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GOLD → The market is waiting for NFP. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off resistance at 3310, confirming the upper limit of the new trading range. The dollar continues to rally, but the market as a whole is stagnating ahead of upcoming news—NFP is coming up! Gold is consolidating at monthly lows around $3268, awaiting key US labor market data (NFP). Trump's new tariffs (10% globally, 35% for Canada, 39% for Switzerland) have boosted demand for the dollar, putting pressure on gold. Markets are waiting for NFP: forecast +110K jobs, unemployment 4.2%. Weak data (<100K) → gold may rise to $3400. Strong (>150K) → the dollar will strengthen, gold will continue to fall. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is <50%. Based on yesterday's data, I would cautiously suggest that NFP will be in the range of 125K–145K, slightly above the consensus (110K). This will play into Trump's hands (I think you understand what I mean...). Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3320 Support levels: 3287, 3268, 3255 The news has a negative nuance — unpredictability. Be careful. Technically, based on the data we have at the moment, I would assume that the market may test resistance at 3300-3310 before a possible pullback to the specified support. BUT! Unpredictable data could turn the game around, and in that case, if the dollar falls, gold could start to rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
17
Lingrid | GOLD Possible Retest of the Major Support ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is bouncing from recent lows but remains under pressure below the key resistance at 3,331.90 and the downward trendline. The prior rejection near 3,440 led to a steep selloff with a clean break below the upward channel. Current action shows a potential lower high forming near the broken trendline. A rejection there could send gold tumbling toward the 3,250.00 support zone. 📌 Key Levels Sell trigger: Failure to reclaim 3,331.90 Sell zone: 3,330 – 3,340 Target: 3,250.00 Invalidation: Strong bullish breakout above 3,340 and descending trendline 💡 Risks Bullish reversal breaking above downward trendline Dovish Fed news boosting gold Unexpected macroeconomic shocks increasing safe-haven demand If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lingrid
34
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Following on from the FOMC KOG Report which worked quite well, we’ll stick with the same chart and for today suggest caution. It’s the first day of the month and the last day of the weekly candle. The close here for gold is important and will give us further clues to the next few months. We’ve shared the red boxes and the red box targets are below. There is a key level above 3306-10 which will need to be breached to correct the move back up to the 3330-34 region for the weekly close. However, we now have an undercut low which is potential if there is more aggressive downside to come and that level is sitting around the 3240-50 region which for us may represent an opportunity for a swing low. We’re a bit low and stretched here to short and as we’ve already hit our target for the day so we’ll wait for the extreme levels and if hit and our indicators line up, we may take some scalps. Otherwise, as usual on these events, the ideal trade will come next week. RED BOXES: Break above 3290 for 3295, 3306, 3310 and 3320 in extension of the move Break below 3275 for 3267, 3260, 3255 and 3250 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
7
XAU/USD | Next Key Zone: Watch for Rejection at $3334! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, just as expected, the price dropped from $3310 to $3288 in the first leg, where it hit a demand zone and bounced up to $3305, delivering a 170-pip rally. The main bearish move from $3333 to $3288 yielded 450 pips, bringing the total return on this analysis to over 620 pips! In the second phase, gold dropped sharply again to $3268, and once more found demand, currently trading around $3307. If the price holds above $3294, we could expect further upside toward the $3322–$3334 zone. Once gold reaches this area, a strong bearish rejection is likely, with a potential return of 250 to 400 pips. All key supply and demand levels are marked on the chart — make sure to monitor them closely and study the chart in detail. Hope you’ve made the most of this powerful analysis! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
46
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bearish Reversal - 3325 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
25
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, What a PIPTASTIC finish to the week! 🚀. We tracked the move down with precision durung the week and then rode the momentum right back up. Yesterday, we confirmed the swing range activation and bounce, and that bullish follow through carried beautifully into today, completing our Bullish Target at 3348. Just perfect execution all around. BULLISH TARGET 3348 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 3328 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3305 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3289 - DONE 3267 - DONE We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
Gold Rejected at 3315 – But Bulls Might Not Be Done Yet📌 What happened yesterday? During the Asian session, Gold printed a fresh local low at 3268, continuing the downtrend that already dropped over 1700 pips in just one week. However, that move quickly reversed, and we saw a natural corrective bounce. 📈 Resistance holds firm The correction took price back up into the 3310 zone, which acted as confluence resistance. After two taps into that area, price failed to sustain above 3300, indicating sellers are still active there. ❓ Is the upside correction over? I don't think so. The recent drop has been choppy, lacking the strong momentum of previous legs. This type of price action often signals that we are still within a correction, not in a clean continuation. 📊 What am I watching? I’m actively monitoring for: • Exhaustion signs on the downside • Upside reversal signals My plan is to open long trades only when I see confirmation, aiming for a move back toward the 3330 zone, which could act as resistance. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
16
XAU/USD (Gold) - Triangle Breakout (1.08.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3249 2nd Support – 3225 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed below the triangle📊 Technical Analysis ● XAUUSD is forming a bearish descending wedge within a broader symmetrical triangle, facing rejection at 3,310 near prior support-turned-resistance. ● Repeated failure to hold above trendlines and continued lower highs favor a drop toward the 3,246.56 level, with possible overshoot if support breaks. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Rising real yields and hawkish Fed tone continue to pressure gold; ISM Manufacturing Prices and NFP loom as next volatility catalysts. ● Reduced ETF inflows and strong dollar on resilient US macro data weigh on demand for non-yielding assets. ✨ Summary Short bias below 3,310. Breakdown eyes 3,246 → 3,200 zone. Resistance holds while trendline caps recovery. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
16
GOLD - Price can fall to support level and then start to riseHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 The price was consolidating for an extended period inside a wide, horizontal range. A strong bullish impulse eventually broke the price out above the resistance of that flat channel. This breakout move created a new significant high before sellers forcefully rejected the price downwards. This rejection marked the beginning of the current falling wedge pattern, which has guided the price lower since. The decline within the wedge has now brought the asset down to a critical historical support zone at $3285. I expect that this key support will hold, causing a reversal and a new rally that targets the $3345 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
8
GOLD: Be careful, It's More Complex Than it SeemsGOLD: Be careful, It's More Complex Than it Seems After the NFP data came in at 73k vs. the expected 110k, the market reacted aggressively to the US dollar. Today, the US dollar was affected on two fronts. One was the NFP data and the other was the mess that President Trump is creating with his tariffs against many countries. Uncertainty regarding the future impact of the tariffs remains high and unknown. After the NFP data GOLD reacted aggressively against the US dollar by breaking easily two small structural areas towards 3315 and 3334. A possible correction is expected before gold moves further to 3370; 3400 and 3400, as shown in the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
2
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Buy & Sell Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bearish Reversal - 3304 🩸Bullish Reversal - 3275 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
47
Mechanical vs. Anticipation Trades: The Fine LineWhen traders talk about discipline, they often refer to following rules — sticking to a plan, being methodical, and avoiding emotional decisions. But there's a subtle and powerful difference between being rule-based and being blindly mechanical. And even more, there's a moment in every trader’s process where discipline demands adaptation. Let’s look at a recent trade on Gold to understand this better. On Thursday, I published an analysis on Gold stating that the recent breakdown of support had turned that zone into resistance. A short entry from that level made sense. It was mechanical, clean, and aligned with what the chart was showing at the time. And, at first, it worked. Price rose into the resistance area and dropped. Perfect reaction. Textbook setup. Confirmation. The kind of trade you want to see when following a rule-based system. But then something changed. Price came back. Quickly.(I'm talking about initial 3315-3293 drop and the quick recover) So, the very next rally pushed straight back into the same resistance area, hmmm...too simple, is the market giving us a second chance to sell? That was the first sign that the market might not respect the previous structure anymore. It dipped again after, but the second drop was different: slower, weaker, choppier. That told me one thing: the selling pressure was fading. So I shifted. From mechanical execution to anticipatory mindset. This is where many traders struggle — not because they don’t have a system, but because they don’t know when to let go of it. Or worse: they abandon it too quickly without cause. In this case, the evidence was building. The failed follow-through. The loss of momentum. The compression in structure. All signs that a reversal was brewing. Rather than continuing to blindly short, referring to a zone that no longer held the same weight, I started looking for the opposite: an upside breakout and momentum acceleration. That transition wasn’t based on emotion. It was based on market behavior. ________________________________________ Mechanical vs. Anticipation: What’s the Real Difference? A mechanical trade is rule-based: • If X happens, and Y confirms, then enter. • No need for interpretation, no second guessing. • It can (in theory) be automated. An anticipatory trade is different: • It’s about reading intent in price action before confirmation. • Higher risk usually, but higher reward if you’re right. • Can’t be automated. It requires presence, experience, and context. And the tricky part? Often, we lie to ourselves. We say we’re "mechanical" while actually guessing. Or we think we’re being smart and intuitive, when in fact, we’re being impulsive. The key is awareness. In my Gold ideas, the initial short was mechanical. But the invalidation came quickly — and I was alert enough to switch gears. That shift is not a betrayal of discipline. It’s an upgrade of it. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts: Discipline is not doing the same thing no matter what. Discipline is doing what the market requires you to do, without emotional distortion. And that, often, means walking the fine line between the setup you planned for, and the reality that just showed up. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Gold can reach resistance area and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Over an extended period, the price action of Gold has been contained within a large descending triangle, a pattern characterized by a series of lower highs testing a descending resistance line and a relatively flat support base. The major seller zone around the 3415 resistance level has consistently capped upward rebounds, establishing a clear downward pressure on the asset. The most critical recent development has been a decisive breakdown, where the price broke below a key ascending trend line and, more importantly, below the horizontal support at 3310. This structural break has shifted the immediate market dynamics, turning the former support area of 3310 - 3320 into a new ceiling of resistance. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario based on the principle of a breakdown and retest. It is anticipated that the price will attempt a corrective rally back towards this new resistance area around 3310. A failure to reclaim this level, confirmed by a strong rejection, would validate the breakdown and signal the continuation of the larger downward trend. Therefore, the tp for this next bearish leg is logically placed at the 3240 level. This target represents a significant area of potential support and a measured objective following the resolution of the recent consolidation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
2
Oil Faces Bearish Turn After Speculative SpikeOil Faces Bearish Turn After Speculative Spike Since June 24, 2024, when oil prices reached $64 entered a 38-day bullish correction. Based on the chart, this move appears to be forming an ABC corrective pattern, which may now be nearing completion. From here, a renewed decline is likely, with potential downside targets at $65, $60, and $56. Geopolitical Speculation Oil prices jumped in recent days following President Donald Trump's heightened rhetoric toward Russia. His announcement of a tighter deadline to end the war in Ukraine, along with tariff threats targeting countries trading Russian oil, stirred market reactions. However, this rally seems driven more by speculation, and oil may soon resume the bearish movement again. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
TVC:USOILShort
by KlejdiCuni
4
Gold Showing Signs of Reversal After Hitting Key ResistanceHello Guys. Gold has reached a major resistance zone around 3439–3425, which has already acted as a strong ceiling in the past. The price tapped into this area again, forming a clear divergence, and failed to break higher. Here’s what stands out: Divergence signals a weakening bullish momentum at the top. The price rejected the resistance and is now breaking structure to the downside. A minor pullback may occur before continuation, as shown in the projected moves. First target: 3259.792 Second target (if support breaks): 3136.869, a deeper zone for potential bounce or further drop. This setup hints at a bearish trend building up. Stay cautious on longs unless the price structure changes again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
25
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Quick follow up on our 1H chart route map: What can I say.....pure perfection on our chart analysis as everything played out exactly as expected. Yesterday, we identified the first level of the swing range at 3289, which delivered a clean full swing into 3305. Today, we hit Level 2 of the swing range at 3267, and once again, it played out flawlessly with another full swing up to 3305. A perfect finish to the day. Great work all around! We are now looking for support above the swing range and a break above 3305 to track the movement up or further retest and break below the 1st level of the swing range may open the the 2nd level at 3267 again. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3348 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3369 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3397 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3422 BEARISH TARGETS 3328 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3305 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3289 - DONE 3267 - DONE As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
14
Bullish Rejection from Support, Upside in FocusMarket Overview: On the M15 timeframe, XAUUSD shows signs of a short-term bullish reversal after a prolonged sideways range around the key support zone of 3,286 – 3,289 USD. Price faked out below this support but quickly recovered, forming a V-shape reversal, suggesting strong buying interest has returned. Key Levels to Watch: Support Zones: - 3,286 – 3,289: Strong intraday support, tested multiple times with sharp rejections - 3,274: Next significant support if the above zone fails Resistance Zones: - 3,300 – 3,304: First resistance target aligned with the recent high - 3,308 – 3,312: Higher resistance area where supply may emerge Technical Indicators: EMA: Price has reclaimed the short-term EMAs, indicating bullish momentum on lower timeframes RSI: Rising above 50 but not yet overbought – there’s room for further upside Volume: Increasing volume during the bounce confirms buying strength Trading Strategy: - Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry Zone: Watch for pullback toward 3,290 – 3,292 Stop Loss: Below 3,285 Take Profit 1: 3,300 Take Profit 2: 3,304 Extended Target: 3,308 – 3,312 (if bullish momentum continues beyond breakout zone) - Bearish Scenario (Alternate): Only valid if price breaks and closes strongly below 3,286 Short Target: 3,274 – 3,270 Note: Counter-trend strategy – higher risk, requires strong confirmation Conclusion: Gold is showing a bullish price structure on the 15-minute chart. As long as price holds above the 3,286 – 3,289 support zone, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, with 3,300 and 3,304 as the next logical targets. Monitor price action closely during the U.S. session for a potential long setup. - Follow for more real-time gold trading strategies and save this idea if you find it helpful!
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
2