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Pound Stable as Markets Eye BoE, Fed MovesGBP/USD remains below Friday’s three-year high, trading around the mid-1.3500s in a narrow range during Monday’s Asian session. The pair shows limited downside as traders await a busy week of key data and central bank decisions. Markets are watching the UK CPI on Wednesday and the Bank of England’s policy announcement on Thursday, both crucial for the Pound. The US Federal Reserve will also decide on rates Wednesday, likely guiding the dollar’s short-term path. Friday’s UK GDP showed a 0.3% contraction in April, increasing bets on faster BoE rate cuts. The USD is supported by safe-haven flows due to Middle East tensions, though soft US inflation data has raised expectations for Fed cuts by September. A broadly positive global risk mood is offering some support to GBP/USD. Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
by ChartMage
AUD/CHF Sell Trade Idea 🧠 Why Sell AUD/CHF? * **Australia (AUD)**: * Economic growth is slowing. * Consumer and business confidence are falling. * The Reserve Bank may cut interest rates soon. * Australia’s economy depends heavily on China and commodities — both are under pressure. * **Switzerland (CHF)**: * Safe-haven currency — gets stronger when the world is uncertain. * Low inflation and strong exports make CHF attractive. * Even though the Swiss central bank cut rates, demand for CHF remains high due to global risks. --- ### ⏳ **What to Watch For** * RBA (Australia’s central bank) possibly cutting rates in August * Weak data from China hurting AUD further * Ongoing wars or trade issues making CHF stronger ---
Short
by Wainainarobert
1
ECB’s De Guindos Sees Balanced Inflation RisksEuropean Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said Monday that the EUR/USD at 1.15 does not hinder the ECB’s inflation goal, noting the euro’s gradual rise and stable volatility. He stated inflation risks are balanced, with little chance of falling short of the target, and that markets have clearly understood the ECB’s recent policy signals. De Guindos reaffirmed the ECB is close to its inflation objective Looking ahead, he warned that tariffs could slow growth and inflation in the medium term but expressed confidence in the Fed maintaining swap line arrangements. He also confirmed there have been no discussions about repatriating gold reserves from New York. At the time, EUR/USD was down 0.09%, trading near 1.1537. Resistance is located at 1.1580, while support is seen at 1.1460.
by ChartMage
Stronger Dollar Pressures Yen on Geopolitical RisksThe Japanese yen fell past 144.2 per dollar on Monday, marking a second day of losses, as the U.S. dollar strengthened on increased safe-haven demand. This followed renewed conflict between Israel and Iran, with both sides targeting energy facilities and pushing oil prices higher. The rise in energy costs may reduce the chances of a near-term Fed rate cut as inflation and trade risks persist. Meanwhile, focus turns to the Bank of Japan’s upcoming policy meeting, where it is expected to keep rates unchanged while assessing the inflation impact of rising oil prices amid global uncertainty. Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
by ChartMage
AUDCAD: The Real Move Happens After the TrapNot every trade needs to be flashy. This one was clean. Simple. Intentional. And it came after most traders got taken out. What I Saw : Price swept PDL: textbook sell-side liquidity. But instead of jumping in too early, I waited. Why? Because I’ve learned something: 👉 The first reaction is often just noise. 👉 The second one, the one that fills into structure. That’s where clarity lives. My Entry Logic: After the sweep, price broke minor structure. That was my Change of Character. I will just have to wait for price to pull into the FVG below 50% fibs retracement. Stop below the low. Target at the PDH. Nothing fancy. Just discipline . Psychology Check: I’ve taken this setup before and watched it run without me. Why? Because I used to hesitate. I wanted more confirmation… or feared being wrong. But here’s the truth: Your edge is only real if you’re willing to take the shot when it appears . This wasn’t a guess. It was system + structure + emotional control.
Long
by Crusade1Jay
2
USDCAD Under Pressure: Chart Signals & Macro Forces Point South!The USDCAD pair is under clear pressure, as illustrated in this chart 📊. The visual structure highlights a persistent bearish trend, with price action consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. The chart is reinforcing the idea that sellers are dominating the market. Notably, the drawn arrow in the chart points toward previous higher timeframe lows, suggesting that these areas could be the next logical targets for price action if the current trend persists. On the fundamental side, the US dollar has been weakened by dovish signals from the Federal Reserve and softer economic data, fueling expectations of potential rate cuts later this year 🏦. In contrast, the Canadian dollar has been buoyed by strong commodity prices—especially oil—and a relatively hawkish Bank of Canada. The bearish structure seen in the chart aligns with these macro drivers, as the CAD continues to benefit from both domestic strength and global demand for commodities. Geopolitically, ongoing global trade tensions and shifting risk sentiment have further supported the Canadian dollar, as investors seek stability in commodity-backed currencies 🌍. The combination of these factors, as reflected in the chart, suggests that USDCAD remains vulnerable, and a move down to retest previous higher timeframe lows is a real possibility unless there’s a significant shift in the underlying fundamentals. Traders should keep an eye on the key support zones highlighted in the chart, as these could provide clues for potential exhaustion or reversal in the current trend 🔎. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making any trading decisions.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
London Session - Sell Idea on EUWe see price entering a 4hr & 1hr engulfing candle stick. Price is also beginning to downtrend on the 1hr time frame. I've adjusted my trading time to early morning on the east coast. I'm noticing I'm more productive. My original wakeup time is 3:33am but I woke up at 4:44am this Am. I felt rushed to keep going but I'm not trying to hard, I will set alerts as price enters our zone, I'm expecting price to trigger before 7am. Then break our CTL. Easily 1:3 risk to reward.
Short
by EliSantiago
AUD/CAD Short — Fundamentals Say “Down” 📉 **AUD/CAD Short — Fundamentals Say “Down” The **Australian Dollar** is looking shaky: * Business confidence is falling * The RBA might **cut rates soon** * And China (Australia’s top trade partner) is **slowing down**, which hurts demand for Aussie exports Meanwhile, the **Canadian Dollar** is holding up better: * Oil prices are steady — and oil is Canada’s strength * Inflation is sticky, so the Bank of Canada is **more patient** with cuts * Plus, Canada’s exports are still flowing strong Put simply? **Aussie is soft. Loonie is firm.** This pair could slip lower — fundamentals favor **selling AUD/CAD**. ---
Short
by Wainainarobert
1
GBPUSD INTRADAY Bullish flag developing supported at 1.3500The GBP/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a rising trendline and sustained higher lows. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback within an overall uptrend, indicative of a consolidation phase rather than a reversal. Key Support Level: 1.3500 This level aligns with a previous consolidation zone and is acting as a pivotal support. A pullback toward this level could offer a potential buying opportunity, especially if bullish momentum returns. Upside Targets (on bullish continuation from 1.3500): 1.3610 – Initial resistance from prior swing high 1.3650 – Intermediate resistance level 1.3700 – Long-term target and potential top of the current bullish channel Bearish Scenario (if 1.3500 fails): A daily close below 1.3500 would invalidate the current bullish setup, signaling a potential shift in trend. In that case: Immediate support at 1.3480 Deeper retracement could extend to 1.3450 Conclusion The broader trend in GBP/USD remains bullish, with the current consolidation viewed as a potential pullback rather than a reversal. The 1.3500 level is critical — a bounce from here could resume the uptrend toward 1.3610 over time. However, a break and close below 1.3500 would weaken the bullish case and open the door to further downside. Traders should monitor price action closely around this key level for confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadKey Data Releases: US Empire Manufacturing Index (June): Snapshot of NY manufacturing. May impact USD and Treasuries. China (May): Retail sales, industrial production, home prices, and property investment – critical for global growth sentiment. Impacts commodities, AUD, and risk appetite. Eurozone Q1 Labour Costs: Monitored by ECB for wage inflation. Affects EUR and rate expectations. Canada (May): Housing starts and home sales – may move CAD slightly. Central Bank Speakers: ECB's Nagel (hawkish) and Cipollone (dovish): May hint at future ECB rate moves. Watch EUR reaction. Bond Market: US 20-year Treasury auction: Tests investor demand for long-term US debt. Can influence yields and USD. Trading Focus: Watch early Asia session for China data impact. ECB commentary and bond auction may shape Euro and US session direction. Possible volatility in EUR, USD, bonds, commodities, and equity futures. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPNZD Analysis | Bullish Breakout in Play?📈 GBP/NZD Analysis – Bullish Breakout in Play? Overview: The GBP/NZD pair has broken above a long-standing bearish trendline and is currently retesting a key support level near 2.24085. This level has acted as a solid base after the price exited the previous range zone. Technical Highlights: ✅ Bearish Trendline Breakout – The downtrend has been breached, indicating potential bullish momentum. ✅ Support Holding Strong – 2.24085 has been respected multiple times, reinforcing its importance. ✅ Higher Lows Formation – Price is forming a structure of higher lows, confirming bullish bias. Next Resistance Target: 2.27683 Potential Scenarios: Bullish continuation towards resistance with a breakout above 2.2600. Possible pullback to trendline or support before resuming uptrend. Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice): Look for long entries on bullish confirmation above the trendline or on a pullback to support. Set TP around 2.2750 – 2.2780 zone. Risk Management: Always use stop-loss and proper risk-to-reward ratio. 💬 What do you think? Are we heading to 2.2768 or will the support get retested again? #GBPNZD #ForexAnalysis #TradingView #BreakoutTrade #PriceAction
Long
by James-Pipstr
GBPCAD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥 GBP/CAD CONDITIONAL SELL PLAN 🔥 📅 Date: June 16, 2025 📋 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW Item Value Type Swing Direction 📉 Sell Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 88% R:R 3.8:1 Status ⚠️ Conditional – Awaiting Entry Tap & Confirmation 🧠 Guidance: Primary swing setup. Risk 1.00% max. If tapped, only enter with confirmation (engulfing / iBOS / volume spike). 📈 MARKET BIAS & TRADE TYPE Section Details Bias Bearish 📉 Type Breaker Block Reversal / CHoCH Swing Sell 🔰 CONFIDENCE LEVEL Total: 88% (⭐⭐⭐⭐) Confluence Element Weight D1 CHoCH + Liquidity Below 25% H4 Supply + FVG Zone 20% H1 Weakness + Internal BOS 18% Session Trap Potential 10% No Macro Conflict (CAD strength) 15% 📍 ENTRY ZONES Type Range Description 🟥 Primary Sell 1.8500–1.8530 H4 OB + FVG + Session Trap 🟧 Secondary Sell 1.8560–1.8585 Liquidity Inducement Zone (High RR) ❗ STOP LOSS SL: 1.8588 (Above OB wick + 1H ATR) Dynamic ATR Logic Applied (Normal VIX → 1x H1 ATR) 🎯 TAKE PROFITS TP Level Target Details TP1 1.8420 Internal liquidity zone TP2 1.8320 Breaker flip + H4 OB break TP3 1.8210 Full liquidity cleanout 📏 RISK:REWARD TP1: 2.3:1 TP2: 3.8:1 ✅ TP3: 5.6:1 🚀 🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY 🔹 Risk: 1% of account (swing) 🔹 TP1: 50% off + BE (+10pips) 🔹 TP2: 30% off 🔹 TP3: Trail final 20% 🔹 Adjust SL if macro shift only (BOC, CPI) ⚠️ CONFIRMATION CRITERIA ✅ Only Enter If: H1/H4 Bearish Engulfing or OB Flip Volume Spike or Sweep @ 1.8500 iBOS or SMT Divergence 🛑 No confirmation = no entry. ⏳ VALIDITY WINDOW Valid until: June 18, 2025 – 22:00 UTC Auto-expire if zone untapped or invalidation ❌ INVALIDATION ❌ H4 BOS above 1.8600 ❌ CAD macro sentiment flips ❌ No rejection / liquidity sweep at OB 🌐 FUNDAMENTAL SNAPSHOT Element Value Retail Sentiment GBP Longs → High % DXY Neutral CAD Strength Rising oil → CAD support COT (GBP) Bearish bias continuing Sentiment Score ✅ +7/10 📋 FINAL TRADE SUMMARY We are targeting a retest of bearish supply at 1.8500–1.8530 If price rejects w/ confirmation, sell toward liquidity below 1.8300 Avoid early entry — structure + timing + volume needed Blueprint-compliant swing play, clean OB, and FVG overlap 🧠 Tactical Summary: "Wait for price to enter 1.8500–1.8530 and trigger confirmation. Do not preempt. This is a sniper reversal off OB + liquidity sweep." Patience = Power.
Short
by jibkhan111
GJ-Mon-16/06/25 TDA-A lot of uncertainty this week, watch out!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! A lot of uncertainty ahead this week: -BoJ interest rate decision -GBP CPI -Fed interest rate decision -BoE interest rate decision -Middle east tension between Israel-Iran Stay up to date to latest global news, check economic calendar. Know when to increase your risks and when to lower your risks (protect and preserve your capital). Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 16, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Empire Manufacturing Manufacturing Index GBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive below Friday's three-year high, although it lacks bearish conviction and is trading in a narrow range around 1.3500 during the Asian session. The latest UK consumer inflation data will be released on Wednesday, ahead of Thursday's Bank of England (BoE) meeting, which will play a key role in influencing the British pound (GBP). In addition, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) plans to announce its monetary policy decision on Wednesday, which will affect the US dollar (USD) exchange rate and give a significant boost to the GBP/USD pair. Meanwhile, weaker UK GDP data released on Friday, which showed that the economy contracted more than expected by 0.3% in April, reinforced expectations that the BoE will cut interest rates more aggressively than anticipated. On the other hand, the US dollar is receiving some support from the global flight to safe assets caused by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which is helping to limit the growth of the GBP/USD pair. However, growing recognition that the US central bank will also resume its rate-cutting cycle in September amid signs of weakening inflation in the US is holding back dollar bulls from aggressive bets. Moreover, the generally positive risk sentiment acts as a barrier to the dollar as a safe haven and provides some support to the GBP/USD pair, which requires some caution before confirming that spot prices have peaked. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.35500, SL 1.35300, TP 1.36400
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
AUDUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward buy entry level at 0.6456, an overlap support. Our take profit is set at 0.6493, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 0.6429, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu