Get started

Futures market

XAU/USD Bullish Setup Confirmed After Wave C CompletionXAU/USD has completed a classic five-wave impulsive structure to the upside, followed by a clear ABC corrective phase. The price action shows that wave (5) has topped, and the market has since retraced through a three-wave ABC correction inside a well-defined descending channel. Currently, wave C appears to have found support right at the lower trendline of the broader ascending structure, signaling a potential completion of the correction and the beginning of a new bullish impulse. The reaction from this level is strong, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to drive the next leg higher Wave Count: 5-wave impulse up, followed by ABC correction Structure: Wave C completed at key channel support Momentum: Bullish recovery expected if price holds above recent swing low T1: 3332.268 T2: 3354.078 SL: 3289.400
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Money_Dictators
XAUUSD Price Analysis | Bearish Reversal in ProgressGold has sharply broken down from the upper boundary of a well-respected parallel channel, hinting at a potential trend reversal. 🔎 Technical Breakdown: Strong rejection at ~$3,440 resistance zone Break in market structure = early signs of bearish momentum Support 1: $3,300 – key short-term zone Support 2: $3,250 – major confluence level If price fails to hold above $3,300, a continuation toward $3,250 looks likely in the coming sessions. 📊 Trade Setup Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: On pullbacks below $3,390 TP1: $3,300 TP2: $3,250 SL: Above $3,420 (recent swing high) ⚠ Watchlist Dates: 🗓 June 18 – FOMC Meeting (high impact) 💬 What’s your outlook? Will gold hold $3,300 or are bears in control? Let’s discuss below! #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #FOMC #MarketOutlook
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by James-Pipstr
ES1!/SP500 Targeting Weekly Range Resistance***QUOTING SEP CONTRACT FOR JUNE CONTRACT OR CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~52 POINTS*** ***WEEKLY ACTION AREA VIDEO TO FOLLOW AHEAD OF NY OPEN*** WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6090/6100 WEEKLY RANGE RES 6150 SUP 5914 DAILY RANGE RES 6090 SUP 5972 DAILY VWAP BULLISH 6019 WEEKLY VWAP BULLISH 5923 DAILY BALANCE - 6064/5965 WEEKLY ONE TIME FRAMING UP - 5965 MONTHLY ONE TIME FRAMING UP GAP LEVELS 5843/5741/5710/5339 Balance: This refers to a market condition where prices move within a defined range, reflecting uncertainty as participants await further market-generated information. Our approach to balance includes favoring fade trades at the range extremes (highs/lows) while preparing for potential breakout scenarios if the balance shifts. One-Time Framing Up (OTFU): This represents a market trend where each successive bar forms a higher low, signaling a strong and consistent upward movement. One-Time Framing Down (OTFD): This describes a market trend where each successive bar forms a lower high, indicating a pronounced and steady downward movement. GOLDMAN SACHS TRADING DESK VIEWS Weekend Cross-Asset Dislocations (15-Jun-2025) Oil Options Positioning Reaches Extreme Levels On Friday, call buying in oil pushed the put-call skew to one of its most extreme levels in over 25 years. This indicates that investors are positioning for significant upside asymmetry. Notably, the shift in the put-call skew far exceeded the movement in near-term oil futures, compared to similar past episodes. AI-Related Capex Remains Steady Our analysts report that capex spending for 2025 and 2026 by the six largest hyperscalers has remained stable over the past few months. Bearish investors might interpret the absence of upward revisions as a sign of slowing momentum in the broader AI sector. Conversely, bullish investors could view the rebound in stock prices as a signal of growing confidence in hyperscalers and other AI-exposed companies to generate revenue sufficient to support planned capex. Sector-Specific Divergences in Put-Call Skew Friday saw notable divergences in put-call skew across sectors, highlighting the varied impact of global events. Increased call-buying pressure in energy aligns with the extreme shift in oil’s put-call skew. Meanwhile, rising put-call skew in Materials and Financials reflects heightened downside concerns, with Materials put-buying signaling fears of a broader economic slowdown. Balanced Positioning in Single Stock Put-Call Skew Despite sector-specific disparities, single-stock positioning remains balanced. The average stock’s put-call skew has returned to levels seen in March 2025, before the US tariff announcements. IG Credit Spreads Tight Relative to Equities Investment-grade (IG) equity investors appear more cautious than their credit counterparts, likely due to elevated uncertainty around US interest rates. A potential rate increase could disproportionately impact IG equity valuations. Retail Investor Activity Remains Stable Retail investor volumes have aligned with their five-year average, suggesting they remain engaged but have not been a dominant driver of equity performance in recent weeks. For single stocks, retail investors have been in a holding pattern, having shifted from net buyers earlier this year to small net sellers recently. This suggests they may be waiting for a broader market dip to resume buying. SPX Daily Options Pricing Reflects Steady Volatility SPX options are pricing daily moves between 0.9% and 1.2% over the next four weeks. Notably, options for this week’s FOMC meeting are pricing a relatively low ±0.9% move. While a ±1.2% move is priced for July 7, uncertainty remains regarding the volatility impact of the tax bill and the end of the 90-day tariff pause. Professional Investors Maintain Cautious Stance Entering 2025, professional investors significantly reduced their demand for leveraged equity exposure through futures, swaps, and options, signaling potential downside risks. While this trend has continued, the pace of selling has slowed in recent weeks, making the cautionary signal less alarming. Wednesday marks the VIX expiry, which we believe has been supporting the market. Thursday is a market holiday, and Friday brings option expiry, likely leading to a high out-of-office session as risk-taking eases. The market may challenge crowded trades, with "short oil" being noted as particularly crowded. 1. Positioning (i): Hedge funds have been buying U.S. equities for six consecutive weeks, with net leverage exceeding 50% after reaching a five-year low in April. Despite a generally bearish outlook, investors are positioned bullishly due to limited alternatives. 2. Positioning (ii): Sector flows show increased risk aversion, with strong demand in utilities and significant supply in consumer discretionary sectors. 3. Positioning (iii): The systematic community remains long on stocks and is unlikely to sell significantly unless conditions worsen. The key level to watch in the SPX is 5800, both medium-term and short-term. 4. Flows (i): The long-only community has finally turned to buying stocks after three weeks of selling imbalances, ending $10 billion better to buy across all sectors. 5. Flows (ii): As the June expiry approaches, SPX call open interest is at an all-time high with 8.7 million contracts. 6. Trades (i): In derivatives, there have been buyers of VIX puts extending to July, with a significant premium built into the VIX curve. SPX realized volatility is at 12, while July VIX is nearly double that. Outright puts are intriguing, and some VIX puts were traded contingent on SPX falling below a certain level. 7. Trades (ii): Our cash desk believes the AI theme is gaining momentum. Callahan notes the increased visibility around GenAI as the biggest takeaway from the week. The Ellison earnings transcript highlights "astronomical" demand. 8. Trades (iii): The Goldman Sachs house view and consensus suggest that gold will continue its rapid rise. A July 97% put costs 100 basis points, representing the maximum loss premium paid.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Tickmill
The best opportunity is when crude oil falls 💡Message Strategy Crude oil futures fell in the European session on Monday (June 16), giving up earlier gains, as a new round of hostilities between Israel and Iran had limited impact on oil production and exports. WTI briefly rebounded to $77.49, close to last week's high, which was also our second profit target, but failed to break through the key resistance level near $78.09. Oil prices surged 7% on Friday, driven by geopolitical risks, pushing crude to its highest level since January. However, Monday's reversal reflected the lack of immediate threats to supply routes, especially the strategically important Strait of Hormuz. If Iran's production drops sharply due to the conflict, the global oil supply buffer will be quickly exhausted and oil prices may usher in a new round of surges. Faced with this complex situation, investors, oil-producing countries and consumers need to be prepared to meet the possible energy storm. This is also the reason why we repeatedly emphasize that crude oil should be long when it falls. We can foresee its upward momentum, and the pullback is only in a moment without any signs. 📊Technical aspects The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued to fluctuate upward, and the price near 74 was tested. The moving average system relies on the bullish arrangement of oil prices, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. In the morning, the oil price hit a new high near 75.30, and then fell back and closed with a negative real candlestick. The short-term momentum is still bullish, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level oscillating upward rhythm. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position:69.50-70.50 The first target is around 73.00 The second target is around 75.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold Soars – Heading Towards 3,500 USD/ounce?Gold prices closed yesterday at 3,457.7 USD/ounce, up 0.12% from the previous day, fluctuating between 3,453.7 USD and 3,458.1 USD/ounce, marking the highest level in the past two months. XAU/USD is currently maintaining an uptrend within a well-defined price channel, with strong support at the 3,390–3,400 range. After a short correction, the price could continue to rise if it holds above the EMA34, with the next target towards the 3,445–3,460 range and further up to 3,500 USD/ounce. This upward momentum is supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. U.S. CPI data lower than expected has also increased expectations of a Fed rate cut, alongside central banks increasing gold reserves, all contributing to the continued rise in gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
3
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Fundamental Analysis: Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East continue to escalate, with intense clashes between Israel and Iran driving gold prices higher. However, Federal Reserve officials have recently sent frequent hawkish signals, emphasizing the need to maintain interest rates to control inflation and downplaying expectations of rate cuts. Additionally, U.S. trade agreements with multiple nations are gradually being finalized, which could potentially provide bearish momentum for gold at any time. Overall, gold is trending to rise first and then fall. Technical Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows gold steadily advancing within an ascending channel, with strong bullish momentum. Resistance is near 3,450, while support currently stands at 3,400. However, it is important to note that after a short-term rapid rally, prices may need a pullback for correction. Trading Recommendations: Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near 3,400–3,410, targeting 3,450; if this level is broken, extend the target to 3,470–3,475. If prices face resistance near 3,450 during upward attempts, consider light short positions. Trading Strategy: buy@3400-3410 TP:3450-3470 sell@3460-3450 TP:3420-3400 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MonicaLongman
Trading Signals for Gold Sell below $3,443 (21 SMA -7/8 Murrray)The XAU/USD trend remains bullish as long as the price consolidates above 3,384. Therefore, it would be prudent to buy gold as long as the price consolidates above3,444, where the 7/8 Murray level is located. Gold's volatility will continue over the next few days, so we believe it could move between 3,386 and 3,356. Consequently, if gold consolidates and breaks above 3.498, it would be seen as a buying opportunity, with targets at the 8/8 Murray level around 3,600/ Last tow months, gold gapped around 3,498. This will likely be seen as a buying opportunity if the price breaks above the psychological level of $3,439 Conversely, below the R_1 around 3,443, gold will be seen as an opportunity to sell, targeting 3,400 and the bottom of the uptrend channel around 3,338. The RSI indicator is showing a negative signal, so we must be cautious when buying, as a very strong technical correction could occur.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
15
USOIL – Reclaiming the Energy Narrative | WaverVanir Macro Rever📉 Chart Thesis: After nearly three years of structural decline from the $129 peak, crude oil (USOIL) is approaching a confluence zone of historic Fibonacci support ($56–$60) and a multi-year descending trendline. This zone may mark the bottom of a long-term accumulation phase. 🧠 Strategic Perspective (WaverVanir View): “It’s time to take back our resource. Not just politically—but economically, institutionally, and structurally.” WaverVanir International LLC sees this setup as a rare macro pivot. This isn’t about short-term fluctuations—it’s about the global realignment of resource value in a world where: Central banks are overleveraged Strategic petroleum reserves are drawn down War premium is mispriced Real assets are undervalued 📊 Key Levels: Support Zone: $56.04 (historical institutional buy zone) Breakout Trigger: Trendline above $67.00 Target 1: $101.35 (0.786 Fib) Target 2: $129.42 (1.0 Fib) Target 3: $160.58 (1.236 Fib projection) ⚠️ Risk Disclosure: We are not yet capitalized but actively building a legally compliant funding vehicle. No capital is currently allocated. This post is part of our vision publication cycle to build trust and transparency in WaverVanir’s thesis. 📌 Follow WaverVanir International LLC for conviction-based macro trade ideas at the intersection of data science, price action, and risk strategy. #USOIL #MacroTrading #Commodities #WaverVanir #TradingView #QuantMacro #EnergyRevolution #FibonacciAnalysis #MarketStructure #EmergingFund
TVC:USOILLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Gold XAUUSD Move 16 June 2025Market Structure: The market isin a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows until a recent break of the ascending trendline, signaling a short-term structural weakness. Current price is in a retracement phase, heading towards previous demand zones. 🔹 Zone 1 (3408–3414): Confluence of: Broken trendline retest (former support). Minor order block / demand zone. Overlapping price reaction area. Risk: This zone may act as a liquidity inducement before price sweeps deeper into Zone 2. Entry trigger: Bullish engulfing or LTF market structure shift on 1m/5m. 🔹 Zone 2 (3380–3384): Stronger demand zone: Aligned with previous accumulation base. Larger imbalance (FVG-type area) and bullish impulsive origin. More convincing for high-RR entries. Higher probability: If Zone 1 fails or only wicks price, Zone 2 may provide the main entry opportunity. Entry trigger: Shift in LTF structure with volume spike or breaker flip. ✅ Trade Signal Suggestions 🟦 Setup 1: Buy from Zone 1 Entry: 3410 (upon bullish confirmation) SL: 3400 (below structure low) TP: 3434 (prior high) RR: ~2.4R Note: Only take if price forms bullish structure (MSS or BOS) on lower timeframe. 🟦 Setup 2: Buy from Zone 2 Entry: 3380/3384 (upon confirmation) SL: 3372 (below demand zone) TP: 3411 or 3434 (scalp to intraday swing) RR: ~1:3 or better Note: Wait for clean rejection or reversal candle from this zone. ⚠️ Risk Management Risk 0.5–1% per trade. Use entry confirmation such as: Bullish engulfing Fair value gap reaction Break of internal structure
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
XAUUSD Has follow ascending channel bullish now from supportXAUUSD Market Update Gold is currently respecting the ascending channel and showing strong bullish momentum from the key demand zone at 3390. 📈 Technical Outlook (4H Timeframe): ✅ Holding firm within bullish structure 🎯 First target: 3490 – major resistance level ahead 💡 Watching closely for breakout confirmation or pullback opportunities. 📌 Trade smart. Stay informed. 👍 Like | 🔁 Follow | 💬 Comment Join us for real-time updates and expert insights! — Livia 😜
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LIVIATRACK
2
Gold Trading Strategy June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH. Gold has a slight adjustment in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450. The adjustment may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398. In the long term, 3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction phase before Gold returns to its all-time high. Maybe before that, 3490 will have another price reaction before reaching the peak. Resistance: 3428 (Scalping) - 3444 - 3463 - 3490 Support: 3413- 3298
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
3
GOLD's room for growth is still wide, new all-time peakThe Israel-Iran conflict has increased the safe-haven role of gold, while pushing up oil prices, putting further pressure on inflation alongside the tariff pressure from the Trump administration. Although the Israel-Iran conflict may continue to push gold prices higher this week, investors should be cautious and avoid chasing the development of this conflict. Because, gold price increases due to geopolitical events are usually short-lived. In addition to the Israel-Iran conflict, markets will witness a speech by Fed Chairman Powell this week. With the Trump administration’s tariff policy still complicated and the Israel-Iran conflict escalating, the Fed Chairman may continue to signal that interest rates will remain unchanged at the July FOMC meeting. However, there is growing speculation that the Fed may begin laying the groundwork for a rate cut later this year. In the short term, gold prices may be less affected by the Fed's monetary policy. Investors will pay more attention to the Trump administration's tariff policy, especially when the 90-day tariff suspension is about to end. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Technical analysis still shows an upward trend in gold prices in the medium and long term, although gold prices will inevitably have periods of adjustment and accumulation, especially when the Israel-Iran conflict subsides. Accordingly, if the gold price surpasses 3,446 USD/oz, it may continue to increase to the 3,500 USD/oz area. Conversely, if the gold price trades below 3,446 USD/oz, it may adjust to around 3,344 - 3,373 USD/oz, or even lower. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3485 - 3483⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3489 →Take Profit 1 3477 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3471 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3417 - 3419⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3413 →Take Profit 1 3425 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3431
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,622 (UPDATE)Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up. Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BA_Investments
USOIL Will Move Higher! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 71.393. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 78.089 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
GOLD Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Trading refers to a price range on a chart where an imbalance exists between buyers and sellers, typically created by a sudden and strong price movement that leaves a gap with little or no trading activity. What is an FVG? It is a zone formed when price moves impulsively in one direction, causing a gap between the wicks or bodies of candles, indicating a market inefficiency or imbalance between supply and demand. Usually identified as a three-candle pattern where the middle candle is large relative to the candles before and after it, and there is no overlap between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle. This gap signals that the market has not fully "filled" or traded through this price range, suggesting that price may return to this zone to "fill" the gap before continuing in the original direction. Why is FVG Important in Trading? FVGs help traders identify areas where price is likely to retrace or pause, offering potential entry or exit points. They represent zones of imbalance where smart money (institutional traders) may have left orders unfilled, which price often revisits to achieve fair value. Traders use FVGs to anticipate trend continuation or reversals by waiting for price to return to these gaps and react accordingly. How to Identify an FVG? Look for a large impulsive candle flanked by smaller candles that do not overlap the large candle’s wick extremes. Draw a box between the high of the candle before the large candle and the low of the candle after it (for bullish FVG), or vice versa for bearish FVG. The price zone inside this box is the Fair Value Gap. Types of FVG: Bullish FVG: Created by a strong upward move, signaling a potential support zone where price may retrace before moving higher. Bearish FVG: Created by a strong downward move, signaling a potential resistance zone where price may retrace before moving lower. In essence, FVGs highlight market inefficiencies where price is expected to return to "fill" the gap, offering traders strategic zones for potential trades. WATCH GOLD REACTION AT 3350 .on geopolitical instability between Iran and Israel gold could touch 3500 and hit 3525-3530 and sell correction based on structure. #gold #dxy
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
4
Gold May Pull Back Short-Term📊 Market Overview: After several strong bullish sessions, gold prices are under short-term pressure as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East temporarily ease and the US Dollar shows slight recovery. While expectations for a steady Fed policy remain, traders are locking in profits after gold tested the $3,445 resistance zone. 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance: $3,445 – $3,460 Nearest Support: $3,394 – $3,380 EMA 09: Price has dropped below the 09 EMA, signaling a potential short-term bearish shift. RSI/Candles/Momentum: RSI is pulling back from overbought levels. A red candlestick pattern has emerged after a strong rally, suggesting a technical pullback may be forming. Trading volume is starting to decrease. 📌 Outlook: Gold may correct lower in the short term toward the $3,390–$3,380 support zone if it fails to reclaim the 09 EMA. However, the medium-to-long-term trend remains supported by safe-haven demand and dovish Fed expectations. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: SELL XAU/USD at: $3,440 – $3,445 🎯 TP: $3,420 ❌ SL: $3,455 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,390 – $3,395 🎯 TP: $3,410 ❌ SL: $3,380
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold bulls may restart at any time, buy gold!Although compared with the performance of gold during the day, gold only touched 3452 and then began to retreat, and even failed to approach the previous high of 3500, gold is not strong; but based on the current fundamentals and technical structure, gold is currently in a very strong bullish structure; so I think the gold retracement is not a sign of gold weakness, but to increase liquidity, so that gold can rise better and prepare in advance for breaking through 3500! Gold bulls are ready to restart at any time after the retracement! So for short-term trading, I don’t think the gold retracement is a reason for weakness, nor is it a certificate for chasing short gold; on the contrary, I think the gold retracement is a good time to buy on dips; first of all, the support area we have to pay attention to is the 3410-3400 area, and the second must pay attention to the 3390-3380 area support. So in the next transaction, we might as well use these two support areas as defense and start to go long on gold in batches!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450Gold market analysis: The continuous bombing of Israel and Iran for several days has allowed gold to stand on 3400 again. The big tombstone before the weekly line was wiped out, and the weekly line closed with a big positive line again, and formed a positive-enclosing-negative pattern. This is the long-term rebound caused by geopolitical factors. There is an old saying in the market that cannonballs are always worth a lot of gold. We are not sure how long the situation between Iran and Israel will last, but what is certain is that the buying situation is obvious. The next operation is to follow the buying. I estimate that gold will continue to rise this week. In addition, under such fundamentals that control the market, we must strictly carry out each order with a loss. The market will not change the trend because you resist the order. Following the trend is the kingly way. In the Asian session, we first focus on the hourly support of 3417 and the shape support of 3419. The position of 3417 is also the watershed of strength and weakness in the short term. If it breaks, it will reach around 3407. In addition, 3451 is the top of the daily line. There was a dive at this position before. If the daily line cannot stand on it for a long time, there is also the possibility of another dive. 3407 is a hurdle in the big cycle. If it breaks, it may bring a waterfall drop. Support 3417, strong support 3407, suppression 3451, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3417. Fundamental analysis: There are many fundamental analyses and data in the recent period. Geopolitical factors are the main reason for its violent fluctuations. In addition, there is a holiday in the United States this week, and there is also a Federal Reserve interest rate result. Operation suggestion: Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors