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Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 7–11, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 7–11, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market‑Moving News 🌍 📈 From Panic to "Goldilocks" Rally The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh record highs, surging ~20% from April lows. Markets rallied on a combination of easing Middle East tensions, the 90‑day tariff pause, a new fiscal bill in Washington, and strong June jobs data. Still, strategists caution that optimism may be ahead of fundamentals, especially if trade volatility returns 💱 Dollar Weakness & Bond Market Watch The U.S. dollar remains near 3.5‑year lows amid rate‑cut speculation and trade progress. Treasury yields are volatile this week, impacted by concerns over escalating debt issuance, upcoming tariff deadlines (July 9), and the Federal Reserve’s stance . 🏢 Tech Leadership Shifts With the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks near heights, growth is spreading: cyclical sectors, small‑caps, and industrials are gaining momentum. AI remains the primary engine, but resilience across a broader stock base is signaling a potentially sustainable rally ⚠️ Tariff Truce Deadline Looms (July 9) The April tariff pause expires mid‑week. U.S. plans to extend exemptions via trade talks with partners like UK, Vietnam, and Canada—yet any delay or failure may shock markets. Watch for headlines that may trigger spillover effects . 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, July 7: Independence Day markets resume. Light trading expected ahead of data and tariff deadline. 📅 Tuesday, July 8: 10:00 AM ET – Consumer Credit (June) Gauges borrowing trends—an indicator of household health in a low‑rate environment. 📅 Wednesday, July 9: EIA Crude Oil Inventories & MBA Mortgage Apps & Wholesale Inventories Key mid‑week data points; oil builds may pressure energy stocks. Tariff Pause Deadline – Expect market volatility on news of extension or reimposition. 📅 Thursday, July 10: 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims 10:00 AM ET – Natural Gas Inventories Markets focus on labor health and energy trends. 📅 Friday, July 11: 10:00 AM ET – Treasury Budget Statement Details on government borrowing and fiscal outlook—markets sensitive to deficit risks. ⚠️ Disclaimer: These insights are for educational purposes only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed advisor before making investing decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #tariffs #Fed #AI #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Daily Golden Cross and All-Time-High PriceSPY (S&P500 ETF) price has reached all-time-highs in July 2025, after a SMA Golden Cross printed on the daily chart. SPY is still in a price uptrend since May 2025, however a higher-low pullback has not occurred for the past two weeks. Resistance levels: $625, $630, $635, $640. Support levels: $622, $617, $614, $611. A significant reversal or bearish candle pattern has not occurred yet on either the daily or weekly charts. The Stochastic RSI indicator has reached overbought levels, both on the Daily chart and Weekly chart. Stock market earnings season begins in July 2025, trade deal negotiations and new tariffs are in progress this week. Volatility could increase this month due to these news catalysts.
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
Opportunity Beneath the Fear: SPY's Reversal SetupIn the Shadow of Headlines: SPY’s Drop Could Be 2025’s Big Opportunity As markets react sharply to renewed tariff fears and Trump-related headlines, SPY continues its descent. Panic is setting in—but behind the noise, a strategic opportunity may be quietly forming. While many rush to exit, others are beginning to position for the bounce. A well-structured entry strategy could be key to turning uncertainty into gains. Entry Zone (Staggered): 🔹 543: First watch level—look for signs of slowing momentum. 🔹 515: Deeper entry point as the selloff extends. 🔹 <500 (TBD): Stay flexible—if panic accelerates, this could mark a generational setup. Profit Targets: ✅ 570: Initial rebound target. ✅ 590: Mid-range level if recovery builds. ✅ 610+: Full recovery potential—rewarding those with patience and vision. Remember: Headlines fade, but price action and preparation stay. This selloff may continue—but it might also be laying the foundation for 2025’s most powerful move. The key? Enter with discipline, protect your capital, and let the market come to you. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
SpySooooo.. the technicals are flashing red. No earnings No fed Speak No economic data We'll need a catalyst to get the reset going. There are 2 catalyst 1. Tariffs 2. 30yr bond auction Thursday I actually think between July 7th- 17th We will retest the previous high between 610-611. Depending on how long this takes the 20sma should gravitate toward 610 by the End of this week. The last two major Pullbacks actually took 2weeks and the price action was terrible. I circled it to illustrate And this is why I said this pullback could take up to July 17th to complete. July 18th is the kick off of big bank earnings and let me tell you from experience, you don't want to be going into earning season short especially if seasonality is against you. Banking sector AMEX:XLF I think price pulls back with the rest of the marker but pushes back up to 54-55.00 With bank earnings From there I expect a bigger correction Weekly chart says banks won't make it out of July alive . Most likely a sell back to 49-50 or 10% drop I would say this market would on be bearish with a close back beneath 600.00 on spy. The problem with that is, not every big tech stock is overbought and some actually look like they are about to rally higher. Here's an example of what I mean So here's NASDAQ:SMH or chip sector which is a reflection of Nvda and TSM Weekly technicals are saying a pullback is coming for this sector! RSI, Moneyflow are too overbought on both weekly and daily time frames so I'm expecting weakness here over the next few weeks. On the other hand you have AMEX:XLY This is the sector that reflects Amzn and Tsla The white line represents the resistance price was consolidating behind for 2months. The purple circle represents a major bullflag The green line is the V shape recovery that I think is about to happen with this sector this quarter. Price may retest 217-218 but if that holds this sector and the stocks in it will outperform. So what happens with the Spy if let's say you have Msft Nvda Avgo Tsm All red And then Amzn Tsla Googl Aapl Mostly green? Fawkery lol. And this is why I say a pullback to 610 and then we'll see.. AMEX:IWM and TVC:DJI still have a little room left to move higher but both are supper extended on the daily time frame and I expect a pullback from them this week There is 2 red flags I see on a bigger time frame and that is TVC:NYA and TVC:VIX NYA weekly chart Near the top of rising wedge here which means for the broader marker you will start seeing weakness in a few weeks Price could grind up here for a few weeks but I doubt we break above 21,000 Vix Daily chart and RSI Is screaming that a move to 23 is imminent If the vix pops back above 20 I can't see the Spy holding above 620 Trade ideas NASDAQ:TSLA I like calls above 322.00 Target 332. Have patience for the move above 322, tsla is beneath all its moving averages right now!. 332 will be tough, if price can break above that then 347 is next up NASDAQ:QQQ 557 is resistance . I like the short to 552 gap support. At 552 I'd cover and wait for a break below 548.00 to short to 544.. Below 543.00 and we close gap at 539. I don't think price will drop back below 539 before tech earnings Be careful about swinging short, it will only work if there is a vicious sell off. Otherwise you will find yourself with annoying small gap ups that will drag this out like I highlighted above on the Spy chart with the last to previous Pullbacks. So what I'm looking for over the next 2 weeks is a retest for Spy 610 and qqq 540. Then we go into earning season
AMEX:SPYShort
by ContraryTrader
13
BTC - Channel is Broken, Now What? The most bullish scenario right now is that the price stays in the upper part of the channel, tests the top of the channel and continues to rise. If this breakout in BTC remains a manipulation, the price may also make the same manipulation downwards. When the price breaks through, my first thought is that it may find support at the midpoint of the channel, but this is a low probability. The higher probability is that it will make the same manipulation downwards and then re-enter the channel.
NASDAQ:IBIT
by UmutTrades
SPY Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for SPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 625.36 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 610.17 Recommended Stop Loss - 632.61 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
2
VTI 1D: breakout on the daily within a long-term weekly uptrend On the daily chart, VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) has broken through the key $303.5 resistance level with strong volume. This breakout occurs within a larger weekly uptrend channel, highlighting a continuation of the long-term bullish structure. Volume profile shows a clear path ahead: $321.7 (1.272 Fibo) and $345 (1.618 Fibo). The golden cross (MA50 crossing MA200 from below) further supports the bullish case. Fundamentally, VTI represents the entire U.S. equity market - large to small caps - and benefits from economic resilience, declining inflation, and passive inflows. It’s a logical macro play for trend continuation. Tactical plan: — Entry by market or after retest $303.5 — TP1: $321.7 — TP2: $345 — Invalidation below $300 The whole market breaking out? That’s not noise — it’s the signal.
AMEX:VTILong
by TotoshkaTrades
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade End Of Week Update For 7-4Happy 4th of July I've been very busy with projects and new tools for traders, as well as the new book I'm working on, and thought I would deliver an End Of Week update for everyone. In this video, I cover the past Cycle Patterns and how they played out for the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and Bitcoin, as well as add some of my own insight related to the market trends. All of my systems are still LONG and have not changed. I still believe this market is extremely overbought, and I believe it could roll over at any moment into a pullback - but we need to wait to see if/when that may/does happen. Gold made a big move higher this week, and I believe that move could continue throughout July. Bitcoin made a surprising Double-Top and is not rolling downward. Could be a breakdown in the markets as BTCUSD tends to lead the QQQ/NQ by about 3-5 days. The SPY/QQQ rallied like a rocket all week. It was absolutely incredible to see the markets rally like this. But, I'm still cautious of a sudden rollover top. I managed to catch some nice trades with options spreads this week, and my metals positions were on fire. I'm still trading from a "hedge everything" mode as I don't trust this rally, and I'm still watching for REJECTIONS near these new highs. Stay safe and GET SOME. DM me if you have any questions. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
6
KWEB: China’s Internet Sector - AI Catch-Up and Cheap ValuationsChina’s internet and tech stocks have been hammered for years — regulatory crackdowns, slowing growth fears, and geopolitical tension have crushed sentiment. But as investors know, the best opportunities often hide in what everyone hates. Enter KWEB, the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF. It’s a diversified, liquid way to play a bounce in major names like Alibaba, Tencent, JD .com, Baidu, Meituan and PDD. Here’s why I think the risk/reward looks compelling now — especially if you believe in AI closing the gap. Key Bullish Points: 1) Valuations at Rock-Bottom Many big China internet stocks are still trading at single-digit P/E ratios, even as their cash flows recover. Compared to U.S. big tech trading at 30–50x, this is a huge valuation gap. Regulatory fears seem largely priced in — Beijing wants growth, not stagnation, and some policies are easing. 2) China’s AI Push — Just “Months Behind” Jansen Whang recently argued that China’s generative AI development is only “months behind” the U.S. Players like Baidu, Alibaba Cloud, Tencent, and SenseTime are all racing to launch new LLMs and integrated AI tools. If you believe the gap closes, Chinese platforms could see a major earnings rebound as they roll out AI upgrades across search, cloud, e-commerce and social media. 3) Sentiment So Bad, It’s Good When the headlines scream “China is uninvestable,” that’s often when big mean reversion trades set up. Even a small policy pivot, stimulus plan, or positive AI news cycle can spark a sharp rally. KWEB is one of the cleanest ways to express this view because it holds a diversified basket — you don’t have to pick a single winner.
AMEX:KWEBLong
by TopgOptions
Debugging Pine Script with log.info()log.info() is one of the most powerful tools in Pine Script that no one knows about. Whenever you code, you want to be able to debug, or find out why something isn’t working. The log.info() command will help you do that. Without it, creating more complex Pine Scripts becomes exponentially more difficult. The first thing to note is that log.info() only displays strings. So, if you have a variable that is not a string, you must turn it into a string in order for log.info() to work. The way you do that is with the str.tostring() command. And remember, it's all lower case! You can throw in any numeric value (float, int, timestamp) into str.string() and it should work. Next, in order to make your output intelligible, you may want to identify whatever value you are logging. For example, if an RSI value is 50, you don’t want a bunch of lines that just say “50”. You may want it to say “RSI = 50”. To do that, you’ll have to use the concatenation operator. For example, if you have a variable called “rsi”, and its value is 50, then you would use the “+” concatenation symbol. EXAMPLE 1 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ //@version=6 indicator("log.info()") rsi = ta.rsi(close,14) log.info(“RSI= ” + str.tostring(rsi)) Example Output =>  RSI= 50 Here, we use double quotes to create a string that contains the name of the variable, in this case “RSI = “, then we concatenate it with a stringified version of the variable, rsi. Now that you know how to write a log, where do you view them? There isn’t a lot of documentation on it, and the link is not conveniently located.  Open up the “Pine Editor” tab at the bottom of any chart view, and you’ll see a “3 dot” button at the top right of the pane. Click that, and right above the “Help” menu item you’ll see “Pine logs”. Clicking that will open  that to open a pane on the right of your browser - replacing whatever was in the right pane area before. This is where your log output will show up.  But, because you’re dealing with time series data, using the log.info() command without some type of condition will give you a fast moving stream of numbers that will be difficult to interpret. So, you may only want the output to show up once per bar, or only under specific conditions.  To have the output show up only after all computations have completed, you’ll need to use the barState.islast command. Remember, barState is camelCase, but islast is not! EXAMPLE 2 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ //@version=6 indicator("log.info()") rsi = ta.rsi(close,14) if barState.islast  log.info("RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi)) plot(rsi) However, this can be less than ideal, because you may want the value of the rsi variable on a particular bar, at a particular time, or under a specific chart condition. Let’s hit these one at a time. In each of these cases, the built-in bar_index variable will come in handy. When debugging, I typically like to assign a variable “bix” to represent bar_index, and include it in the output. So, if I want to see the rsi value when RSI crosses above 0.5, then I would have something like: EXAMPLE 3 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ //@version=6 indicator("log.info()") rsi = ta.rsi(close,14) bix = bar_index rsiCrossedOver = ta.crossover(rsi,0.5) if rsiCrossedOver log.info("bix=" + str.tostring(bix) + " - RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi)) plot(rsi) Example Output =>  bix=19964 - RSI=51.8449459867 bix=19972 - RSI=50.0975830828 bix=19983 - RSI=53.3529808079 bix=19985 - RSI=53.1595745146 bix=19999 - RSI=66.6466337654 bix=20001 - RSI=52.2191767466 Here, we see that the output only appears when the condition is met. A useful thing to know is that if you want to limit the number of decimal places, then you would use the command str.tostring(rsi,”#.##”), which tells the interpreter that the format of the number should only be 2 decimal places. Or you could round the rsi variable with a command like rsi2 = math.round(rsi*100)/100 . In either case you’re output would look like: bix=19964 - RSI=51.84 bix=19972 - RSI=50.1 bix=19983 - RSI=53.35 bix=19985 - RSI=53.16 bix=19999 - RSI=66.65 bix=20001 - RSI=52.22 This would decrease the amount of memory that’s being used to display your variable’s values, which can become a limitation for the log.info() command. It only allows 4096 characters per line, so when you get to trying to output arrays (which is another cool feature), you’ll have to keep that in mind. Another thing to note is that log output is always preceded by a timestamp, but for the sake of brevity, I’m not including those in the output examples. If you wanted to only output a value after the chart was fully loaded, that’s when barState.islast command comes in. Under this condition, only one line of output is created per tick update — AFTER the chart has finished loading. For example, if you only want to see what the the current bar_index and rsi values are, without filling up your log window with everything that happens before, then you could use the following code: EXAMPLE 4 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ //@version=6 indicator("log.info()") rsi = ta.rsi(close,14) bix = bar_index if barstate.islast log.info("bix=" + str.tostring(bix) + " - RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi)) Example Output => bix=20203 - RSI=53.1103309071 This value would keep updating after every new bar tick. The log.info() command is a huge help in creating new scripts, however, it does have its limitations. As mentioned earlier, only 4096 characters are allowed per line. So, although you can use log.info() to output arrays, you have to be aware of how many characters that array will use. The following code DOES NOT WORK! And, the only way you can find out why will be the red exclamation point next to the name of the indicator. That, and nothing will show up on the chart, or in the logs. // CODE DOESN’T WORK //@version=6 indicator("MW - log.info()") var array rsi_arr = array.new() rsi = ta.rsi(close,14) bix = bar_index rsiCrossedOver = ta.crossover(rsi,50)  if rsiCrossedOver     array.push(rsi_arr, rsi) if barstate.islast     log.info("rsi_arr:" + str.tostring(rsi_arr))     log.info("bix=" + str.tostring(bix) + " - RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi)) plot(rsi) // No code errors, but will not compile because too much is being written to the logs. However, after putting some time restrictions in with the i_startTime and i_endTime user input variables, and creating a dateFilter variable to use in the conditions, I can limit the size of the final array. So, the following code does work. EXAMPLE 5 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ // CODE DOES WORK //@version=6 indicator("MW - log.info()") i_startTime         = input.time(title="Start", defval=timestamp("01 Jan 2025 13:30 +0000")) i_endTime           = input.time(title="End", defval=timestamp("1 Jan 2099 19:30 +0000")) var array rsi_arr = array.new() dateFilter = time >= i_startTime and time <= i_endTime  rsi = ta.rsi(close,14) bix = bar_index rsiCrossedOver = ta.crossover(rsi,50) and dateFilter // <== The dateFilter condition keeps the array from getting too big if rsiCrossedOver     array.push(rsi_arr, rsi) if barstate.islast     log.info("rsi_arr:" + str.tostring(rsi_arr))     log.info("bix=" + str.tostring(bix) + " - RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi)) plot(rsi) Example Output => rsi_arr: bix=20210 - RSI=56.9030578034 Of course, if you restrict the decimal places by using the rounding the rsi value with something like rsiRounded = math.round(rsi * 100) / 100 , then you can further reduce the size of your array. In this case the output may look something like: Example Output => rsi_arr: bix=20210 - RSI=55.6947486019 This will give your code a little breathing room. In a nutshell, I was coding for over a year trying to debug by pushing output to labels, tables, and using libraries that cluttered up my code. Once I was able to debug with log.info() it was a game changer. I was able to start building much more advanced scripts. Hopefully, this will help you on your journey as well.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by mwrightinc
5
$IBIT: ETF can turn bullish in the weekly this week......if all goes well, and the daily trend works nicely (maybe hitting target #2 this week if news favor us in the coming days and gap fading a$$holes don't kill the trend if we get a 4th of July gap up), Bitcoin will start to trend up strongly. The monthly timeframe is already bullish as of June's close on the 30th, so odds are good. Are you positioned? Leave me comments below, what are you holding? Trading perps or only spot? Using defi or merely hodling at CEX or cold storage? Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by IvanLabrie