CADCHF: Bullish Move After the Trap 🇨🇦🇨🇭
There is a high chance that CADCHF will go up today.
After a test of a key horizontal support, the price formed
a liquidity grab with a consequent bullish imbalance.
We can expect growth to 0.5887
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Forex market
EURUSD ahead of NFPEURUSD is still trading within the range established after Wednesday’s news.
We’re watching for a close above 1,1503, which would confirm a potential buying opportunity.
Today at 1:30 PM (London), the NFP data will be released, which could further impact price action - especially if a reversal is underway.
In case of a decline, the next key support level to watch is around 1,1346.
USDJPY I Technical and Fundamental Analysis Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Bullish reversal off overlap support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3159
1st Support: 1.3049
1st Resistance: 1.3321
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD SELLUSD/CAD rallies further, approaches 1.3900 on higher levies to Canada
The US Dollar keeps marching higher, as the Canadian Dollar struggles after Trump decided to increase tariffs to Canada to 35% from the previous 25%, escalating the trading tension with one of its main trading partners. The US President justified his decision on Canada’s alleged reluctance to cooperate on curbing the traffic of fentanyl and other drugs across the US border
The year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape.
Canada’s political crisis peaked in late 2024 with a no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, leading to snap elections and a weakened Liberal minority government. Policy uncertainty and economic challenges dominate 2025’s outlook, raising concerns over market stability and investor confidence.
The BoC is set to continue easing interest rates through 2025, at least at a faster pace than the Fed is expected to, which could apply pressure on CAD’s already-rising rate differential.
SUPPORT 1.38444
SUPPORT 1.38039
SUPPORT 1.37621
RESISTANCE 1.38889
RESISTANCE 1.39049
GBP/JPY H4 | Bullish bounce offGBP/JPY is falling towards the buy entry, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 197.99, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 196.90, which is a swing low support.
Take profit is at 199.73, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
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Technical Analysis: GBP/CHF (British Pound / Swiss Franc)Timeframe: Hourly (H1) – *Data as of Aug 01, 2025, 14:33 UTC+4*
Source: OANDA via TradingView
1. Key Price Levels
Current Price (C): 1.07357 (+0.09% from previous close).
High/Low (H/L): 1.07386 / 1.07308 (narrow range, indicating consolidation).
Resistance Levels:
R1: 1.07514 (near-term resistance).
R2: 1.08208 (stronger resistance).
Pivot Point (P): 1.07723 (intraday benchmark).
2. Price Action & Trends
Short-Term Trend: Slightly bullish (+0.09% gain), but trading near the day’s low (1.07308).
Volatility: Low (tight range between 1.07308–1.07386).
Support Zone: 1.07200–1.07335 (critical for bearish reversals).
3. Technical Indicators (Implied)
Pivot Points (PVC): Price is below the pivot (1.07723), suggesting bearish pressure unless it breaks above.
Resistance/Support:
Bulls need to push above R1 (1.07514) to target R2 (1.08208).
Bears aim for S1 (1.07335) or lower (1.07200).
4. Trading Signals
Bullish Scenario: Break above 1.07514 (R1) could signal upward momentum toward 1.07723 (Pivot).
Bearish Scenario: Drop below 1.07308 (today’s low) may extend losses to 1.07200.
Neutral Zone: Price oscillating between 1.07308–1.07386 suggests indecision.
5. Risk Management
Stop-Loss (S/L): Below 1.07200 for longs; above 1.07514 for shorts.
Take-Profit (T/P):
Longs: 1.07723 (Pivot) or 1.08000 (psychological level).
Shorts: 1.07200 or 1.07000.
6. Conclusion
Current Bias: Neutral-to-slightly bullish, but lacks strong momentum.
Watch For: Breakout from the 1.07308–1.07514 range for directional clarity.
Caution: Low volatility may lead to false breakouts; confirm with volume/RSI if available.
Recommendation: Wait for a confirmed breakout with volume before entering trades.
NZDJPY to find sellers at market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 88.90.
We look to Sell at 88.90 (stop at 89.10)
Our profit targets will be 88.10 and 87.90
Resistance: 89.00 / 89.20 / 89.50
Support: 88.40 / 88.10 / 87.90
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EUR/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the EUR/CAD with the target of 1.607 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/JPY Clears July LowGBP/JPY clears the July low (195.37) as it tumbles to a fresh weekly low (195.34), and a close below the 195.70 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 196.60 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push the exchange rate toward the June low (192.73).
Failure to hold above the 192.40 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 193.50 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) zone may lead to a test of the May low (190.33), but the selloff in GBP/JPY may turn out to be temporary if it defends the rebound from the June low (192.73).
GBP/JPY may attempt to retrace the decline from the July high (199.98) should it hold/close above the 195.70 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 196.60 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region, with a close above the 199.80 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 200.50 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region opening up 201.20 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement).
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 151.17
1st Support: 149.03
1st Resistance: 154.51
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CHFJPY On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below:
The market is trading on 183.63 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 184.54
Recommended Stop Loss - 183.16
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Euro-dollar retreats after the trade deal and divergent GDPEuro-dollar reached six-week lows on 1 August as traders continued to digest the trade deal between the EU and the USA which is widely viewed as being negative for the former. 30 July GDP releases from the eurozone and the USA also showed that American growth is much stronger, but eurozone-wide flash GDP for the second quarter was still slightly better than anticipated. The focus now turns to reactions to new tariffs and the NFP.
$1.14 looks like an important technical reference which might resist testing depending on the results of the job report. With fairly low volume relative to April’s peak and a clear oversold signal from the slow stochastic, a pause around here seems more likely than immediate continuation lower if considering only TA. 31 July’s near-doji slightly below the 100 SMA might suggest some demand for buying.
The obvious short-term resistance would be the confluence of the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement and the 100 SMA around $1.147. The 61.8% Fibo slightly below $1.13 might be an area of support. Short-term performance depends primarily on the result of the NFP and the reaction to these; the consensus of 110,000 for total nonfarm seems too low relative to the average over the last several months, so a surprise higher might be more likely than lower.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.