GBP/USD trade idea.This is a 1-hour chart of GBP/USD (British Pound vs US Dollar), with a clear bearish setup. Here's the breakdown:
Chart Analysis:
Channel Structure:
The price is moving inside an ascending channel with clear upper and lower trendlines.
Liquidity Sweep ($$$):
Two areas marked as “$$$” indicate liquidity grab (stop-hunt zones) below equal lows — classic signs of engineered liquidity.
Resistance Zone (Supply):
A key supply zone is highlighted between 1.36045 and slightly below it, where price previously reacted. This zone is expected to act as a strong resistance.
Current Price:
Price is currently at 1.35844 and appears to be heading up toward the supply zone again.
Trade Idea (Bearish Setup):
Entry:
Wait for the price to enter the supply zone (around 1.36045), possibly wick above it slightly to trap buyers.
Sell Trigger:
Look for bearish confirmation (like bearish engulfing or market structure shift) inside the supply zone.
Stop Loss:
Placed just above the supply zone and the channel resistance — around 1.36464.
Take Profit:
Target is set near the channel support, around 1.34799.
Risk:Reward Ratio:
Favorable setup — risk is smaller compared to the large potential reward.
Summary (in short):
A short-term bullish move to trap liquidity into the supply zone.
A rejection from the supply zone.
A bearish drop toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Support and Boost for appreciate.
Forex market
AUDJPYAUDJPY: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, Bank Lending Rates, and Carry Trade Advantage (June 2025)
1. 10-Year Government Bond Yields
Australia (AUD):
The 10-year Australian government bond yield is currently around 4.48%–4.53%.
Japan (JPY):
The 10-year Japanese government bond yield is about 1.48% as of June 16, 2025.
2. Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA):
The RBA cut its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in May 2025, citing progress in reducing inflation and global uncertainties.
Bank of Japan (BOJ):
The BOJ held its key short-term policy interest rate steady at 0.5% at its June 2025 meeting, maintaining the highest level since 2008.
3. Bank Lending Rates
Australia:
The average overdraft bank lending rate is 10.51% as of April 2025.
Japan:
The long-term prime bank lending rate is 2.05% (April 2025), while the average commercial bank lending rate is reported at 1.625% as of February 2025.
4. Interest Rate Differential
Policy Rate Differential:3.85%3.85% (RBA) − 0.5%0.5% (BOJ) = 3.35%.
10-Year Bond Yield Differential:4.48%4.48% (Australia) − 1.48%1.48% (Japan) = 3.00%.
5. Carry Trade Advantage
Mechanism:
Investors borrow in the low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) and invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the interest rate differential.
Current Advantage:
The wide gap in both policy rates and bond yields makes AUDJPY one of the most attractive carry trade pairs in 2025. The 3.35%–3.00% differential offers steady potential returns, especially in a stable or risk-on market environment.
Risks:
If global risk sentiment deteriorates, the yen can strengthen rapidly as a safe haven, unwinding carry trades.
Sudden shifts in RBA or BOJ policy could narrow the differential and reduce the carry trade's appeal.
6. Summary Table
Factor Australia (AUD) Japan (JPY) Differential / Impact
10Y Bond Yield 4.48–4.53% 1.48% 3.00% (AUD advantage)
Policy Rate 3.85% 0.5% 3.35% (AUD advantage)
Bank Lending Rate 10.51% 1.625–2.05% AUD much higher
Carry Trade Outlook High yield, attractive Low yield, funding Strong incentive for AUDJPY long
Conclusion
The AUDJPY pair is strongly supported by a wide interest rate and bond yield differential, making it a favored target for carry trade strategies in 2025. The RBA’s relatively high rates and the BOJ’s ultra-low rates, combined with stable economic conditions, provide a consistent yield advantage for investors holding long AUDJPY positions. However, traders should monitor global risk sentiment and central bank policy shifts, as these can quickly change the carry trade landscape
GBP-NZD Rising Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD keeps falling
Down but a rising support
Line is ahead and as the
Pair is locally oversold we
Will be expecting a rebound
And a move up after the
Retest of the support below
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD – 30m | Smart Money long SetupPair: EUR/USD
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Minutes
🔹 Confluence Strategy: Elliott Wave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🔹 Pattern: Ending Triangle (Wave e) + CHoCH + BOS
🔹 Published on: June 17, 2025
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🧠 Analysis Summary:
1. Wave (e) of triangle nearly complete — signs of liquidity grab at the low.
2. CHoCH formed after internal structure break – a bullish signal.
3. Demand zone successfully mitigated, showing buyer reaction.
4. BOS confirms intent to shift bullish structure.
5. Clear imbalance/fair value gap filled before move.
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🎯 Next Move Projection:
Entry Zone: 1.1562–1.1565 (Demand Area)
Target: 1.1596–1.1600 (Supply Zone Resistance)
Invalidation: Clean break below 1.1555 low (demand fails)
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📌 Trade Bias:
✔️ Bullish — Expecting price to tap into supply zone and potentially reverse.
⚠️ Monitor lower timeframes (5m–15m) for rejection signs near 1.1600.
USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅1H order block
✅HTF 50 EMA
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure to be identified
✅15’ order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSD awaits upcoming newsYesterday, EURUSD climbed back above 1,1600, testing the previous high.
Tomorrow, the market is anticipating the FED’s interest rate decision.
For now, the trend remains clear, with expectations of increased volatility.
Keep an eye out for a higher low and a breakout above the previous high.
EURCAD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURCAD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.5718
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.5674
My Stop Loss - 1.5743
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD - Shot Sell Story : Market has broken the strong support level of 1.35141 with good bearish momentum candle. This is a good sign of trend continuation. we plan our entry simply at the 0.382 level of fib once the market retraces which is 1.35279.
Anticipate : we anticipate market to remain bearish as it has broken the support level
Plan : we place our stoploss before the last LH and TP1 and TP2 with risk and reward of 1:1 and 1:2 accordingly.
GBPUSD: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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EURUSD: Awaiting Confirmation to Continue the UptrendThe EUR/USD pair closed yesterday at 1.1550, moving within the 1.1526–1.1558 range. The euro continues its bullish trend, driven by U.S. inflation data coming in lower than expected, which increases expectations of an upcoming rate cut by the Fed. In addition, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—particularly between Israel and Iran—have slightly weakened the U.S. dollar, providing additional support to the euro.
From a technical perspective, the price is currently correcting toward the 1.1480 area, where the ascending trendline converges with the exponential moving average. This is a key support zone. If it holds and a clear bullish signal emerges, EURUSD could rebound and move toward the 1.1610 resistance level.
Main scenario: look for buying opportunities around 1.1480 if a bullish confirmation appears, targeting 1.1610.
Alternative scenario: if the 1.1480 level is broken, the short-term uptrend could be at risk.
GBP/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/USD with the target of 1.344 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPAUD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Bearish divergence followed by the most recent uptrend line breakout.
Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows.
No opposite signs.
Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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USD/CAD Holding Minor Support
USD/CAD is consolidating above local support at 1.35658, within a descending channel. A bullish break from this tight range could trigger a move toward the next resistance levels at 1.35817 and 1.36083.
A confirmed break and hold above 1.35817 would be the first signal of short-term strength.
However, a drop below 1.35658 could invalidate the bullish scenario and send price back to 1.35397 support.
AUDUSD TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD has officially broken out of a multi-week ascending triangle structure, and momentum is now building for a bullish continuation. The price is currently trading around 0.6533 after a strong breakout above the 0.6520 resistance zone. This consolidation was forming higher lows, signaling accumulation and bullish intent. The clean breakout above the horizontal resistance confirms buyers are in control. With this pattern validated, my short-term target is 0.6700–0.6750, aligning with the measured move projection.
From a macro perspective, AUD is gaining strength due to a divergence in monetary policy outlooks. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains hawkish, supported by sticky inflation data and a tight labor market, while the Federal Reserve has recently hinted at a dovish turn, acknowledging signs of economic slowdown. Additionally, a weaker U.S. dollar index (DXY) and rising commodity prices—especially iron ore and copper—are tailwinds for the Australian dollar. These fundamental shifts are reinforcing the bullish technical breakout.
On the 8H chart, the ascending triangle is a clear signal of bullish pressure. The zone around 0.6450–0.6520 acted as strong demand during the consolidation phase. A successful breakout retest of this zone could offer secondary entry opportunities. The risk-reward ratio is attractive, with a defined invalidation below the trendline and a target extending toward yearly highs near 0.6750.
This setup stands out as high-probability. With bullish price action, supportive fundamentals, and risk-on sentiment returning across FX majors, AUDUSD is primed for further upside. I’m holding long with conviction, expecting continuation toward the projected breakout target. This trade aligns with current market structure, trend strength, and macro drivers—perfect timing in a trending market environment.