Forex market
AUDUSD Analysis – Bullish Structure Still IntactAUDUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel on the H4 chart. After dropping from the FVG zone around 0.65800, price has reacted well to the lower boundary support near 0.64650.
Currently, price action suggests the potential formation of a short-term bottom. If this level holds and the pair rebounds, the next target could be the red FVG zone near 0.65400.
Recent Supporting News:
U.S. consumer confidence slightly weakened, causing the dollar to cool off — offering technical rebound support for AUD.
Trading Strategy:
Prefer short-term Buys near 0.64650 if a confirmed bounce appears, with target around 0.65400. Be cautious if price breaks below the ascending channel.
Do you think AUD will continue to rise within this bullish channel?
USDJPY – Bearish Pressure Builds Near Channel TopUSDJPY is approaching strong resistance around 149.900, a level that has repeatedly triggered price rejections. The ABCD structure suggests the current bullish correction may be nearing completion. If price fails to break above this zone, selling pressure could emerge.
On the news front, Japan’s core inflation remains elevated, reinforcing expectations that the BOJ will maintain its current stance. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar is losing momentum after a series of mixed economic data releases.
Strategy: Consider SELL opportunities if clear reversal signals appear near 149.900. A short-term target lies around the 148.200 support zone. A confirmed break below this level could signal the start of a deeper bearish move.
GBPJPY – Bearish pressure returns near ascending channel supportGBPJPY is trading close to the lower trendline of the ascending channel, with the 197.400 zone acting as a key support. A breakdown below this level could trigger stronger bearish momentum.
On the news front, Japan’s CPI remains solid, strengthening the yen. Meanwhile, the British pound is under pressure after recent consumer spending data showed signs of weakness, raising concerns over the UK’s economic outlook.
Strategy: If the price breaks below 197.400 and fails to bounce back, consider SELL setups in line with the bearish trend. If it rebounds, watch the reaction around the 199.100 zone for signs of recovery confirmation.
Surely the RBA Must Cut Rates Now?The RBA defied expectations of a cut in July, despite soft trimmed mean inflation figures in the monthly CPI report. The quarterly figures have now dropped, which I suspect leaves little wriggle room to hold at 2.85% in August. I 6ake a look at the quarterly and monthly inflation prints that matter, then wrap up on AUD/USD.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
USD/CAD(20250730)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, Trump's approval rating has fallen to 40%, the lowest level since his second term.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.3762
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3820
1.3798
1.3784
1.3739
1.3725
1.3704
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.3784, consider a buy entry, with the first target price at 1.3798. If the price breaks below 1.3762, consider a sell entry, with the first target price at 1.3739.
EURUSD(20250730) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, Trump's approval rating has fallen to 40%, the lowest level since his second term.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.1554
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.1634
1.1604
1.1584
1.1523
1.1504
1.1474
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.1584, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 1.1604. If the price breaks below 1.1554, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 1.1523.
GBPUSD(20250730)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, Trump's approval rating has fallen to 40%, the lowest level since his second term.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.3339
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.3395
1.3374
1.3360
1.3317
1.3304
1.3283
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.3360, consider a buy entry with the first target at 1.3374. If the price breaks below 1.3339, consider a sell entry with the first target at 1.3317
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5999
1st Support: 0.5941
1st Resistance: 0.6030
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Slips Again – Just a Pullback or More to Come?Hey everyone! Great to have you back for another market chat today.
As of writing, EUR/USD remains under significant bearish pressure, currently trading near 1.154 — marking a rather gloomy start to the new trading week. The euro is clearly struggling to attract buying interest as traders reassess the ECB’s stance and digest the newly announced EU–US trade agreement. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar is gaining momentum, flipping the trend unexpectedly.
From a technical perspective, EUR/USD is showing clear weakness. The pair has broken below both its rising wedge and previous uptrend line, with candles closing firmly lower — a strong sign that the bears are in control.
In my personal view, I expect EUR/USD to continue sliding toward the next two support zones, although a minor pullback could occur first as part of a typical correction.
But what do you think? Is this just a dip… or the start of something bigger for EUR/USD? Let me know your take in the comments!
Potential bullish reversal?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which is a swing low support, and could rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6502
1st Support: 0.6468
1st Resistance: 0.6558
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Key Observations 1. Rectangle + Double Top (“Top 2”) Formation (left side):
• Price ranged between ~147.5 and ~149.5.
• A double top inside the rectangle signaled resistance and potential reversal.
• Breakdown from the rectangle zone occurred, confirming bearish momentum.
2. Rising Wedge Pattern (right side, green zone):
• A bearish pattern forming higher highs and higher lows.
• The red arrow indicates an expected breakdown from the wedge.
3. Bearish Price Projection (blue arrows):
• The chart projects a sharp drop following the wedge breakdown.
• Multiple target levels are marked:
• First Target: ~147.0 zone.
• Final Target: Near 144.0, aligning with the measured move from previous breakdown.
4. Confluence of Bearish Signals:
• Rectangle breakdown + rising wedge.
• Bearish candle rejection near 149 resistance.
• Pattern-based technical targets drawn using past behavior.
Bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.8070
1st Support: 0.7988
1st Resistance: 0.8128
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off an overlap support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 147.67
1st Support: 146.99
1st Resistance: 149.04
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
The euro extends sharp losses following the US-EU tariff deal
The euro weakened sharply against the dollar amid views that the US-EU tariff deal favors the US. European leaders voiced mixed reactions. Germany’s Chancellor Merz welcomed the agreement as a safeguard against economic damage, while Hungary’s PM Orbán criticized it as a one-sided win for the US. Meanwhile, the IMF raised its eurozone growth forecast from 0.8% to 1.0% in its July outlook, citing the lower-than-expected tariff levels as supportive of the region’s economy.
EURUSD broke below the ascending trendline and briefly tested the support at 1.1520. EMA21 has death-crossed EMA78, indicating the potential extension of bearish momentum.
If EURUSD fails to hold above the support at 1.1520, the price could decline further toward 1.1450. Conversely, if EURUSD breaches above the resistance at 1.1590, the price may gain upward momentum toward 1.1640.
Bullish reversal off pullback support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could rise to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.1537
1st Support: 1.1456
1st Resistance: 1.1659
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Bearish Outlook from Key Supply ZonThe USD/JPY pair is currently presenting a strong bearish opportunity and price action structure. As of the latest 4H chart analysis, the price has reached a well-defined supply zone around the 148.80–149.70 area. This zone aligns with a previous institutional level where price showed significant reaction, marking it as a valid area of interest for sellers.
Liquidity Grab & Rejection
The market structure remains bearish overall. Recently, price took out a cluster of liquidity above the previous highs. This liquidity sweep suggests that smart money may have accumulated short positions, preparing for a move lower.
High-Probability Sell Zone
The price is currently reacting to a premium zone near the 0% Fibonacci retracement level, drawn from the recent swing high to swing low. This zone also coincides with a previous area of imbalance and supply, reinforcing the bearish setup.
Key Bearish Targets
First Target: 145.89 — this aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and a previous structural support.
Second Target: 142.56 — this deeper target sits near the 89% Fibonacci level, close to an old demand zone where price may look to rebalance.
Summary
With trend direction biased to the downside, the pair is showing strong signs of rejection from a key supply zone after sweeping liquidity. If momentum continues, we expect USD/JPY to drop toward 145.89 initially, with an extended move possibly reaching 142.56.
Traders should monitor price action closely for further confirmations and maintain proper risk management, especially with upcoming economic catalysts that may affect the JPY.
BIASOne thing i will tell you for free is that, you should stop worrying about entries, and always focus on the market direction, of the current leg of price that you find yourself paired with the HTF perspective, that way even if your entry is wrong, you can always find another entry and join in the given direction.