Futures market
GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,419.53
Target Level: 3,348.85
Stop Loss: 3,466.65
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Silver Gains on Tensions, Eyes on FedFriday’s strong U.S. data may support the dollar, as the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 60.5 in June from 52.2, beating forecasts of 53.5 and marking the first gain in six months.
Geopolitical tensions continue to drive safe-haven demand, especially for silver. Israel struck Iranian nuclear and missile sites Friday, killing military officials. On Sunday, Iran began its fourth phase of response, warning of firm retaliation to further Israeli actions.
Markets now turn to Wednesday’s Fed meeting. While rates are expected to stay unchanged, futures still price in two cuts this year, possibly starting in September, supported by last week’s soft inflation data.
Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. The short position against the trend needs to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add to long position. Stop loss at 3384. Target at 3445-3450. Continue to hold if it breaks.
Excellent last week / more Profits aheadAs discussed throughout my Friday’s session commentary: “ My position: Gold is Trading on Bullish extension due Middle East crisis escalation. I am looking at my calculated my re-Buy zones to Buy every dip on Gold and continue Scalping (Buy orders only) towards #3,452.80 benchmark potential extension. However if Gold closes the week below #3,400.80 benchmark, Gold will continue ranging and I will alter my perspective (less likely).
I have engaged multiple re-Buy Scalp orders on #3,412.80 Bottom and closed them on #3,420.80 and engaged Swing order on #3,423.80 which was closed on #3,4335.80 which finalized last week in excellent way.
Technical analysis: Gold has now completed the Daily chart’s Triangle peak (local High’s) and thus I am expecting a new Bullish direction starting early week’s phase towards #3,452.80 psychological benchmark and #3,500.80 benchmark in extension (needless to mention, fueled by renewed Middle East crisis escalation as an catalyst). Personally I believe it will be a big one on strong Bull Volume once Buying accumulation is done (happening now). Hourly 4 chart is extending strongly Golden Cross formation and points to an Bullish Short to Medium-term Buying sustainability. A green closing on today's session Daily chart’s candle points to Bullish direction / upwards motion in succession. Personally I believe that only if Selling benchmark gets invalidated and Sellers make a break-out to the downside (now at #3,400.80) does the trend resumes its previous Bearish bias. This is total Bullish trend and total Bullish domination.
Gold Poised for Bullish Continuation Within Rising ChannelGold (XAU/USD) is trading within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. Price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel and a demand zone, showing strong buyer interest. The Ichimoku cloud also suggests bullish momentum resuming. A clear breakout above the minor resistance zone aligns with the channel’s mid-line, suggesting price may continue higher. If momentum sustains, a push toward the upper resistance zone is likely. The structure indicates healthy retracement and continuation behavior, supported by institutional buying interest. As long as the channel and support zone hold, bullish continuation remains the most probable outcome in the short term.
Entry: 3330
1st Target: 3375
2nd Target: 3402
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to drop a like and comment . Your support keeps quality ideas flowing—let’s grow and win together! 💪📈
XAUUAD UPDATE 16- 6 +2025The chart you provided is a 45-minute time frame analysis for Gold CFDs (US$/OZ). Here's a breakdown of the key elements and what they suggest:
---
Current Price
$3,414.93, down -18.42 (-0.54%)
---
Analysis Summary
Price Action
The price has recently rejected from a resistance zone (around $3,445–$3,450).
It is currently pulling back, heading downward from this resistance.
Support Zones Highlighted
Multiple horizontal yellow zones mark previous support/resistance levels.
The key immediate support level lies near $3,400–$3,405.
A deeper support area is visible around $3,360–$3,365, and further below near $3,320.
---
Forecast Indication (Based on Markings)
A short-term pullback (blue arrow up) may retest the breakdown level (~$3,430).
Then, a potential drop toward the next support at $3,360 is expected (blue arrow down).
A bearish continuation scenario is emphasized with a red downward arrow, suggesting price may head further down to the $3,320 area if $3,360 fails to hold.
---
Implications for Traders
Bearish Bias: Suggested by the forecast arrows and recent resistance rejection.
Potential Setup:
Short on pullback near $3,430 (if price fails to reclaim this zone).
Target: $3,360 and possibly $3,320.
Stop-loss: Above $3,450 resistance.
---
Would you like a trading plan or signal based on this analysis?
Gold prices look set to reach a fresh ATHGold prices are up on Israel's attack on Iran, as traders and investors buy to hedge against inflation and the higher geopolitical war. Watch the video to learn what levels traders are watching.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Gold Reclaims Bullish Zone—Perfect Time for a Swing EntryGold has once again reclaimed bullish momentum after breaking through the key support zone around $3,412, previously a stubborn ceiling that had acted as resistance multiple times throughout late May and early June. The break above this level—validated by a decisive green Supertrend flip—indicates a short-term trend reversal in favor of buyers.
After a brief consolidation phase, XAUUSD formed a solid breakout candle, confirming upward momentum. The current price action sits comfortably above the Supertrend line, which is now acting as dynamic support, while volume has picked up notably during the move up—an important confirmation of institutional interest and breakout strength.
Trade Setup Breakdown
• Entry: Above the $3,412 breakout area (now acting as support)
• Stop Loss: Below the key support zone, ideally near $3,373–$3,375 to allow for wick re-tests and avoid premature exits
• Target/TP: Resistance zone marked near $3,484–$3,500, which aligns with a prior consolidation ceiling from late April and early May. This target offers a risk-reward ratio of approx. 2.3:1, which is favorable for a swing position.
• Re-entry Opportunity: If gold retraces back to the $3,373–$3,383 zone (support cluster), it would provide a high-probability re-entry while keeping the same TP of $3,500.
Why the Bias Is Bullish
1. Structure Break & Supertrend Flip
The key breakout above previous resistance was clean and confirmed by the Supertrend flip to green, a historically reliable short-term bullish signal.
2. Volume Confirmation
Volume spikes on the breakout candles confirm real buying pressure—not just a false breakout or low-liquidity movement.
3. Support Retest Potential
The $3,412–$3,383 zone now forms a strong demand area where buyers are likely to defend their positions if price pulls back. This zone also aligns with historical congestion from earlier price action.
4. Macro Context (Not in chart but relevant)
Ongoing economic uncertainty, rising global tensions, and interest rate speculation continue to boost gold's safe-haven appeal. Traders are increasingly rotating into gold during periods of macro volatility.
Outlook
Gold is likely to continue climbing toward the $3,500 mark unless it closes below $3,373 on high volume. Bulls appear to be in control, and even a minor pullback could serve as a buying opportunity. As long as the price remains above the flipped Supertrend and $3,373 support, the bullish case remains intact.
Geopolitical Tensions and Economic Uncertainty Impacting GoldFundamental Overview:
U.S. Dollar Impact: XAU/USD is heavily influenced by the U.S. Dollar. A weaker dollar typically boosts gold prices, as gold becomes cheaper for holders of other currencies. Any signs of low interest rates or inflation concerns in the U.S. could further weaken the dollar, providing a bullish scenario for gold.
Interest Rates & Inflation: If U.S. inflation remains high or if the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance (no rate hikes), XAU/USD is likely to rise as investors turn to gold as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical and Economic Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions or a financial market correction could boost safe-haven demand, pushing XAU/USD higher.
Expect a Retracement... BUT not a Reversal in S&P Hi Trading Community,
Just a quick update on what I expect price action to look like for the ES over the next couple of days.
As you know, I've been bullish on this move — and I still am. However, there is some justification for a potential retracement to key levels. In particular, my attention is on the 5928 area.
It's too early to call this a full reversal, but let’s stay sharp in our trading and continue learning.
#OneCandleStickAtATime
Today's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsFrom a daily chart perspective, the violent rally in USOIL driven by external factors has completely disrupted prior technical expectations. The sharp surge has also significantly exhausted future upside potential, explaining today's gap-up and subsequent decline. With minimal likelihood of near-term de-escalation in the Iran situation, USOIL is likely to remain bullish. However, severe overbought conditions on technical charts have disrupted structural expectations, necessitating a price correction.
Technically, the $70-$75 range serves as a reasonable short-term consolidation zone, contingent on no severe escalation in Iran tensions. Given the high probability of worsening tensions, USOIL may retest $75 and even challenge $80 driven by geopolitical developments.
Thus, while the market remains focused on Iran-related risks, the short-term bias remains bullish. Avoid chasing the rally recklessly. Focus on the $70.5-$71.5 pullback zone early in the week—consider long entries only after price consolidation in this area.
USOIL
buy@70.50-71.50
tp:74-76-78
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Crude oil continues to decline - latest market trend analysisThe international oil market is currently experiencing a classic upward cycle of "geopolitical risk premium". In the short term, oil prices will be highly sensitive to any news regarding the security of the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil has continued its volatile upward trend in the short term, surging to test the price near $74. The moving average system is bullishly aligned with oil prices, and the objective short-term trend direction remains upward.
In early trading, oil prices hit a new high near $75.30, but then surged and fell, closing with a bearish real body K-line. The short-term momentum still favors the bulls, and it is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level volatile upward rhythm.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
buy@68.5.0-69.5
TP:73.0-74.0
Gold trend remains unchanged, adjustment is accumulating
Last Friday, driven by the risk aversion sentiment in the Middle East, gold surged to 3445 in the Asian session and then fell under pressure. It stabilized and fluctuated at 3408 in the European session, and continued to fluctuate after probing 3346 for the second time in the US session. On Monday morning, it opened high and touched 3352 (upper track of the daily channel) and then came under pressure, but it was still mainly low-long under the support of risk aversion sentiment, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of event evolution.
Technical analysis
The weekly MACD high-level golden cross is shrinking, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, indicating that the shock is strong.
Key position: pressure: 3470 (parabolic turning point), 3500 (previous high). Support: 3365-3352 (weekly MA5/MA10 and naked K support).
The daily MACD golden cross is large, STO is overbought, and it is strong in the short term.
Key position: pressure: 3403-3398 (previous high conversion position). Support: 3387 (MA5), 3365 (MA10).
4-hour MACD high-level shrinking, STO adhesion, high-level oscillation.
Key position: Support: 3418-19, 3408 (short-term bullish defense line), followed by 3393-3378-3360. Moving average support: 3437 (MA5), 3423 (MA10).
Hourly MACD dead cross shrinking, STO downward, oscillation consolidation. Key support: 3331-3324 (middle track and MA30 overlap).
Trading strategy: Risk aversion is the main focus, but be wary of technical callbacks.
Short order opportunity
3446-48 light position short, stop loss 3453, target 3436-30-25.
3465-70 area short, stop loss 3475, target 3455-3440-3430.
Long order opportunity
3422-24 long, stop loss 3414, target 3432-45-52-65.
3394-96 long (stable), stop loss 3385, target to be determined (hold if it breaks through 3400).
Key observation points
Break above 3470: or test the 3500 mark.
Break below 3360: beware of a deep correction to the 3324-30 area.
Note: If the situation in the Middle East eases, long positions need to be adjusted in time; if it deteriorates suddenly, follow up with safe-haven buying.
Gold rebound continues to be short! (Exclusive trend analysis)Although gold has fallen below 3400, and the short-term direction has changed, the general direction remains unchanged and it is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize before we can buy the bottom. When there is an opportunity to go long later, Charlie will tell you that in today's market, we can only follow the trend. We will do whatever the market does. We will go short first in the rebound in the next two days! FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,600Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up.
Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
GOLD (XAUUSD) SELL SETUP – Triple Top Rejection Confirmed? Gold is currently testing a strong supply zone near the $3,450 resistance area for the third time. Each test has been followed by sharp rejections, forming a potential triple top pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal signal.
🔵 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $3,450 – Strong supply zone (highlighted blue zone)
Mid Support: $3,032 – Previous structure support & demand
Major Demand: $2,647 – Long-term demand zone (orange)
🔻 Bearish Signals:
Price failed to break above the $3,450 supply zone
Strong bearish wick and rejection candle
Lower highs on RSI/MACD (not shown but worth noting)
📌 Potential Trade Idea:
Entry: Near $3,400–$3,450 zone
Target 1: $3,032 (mid-term support)
Target 2: $2,647 (long-term demand)
SL: Above $3,470 (clear invalidation)
🗓️ As we move toward July, a break below $3,300 could trigger momentum selling down to $3,000 and even $2,647.
💬 What’s your bias on gold this week? Are we heading for a major correction or another bounce?
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TripleTop #BearishSetup #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #LuxAlgo #SwingTrade #Commodities
XAUUSD on bullish reversal H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently showing a bullish trend holding the Proper rising wedge pattern on H4,although I'm holding my trade from 3382 which is floating 150+ profits towards our Target
Bullish scanario:
I’ve identified my re-entry zones and plan to buy on every dip, focusing on scalping with buy positions only.
3380-3390 is the optimal buying area.
My target towards the $3430-3435 milestone on intraday.
However, if gold closes the H4 below the $3380 level, i will reassess my outlook towards 3355-3360.
Keep in mind market is on bullish reversal.
#XAUUSD
Iran seeks peace, Israel strikes – Gold dip, buy opportunity🌍 Iran's peace overtures sent gold prices plummeting to 3382, but Israel is unlikely to accept the olive branch lightly. With no clear signs of de-escalation in the Middle East situation, it's advisable to continue going long at lower levels 📉→📈
Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu vows military strikes will continue until Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile capabilities are fully dismantled—showing no signs of halting ⚡. While he claims regime change is not the objective, he notes that given the weakness of Iran's leadership, political upheaval could emerge as a collateral outcome of the operations 🌪️
🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3385 - 3390
🚀 TP 3410 - 3420
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold continues to rise! When will the price of gold fall?Market news:
In early Asian trading on Monday (June 16), London gold prices continued to rise last week, hitting a nearly seven-week high of $3,451/ounce, as Israel and Iran launched a new round of attacks on each other on Sunday (June 15), exacerbating market concerns that escalating wars may trigger wider regional conflicts, and international gold continued to receive support from safe-haven buying.The continued rise of gold during the conflict depends on whether it is in a bull market and whether the conflict is likely to escalate. The inflow of funds into gold stock ETFs shows an increase in retail interest, especially silver outperforming spot gold, suggesting that market sentiment is turning. In addition to the geopolitical situation, this week will also usher in the test of the US retail sales monthly rate (commonly known as "terror data") and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.This trading day also needs to pay attention to the US New York Fed Manufacturing Index in June and the G7 Leaders' Summit, and pay attention to China's May total retail sales of consumer goods and China's May industrial added value annual rate.
Technical Review:
The technical price of gold is in good condition with the buying structure of the trend. The MA10/7/5-day moving averages on the daily chart remain open upward, the RSI indicator is hooked upward, and the price is running in the upper and middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The moving average system of the short-term four-hour chart maintains a golden cross opening upward, the price gradually moves up from the high point of the MA10-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands remain open upward in the same hourly chart. Affected by the market fundamentals, gold has triggered risk aversion.The price of gold continues to rise, and the graphics of various time periods have formed obvious and strong support. In the daily chart, gold fell back to the trend line support after the triangle convergence breakthrough, and ushered in a rising trend again. In the short term, the upward momentum of gold is still strong. Based on the last round of retracement low of $3120 as the starting point of the wave structure, the push of the third wave may cause the price of gold to rise to $3600-3640. Combined with the current fundamentals, news and geopolitical situation, the medium- and long-term upward trend of gold is far from over.
Today’s analysis:
At present, the entire market is still affected by the geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Gold has been at a high level for a long time. If there is no turning point, the gold price will continue to remain above 3400 today. We will have the opportunity to see the gold price refresh the historical high of 3500 again today or tomorrow, and the probability is also very high. Then our operation idea is to buy to the end before the trend changes!
The trend of the gold one-hour market is still strong. From the short-term trend, it continues to maintain a high-level shock pattern, and the low point continues to rise. The high point has been continuously broken. Although the high opening and high movement of the Asian market failed to be directly continued, the high and fall back just gave us the opportunity to buy in!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3420-3423, stop loss at 3411, target at 3450-3470;
Sell short-term gold at 3468-3471, stop loss at 3480, target at 3420-3400;
Key points:
First support level: 3423, second support level: 3410, third support level: 3392
First resistance level: 3458, second resistance level: 3467, third resistance level: 3483
GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,393.80 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,414.38.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️