EUR/USD Elliott Wave Outlook – Expanded Flat Playing Out?EUR/USD appears to be unfolding a classic expanded flat correction for wave (4):
Wave A formed as a 3-wave zigzag
Wave B retraced beyond the start of A — a key trait of expanded flats
Now looking for a 5-wave C-leg decline toward the 1.1122 – 1.1002 area
Aligned with 1.0–1.618 extensions of A
RSI + MACD divergence adds bearish confirmation at the B top
Potential bullish reversal zone into late June / early July
As long as price holds below the B high (~1.1650), the bearish path in wave C remains in play.
📍 Target zone: 1.1122–1.1002
📈 Bias: Bearish short-term, bullish long-term (wave 5 up next)
Forex market
CHF/JPY – 1H Analysis: Bearish ReversalCurrent Trend: Bullish
📉 Reversal Outlook: Bearish
📊 Technical Confluence Observed:
✅ A bearish divergence has formed, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
📐 The Fibonacci retracement has hit the 3.82 extension, adding further confluence to a potential reversal.
📉 A Rising Wedge pattern is currently forming – a classic bearish reversal setup.
Double Top Bearish Reversal Pattern has also formed.
⚠️ With strong multi-factor bearish signals in play, I am placing a Sell Stop with calculated risk and reward in mind.
🟢 Trade Setup
Pair: CHF/JPY
Timeframe: 1H
Strategy: Bearish Reversal Entry (Sell Stop)
Sell Stop Entry: 176.818
Stop Loss: 177.753
Take Profit 1: 175.851
Take Profit 2: 174.894
Risk–Reward: 1:1 and 1:2
Risk: $200
Reward: $300
Lot Size: (Adjust based on risk %)
#CHFJPY #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #ABCDPattern #Fibonacci #RisingWedge #BearishSetup #ForexTrading #RiskManagement
EUR/CAD Weekly Short Setup – Bearish Reversal Play
Initiated a short position on EUR/CAD from a key resistance zone after a significant upward move showing signs of exhaustion.
🔻 Entry: ~1.5689
🔻 Stop Loss: 1.6100 (Approx. 3.10%)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.3390 (Approx. 14.67%)
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.73
Price is reacting to a weekly supply zone with multiple confluences, including weakening bullish momentum on the VMC Cipher B indicator. The divergence signals a potential top, supporting a bearish outlook.
Looking for a move back to the lower range of the broader consolidation. Patience is key on this swing setup.
#EURCAD #ForexShort #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskReward #TradingView
Projected Price Path (White Lines)showing technical analysis and a projected price path. Here’s a breakdown of what’s visible:
🔍 Chart Overview
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4H (4-hour)
Current Price: ~1.15881
Date/Time: Around June 13, 2025, 3:47 AM (UTC+3)
🟩 Highlighted Zones
Upper Supply Zone (resistance area):
Around 1.15150 – 1.15300
Price previously reacted and broke above this zone.
Lower Demand Zone (support area):
Between 1.13600 – 1.13900
Price bounced from this level in the past.
Intermediate Zone (recent consolidation):
Around 1.14300 – 1.14500
Possibly an area of minor structure or reaccumulation.
📈 Price Action
Price made a strong bullish move, breaking through previous resistance zones.
Bearish pin bar (rejection wick) at the top suggests potential reversal or pullback.
🔮 Projected Price Path (White Lines)
The drawn projection suggests:
Short-term pullback, possibly to retest the 1.15300–1.15150 area.
A minor lower high forms.
Deeper drop expected toward the demand zone at 1.13800 or lower.
🧠 Analysis Implication
This is likely a swing trader’s roadmap, anticipating a reversal after an overextended move.
The analysis could be based on liquidity sweep above highs and return to structure.
Two downward-sloping channels (drawn with parallel white lines) Chart Details
Pair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 1H (1 Hour)
Platform: TradingView
Price at capture: ~1.36020
Indicators: EMA 50 is mentioned, though not visibly prominent.
📉
Technical Analysis
Descending Channels: Two downward-sloping channels (drawn with parallel white lines) show past bearish movements.
Breakout: The price has broken out upwards from the latest descending channel, indicating a bullish impulse.
Supply Zone (Red Box):
Ranges between 1.36104 and 1.36233.
Likely a resistance/sell zone, where price is expected to reverse.
Demand Zone (Green Box):
Starts below the supply zone and represents a potential target zone for shorts.
Trade setup suggests entering a short position after a potential wick or touch into the red zone.
Projected Path (White Line):
Shows an anticipated bearish move after tapping into the red zone.
Suggests a short trade targeting the 1.34322 region (lower green box), potentially a support zone.
✅
Conclusion
The trader is expecting:
A short opportunity after a potential rejection from the 1.3610–1.3623 resistance area.
A move downward toward the 1.3432 level.
EURGBP making bullish flag patternas price has broken drawn resistance level and after that it moved upwards nicely and now the price action is making bullish flag pattern as currently there is no divergence which indicate the trend will likely continue and will hit next resistance level which is also price projection of flag pattern
EURUSD: Move Up Ahead?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD nicely respected the underlined key horizontal support.
A strong rejection from that and a formation of a bullish imbalance candle
indicate a highly probably bullish continuation next week.
Goal - 1.1608
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EURUSD in bullish trendprice action seems quite bullish on bigger TFs which gives opportunity to earn decent RR, with latest bullish divergence it seems that trend will likely mark new HH as on 30 min TF trend is following bullish Dow theory. There can be 2 bullish setups which i have also opened on the chart.
Beware of Mon gaps!!!
EUR/GBP 4H Technical Analysis📊 EUR/GBP 4H Technical Analysis
EUR/GBP is currently in a clear uptrend, forming consecutive higher highs (HH) and higher lows. Price is trading above the 50 EMA, which is acting as dynamic support and confirming bullish momentum.
🔻 After reaching a recent high near 0.8510, the pair is now pulling back. A key Area of Interest (AOI D) is identified between 0.8450–0.8475, aligning with:
Previous structure (resistance turned support)
The rising 50 EMA
Demand zone from earlier consolidation
📈 A bullish reaction is expected from this zone, with potential continuation toward new highs above 0.8550.
AUDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 93.507.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 93.232 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUD/CAD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD-CAD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.886 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the AUD/CAD pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD: FOMC meeting ahead Previous week on the US market was focused on inflation data. The inflation rate in May was standing at 0,1% for the month, below market expectations of 0,2%. At the same time the US core inflation was also below market estimate at the level of 0,1%, while the market forecasted 0,3% for the month. Inflation rate on a yearly basis in May was standing at 2,3% and core inflation was 2,8%. The Producers Price Index in May was at the level of 0,1% for the month, same as core PPI. Both figures were modestly below market estimates. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for June showed some modest relaxation in the inflation expectations. The indicator reached the level of 60,5 which was better from the market estimate of 53,5. The inflation expectations for this year at the beginning of June were standing at 5,1%, and were decreased from 6,6% posted previously. The five year inflation expectations modestly decreased from 4,2% to 4,1%.
During the previous week there has not been too much currently significant data posted for the Euro Zone and Germany, its largest economy. The wholesale prices in Germany in May dropped by -0,3% for the month, bringing the indicator to the level of 0,4% on a yearly basis. Both figures were in line with market forecasts. The balance of trade in the Euro Zone in April ended the month with a surplus of euro 9,9B, which was significantly below market estimate of euro 18,2B. The Industrial Production in the Euro Zone surprisingly dropped in April by -2,4% for the month, which was higher from estimated -1,7%. The IP on a yearly basis stands at 0,8% in April, again below market consensus of 1,4%.
Although the inflation in the US is evidently slowing down, as well as long term inflation expectations, still, newly emerged tensions in the Middle East made investors prefer long positions in gold rather than USD. In this sense, USD weakened as of the end of the previous week to the lowest weekly level against euro at 1,1624. Still, the currency pair closed the week at 1,1553. The RSI has not reached the clear overbought market side, reaching the highest level at 66. This leaves some space for eurusd to move further to the higher grounds until the clear overbought market side is reached. The MA50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, without an indication that the potential cross is near in the future.
Usually after a strong push of financial assets toward one side, follows the time when the market is searching the equilibrium level. Depending on further developments on the Middle East crisis, there is a potential that eurusd will start the week ahead with a modest consolidation. The 1,15 resistance line was clearly breached during the previous week, indicating probability that the currency pair will revert a bit back to test for one more time this level. On the opposite side, the 1,16 was shortly tested, but the potential for further upside will depend on weekly fundamentals. The most important event for the week ahead is scheduled for Wednesday, June 16th, when the FOMC meeting is scheduled, as well as US economic projections. This day will most certainly bring some higher volatility on markets. Currently, it is widely expected that the Fed will hold interest rates unchanged at this meeting, and leave the planned rate cut for September. However, what the market is expecting to hear are projections for the future period, especially how the Fed perceives the impact of implemented trade tariffs on the US economy.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for Germany in June, Inflation rate final in May for the Euro Zone, PPI in Germany in May, HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash in June, in both Germany and the Euro Zone,
USD: Retail Sales in May, Industrial Production in May, Building Permits preliminary in May, Housing starts in May, the FOMC meeting and interest rate decision will be held on Wednesday, June 18th, the FOMC economic projections will be posted the same day, Fed press conference after the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. The week ends with data regarding Existing Home Sales in May on Friday.