading strategies;
Visualizing data on charts;
Setting up trading alerts (notifications).
Why Automate Trading?
Automated trading eliminates the human factor, which is crucial in volatile markets. Key advantages include:
Speed of reaction — the algorithm reacts instantly to signals.
Discipline — automated strategies do not succumb to emotions.
Scalability — one strategy can be applied to dozens of instruments.
Historical analysis — the ability to test ideas on past data (backtesting).
Structure of a Pine Script
Every script starts with a version declaration and the type of tool being created:
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//@version=5
indicator("Sample Indicator", overlay=true)
@version=5 — Pine Script version.
indicator(...) — indicates that the script is an indicator.
overlay=true — places graphics over the price chart.
For strategies, the strategy keyword is used:
pinescript
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strategy("My Strategy", overlay=true)
Example of a Simple Automated Strategy
Let’s build a script that generates buy and sell signals based on the crossover of two moving averages:
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//@version=5
strategy("MA Strategy", overlay=true)
fastMA = ta.sma(close, 9)
slowMA = ta.sma(close, 21)
longCondition = ta.crossover(fastMA, slowMA)
shortCondition = ta.crossunder(fastMA, slowMA)
if longCondition
strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long)
if shortCondition
strategy.entry("Sell", strategy.short)
plot(fastMA, color=color.green)
plot(slowMA, color=color.red)
This code:
Opens a long position when the fast MA crosses above the slow MA.
Opens a short position when the fast MA crosses below the slow MA.
Strategy Backtesting
TradingView automatically runs a backtest on historical data. In the Strategy Tester tab, users get:
total number of trades;
average profit;
win rate;
maximum drawdown;
risk/reward ratio.
This is a vital tool to evaluate the effectiveness of a strategy before deploying it in live trading.
Adding Stop Loss and Take Profit
To manage risk, strategies can include loss and profit limits:
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strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long)
strategy.exit("Exit Buy", from_entry="Buy", stop=100, limit=200)
stop=100 — stop loss at 100 points.
limit=200 — take profit at 200 points.
This enhances both automation and risk control in the trading process.
Setting Up Alerts
While Pine Script cannot place real trades by itself, it can generate alert signals, which can be linked to external systems or brokers.
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alertcondition(longCondition, title="Buy Signal", message="Buy signal")
alertcondition(shortCondition, title="Sell Signal", message="Sell signal")
After adding these conditions to the chart, users can set up alerts that arrive via email, mobile notifications, or webhooks—useful for integration with bots or APIs.
Automated Trading via API
For full automation (from signal to trade execution), Pine Script is often used in conjunction with other technologies:
Webhook — TradingView sends an HTTP request when an alert triggers.
Server or bot — receives and processes the request, then sends an order to the broker.
Broker’s API — executes the order (open, close, modify positions).
Examples of brokers with API access: Binance, Bybit, Interactive Brokers, Alpaca, MetaTrader (via third-party bridges).
Tips for Writing Trading Strategies
Start simple. Use just 1–2 indicators.
Avoid overfitting. Don’t tailor your strategy too closely to past data.
Test on different timeframes. Ensure strategy stability.
Account for fees and slippage. Especially important on lower timeframes.
Add filters. For example, trend direction, volume, or volatility conditions.
Pine Script Limitations
While powerful and beginner-friendly, Pine Script has some limitations:
No tick-by-tick data access. Scripts execute on bar close.
Resource limits. Limits on script length and processing power.
No direct trade execution. Only possible via external integration or supported brokers.
Conclusion
Pine Script is an excellent tool for traders who want to automate their trading ideas. It allows you to create, test, and visualize strategies—even with minimal programming knowledge. While it’s not a full-fledged programming language, its capabilities are more than sufficient for most retail trading needs. With Pine Script, traders can improve efficiency, consistency, and reduce the emotional impact of trading decisions.
BTC climbs the stairsFrom the bear market lows(red) we entered into consolidation phase(white) in 2023 and in october 2023 the bull market was ignited(green). Since then BTC has climbed these ~50% steps up and right now we are at the verge of entering the last 50% step up of this bull phase taking us up to 160k. Are we going to see the last step up on upcoming months or are we going to see a rejection and keep consolidating inside the current box?
If we compare the previous two steps up(green arrow) to the current situation, the set up is a little bit different now than before. Previously, BTC has practically blasted through the box resistance without hesitation but now we have spent more time just underneath the box resistance with two failed attemps(3D) of breaking the resistance. Also, what concerns me, is the fact that during this cycle the summer months june-july(marked inside the box) has not been strong for BTC and we have witnessed MACD forming bearish divergences during these months due to a rejection from the highs towards the bottom of the box. This very thing is happening again and if confirmed, no new ATHs for this summer. Of course, a solid strong candle close above the resistance clarifies the future and set us on our way to 160k.
Title: Bitcoin’s Long-Term Structure: Approaching Apex of Multi-Title: Bitcoin’s Long-Term Structure: Approaching Apex of Multi-Year Rising Wedge
1. Rising Wedge Formation (2018–2025):
The chart shows a clearly respected upward trendline acting as base support since 2018.
Resistance trendline formed post-2021 peak is now converging with current price levels.
The structure exhibits higher highs and higher lows—characteristic of a wedge nearing breakout or breakdown.
2. Historical Price Reaction at Resistance Zones:
Bitcoin has previously retraced sharply from the upper resistance band of this wedge.
Each pullback was met with accumulation around the green ascending trendline—underscoring its long-term validity.
3. Moving Averages (Support Confluence):
The red and green MAs (likely 50W and 200W EMAs) are sloping upward and have historically acted as support during macro pullbacks.
Price currently holds above these moving averages, suggesting medium-term bullish bias until invalidated.
4. Volume Divergence:
Volume has been steadily declining while price presses into the wedge apex—a textbook signal of an impending large move.
Watch for volume expansion on breakout or breakdown to confirm direction.
📈 Forward Outlook:
Bullish Breakout Scenario: A sustained weekly close above ~$110,000 (wedge resistance) with strong volume could trigger exponential upside potential. Next major psychological target: $120,000+.
Bearish Breakdown Risk: A close below the midline of the wedge and moving average cluster (currently $85,000–$90,000) would open risk down to the green trendline ($60,000 zone), possibly lower in a capitulation scenario.
🕰️ Timing Considerations:
Based on the wedge trajectory, the market is likely to resolve directionality by Q3–Q4 2025, if not sooner.
Long-term investors should remain vigilant, as volatility compression typically precedes expansion.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is no longer in a speculative frenzy but maturing into a technically obedient asset. The current rising wedge, combined with MA alignment and volume contraction, implies a high-probability move is imminent. This is a textbook setup that should be on every long-term investor’s radar.
BTC-----Buy around 107500, target 108000-109000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC on June 16:
Today, the general trend is still relatively obvious, so the trading strategy is to buy at a low price.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Buy in the 107500 area, stop loss in the 106500 area, and target the 108000-109000 area;
YGGUSDT 1D#YGG — Breakout Watch 👀
#YGG is heading toward the descending resistance and the EMA50 on the daily chart.
If it manages to break above both, a bullish move could follow.
Potential targets:
🎯 $0.2139
🎯 $0.2325
🎯 $0.2590
🎯 $0.2990
🎯 $0.3366
🎯 $0.4000
⚠️ Always use a tight stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital.
BTC doing a 1.618 means altcoin season is on🔥 Why 1.618 on BTC = Altcoin Season Coming
The 1.618 Fib extension is a common target for wave 3 or wave 5 in Elliott Wave theory. Once BTC hits it:
Many traders start taking profit on BTC.
That capital usually flows into ETH and major alts, then mid/small caps.
BTC dominance often peaks or stalls after hitting 1.618, which historically signals:
ETH/BTC starts rising
Altcoins gain strength against BTC and USDT
Retail and sidelined liquidity get attracted by BTC gains, but then chase faster % returns in alts.
🧠 Example Playbook
BTC breaks out → Runs hard → Hits 1.618 (e.g., from last correction low to current high)
ETH/BTC bottoms → ETH/USDT starts to run
Majors like SOL, AVAX, MATIC, DOT follow
Mid/small caps explode last (aka “altseason” proper)
ARPAUSDT 1D#ARPA is moving inside a Falling Wedge pattern on the daily chart — a classic bullish reversal signal.
If the price breaks above the wedge resistance and the daily EMA50, the following targets come into play:
🎯 $0.02682
🎯 $0.03145
🎯 $0.03960
🎯 $0.04619
🎯 $0.05277
⚠️ Always use a tight stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital.
SUIUSDT / 15M / LONG🔍 Analysis:
I used Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Price Action to build this setup.
The market recently formed a Bullish Order Block between 3.0669 and 3.0484, which aligns with the discount zone of the current price swing.
This suggests smart money accumulation in the demand zone, and a possible bullish internal shift of structure.
SUIUSDT / 15M / LONG
🔹Entry: 3.0662
🎯Take Profit (TP): 3.1407
🛑Stop Loss (SL): 3.0456
📊Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:3.62
📅 Timeframe: 15 Minutes
BTC Plan: 16/06/25Bitcoin Bias Map – Monday BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Current Context:
- Impulsive leg up completed.
- Reclaimed 106,400–106,500 on 4H timeframe with displacement.
- Higher low established on 4H.
- Equal highs around 110,700 on 4H, immediate draw on liquidity for bulls. Beyond that, all-time highs as targets.
Key Levels:
- Support: 106,400–106,500 region.
- Risk: Loss of this region H4 likely triggers a fast revisit to ~100k.
Price Action Signals:
- H4 overbought; M30 oversold — potential scalp long entry for move toward equal highs.
- H12 neutral but moving out of oversold.
- Daily neutral but price sitting in a daily bearish fair value gap.
Trade Plan:
- No interest in shorting unless 106,400 breaks decisively.
- No confirmed swing failure point yet to justify short trigger.
- Looking to enter long on pullback when H1 becomes oversold.
- Ready to flip short if wrong with clear structure break.
Personally, looking for longs. Until 106,500 is lost my bias is up now till EQHs. this is a strong reaction
ETH Eyes Key Resistance — Bullish Structure Holds!🎯 Trading Plan:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
Buy or hold as long as price holds above VWAP
Target move toward $3,000 –$3,430 (resistance zone)
If breakout above $3,430 — watch for acceleration
Scenario 2 (Rejection at Resistance):
Wait for confirmation of rejection (e.g., weekly SFP or bearish engulfing) in $3,000 –$3,430 zone
Consider short/hedge if rejection is confirmed, targeting a move back toward $2,600–$2,222
Invalidation:
Structure turns bearish only if price closes below $2,222
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Uptrend intact as long as price is above VWAP
Confirmation required for shorts: look for SFP or clear reversal pattern at resistance
📝 Order Placement & Management:
🔼 Buy/Hold: While price is above $2,222
🛡️ Stop: Close below $2,222 (monthly close)
🎯 Targets: $3,150 → $3,430
🔻 Short/Hedge (optional): On confirmed weekly rejection at resistance
🎯 Short Target: $2,600–$2,222
🚨 Risk Warning:
Main structure is bullish; any shorts are strictly countertrend and require strong confirmation
LINK MARINES are becoming a dwindling force.It was likely a fabricated tag solely for Crypto Twitter, conceived by early ICO investors. Something to rally a war cry behind.
Similar to the LINK Crypto dominance chart.
There’s a continuation head & shoulders pattern with a logarithmic target indicated.
Indeed, the token might increase in dollar value.
However, with 700 employees to compensate through token sales,
The salaries are excessive given the stagnant growth of token holders, and I must say, the decline in holders over the years makes it difficult to sustain the price/valuations.
If a #DEFI season was to occur, I would probably take advantage and unload old bags into the pumps.
BTC Weekly Game Plan: Key Levels & Clear Setups!Short Scenario:
Enter on confirmed rejection (SFP or bearish MSB) from Equal Highs ($110,700) or BPR ($108,000)
Targets: $105,000 → $102,600 (Weekly Draw)
Invalidation (stop): Above $112,000 (Range High)
Long Scenario:
Enter on confirmed bounce (bullish MSB or SFP) at Weekly Draw ($102,600) or Range Low ($100,300)
Targets: $108,000 → $110,700
Invalidation (stop): Below $99,500 (under Range Low)
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
M15/H1 confirmation required: SFP or clear MSB before entry.
Avoid entries if price slices through levels without a reaction.
📝 Order Placement & Management:
🔻 Sell Limits: $110,700 & $108,000
🛡️ Short Stop: $112,100
🎯 Short Targets: $105,000 → $102,600
🔼 Buy Limits: $102,600 & $100,300
🛡️ Long Stop: $99,500
🎯 Long Targets: $108,000 → $110,700
🚨 Risk Warning:
Shorts are against HTF bullish momentum, increasing risk.
High volatility expected due to FOMC meetings (Tuesday/Wednesday).