AUD/SGD – Sell Bias on Macro Fundamentals
AUD/SGD enters the week with no significant economic events for either the Australian or Singaporean dollar. In such a scenario, the Singapore dollar's defensive nature and stability tend to come into play, while the Australian dollar, as a risk-on currency, can weaken in quiet or uncertain global environments.
With China-related risks still lingering in the background and no domestic news to lift AUD, it is fundamentally vulnerable to underperformance against SGD.
**In summary:**
Expect AUD/SGD to trade with a bearish bias this week, as macro conditions and risk-off sentiment benefit the Singapore dollar over the Australian dollar in the absence of meaningful news.
Forex market
EUR/NZD – Favoring the Sell Side on Euro Weakness
This week, EUR/NZD is fundamentally tilted toward the sell side. The eurozone features ZEW economic sentiment data and a speech from the Bundesbank president—events that could underscore ongoing economic weakness in Europe. Meanwhile, the New Zealand economic docket only includes sentiment and current account data, unlikely to produce major surprises.
If European data underwhelms or the Bundesbank takes a dovish tone, EUR is likely to remain soft. With the New Zealand dollar's fundamental backdrop stable and little in the way of local risk, the relative balance of scheduled events suggests downside potential for EUR/NZD.
**In summary:**
Macro and news-based factors both point to EUR/NZD favoring a sell bias this week, as the EUR faces more event-driven downside risk and NZD remains steady.
NZD/CHF – Macro Sell Bias This Week
For the week ahead, NZD/CHF presents a sell opportunity from a fundamental perspective. The economic calendar is light for both the New Zealand dollar and the Swiss franc, with only minor sentiment and current account data for NZD and Swiss PPI data for CHF, neither of which typically spark major market moves.
When newsflow is quiet, the market often defaults to macro themes and risk sentiment. The Swiss franc, as a traditional safe haven, tends to outperform higher-yield, risk-sensitive currencies like the New Zealand dollar in these circumstances—especially when there is any degree of uncertainty in global markets.
With no strong catalysts to push NZD higher, and CHF retaining its position as a stable, defensive currency, the environment favors continued or renewed downside for NZD/CHF this week.
**In summary:**
Expect NZD/CHF to trade with a bearish bias, as macro conditions and the absence of significant data support CHF strength over NZD weakness.
AUD/CHF – Macro Sell Outlook Based on News & Calendar
This week, the macroeconomic calendar is notably quiet for both the Australian dollar and the Swiss franc, with no high-impact events scheduled for either currency. In such a news-light environment, currency markets tend to default to broader macro themes, risk sentiment, and the underlying characteristics of each currency.
The Swiss franc (CHF) is widely regarded as a classic safe-haven currency, attracting demand during periods of uncertainty or when global markets lack direction. Conversely, the Australian dollar (AUD) is considered a risk-sensitive, growth-oriented currency that often underperforms when there is little optimism or momentum in the global economy.
With China-related concerns still hanging over the Australian economy and no domestic news or catalysts expected to boost AUD this week, the backdrop remains unfavorable for the Australian dollar. The absence of positive drivers for AUD, combined with the CHF’s defensive nature, creates a natural bias in favor of the Swiss franc.
**In summary:**
For the week ahead, AUD/CHF is fundamentally skewed toward the downside. With no news-based reasons to buy AUD, and with CHF likely to benefit from a stable, risk-averse environment, the pair favors a sell (short) bias on macroeconomic and news calendar grounds.
AUD/CHF – Smart Money Swing Setup🔍 **AUD/CHF – Smart Money Swing Setup**
Price continues its bearish structure on H4, with lower highs and lower lows aligning with institutional order flow. M15 confirmed a bearish CHoCH and BOS with liquidity above equal highs, offering a clean Sell Limit opportunity.
We have identified a high-probability target near 0.51500 — a strong H4 demand zone aligned with previous lows and an unmitigated order block.
🎯 Risk-Reward ~1:5
No major macro news this week for AUD or CHF, providing a clean environment for price action to unfold. Wait for mitigation and confirmation before entry.
USD/CAD H1 | Bearish downtrend to extend deeper?USD/CAD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.3615 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.3660 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3565 which is a swing-low support.
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Still keeping a close eye on a potential USD pop...Although the EUR/USD and GBP/USD popped higher late last week, I'm still keeping a close eye to stay short on the EUR/USD considering the bearish rising broadening pattern coupled with a yearly pivot point inter-median level and negative divergence on the MACD. This is all based on the daily chart.
Many factors are in play right now with what's going on between Israel and Iran along with FOMC this week and Tariffs still in play.
On a purely technical analysis point of view, I potentially expect a bullish retracement in the USD while remaining long term bearish across the board.
we'll see how this one develops.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.
CAD-CHF Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 0.5990 and pullback is
Already happening so we are
Locally bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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EUR/USD Retesting Broken Resistance
EUR/USD has recently broken above the ascending channel and is now retesting the previous breakout zone between 1.15205 and 1.15325. This area may act as new support.
If the level holds, we may see continuation toward 1.15701, with potential extension to 1.16309 if bullish momentum continues.
A confirmed break back below 1.1520 would invalidate the bullish idea and suggest a false breakout.
🔹 Support zone (retest): 1.15205 – 1.15325
🔹 Target 1: 1.15701
🔹 Target 2: 1.16309
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Structure: Retest of breakout level
USD/CAD Testing Channel Support – Watching for Bullish Rebound
USD/CAD is currently trading near the lower boundary of a well-defined descending channel. The price has shown signs of holding near 1.35660 support, which may lead to a short-term rebound.
If momentum builds, the first resistance to watch is 1.36083, followed by 1.36185. However, a confirmed break below 1.35660 would invalidate the bullish scenario and open room for further downside.
CAD_JPY RISKY SHORT|
✅CAD_JPY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 106.318
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 105.917
SHORT🔥
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Macro Analysis (GBP/USD)Likely aiming for 1.42491 and 1.43886 as potential targets.
There's also a possibility of a bounce near 1.17610 in the future.
The yearly timeframe failed at 1.05200 back in 2022, suggesting we're sitting at the bottom of the range.
Quick analysis — Despite all the social and political controversy in the UK, the macro chart clearly shows a long-term downtrend. Until price closes strongly above 1.43886, that's when this pair might have a chance vs the US dollar. (1.72062 for some stronger confidence lol)
That said, the past five monthly candles have all been green, showing some momentum and short to mid-term strength. Could easily just be a pullback before continuing lower, breaking below 1.05200, which honestly, wouldn’t surprise me.
But hey, let’s keep it to the charts. WOMEN lie, men lie, but numbers don’t. And this is all just numbers printed in a chart.
AUD_JPY MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅AUD_JPY made a retest of
The strong horizontal resistance of 93.900
Level of 106.083 and as you
Can see the pair is already
Making a local pullback from
The level which sends a clear
Bearish signal to us therefore
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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