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Elliott Wave Analysis: SPY Poised To Extend Higher In Bullish SeElliott Wave sequence in SPY (S&P 500 ETF) suggest bullish sequence in progress started from 4.07.2025 low. It expects two or few more highs to extend the impulse sequence from April-2025, while dips remain above 6.23.2025 low. SPY ended the daily corrective pullback in 3 swings at 480 low on 4.07.2025 low from February-2025 peak. Above there, it favors upside in bullish impulse sequence as broke above February-2025 high. Currently, it favors wave 3 of (1) & expect one more push higher from 7.16.2025 low in to 630.31 – 651.1 area before correcting in wave 4. In 4-hour, it placed 1 at 596.05 high, 2 at 573.26 low as shallow connector & extend higher in 3. Within 3, it placed ((i)) at 606.40 high, ((ii)) at 591.89 low, ((iii)) at 627.97 high & ((iv)) at 618.05 low. In 1-hour above ((ii)) low of 591.89 low, it ended (i) at 605.96 high, (ii) at 603.17 low, (iii) at 626.87 high as extended move, (iv) at 620 low & (v) as ((iii)) at 627.97 high. Wave ((iv)) ended in 3 swing pullback as shallow connector slightly below 0.236 Fibonacci retracement of ((iii)). Within ((iii)), it ended (a) at 619.8 low, (b) at 624.12 high & (c) at 618.05 low on 7.16.2025 low (this week). Above there, it favors rally in ((v)) of 3 targeting in to 630.31 – 651.1 area before correcting in 4. Within ((v)), it placed (i) at 624.73 high, (ii) at 623.08 low & favors upside in (iii) of ((v)). We like to buy the pullback in clear 3, 7 or 11 swings correction at extreme area in 4 and later in (2) pullback, once finished (1) in 5 swings.
AMEX:SPY
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 19, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 19, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏢 U.S. Corp Buybacks Set to Propel Stocks Citadel Securities expects U.S. companies to repurchase roughly $1 trillion of stock in 2025. With the blackout period ending in August, buybacks—historically strong in July, the stock market’s best month—could bolster valuations ⚖️ Fed Independence Debate Intensifies President Trump’s continued criticism of Chair Powell has already weakened confidence in Federal Reserve autonomy. The fallout shows up in a weaker dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and rising inflation expectations—though stocks have remained resilient 🇺🇸 Immigration Rollback Sparks Economic Concern The rescinding of Temporary Protected Status for ~900,000 immigrants could remove up to 1.1 million workers from the labor force. Analysts warn of potential stagflation risks, with GDP growth potentially down 0.3–0.4 percentage points and labor-market tightening ahead 💵 Massive T-Bill Issuance Incoming Following the debt-ceiling deal, the Treasury plans over $1 trillion in T-bill issuance in the next 18 months. Money-market funds are expected to absorb much of it, influencing short-term rates and cash-market dynamics 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Friday, July 19: 8:30 AM ET – Initial Jobless Claims Weekly figure on new unemployment filings—a real-time indicator of labor-market resilience. 8:30 AM ET – Existing Home Sales (June) Measures signed contracts on previously owned homes; key for gauging housing-market health. All Day Events: Ongoing corporate buybacks entering open window Treasury auctions and T-bill issuance updates ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #monetarypolicy #debt #housing #labor #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Earnings Heat Up - 6300 and 6200 SPX Key Levels RemainMarket Update SPX Key Levels -SPX poked 6300 Tuesday, Thursday, and poked higher Friday (but settled back to 6300) -6200 support remains a key level -6050/6000/5800 next floor levels, I'll be looking for dips I can see the market slowly (and I mean SLOWLY) grinding higher but preparing for a reasonable seasonal selloff through end of July into end of September window July 28-August 1 is a monster week in the markets -Megacap Earnings (MAG7 Tue/Wed/Thu) -Wed July 30 - FOMC (Pause expected but Powell's Press Conference is important) -Friday August 1 - Non-Farm Payroll, Tariff Deadline I'm hitting fresh YTD highs so I'm not complaining about this melt-up and grind, I'm simply wanting to allocate positions and add to my positions at better levels and with a slightly higher VIX to help take advantage of the expected move being greater than the actual move Have a great weekend and thank you watching!!!
AMEX:SPY
by ChrisPulver
SOXL — Buying on a Strong Uptrend with 30%+ Profit PotentialDirexion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares (SOXL) continues to move in a clear uptrend after breaking long-term resistance. Price is consolidating above the breakout level, indicating sustained interest from major market participants. Long positions remain valid. Profit targets: First target — 39.85 Second target — 60.42 The setup offers over 30 percent profit potential. The semiconductor sector continues to lead the broader market higher. Focus on trading with the trend. Adding on pullbacks is reasonable with proper risk management in place.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by InvestWorld_777
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 17, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇮🇳 India–U.S. Inflation Divergence Dampens Dollar India’s June retail inflation tumbled to a six-year low, while U.S. CPI hit its fastest pace since February—driven by tariff effects. This divergence is weakening the U.S. dollar against the rupee, pushing down dollar‑rupee forward premiums 📜 Treasury to Ramp Up T-Bill Issuance Following the recent debt-ceiling increase, the U.S. Treasury plans to issue over $1 trillion in T-bills over the next 18 months. Money-market funds, flush with cash, are expected to absorb the supply, which could influence short-dated yields 💱 Dollar Eases Amid Fed-Related Volatility Headline news that President Trump “highly unlikely” to fire Fed Chair Powell, coupled with stable PPI data, calmed markets. The dollar dipped slightly after earlier turmoil, while gold and bonds saw modest gains 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Thursday, July 17: (No major U.S. economic releases) Markets will track T-bill issuance plans, dollar forward dynamics, and statements from the Treasury and Fed regarding debt and rate strategy. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #dollar #tbills #inflation #Fed #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY Reclaims Rising Wedge Support - Bear Trap or Breakout Setup?SPY dropped below its rising wedge earlier this week, but that move may have been a bear trap. Price quickly reversed, reclaiming the wedge trendline and closing just below a key Fibonacci level at 629.84. Buyers stepped in aggressively near the 0.382 and 0.236 retracement zones, defending short-term support. The bounce came on increased volume, signaling strength behind the recovery. Momentum remains intact as long as SPY holds above 626. Now, bulls need to confirm with a breakout above 629.84–631.96 to open the door to the next levels at 635.63 and 640.30. Failure to break through could lead to another rejection and revisit lower support zones. Levels to watch: Support: 626.64, 623.62, 619.60 Resistance: 629.84, 631.96, 635.63 SPY is at a decision point. Reclaiming wedge support is a bullish signal, but bulls need follow-through to avoid another fakeout in the opposite direction.
AMEX:SPY
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
QQQ : Stay Heavy on Positions1) April Fear & Buy Signals In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market. At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions. 2) Current Market State: No More Fear, but Watching Since then, the market has stabilized. The fear has disappeared, but we are still in a wait-and-see mode as traders assess the next move. Momentum is holding, but participation remains cautious. 3) Stay Heavy on Positions Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100. As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TurbaRex
SPY 628 – Compression Before Expansion | VolanX Protocol Engaged🧠 SPY 628 – Compression Before Expansion | VolanX Protocol Engaged 📅 July 17, 2025 🔍 SPY (S&P 500 ETF Trust) | 1D Chart 📍 Current Price: 628.04 📈 Chart Thesis by: WaverVanir International LLC 🔗 Powered by VolanX Protocol 🌐 Macro Overview: The market stands at a critical inflection point, with bulls and bears both pressing their narrative: The Fed is expected to cut rates in September, with soft CPI and decelerating labor trends justifying a pivot. Earnings season is bifurcated: Mega-cap tech is leading, while cyclicals are faltering. This raises the risk of a short-term rally masking deeper fragility. Global macro risks – including rising geopolitical stress in the Asia-Pacific region and commodity volatility – increase the odds of a tail event. 📊 Technical Outlook: SPY is now hugging a major supply zone near 628 with price stalling for multiple sessions. This area marks a compressed equilibrium where volatility is likely to expand soon. Key technicals: Rejection candles suggest seller presence near 630. Price is overextended but remains above all major EMAs. Breakdown zone sits at 565, which aligns with prior resistance and a major volume shelf. No current bearish divergence on RSI or MACD, but momentum is flat. 🎯 VolanX Probabilistic Bias: The system currently anticipates three paths: Bullish breakout toward 660–675 if the Fed confirms a dovish stance and tech continues to lead. Neutral grind in the 600–615 zone if macro remains balanced and earnings don’t surprise. Bearish breakdown to 565 or lower if macro stress emerges or dollar strength accelerates. 🛠️ Options Strategy Highlights: Bullish Trade Idea: Buy 630C / Sell 660C (30–45 DTE) – Low cost, targets breakout above resistance. Bearish Trade Idea: Buy 620P / Sell 565P – High R/R play into macro unwind. Both are defined-risk strategies, ideal in volatile inflection zones like this. ⚠️ VolanX Note: This is a classic binary event structure forming under institutional watch. DSS scans show compression is now mature. Whichever side confirms will likely trigger a large move, not a drift. Let the narrative confirm the signal. ⚠️ This post is for informational and educational use only. Not financial advice. #SPY #VolanX #MacroTrading #OptionsFlow #WaverVanir #FOMC #AIeconomy #LiquidityWave #TradingSignals
AMEX:SPYLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
XRPT- Hope high can its go?So this ETF is Double Leveraged on the price movement from XRP(Crypto). For me this means that it doesn’t fit my normal trading /investment style of buy and hold.Had to go to Chat GPT to help me out with this play. I used Fib Retrace to get an idea of pricing that the equity could potentially reach. These key areas are highlighted in green boxes. Here its suggestion which makes sense to me. Trading XRPT (the 2x leveraged XRP ETF from 21Shares) requires a slightly different approach than a regular spot ETF — due to its daily leverage reset, higher volatility, and decay risk over time. Here’s how I suggest you trade it, JP: ⸻ 🧭 1. Know What You’re Trading • XRPT = 2x Daily Exposure to XRP • Aims to return 2x the daily price movement of XRP, not over weeks or months. • NOT for long-term holding • Due to volatility drag and compounding effects, it can underperform XRP over time even if XRP trends upward. • Great for short-term swing trades, momentum plays, or technical breakouts. ⸻ 🧠 2. Use These Rules to Trade XRPT Effectively ✅ ENTRY STRATEGY • Use 4H or Daily Wyckoff Analysis on XRP/USD (not XRPT) to gauge trend. • Only trade XRPT when XRP is in: • Phase C spring (reversal setup) • Phase D markup (confirmed breakout) • Watch ETH/BTC and BTC dominance as extra confirmation (alt season indicator). Component Strategy Timeframe 1–10 days swing (max), or intraday momentum Entry Trigger Breakout from triangle / range on XRP chart, not XRPT Stop Loss 7–12% under entry (wider than normal due to leverage) Target Zones +15% to +30% depending on structure Position Size Smaller than usual — start with ½ or ⅓ of normal size Exit Trigger RSI overbought on 4H/daily or reversal candle on XRP 🚨 RISK MANAGEMENT FOR XRPT • Don’t hold during chop – consolidation kills leverage • Don’t hold during corrections – 2x loss = faster drawdown • Set hard stops — this isn’t one to “just watch” • No overnight holds unless it’s a clear uptrend with volume ⸻ 📌 3. Example Trade Setup (Fictional) • XRP breaks out of an ascending triangle at $0.52 • You see strong RSI + Volume • Target: $0.58–$0.62 • You enter XRPT around $10.00 • Stop loss around $9.10 • Sell at $11.50–$12.00 for 15–20% gain
NASDAQ:XRPTLong
by JosePastrana
Is it too late to enter China market now ?www.cnbc.com With articles like this, suddenly all those who claims China market was "uninvestable"are sitting up and taking a closer look at this market again. For those who have followed me, please refer to my past posts on HSI and FXI and various Chinese companies, most listed in HK but some in China as well. The one sector that I remain bearish is the property market and I have no short to mid term plans to enter into it. There are however many interesting sectors , especially pharmaceutical, healthcare related stocks that I am interested to explore. Buying into an ETF like FXI gives you a broader exposure to the blue chips companies that are financially stable and diversify into different sectors like automotive, IT, e-commerce, consumer staples, healthcare ,etc. Then, if you are still interested in China related stocks, you can dive into individual company and invest as well. Higher risk higher returns. As usual, please DYODD
AMEX:FXILong
by dchua1969