The chart you've shared is a 15-minute gold (XAU/USD) CFD tradinThe chart you've shared is a 15-minute gold (XAU/USD) CFD trading chart, and it illustrates a bullish trade setup based on price action and possible harmonic or pattern-based analysis. Here's the breakdown of the idea:
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📊 Trade Idea Overview:
Asset: Gold (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15-minute
Bias: Bullish (Buy/Long Setup)
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🔍 Technical Details:
Pattern Observed: Possible double bottom or bullish corrective wave structure (Elliott Wave or ABC correction completion).
Entry Point: Around $3,430.40 (market price at time of setup).
Take Profit (TP): ~$3,450.31
Stop Loss (SL): ~$3,420.03
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📐 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio:
Approximately 2:1, indicating a favorable reward relative to the risk.
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📈 Rationale for Bullish Bias:
Price has completed a series of lower highs and lower lows (a corrective phase).
Price has bounced from a key support zone (~$3,429), suggesting buyers are stepping in.
The blue projection arrow indicates an expectation of upward continuation.
Volume is relatively steady with no significant bearish spike, supporting a potential reversal.
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✅ Confirmation Indicators (Optional Additions):
You may want to look for:
Bullish candlestick patterns at the entry point (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
RSI divergence or bounce from oversold.
MACD crossover or histogram shift.
Trendline break confirmation on lower timeframes.
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⚠️ Trade Management Tip:
Consider trailing your stop once price reaches halfway to TP.
Watch for reaction at interim resistance levels (e.g., $3,440 area).
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Would you like me to generate a trade plan or script this into a trading journal format?
Futures market
Gold, continued to rise after a pullback
📌 Driving events
Israel and Iran launched a new round of attacks on each other on Sunday (June 15), exacerbating market concerns that the escalation of the war could trigger a wider regional conflict, and gold continued to receive support from safe-haven buying. (The author believes that according to media reports, Iranian leaders have shown a tougher attitude, and Iran cannot be ruled out to give Israel a strong counterattack, so the geopolitical situation in the Middle East may escalate in the next few days, and gold as a safe-haven asset will shine even brighter.
Kremlin: (On Putin's possible mediation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict) Russia is ready to intervene at any time if necessary. (The author hopes that the two countries will be reconciled as soon as possible)
📊Comment Analysis
1-hour chart: The rising channel breaks down, and short-term shorting is at 3442.
💰Strategy Package
Today's US market plans to sell high and buy low in the 3408-3452 range. If the range breaks, follow the trend, strictly lighten the position and set a good stop loss.
⭐️ Note: I hope traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
I hope everyone will set rules, control emotions, and take a long-term view, and slowly get rid of the control of desire, be at ease in the trading market, find their own way to make money, and truly enjoy the fun and rewards brought by trading.
SAHOL2! — 1DThe correction that began in mid-July 2024 does not appear to be complete yet. I interpret this movement as a WXY pattern, and it seems to be in the second sub-wave of the Y wave. I have marked the potential zones (green areas) and the key reversal levels within those zones with yellow lines.
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,327.72.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,385.41.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
xauusd Entry Level:
3,416.000 USD
Price is currently at 3,425.640 USD, so the entry was already triggered and the position is active and in profit.
Stop-Loss (SL):
3,407.500 USD
Positioned below the minor FVG area; protects against deeper downside if structure fails.
Take-Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: 3,423.000 USD (short-term scalp zone — already reached)
TP2: 3,439.000 USD (medium-term resistance)
TP3: 3,452.500 USD (strong upside target; likely near a previous high)
Shift Stop to entry after reaching TP1
Short positions fall as expected, long opportunities reappearToday, gold maintained high and fluctuated repeatedly after opening, but the upper side has not been effectively broken through. After repeated pressure, the resistance signal was confirmed. We arranged short orders near 3445. The market fell back as expected and accurately hit the target position. The trend was highly consistent with the prediction, which once again confirmed the trading concept of "planning before the market, execution before emotion".
From the current trend structure, gold is still in a bullish trend as a whole, and short-term adjustments are normal. The support below focuses on the 3420-3415 area, which is the first defense position for short-term retracement; and the more critical bullish defense line is still at the 3405-3400 line. If this area stabilizes, it is still our core layout area for low-multiples with the trend.
The daily structure is still intact, and the long arrangement of the moving average system has not been destroyed. Short-term fluctuations do not affect the overall bullish logic. Therefore, the operation is still based on retracement and main longs, and following the trend is the kingly way. Short orders can only be participated in the short term, and stop when you reach the point, and do not hold against the trend. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy at the bottom, and pay attention to it in time. The key next is to pay attention to the stabilization signals below and wait for the market to provide new opportunities for momentum release.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time. 🌐
The international situation is bad. Gold fell back.Information summary:
Latest news: Israeli fighter jets "flew freely" over Tehran, and Iran lost air supremacy over the entire west. Israel's goal turned to a wider range of Iranian military and infrastructure.
Iran's counterattack, Tel Aviv, Haifa and other Israeli cities are being attacked by Iranian missiles. Both sides are currently suffering heavy losses.
But the price of gold fell back at this time; I think the biggest reason is that this week, the global "super central bank week" is about to hit, the market will usher in a very critical Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and central banks such as Japan, Switzerland and the United Kingdom will also hold monetary policy meetings one after another, and investors are on high alert. Under the influence of multiple conditions, the price of gold has a technical correction.
Technical analysis:
From a technical point of view, the impact of the conflict in the Middle East did not directly push up prices, but instead rushed up and fell back, which shows that the market has great pressure on the upward trend. Therefore, for the upward trend, it is necessary to be relatively conservative.
From the position point of view, the support below is around 3410.
From a trading perspective, most traders are waiting for the release of some data, which will change the overall trend of gold. However, according to the latest analysis of 14 Wall Street analysts, 10 analysts expect prices to continue to rise.
So I guess that this time the gold price pullback is accumulating energy for upward movement. At present, the price has started to rise after falling back to around 3410. The point of this pullback rebound is expected to stop around 3440, and then start to fluctuate at a high level.
If the price breaks through 3440 strongly and stabilizes above this position, the price may hit the upward pressure level of 3455 again.
Middle East Tensions Soar, Bulls Remain DominantBrief Update on Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict:
On June 14, Israeli forces airstruck Iran's Defense Ministry, nuclear facilities, and oil installations—causing a Tehran residential building to collapse and killing 60 civilians. 💥
Iran fired 50 ballistic missiles into Israel, damaging structures in Tel Aviv. A senior advisor to Iran's Supreme Leader died from injuries; Israel released a hit list of 9 Iranian nuclear scientists. ⚠️
Iran Nuclear Talks Developments:
Iran announced new nuclear safeguards without IAEA notice, warning NPT withdrawal if sanctioned. 🛑
June 15th U.S.-Iran talks canceled. ⏳
The Middle East situation is currently heating up 🌍💥. With the intensifying of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend, gold is likely to continue to benefit from the boost of risk-averse sentiment next week and may break through the $3,500 mark 📈. The price of gold will also be affected by the Federal Reserve's decision and Powell's speech during the week 🏛️. In addition, US President Trump will visit Canada to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit from June 15th to 17th, and his speech at that time may also affect the fluctuation of gold prices, which is worthy of attention 🇺🇸🇨🇦
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3410 - 3415
🚀 TP 3480 - 3490
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD is on bullish momentum H1 & H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently showing a bullish trend due to the ongoing Middle East crisis.if th Escalation between Iran & isreal became more tense then focus on buying gold on every DIP.
Bullish scanario:
I’ve identified my re-entry zones and plan to buy on every dip, focusing on scalping with buy positions only.
3380-3390 is the optimal buying area.
At moment 3410 is the buying area because the relative trend line matched at this place.
My target is the potential extension towards the $3480 milestone.
Bearish Scenario:
However, if gold closes the H4 below the $3380 level, I expect it to shift into a ranging market 3380-3330 and I will reassess my outlook towards 3355 1st then 3335 on second target.
#XAUUSD
How to position gold in the week of the Federal Reserve’s decisiAs last week came to a close, further geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed market risk aversion to its highest level in nearly two months. This round of rising prices was driven by multiple factors. Among them, the weak inflation data released by the United States last week further strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's loose monetary policy, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold assets. In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue to be supported by risk aversion on Monday. In addition, the market this week needs to focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech on gold prices. Everyone should pay close attention to the price fluctuations that may be caused by the Fed's policy trends. It is particularly important to note that US President Trump plans to attend the G7 summit in Canada from June 15 to 17. His policy statements during the summit may also have an important impact on the gold market. Investors are advised to keep an eye on it.
Technically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
Gold recommends buying long positions near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline.XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 1H chart analysis:
📊 XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart shows a clear ascending channel pattern, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Price action is currently respecting the channel boundaries well.
🔹 Key Highlights:
Support Zone: The green horizontal zone around 3,310 – 3,330 represents a strong demand area where price previously reversed.
Resistance Zone: The upper green box near 3,460 – 3,470 marks a significant supply area where potential selling pressure could emerge.
Current Position: Price is trading near the mid-to-upper range of the ascending channel, showing bullish momentum.
🔀 Projection:
Two potential scenarios are outlined:
Bullish Continuation: Price may continue to respect the channel and push towards the resistance zone before reacting.
Bearish Reversal: If price fails to break higher and shows weakness, a breakdown below the channel could lead to a sharp move toward the lower demand zone (3,310 area).
📌 Outlook: Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline. A break above may lead to further gains, while rejection or bearish candlestick patterns could confirm a potential reversal setup.
June 16, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitiesSummary:
Ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran remains the key driver.
Until new fundamental developments emerge, I’ll maintain the strategy: buy on dips to support.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3500 – Bullish target
• 3485 – Resistance
• 3468 – Resistance
• 3450 – Bullish breakout level
• 3435 – Support
• 3415 – Major support
• 3400 – Psychological level & intraday key support
• 3392 – Support
• 3380 – Support
📉 Macro Strategy:
SELL if price breaks below 3415 → watch 3412, then 3408, 3404, 3400
BUY if price holds above 3450 → watch 3455, then 3468, 3475, 3485
👉 If you find this helpful and want to learn how I enter and set stop-losses, hit like — I may write a detailed post soon!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Monday and welcome to a new trading week. I marked my area of interest on the 4 hour chart. I am just looking for potential scalp trades, and I can see both buy and sell set ups forming. I am watching as gold carves out it's paths over the first few days of the trading week. I think this week is going to have some big moves. Let's see how the next 4 hour candle closes and at that point we will be closer to Pre NY volume. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold becomes a strategic anchorPrecious metals continue to climb as investors rush into safe-haven assets following Israel’s airstrikes on Iran, sparking fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East. Many now view the confrontation between Israel and Iran as the most significant geopolitical event since the Russia–Ukraine war. In times of economic turbulence and geopolitical uncertainty, gold once again stands out as a reliable store of value.
Adding to the bullish case, weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data earlier this week has strengthened expectations of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This shift has put downward pressure on the dollar and Treasury yields, giving gold even more room to rise.
From my perspective, when geopolitics and monetary policy both signal instability, gold is no longer just a defensive hedge — it becomes a proactive strategy. Holding gold right now is not just about safety — it’s about positioning for a new phase where capital seeks true value and trusted refuge.
XAU/USD 16 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous bullish iBOS and subsequent printing of bearish CHoCH, price did not pullback to either M15 supply zone, or discount of internal 50% EQ, therefore, I will not mark current iBOS but will mark it in red. The reason I am not classifying this as an iBOS is, due to relative price action, the internal range would be too narrow.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD - Near to his resistance region? Cut n reverse area??#GOLD.. .market just reached near to his current resistance region that is around 3451-52 to 3460-61
Keep close that mentioned region and keep in mind that is our ultimate region and only short expected below that.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse abo w that region on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely