#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Last week I printed another potential two-legged correction where the C would print a new ath. Bulls were to weak to even retest 112k and 110k was all they got. Now I do think there are many more reasons that this will be the mother of all doubles tops than any arguments for the bulls exist, how they could print a new ath. Structure is decent and market has spent many days at the top trying to continuing the trend. Confirmation is a daily close below 100k.
current market cycle: Broad bull channel on the weekly tf. Market is about to re-test the ath and will likely transition into a trading range afterwards or we are already in one.
key levels: 100k - 115k
bull case: Bulls are still hopeful, that’s why we are still above 110k but the next touch could break it and I doubt many will hold long or scale into new ones there. Best bulls can get right now is to go sideways for longer and stay above 100k. I mean… Staying above 100k is as bullish as it get’s if you be honest.
Invalidation is a daily close below 100k
bear case: Can we also get a new bear trend from 110k? We would need 4-5 consecutive daily bear closes for that. Right now bears are only getting 4 but prices is not moving much during those 4 and the bars are overlapping too much. Bulls are still hopeful. Bears need to do more if they want lower prices again. As of now bulls are favored to continue inside the given range.
Invalidation is above 113k
short term: Bearish with stop 113k. Will scale into shorts and take some profits around 100k until we see a big breakout below.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08:
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08: “Need to see a clear sign that bulls can not push it beyond 112k and once we turn again from closer to the ath, I will comment on bear targets for the next months.”
This was from last week and market provided this clear sign with the amazing double top but only a daily close below 100k is confirmation. First target below 100k is 97k the breakout retest and after that is the 50% retracement around 93000.
Crypto market
DUSDT Forming Falling WedgeDUSDT is displaying a well-defined falling wedge pattern, which typically signals a strong bullish reversal once a breakout occurs. The structure of this chart suggests that selling momentum is waning while accumulation is gradually increasing. A breakout above the upper resistance of the wedge can unlock a sharp upside move, with a target gain in the range of 90% to 100%+. This projection is consistent with historical price behavior following similar wedge formations.
Volume remains steady, a critical sign that smart money may be quietly building positions before a potential breakout. Technically, DUSDT is positioned at the final stage of the wedge structure, and traders are watching closely for a confirmation candle that could validate the bullish setup. If momentum carries forward, the next resistance levels could be broken swiftly, leading to a fast rally as short positions unwind and new buyers step in.
Investor sentiment toward this project is showing renewed strength, with increasing chatter on social platforms and consistent mentions in altcoin analysis circles. The asset remains underpriced relative to its potential, attracting speculative interest from traders looking for high upside opportunities in smaller-cap pairs.
With bullish technicals aligning and market conditions favoring risk-on plays, DUSDT is worth watching closely. A confirmed breakout could trigger a substantial trend reversal in the coming sessions.
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WIF 4H. Make or Break ZoneBINANCE:WIFUSDT The asset is still moving within a defined range and is now brushing against the lower boundary of its structure. This area has historically triggered buyer interest — and if that repeats, we could be looking at a recovery toward $0.97+ in the short term.
However, failure to defend this support could send price cascading down to the $0.58–$0.60 zone.
Given the ongoing uncertainty in global markets, especially due to rising geopolitical tension, any long positions should be executed with tight risk management and a hard stop-loss.
Entry range (EP):
• Market
• $0.8120
• $0.7790
Take-Profit targets (TP):
• $0.8880
• $0.9425
• $0.9765
I’m managing risk carefully and limiting exposure per trade to no more than 2% of my portfolio. This is my personal trading log and not financial advice — always DYOR and trade responsibly.
Let the market decide — I'm prepared either way.
Stay sharp. Stay safe. 🧠📊
Analysis of Next Week's Market TrendsBitcoin is trading in a narrow range, with an intraday volatility of only 1.7% and trading volume shrinking by 18%, indicating market wait-and-see sentiment after key geopolitical events.
After the Israel-Iran conflict triggered $1 billion in liquidations, market panic has eased. Israel's preemptive strike on Iran on the 13th caused Bitcoin to flash crash to $102,000, but by the 15th, the market had partially digested the risks. The Fear & Greed Index stabilized at 60 (greed zone), showing that funds did not massively flee to safe havens.
Bitcoin is in a critical accumulation phase on the eve of a breakthrough. The digestion of geopolitical risks and institutional buying constitute supporting forces, but short-term attention should be paid to the risk of breakdown in the triangular pattern. It is recommended to strictly guard the defense level of $104,200 and the breakthrough point of $106,300.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
sell@105900-106000
TP:104000-1045000
They saw a crash. I saw where the next rally beginsThis isn’t chaos. It’s sequence. SOL sold off into a well-defined 1H OB, paired with a high-volume low. Price didn’t break. It anchored.
The setup:
After an aggressive dump, price settled into an Order Block between 140–143. This isn’t weakness. It’s rebalancing. Right above? A perfect FVG at 149 and inefficiency zones that align with liquidity draws at 152 and 160.
Volume is telling — it spiked into the OB, not on exit. That’s how Smart Money positions.
Expectation:
Accumulation near the OB → quick reversal → reclaim 145
From there, watch price reprice through:
TP1: 149 (FVG reclaim)
TP2: 152 (full inefficiency fill)
TP3: 160 (external liquidity sweep)
Any deeper dip below 140 becomes a deviation — not a breakdown — unless structure is violated with follow-through.
Execution:
Entry: 141–143 zone
SL: Below 139.8
TP1: 149
TP2: 152
Final: 160
This is engineered — not emotional.
Final thought:
“You don’t need to predict the bottom. You just need to know where price is built to return.”
SaylorCycle - The Next 100XWe are in the first year of the SaylorCycle.
The next decade we will see a complete change in the structure of the Bitcoin market as there is a 10 year boom in bitcoin accumulation on a global level.
Bitcoin will be seen as a corporate treasury, and there will be thousands of public companies hoovering up Bitcoin for their Corporate Treasuries.
Bitcoin will also been seen as a Strategic Reserve and countries will compete with each other to accumulate as much as possible.
Individuals will also be given plenty of options to earn bitcoin as companies like Square and other major payments companies adopt Bitcoin for merchants.
Retail will have plenty of options to get bitcoin exposure and new technologies like chaumain ecash mints will scale Bitcoin to billions enabling small retail savers to accumulate sats.
The last decade was the story of Bitcoin transitioning from an illegitimate asset to a legitimate asset, and now Bitcoin is transitioning from a legitimate asset to a must own asset.
Over the next decade Bitcoin will become a global reserve asset up there with US treasuries and Gold.
We should no longer see 80-90% drawdowns and the Bitcoin market structure should move like the rest of the global markets as there is a strong bid for bitcoin from institutional & sovereign buyers.
In this 10 year SaylorCycle, we should expect to see "bear market" declines as low as 50% and "bull market" rises as high as 200% year over year.
I believe the days of parabolic bitcoin advances and brutal 90% drops are done, and Bitcoin will advance to levels as high as $10 million per coin over the next decade or 2, giving parabolic-like returns.
I believe there is one last 100X in Bitcoin, but it will happen over 10-20 years instead of 1-2.
I am going to position myself conservatively to be ready for the worst case scenario where this is wrong and we do see a -90% drop. Don't over-leverage yourself. You should always be able to survive -90% without being a forced seller or being liquidated on loans.
HYPERUSDT Forming Strong Bullish ReversalHYPERUSDT is currently trading within a classic falling wedge pattern — a formation known for signaling strong bullish reversals once a breakout occurs. This structure is typically a sign of seller exhaustion and accumulation by smart money, particularly when accompanied by steady or rising volume, as we see now. With bullish divergence becoming more apparent on momentum indicators, the technical conditions are aligning for a significant price rally.
This setup suggests the potential for an explosive breakout to the upside, with a projected gain range of 80% to 90%+ once the upper resistance of the wedge is decisively breached. The falling wedge is forming at the tail end of a sustained downtrend, which often serves as a base for major upward reversals. A breakout above key resistance could bring a sharp bullish wave, pushing HYPERUSDT back toward previous supply zones and even forming new local highs.
Investor interest in the HYPER project is gaining traction, with increasing mentions across social platforms and a noticeable uptick in trading activity. As new capital flows into smaller-cap altcoins showing promising technicals, HYPER appears to be on many watchlists, especially among swing traders and early-stage investors looking for asymmetric risk/reward setups.
Overall, HYPERUSDT is offering a compelling opportunity based on this pattern. A confirmed breakout from the wedge may trigger strong momentum in the days ahead, particularly as market sentiment leans increasingly risk-on.
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ETH SHOWING RESILIENCE! LONG OPPORTUNITY.After weeks of sideways price action, ETH has displayed multiple signals that regardless of worldwide geopolitical issues, we find ourselves in a great spot to trade the FIB channel, along with a simple trend exhaustion.
This is my personal favourite when it comes to perspective of what is really happening within the crypto space at the moment.
Lets get into the details!
Trading within the FIB if the support levels can hold, we have tested the $2500 support level multiple times, we have also seen a BULLISH FLAG with a break down, into a PERFECT CUP & HANDLE to the upside.
Along with confirmation of the trend exhaustion, we are seeing an uptick of bulls coming into the market and protecting the precious $2500 support line.
As long as ETH remains above $2500 and can continue to trade within the FIB channel, this is a great opportunity to long.
ETH is showing is resilience, lets see how this long trade plays out.
This is my opinion only, do not use this as financial advice. Good luck and lets get some gains! 🚀
BTCUSD📈 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Market Update
Current Price: $105,000.00
Outlook: Strongly Bullish
Bitcoin is currently trading at $105,000 and showing continued bullish momentum. Price action indicates strong demand at current levels, with technical structure suggesting potential for an explosive move upward.
Key Insight:
Buy pressure remains dominant, with no immediate signs of reversal. BTC is holding above key support zones and appears poised for a continuation rally.
📊 Trade Idea:
Bias: Long (Buy)
Entry Zone: Market Price (~$105,000)
Short-Term Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $110,000
🎯 Target 2: $120,000
🎯 Target 3: $130,000
Note: Monitor for consolidation above $105,000 as a base for further upside. Risk management remains essential—adjust stop-loss levels as per your strategy.
My BTC Plan. First Pump, Then Dump?As always, I’m sharing my personal thoughts on what I expect from Bitcoin in the next few days. This is not financial advice just my outlook based on technicals, volume zones, and market behavior.
CME Bitcoin futures closed Friday at $105,715. Historically, CME gaps often get filled. So unless we see new geopolitical escalation between Israel vs. Iran on Sunday, I expect a fake pump on Monday toward the $108,500-$108,600 area.
That would be:
A 0.705 Fibonacci retracement from the recent low
A typical Monday move to trap shorts and create early bullish euphoria
Midweek Expectation: Dump to 4H FVG
After the fake move up, I’m anticipating a strong retracement down toward the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the $98,632 - $97,378 region. This area:
Contains heavy previous volume zones
Aligns with Previous Day Low, Previous Week Low
Holds multiple imbalances still unfilled
If the market receives negative news or sentiment breaks down quickly, I wouldn’t be surprised to see an even deeper move into the next 4H imbalance at $96,167 - $95,080.
Below that? There’s still a massive amount of untouched liquidity, including the Previous Month Low $93,322.
My Macro View: Scenario of Maximum Pain
I think the bottom of this Bitcoin correction will land somewhere around $87,300 – $86,000.. Why?
This would be a scenario of maximum pain
It’s a level where most investors will capitulate, especially in altcoins
If BTC goes that low, panic selling will trigger across the board
And ironically, this is how altcoin seasons always begin from disbelief.
Stay focused, stay safe. The volatility this week will be high, and smart positioning is key.
ETHUSDT Perpetual – Breakout Trade SetupThis setup represents a clean long position entry on ETHUSDT.P with clear invalidation and target levels.
Trade Details:
Position: Long
Entry Price: $2,540.75
Stop Loss: $2,430.58
Take Profit: $2,705.33
Risk-to-Reward (RRR): ~1.45
Timeframe: Not specified (likely 1H or 4H)
Setup Rationale:
Price is attempting a recovery from a local support zone, aiming for continuation toward $2,700 resistance area.
Trade assumes strength in bullish follow-through if $2,540 is held.
Tight stop loss below the key liquidity area ($2,430s) protects from downside volatility.
Conclusion:
This is a classic trend-continuation breakout trade, entering slightly above consolidation with a moderate risk-reward ratio. Close monitoring of price action around the entry zone is important for managing exposure if the breakout fails.
INJ: Long Idea 15/06/25Trade Direction:
INJ Long
Risk Management:
- Risk halved because of weekend
- Halved again as counter HTF trend (Bearish)
Reason for Entry:
- BTC retrace into OTE of H1 Leg and looks primed for my target on that long at $106,300 - $106,500
- Double Bottom
- Price starting to move out of oversold on multiple timeframes
- Failure to displace lower
- HTF Support.
Additional Notes:
- Target second daily FVG with a flat candle.
- Probably one of the weaker alts and if btc rolls over this will get stopped.
- Double bottom could be read as EQL which could get swept
- Losing the double bottom would invalidate this idea
Middle East Tensions Drive Capital Shift: BTC May Test 100K SupCurrently, we can clearly see that BTC is in a downward trend 🔻. Due to the tense situation in the Middle East 😰, a large amount of capital has flowed into gold and crude oil markets. BTCUSD is likely to continue its downward movement on Monday ⬇️. Let's focus on the support level at 100,000. If it breaks below 100,000, it may continue to decline ⚠️.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 106500 - 105500
🚀 TP 102000 - 101000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
BITCOIN TOPPED. ELLIOT WAVE LONG Long term outlook of Bitcoin using EWT. I personally think Bitcoin has topped and the btc.d charts support it as well as the actual chart shown here. We’re beggining the massive correction as it did way back and I kept the ratios the same so after wave C next year or whenever, we can all buy btc at around 30k and ride the next waves up.
VIRTUALUSDT Perpetual – Breakout Long Setup from ConsolidationVIRTUALUSDT has shown signs of accumulation with a series of higher lows followed by a breakout above the local resistance zone around $1.8398, suggesting the potential start of a bullish leg.
Trade Details:
Position: Long
Entry: $1.8398
Stop Loss: $1.7683
Take Profit: $2.0858
Setup Type: Breakout from Range / Early Trend Continuation
Setup Rationale:
Market broke above consolidation range, triggering a long opportunity
Clear bullish momentum supported by consecutive higher lows
Favorable risk/reward ratio for swing or short-term continuation traders
Target aligns with previous resistance zone above $2.08
This setup anticipates a continuation move to the upside following the breakout, with a well-defined stop below the previous swing low.