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WHO WILL WIN BITCOIN'S RANGE BATTLE? In this weeks analysis, Bitcoin has been stack in a tight range for almost two weeks now. Trading range between $115k and $120k. Trend is still holding up for Bullish continuation but indicators strongly cautions loud Sirens. A decisive daily close above $120,200 could be the winning whistle for Bullish Continuation, while I see selling pressure to continue to the Support Block of about 113k. Also the selling Volumes are huge but prices are always quickly absorbed suggesting an accumulation is happening more than a distribution. So my thesis for Bitcoin is sideways range bound until there is a clear market winner. I will be paying much attention to the bearish alarm and a breakdown will be confirmed when daily price decisively close below $115k confirming the divergences on the chart. Trading between the range is high risk.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RICHINVESTOR
Put your coats back on penguins. It's about to get chilly!Pudgy has been on a fishy bull run for the last 3 months racking up 230 percent. It's time to chill out a bit while traders take some profit. Here is a great setup for a 14 percent short entry. Price action is currently sitting slightly below support levels of .036. There are currently (2) 4 hour candles closed below the support zone indicating price action will likely slide into the lower support zone as marked on the chart. Price may break above the .036 resistance level into the small support zone of around ~.038. Make sure to set your stop loss slightly above this time so you are not in the liquidity zone if the bulls push back.
Short
by remarkableCake99061
1
Will gold bottom out and rebound on July 31st? 1. Key News Drivers Federal Reserve Policy Expectations: The market generally expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance. If economic data (such as ADP, GDP, and PCE) show strong performance, the expected rate cut may be further postponed, which is bearish for gold. Geopolitics and Risk Aversion: Uncertainty in the US-China trade negotiations and the situation in the Middle East may temporarily support gold prices, but the market is currently more focused on macroeconomic data. Dollar Trend: If the US dollar index continues to strengthen (driven by expectations of a Fed rate hike), it will suppress gold's rebound potential. 2. Key Technical Signals Trend Break Confirmation: The daily chart shows four consecutive declines below the 60-day moving average and the rising trend line, confirming a mid-term correction following the 3439 high. The next key support is 3245 (previous low). If it falls below this, the price could drop to 3150-3120. Short-term oversold rebound demand: The RSI entered the oversold zone, and a technical rebound may occur. Key rebound resistance level: 3315-3325 (near yesterday's high, short-term short position entry area) 3345-3350 (bull-bear watershed, strong resistance area) 3380-3400 (trend reversal confirmation point, ideal layout position for medium-term short positions) 3. Today's operation strategy (1) Short-term trading (intraday) Mainly high-short: Rebound to 3315-3325, light position short test, stop loss 3335, target 3280-3270. If it touches 3345-3350, you can add short positions, stop loss 3360, target 3300-3280. Dip-buying strategy (caution): If the price stabilizes after a pullback to 3280-3270, short-term buying is recommended, with a stop-loss at 3260 and a target of 3300-3310 (quick entry and exit). 4. Key Risks Federal Reserve Policy Shift: If the Fed unexpectedly releases dovish signals (such as hinting at a rate cut), it could trigger a rapid rebound in gold prices. Unfortunate Economic Data: If US GDP, PCE, and other data fall short of expectations, it could boost gold prices in the short term, but after the rebound, it will still be an opportunity to buy higher. Escalating Geopolitical Conflict: If a major risk event occurs (such as a escalation in the Sino-US trade war), it could temporarily boost safe-haven buying. Summary Short-Term: Oversold rebounds may provide opportunities to sell high, with attention to resistance at 3315-3325 and 3345-3350. Medium-Term: The trend remains bearish, with a target of 3245 to 3150. Any upward movement is considered an opportunity to enter a short position. Trading strategy: Mainly short on rebound, be cautious when buying long orders on rebound, and strictly set stop-loss to prevent unexpected fluctuations.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Entry_Point
Moodeng Liquidity Grab + ReversalStrategy: Liquidity Grab + Reversal Entry: $0.15350-$0.15000 Stop Loss: $0.14490 Take Profits: $0.17600, $0.19500 📊 Rationale: – HTF trend: Range-bound with engineered downside inducement – LTF structure: Watching for bullish CHoCH after sweep below local support – Liquidity targeting: Price is likely to run sell-side stops below $0.16000–$0.15000 and reverse from unmitigated demand 🧠 Volume remains calm, OI is stable, and market is setting up for a clean liquidity sweep into a prior reaction zone. Confirmation will follow from M5–M15 CHoCH after the sweep. ⸻ 🧠 Stay sharp. Trade smart. Let the market come to us.
Long
by candle_crafts
1
Deep Dive Into Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)🗓 The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is one of the most popular momentum indicators in technical analysis. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, understanding how the MACD works can significantly enhance your trading decisions. 📚 Introduction: What Is MACD and Why It Matters The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is one of the most powerful and widely used momentum indicators in technical analysis. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s and has since become a staple in the toolkit of traders and investors across markets — from stocks and forex to cryptocurrencies. At its core, MACD helps traders understand the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price, providing insight into both trend direction and momentum strength. By analyzing how these averages converge and diverge, the indicator offers valuable signals for entries, exits, and trend reversals. What makes MACD especially popular is its versatility — it works well in trending markets, can be used across all timeframes, and combines both leading and lagging components. Whether you're a day trader or a long-term investor, understanding how MACD works gives you an edge in making timely and informed trading decisions. 📚 How the MACD Is Calculated: The Components Explained The MACD is built from three core components: MACD line, Signal line and MACD histogram. 🔹 Calculating the MACD Line: The MACD line is the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), typically 12-period EMA (fast) and 26-period EMA (slow). The formula is: MACD Line = EMA(12) − EMA(26) This line captures momentum by tracking how the shorter-term average diverges from the longer-term average. When the MACD line rises, the short-term momentum is increasing faster than the longer-term trend — a sign of bullish acceleration. The reverse implies bearish momentum. 🔹 Calculating the Signal Line: ​ To reduce noise and provide clearer signals, a 9-period EMA of the MACD line is plotted on top. This is the Signal Line, and it acts as a trigger: When the MACD line crosses above the signal line → bullish signal (buy) When the MACD line crosses below the signal line → bearish signal (sell) Signal Line = EMA(9)(MACD Line) 🔹 Calculating the MACD Histogram: ​ The Histogram shows the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line: Histogram = MACD Line − Signal Line It provides a visual representation of momentum strength. The histogram bars expand when momentum strengthens and contract as it fades. It helps you spot shifts in momentum earlier than a basic crossover. 📚 How to Use MACD in Trading Strategies ⚡️MACD Signal Line Crossover Buy Signal: MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line from below (bullish crossover) Preferably when both lines are below the zero line (early in the trend) Price closes above the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA Sell Signal: MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line from above (bearish crossover) Preferably when both lines are above the zero line (early in the trend) Price closes below the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Wait until MACD line crosses over the Signal line from down to up. In our example we use 1D time frame for BITMART:BTCUSDT.P . Open long trade if point 2 will be completed. 2. Price candle shall be closed above the 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend. 3. Close the long trade when the MACD line crosses under the Signal line. This is an approximation that short-term impulse is over and correction is about to start. In our case we have +20% return on this long trade, but, please, notice that we have not used initial stop-loss in this strategy. Trade was closed according to the technical condition, this approach can violate the risk management rules, but also can be applicable if you trade the amount ready to lose using this strategy. We will talk about stop-loss later. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Wait until MACD line crosses under the Signal line from up to down. In our example we use 1D time frame for BITMART:ETHUSDT . Open short trade if point 2 will be completed. 2. Price candle shall be closed below the 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend. 3. Close the short trade when the MACD line crosses over the Signal line. This is an approximation that short-term impulse is over and correction is about to start. In this case we have +15% return on the short trade. Again, strategy used the technical condition to close the trade and now let's cover how to place the stop-loss. There is no right answer how to use stop-losses. The first and the most obvious way to place stop-loss is using recent swing low/high, but the problem is that all traders are seeing them and do the same. Price tends to reach such levels to collect liquidity. Another one way to place stop-loss is using the signal candle's high/low. This is so-called 1 candle stop-loss. Usually it's very tight and can allow to have the fantastic risk to reward ratio, but we are now recommend to use it if you are not a professional trader because win rate of such strategy decreases. Third approach in placing stop-loss which we often use in our algorithmic strategies is the Average True Range (ATR). ATR is the volatility measurement, it allows to take into account the current volatility. Sometimes it helps to avoid the stop-loss hit when trade finally goes in your direction. You can just simply subtract (in case of long trade) or add (in case of short trade) ATR value to the entry price and obtain the dynamic stop loss based on current market condition. Also multiplier can be used for ATR. You shall choose the approach which is more comfortable for you, backtest all these approached to make your choice. 🧪Important: we used the long signals only below the zero-line and short signals above it in the attempt to catch the beginning of a trend and have large potential move. On the picture below you can see the same BITMART:BTCUSDT.P , but what will happen if we open long on the lines crossover above zero line? This trade will not be profitable because of restricted potential. ⚡️MACD Zero Line Crossover Buy Signal: MACD Histogram crosses above the zero line (momentum shifts from bearish to bullish) Price closes above the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA Sell Signal: MACD Histogram crosses below the zero line (momentum shifts from bullish to bearish) Price closes below the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Wait until MACD Histogram crosses over zero line. Open long trade if point 2 will be completed. 2. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend. 3. Take profit when price reaches 3:1 risk to reward ratio according to the stop-loss from point 4. 4. Stop-loss shall be placed below recent swing low. This point can be discussed, you can use any stop-loss technique described earlier in this article. We demonstrate the simplest one, the key here is using at least 3:1 RR. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Wait until MACD Histogram crosses under zero line. Open short trade if point 2 will be completed. 2. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend. 3. Take profit when price reaches 3:1 risk to reward ratio according to the stop-loss from point 4. 4. Stop-loss shall be placed above recent swing high. This point can be discussed, you can use any stop-loss technique described earlier in this article. We demonstrate the simplest one, the key here is using at least 3:1 RR. ⚡️MACD Divergence Strategy MACD Divergence is a strategy that helps traders identify potential reversals in market direction before they become obvious on the price chart. This makes it a favorite tool among swing traders and crypto enthusiasts looking to catch major moves early. But what exactly is a divergence? In simple terms, divergence occurs when price and momentum (MACD) are moving in opposite directions — signaling that the current trend may be losing strength and preparing for a reversal. There are two main types of divergence. 🐂 Bullish Divergence Price makes a lower low MACD Histogram makes a higher low This suggests that while price is still falling, downward momentum is weakening. The bears are losing control, and a bullish reversal may be near. Trading signal is very simple, when bullish divergence happens wait for the first increasing column on MACD histogram and open long trade. Place stop-loss under recent swing low and take profit at 3:1 RR. 🐻Bearish Divergence Price makes a higher high MACD makes a lower high This suggests that while price is still falling, downward momentum is weakening. The bears are losing control, and a bullish reversal may be near. Trading signal is very simple, when bearish divergence happens wait for the first decreasing column on MACD histogram and open short trade. Place stop-loss above recent swing high and take profit at 3:1 RR. 🧪 Important hint: MACD histogram shall cross the zero line between two lows/high to create the most reliable divergence signals. We are not recommend to use it without zero-line crossover to decrease number of false signals. 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. MACD Histogram shall create higher low. 2. Price shall create lower low. 3. MACD Histogram shall cross the zero line between lows. 4. MACD Histogram shall show the first increasing column. 5. Put stop-loss under the recent swing low. 6. Put take profit at 3:1. 🧪 You can enhance the long signal with the MACD Line divergence. In our case we have both divergences: with MACD Histogram and MACD Line. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. MACD Histogram shall create lower high. 2. Price shall create higher high. 3. MACD Histogram shall cross the zero line between lows. 4. MACD Histogram shall show the first decreasing column. 5. Put stop-loss above the recent swing high. 6. Put take profit at 3:1. 🧪Divergence is extremely strong signal, but when price continue it's move in the direction of a trend and it's not reversing it can also be the signal for the trend continuation. This situation is called "Baskerville Hound" signal, this name was given by famous trader Alexander Elder. We don't recommend to use it for novice traders, but it's useful to know about it. 📚 Conclusion The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is more than just a crossover tool — it's a powerful momentum indicator that offers deep insight into the strength, direction, and timing of market trends. By understanding how the MACD line, Signal line, and Histogram interact, traders can uncover early trend shifts, spot momentum divergences, and time entries and exits with greater confidence. Whether you're a short-term trader using fast crossovers for scalping or a long-term investor watching for weekly divergences, MACD can adapt to your style when used thoughtfully. Like all indicators, it works best when combined with price action, support/resistance levels, and other indicators — not in isolation. Ultimately, mastering MACD is not about memorizing patterns, but about learning to read the story of momentum that unfolds beneath the surface of price. With disciplined application and practice, MACD can become a reliable compass in your trading strategy.
Education
by Skyrexio
14
TONUSDT Forming Falling WedgeTONUSDT is forming a classic falling wedge pattern, which is widely recognized in technical analysis as a bullish reversal signal. After a period of consistent downward price compression, the narrowing structure on the chart signals that selling pressure may be weakening. This setup often precedes a significant bullish breakout, especially when accompanied by growing interest and steady volume—as is currently being seen in TON’s market behavior. The fundamentals behind TON (The Open Network) are also strengthening, with increasing adoption across the Web3 ecosystem and a growing number of partnerships tied to Telegram's user base. The synergy between Telegram and the TON blockchain has created an environment where real-world utility is beginning to align with on-chain momentum. This alignment often catalyzes strong upward price moves, making TONUSDT one of the more promising altcoin setups in the current market landscape. The expected gain of 140% to 150% from current levels is not just speculative—it aligns well with the technical breakout projection based on the wedge’s height and the last key swing high. If TON can maintain support above the lower boundary of the wedge while volume continues to increase, the likelihood of a breakout followed by a strong upward rally becomes much higher. Historical breakout moves from similar wedge patterns often show explosive growth in relatively short timeframes. TONUSDT is a high-potential chart right now and should be closely monitored by traders and investors looking for large-cap altcoin opportunities with bullish technical setups. This could be the start of a major trend shift for TON, especially as broader crypto sentiment begins to tilt bullish again. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
1
JSTUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumJSTUSDT has recently gained attention among traders as it moves closer to a key breakout level. The chart shows a series of higher lows, indicating underlying bullish momentum despite short-term rejections near resistance zones. The price action reflects a coiling structure with tightening price ranges, hinting at an imminent breakout. Volume has remained consistent, which is often an early sign of accumulation and growing investor interest. As JSTUSDT continues to test its resistance zone, a successful breakout could lead to a sharp upside move. The projected gain of 20% to 25%+ aligns with the measured move from recent consolidation zones. This movement is supported by market interest in JST, which is a core part of the TRON ecosystem, providing decentralized finance capabilities like stablecoin lending and borrowing. The project’s integration and use within the TRON network continue to attract both retail and institutional investors. Technically, the price is respecting key support and resistance levels, with clear zones marked out on the chart. The support zone has held strong on multiple tests, making it a potential launchpad for the next leg up. With volume backing the setup, and favorable sentiment across broader market conditions, JST is well-positioned for a breakout rally. Short-term traders and mid-term investors should keep JSTUSDT on their watchlist, especially as momentum builds near the upper resistance area. If the breakout confirms with a daily close above resistance backed by volume, it may trigger rapid price movement. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
1
Is Bitcoin dominance finally starting to crack?Is #Bitcoin dominance finally starting to crack? I think we’re getting the first real signal. 📉 After a strong run, BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance has rejected from major resistance and started to pull back. Even when adjusted for stablecoins, we’re seeing the same early signs of weakness. 📝 Historically, this kind of shift has been a precursor to capital rotation into altcoins. We might still be far from full-blown altcoin euphoria, but this could be the beginning of a transition from a BTC-led market to a broader risk-on phase, especially when the market starts pricing in a rate cut. 💡 Keep in mind: the biggest alt runs tend to come when BTC consolidates near highs while dominance fades. If this move confirms, it might be time to prepare.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by FeelsStrategy
1
ens sell midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Short
by Golden_candle
2
BTCUSDT ISHS Breakout with Bullish Pennant ContinuationBTC is holding above a clean neckline breakout from a inverse head and shoulders formation, currently consolidating inside a bullish pennant. A breakout from this range offers continuation potential to $136K and possibly to $168K. Bias remains bullish while price holds above the $114K region. Market Structure • Trend: Bullish continuation • Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders + Bullish Pennant • Price Action: Clean breakout and retest of neckline support, followed by tightening consolidation Key Zones • Immediate Demand Zone: $114,000 – $117,000 • Internal Demand Zone: $105,000 – $108,000 • Major Setup Support Zone: $98,000 – $101,000 • Base Support (ISHS Origin): $74,500 – $77,000 • Neckline: $111,700-$113,800 (Confirmed pivot level) Technical Confluence • Volume: Strong candle breakout through neckline, followed by low-volume bullish flag • Price Geometry: ISHS measured move aligns with the final target at $168K • Momentum: Bullish structure maintained with higher lows and reactive demand Entry Plan • Zone: $117,500 – $119,000 • Method: Limit buy on demand retest or breakout retest of $123K • Execution: Swing entry with invalidation below demand base Targets • 🎯 TP1: $136,442 — Pennant measured move • 🎯 TP2: $168,029 — Final ISHS target Invalidation • ❌ SL: Below $110,000 • Reason: Break below ISHS Neckline invalidates bullish thesis in the short term • RRR: Estimated 1:4 depending on execution If this structure aligns with your outlook, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. You’re also welcome to drop your preferred altcoins for a quick technical review.
Long
by weslad
61