XAUUSDXAUUSD (Gold Spot/USD) based on the provided chart data:
Key Data:
Current Price: 3,434.15 USD (+0.12%)
Recent Range: 3,420–3,440 (consolidation zone)
Critical Levels:
Resistance: 3,440 → 3,442.30 → 3,500+
Support: 3,420 → 3,400 → 3,380
Volume: 32.62K (+1.40% increase)
Trading Plan:
1. Neutral Stance (Wait for Confirmation)
Price is trapped in a tight range. No clear trend → High risk of false breakouts.
2. Buy Signal (If Confirmed)
Trigger: Sustained breakout above 3,440 (close > 3,442.30 reinforces validity).
Target: 3,460 → 3,480 → 3,500.
Stop-Loss: Below 3,430 (or 3,425 for tighter risk).
3. Sell Signal (If Confirmed)
Trigger: Breakdown below 3,420 (close < 3,418.00).
Target: 3,400 → 3,380 → 3,360.
Stop-Loss: Above 3,435 (or 3,440 for aggressive entries).
Critical Risk Notes:
✅ Tight Stops Essential: Use 5-10 point SLs (volatility risk).
✅ Volume Check: Only trade breakouts with rising volume.
✅ POE Alert: The Point of Control (POE) at 3,338.63 hints at deeper downside potential if 3,420 breaks.
❌ Avoid Forced Trades: No trade > low-risk opportunity.
Why This Approach?
Gold is testing mid-range levels after a minor uptick. Without a decisive move above 3,440 (bullish) or below 3,420 (bearish), patience is optimal. Monitor for:
U.S. dollar strength & Fed policy cues.
Geopolitical/news triggers (gold is sensitive to risk sentiment).
Final Call: 🟡 Wait for 3,420 or 3,440 break before acting.
Stay disciplined! 🚦
Futures market
Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remains the core driver propelling oil prices higher. With U.S.-Iran relations at a critical juncture and the Ukrainian attack on the Crimean Bridge exacerbating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, markets are increasingly concerned about potential disruptions to Black Sea crude exports. As a key channel for 2% of global crude oil supplies, risks to Black Sea exports directly threaten supply chain security, triggering a surge in short-term market risk aversion and driving oil prices sustainably higher.
Since crude oil broke through the $64.8 resistance level with a solid candlestick last week, we have maintained a consistent bullish stance. After two weeks of consolidative oscillations, prices finally broke free from the trading range, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish momentum. When oil prices pulled back to the $71.5–$72.0 range last Friday, we once again emphasized the short-term long strategy, which was subsequently followed by a sharp rally catalyzed by news developments. With the current trend clearly defined, we advise trading in line with the momentum: short-term long positions can be initiated above $71.0 at the start of the week.
USOIL
buy@71-72
tp:75-78
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Beyond the Headlines - Gold Outlook June 16-20, 2025Beyond the Headlines: Gold's Ascent Amidst Global Shifts & Key Technicals 🌐🚀
Everything about the last week can be found here:
OANDA:XAUUSD 💰📈
We all know what's going on, I believe. Israel struck Iran 💥, and this conflict will likely take a bit before things cool down. 🥶
---
## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰
### Israel / Iran
Since June 12, Israel launched "Operation Rising Lion," targeting Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz and Esfahan – over 128 killed, Iran claims. 🇮🇷 retaliated with missile and drone strikes on Haifa and Tel Aviv, killing at least 10. 🚀
**Outlook:** 🔥 Tensions are spiraling. Without urgent mediation, full-scale regional war remains a real risk. 💣
### India / Pakistan
Since the May ceasefire, few clashes have occurred. However, both navies increased readiness, signaling potential escalation at sea. 🚢
**Outlook:** ⚖️ Peace is fragile. A strategic dialogue is key to avoiding a renewed border or maritime conflict. 🙏
### Gaza Conflict
Between June 7–15, Israeli strikes killed at least 41 Palestinians, including 8 near an aid center in Rafah. Over 55,000 total deaths, and famine is looming. 💔
**Outlook:** 🆘 Gaza remains a humanitarian catastrophe. Global pressure for access and a ceasefire must intensify. 🕊️
### Russia / Ukraine
June 13–15: Russia returned the bodies of 1,200 Ukrainian soldiers in a rare POW swap gesture. 🤝 Fighting remains intense in Sumy and Toretsk; Russia hit a major oil refinery. 🏭
**Outlook:** 🕊️ While symbolic moves continue, no peace is in sight – battlefield outcomes will shape diplomacy. ⚔️
### U.S. - China Trade War
The U.S. hiked tariffs to 55% on key Chinese goods. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 responded with 10% on U.S. imports. Talks yielded a partial truce, but military-use rare earths remain unresolved. 💻
**Outlook:** 🔧 Tech remains the battleground. Without progress on critical materials, the trade war may deepen. 📉
### Global Trade War
The OECD revised global growth downward due to rising tariffs from the U.S. targeting 🇨🇳, 🇲🇽, 🇨🇦. Global trade volume is expected to shrink by 0.2–1.5%. 📉
**Outlook:** ⛓️ Supply chain disruption is spreading. Global trade will stay under pressure without coordinated policy. 🌍➡️🌍
### Trump vs. Powell
Trump labeled Powell a "numbskull" for not cutting rates, suggesting he might "force something" if re-elected. 🗳️ The Fed maintains policy independence ahead of a critical June decision. 🏛️
**Outlook:** ⚔️ Political pressure on the Fed is mounting. Expect more friction as the election cycle heats up. 🔥
### U.S. Inflation
CPI rose 2.4% YoY in May (from 2.3%); Core CPI held steady at 2.8%. Monthly growth was modest at 0.1%. Key rises were seen in healthcare and vehicle prices. 🚗🏥
**Outlook:** Inflation is stable but sticky. 🚦 The Fed will likely hold rates steady until clearer disinflation signals appear. 📊
---
## Technical View 📐📈
### Market Structure:
Gold shows a clear **bullish market structure** with higher highs and higher lows. ⬆️ Recent price action suggests we're in a strong uptrend with institutional buying pressure. 🏦
### Key Levels:
* The chart shows a significant low around the **$3,245 area** (marked as "Low") which could act as a key institutional support level. 💪
* The current high near **$3,446** represents a potential institutional resistance zone. 🛑
* Look for potential **order blocks** around the **$3,380-$3,400 range** where price consolidated before the recent breakout. 🧱
### Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
There appear to be several gaps in the price action during volatile moves, particularly during strong rally phases. These could act as future support/resistance areas. 📉📈
### Gann Analysis:
The price movement shows strong adherence to Gann principles:
* The rally from the low follows a steep angle, suggesting strong momentum. 🚀
* Key Gann angles would place support around the **$3,300-$3,320 zone**. 📐
* The current price near **$3,436** is testing natural resistance levels based on Gann square calculations. 📏
### Fibonacci Levels:
From the significant swing low to the current high:
* 23.6% retracement: ~$3,395 📉
* 38.2% retracement: ~$3,370 📉
* 50% retracement: ~$3,345 📉
* 61.8% retracement: ~$3,320 📉
The golden ratio levels suggest key support on any pullback would be around the **$3,370-$3,345 zone**. ✨
### Institutional Levels:
* **Weekly/Monthly Levels:** The **$3,400** and **$3,450** areas appear to be significant institutional levels based on round numbers and previous price action. 🏦💰
* **Smart Money:** The accumulation pattern before the breakout suggests institutional participation. 🧠💡
### Cycle Timing:
Based on the timeframe (appears to be 30-minute bars from May 26-June 15):
* We're seeing approximately **3-week cycles** in the major moves. 🗓️
* The current rally phase appears to be in its mature stage. 🌳
* The next potential cycle turn could be approaching, suggesting caution for new longs at current levels. ⚠️
---
### Trading Considerations:
* Watch for rejection at current levels near **$3,446**. 📉
* Key support confluence around **$3,370-$3,345** for potential re-entry. 🎯
* Volume and momentum divergences would be critical for timing any reversal. 📊🔄
Other indicators tend to show bullish scenario enhancements. 🚀
Gold has formed a ** Standard Bullish Flag pattern ** over a time from early April till today. 🚩🐂
Also, the structure of a ** reverse Head & Shoulders ** is existing and has broken the neckline! 🔄🗣️
Another indicator is an existing "** Ascending Bull Flag **." ⬆️🚩
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
USOIL Remains Bullish Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Steady Fed USOIL – Bullish Outlook Amid Geopolitical and Policy Factors
The ongoing escalation in the Middle East, combined with Jerome Powell's stance on holding interest rates steady, continues to support bullish momentum across commodities, including oil.
Technical Outlook:
USOIL remains bullish as long as it trades above 72.72 and more firmly above 70.40, with upside potential toward 77.30 and 79.50. If bullish momentum persists, a further extension to 84.14 is possible, supported by geopolitical risks.
A bearish shift is only likely if significant de-escalation or negotiations between Israel and Iran take place.
Key Levels:
• Pivot Point: 72.90
• Resistance: 77.29, 79.50, 84.10
• Support: 66.87, 63.52, 59.00
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while price holds above 68.53
Safe-Haven Demand Expected to Push Gold Prices Toward 3500Last week, intensifying conflict between Israel and Iran triggered a strong wave of risk-off sentiment in the markets.
As a result, we saw sharp rallies across major safe-haven assets and crude oil.
Over the weekend, tensions continued to escalate and even showed signs of further expansion.
Under such circumstances, it's clear that heightened geopolitical risk will continue to support gold prices.
However, 📍$3500 remains a major resistance zone at the moment.
If gold spikes to this level intraday, it’s very likely we’ll see a short-term pullback —
Whether due to profit-taking, cautious positioning by sideline capital, or selling pressure from trapped shorts above 3490,
⚠️ this kind of correction is a natural market reaction — driven by human nature.
Even with strong risk-off demand in place, after a $200 rally,
the market is still subject to volatility from profit-taking behaviors.
🔑 Trading Strategy for This Week
As long as tensions in the Middle East persist,
🎯 the primary bias remains bullish.
However, the entry point is crucial.
💡 Important notes:
Avoid chasing price after sudden spikes caused by breaking news.
Those spikes are not ideal buy zones — instead, look for short-term selling opportunities at those highs.
Once the price pulls back, assess the retracement level and key supports before looking to buy the dip.
We are now within a historically high price range,
which means any rally could trigger profit-taking from earlier longs.
While the overall trend may still head higher,
⚠️ you need to carefully evaluate the size of potential pullbacks and whether your account can withstand the associated risks.
📊 Technical Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3450-3455 (minor), 3468-3474 (previous high), and 3487-3499 (major historical high)
Support: 3420–3410 zone, and the deeper 3400–3386 range
Stay alert, trade wisely, and remember — in volatile geopolitical environments,
timing and discipline are more important than ever.
Middle East Conflict Boosts Gold – But Is a Pullback Coming FirsGold is surging as the Middle East conflict intensifies, fueling a rush to safety. We’ve seen a clear breakout from the recent range, with a significant gap up at the open. While momentum could drive price to new highs, I’m eyeing a pullback to key zones for a cleaner entry—either at the trendline retest or a daily weakness setup.
Gold Ready for Bullish MoveXAU/USD 15-Minute Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup
Gold is forming a bullish structure above the support zone near 3427.100. Price has bounced from a demand zone and is now consolidating just below resistance. If the support holds, a bullish move toward the 3446.880 target area is expected. However, if price dips to retest 3427 and holds, it may offer a new long entry opportunity.
Key Levels:
• Support Zones: 3427.100 and 3419.215
• Resistance Target: 3446.880
• Outlook: Bullish above 3427
Gold Eyes ATH Amid Escalating Geopolitical TensionsGOLD – OVERVIEW
Commodities, particularly gold, are experiencing strong bullish pressure due to escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of negotiation or de-escalation, the ongoing conflict continues to fuel safe-haven demand. As long as geopolitical risks remain elevated, bullish momentum in commodities is expected to persist.
Technical Outlook:
Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3404. Holding above this level supports a continuation toward the ATH at 3486, with potential extensions to 3529 and 3560. A retest of the 3404 support remains possible, and an opening gap toward 3486 cannot be ruled out. Overall, the prevailing trend remains upward.
A bearish scenario would only be valid if tensions in the Middle East ease significantly or if negotiations between Israel and Iran begin.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3431
• Resistance: 3486, 3529, 3560
• Support: 3404, 3381, 3347
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders,
Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇.
Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning.
Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309.
Key Drivers for the Week Ahead:
📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday)
US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London
High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive".
The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard
Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST / 04:12 EDT).
These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model.
The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy.
Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥
📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%.
📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows.
Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%.
📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄.
Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements.
Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch:
Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move.
Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously.
Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment.
Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃
Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍
India / Pakistan
The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability.
Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️
Gaza Conflict
Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point.
Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌
Russia / Ukraine
In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled.
Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️
U.S.–China Trade War
Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation.
Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔
🌐 Global Trade War
The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED.
Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗
🏛 Trump vs. Powell
Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut.
Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯
💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025
Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11.
Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑
Technical View 📐
Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome.
Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image.
As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄
Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩
Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅
Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗
While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting.
Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂.
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
XAU/USD 16-20 June 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025.
Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH.
This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments.
Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD Opening Move In BuyGold prices maintain its upward trajectory on Friday, reaching its peak level since late April above the $3,400 mark per troy ounce. Furthermore, the precious metal draws increased safe-haven interest amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, triggered by Israel's military action against Iran.
Gold Rises Amid Growing Economic RisksXAU/USD (Gold) Rises Amid Growing Economic Risks
Gold surged 1.5% on Friday during Asian trading as investors sought refuge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. The safe-haven demand pushed gold prices closer to a 7-week high. If the conflict intensifies further, prices could potentially reach the $3,500 mark.
Resistance zone 3450 / 3480
Support Level 3420 / 3410
Technically if the gold consolidation 3420 above continues to start the resistance Growth may continue you may see more details in the chart.
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Tuesday, gold dipped to around $3,374 in the early trading session, then rebounded to the intraday high. In the U.S. trading session, it is currently quoted at about $3,388, approaching the psychological level of $3,400. From the 4-hour chart of gold, the current upward momentum remains intact. The support below is focused on around $3,350, and the strong support is highlighted in the $3,350-$3,330 area, which is also the position of the 5-week moving average. Only by breaking the $3,350 area is there hope to reverse the trend and fall completely. If it does not break here, the bulls may still repeat.
Regarding the current trend, gold tends to continue to test the bottom and then rebound, maintaining a large range of sweeping. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long when gold rebounds to the vicinity of 3370-3360, with the target looking at the 3490-3400 range. The short strategy is to go short near 3400, with the target looking at the 3370-3350 line.
XAUUSD
buy@3370-3360
tp:3390-3400
sell@3395-3400
tp:3370-3350
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Oil Eyes $90+ as U.S.–Iran Conflict LoomsWTI Crude Oil — Bullish Reversal in Play as War Risk Escalates
Technical & Geopolitical Outlook — Weekly Chart | 17 June 2025
🧭 Current Market Condition:
WTI crude oil is breaking out of a multi-month falling wedge, a classically bullish reversal pattern, after bouncing from the $67–68 support region. This technical move is further amplified by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly fears of a potential U.S. military strike on Iran, which would threaten global oil supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz.
The current breakout attempt aligns with a sentiment shift from oversold to recovery mode, supported by a sharp rise in weekly momentum indicators.
📊 Key Technical Highlights:
Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout: Price breaking above descending resistance.
Key Resistance Levels:
$76.67 – immediate supply zone
$92.82 – prior breakout area; major target if breakout sustains
Key Support Levels:
$71.28 – breakout retest level
$67.00–$68.00 – wedge base, strong historical support
$52.00 – longer-term bearish invalidation (unlikely unless demand collapses)
Momentum: Weekly stochastic sharply rising from bottom, signaling strength building.
🔺 Bullish Scenario — If U.S. Attacks Iran:
If the U.S. carries out military strikes on Iranian targets, oil prices are highly likely to:
Price in geopolitical risk premium of $10–$20/barrel.
Spike toward $90–$100 range within days or weeks due to:
Fears of supply disruption (Hormuz choke point)
Panic buying and short covering
Strategic reserves hoarding
Technical Targets:
$76.67 → Break above confirms bullish continuation
$92.82 → First major upside target
$100–$110 → Stretch target if conflict escalates or prolongs
🛢️ Energy traders and institutions typically front-run geopolitical escalations, so price can jump before any physical conflict if tensions remain unresolved or rhetoric intensifies.
🔻 Bearish Scenario — Fake Breakout or De-escalation:
Rejection from $76.67 or failure to hold above $71.28 can trigger pullbacks.
If tensions cool and Iran conflict is diplomatically diffused:
WTI may slide back toward $68.00 and re-enter the wedge.
Below $67.00, oil could revisit $60–$52 range in a risk-off macro environment.
🛡️ Risk Management & Outlook:
Geopolitical events can override technicals, especially in commodities.
Gaps, whipsaws, and sharp reversals are common — caution with overnight positions.
Consider hedging strategies or limited-risk option plays if trading leveraged oil instruments.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trump's comments boost risk aversionThe 4-hour K-line pattern of gold shows that the upward trend remains intact. The focus of the day is on the strong support range of 3360-3365 (technical resonance with the 5-week moving average). Before the price effectively breaks below the support band, the bulls still have upward momentum, otherwise the trend may reverse. The 3365-3420 range is maintained for the day. In the evening, the gold operation strategy, Mr. Weng, suggested that the callback to the 3370-3375 area should be arranged in batches. If the support of 3360-3365 is broken, add positions to go long.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long at the callback to 3370-3375 for gold now, and add positions to go long at the support level of 3360-3365, with a stop loss at 3352 and a target of 3380-3420.
OIL🛢️ Oil is caught in an unbalanced price zone due to rising global tensions.
Prices have spiked and with that, inflation risks are back on the table.
Now here's the play I see forming:
📌 The Fed might choose not to cut interest rates as a way to cool inflation without printing more money.
📌 This also puts pressure on China to act since rising oil prices hurt their economy too, they may push Iran to scale back aggression in order to stabilize global markets.
Everything is connected. This isn’t just about oil it’s about global strategy, inflation control, and power dynamics.
06/17/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysisEOD accountability report: +1,337.50
Sleep: 9 hours
Overall health: Good, was averaging 40k steps the week before, now around 20k avg,
need to get it up to 25k steps min per week.
**What was my initial plan? **
Went into the market pretty neutral today with the mindset that it should be the calm before storm (fomc tomorrow), There was a string defense of 1 min MOB in the morning and that gave me the belief that early part of the day was going to be bullish so i took a few stabs at support and made my money.
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)** 4/4
— 9:34 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
— 10:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal) :check:
— 11:36 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal (double signal) :check:
— 1:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check:
Next day plan--> Above 6015 = Bullish, Under 6005= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts