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Is gold (XAUUSD) building up for a possible push higher?With the economic data sets, which we are getting and will be getting this week, all eyes on gold, and its possible move to the all-time high. Apart from this, the geopolitical tensions are also something that is fueling gold demand. But what are the technical saying? Let's take a look. TVC:GOLD FX_IDC:XAUUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
by Marketscom
Why Silver Could Outperform Gold in the Coming Months? Silver recently broke out above the key 34.85 resistance level, and this could be a game changer for the medium-term outlook. With rising concerns over government debt, trade uncertainty, and escalating geopolitical risks, gold rallied strongly from 2000 to 3500. Gold and silver typically have a high correlation, and silver tends to follow gold. However, during the latest tariff-driven rally, gold pushed toward 3500 while silver failed to keep up. So, why did gold outperform silver this time? The answer lies in the demand dynamics. Gold demand primarily comes from the investment side, while silver demand has traditionally been balanced around 50% investment and 50% industrial use. That balance has now shifted significantly. According to the Silver Institute, only 17.8% of 2025 silver demand is expected to come from investments. If we group jewelry and silverware with investment as a “store of value” category, the mix becomes 61% industrial and 39% investment. This shift has been driven by a surge in silver demand from the electrical and electronics sector. The growth of clean energy and AI technologies has accelerated silver usage. In fact, the electrical and electronics sector is projected to account for 40.5% of total silver demand in 2025. This explains why slowing global trade and economic activity have had a more negative effect on silver compared to gold, pushing the gold/silver ratio to historically high levels. That said, this same dynamic could fuel silver’s rise in the coming years, supported by long-term trends in clean energy and advanced technology. The breakout of 34.85 is a significant technical development . Silver has been in an active uptrend channel since 2024, but the 34.85 level repeatedly capped upward moves since October. With this breakout, silver now has room to rise gradually toward the upper boundary of the channel, potentially reaching near 40. Key support levels to watch are 34.85 and 34.45. As long as they hold, the primary direction remains upward. The moves may be gradual but could include sharp surges and continuation patterns like flags.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ftdsystem
Analysis of the latest gold trend on June 17: 1. Current market drivers Weakened safe-haven demand: Gold prices fell from a nearly two-month high in the European session, mainly because the performance of global equity markets has actively weakened gold's safe-haven appeal. Federal Reserve policy expectations: The market focuses on the FOMC decision on Wednesday. Although interest rates are expected to remain unchanged, traders are betting that the Fed may release dovish signals (such as further rate cuts in 2025) due to slowing inflation and economic cooling, suppressing the dollar and supporting gold. Geopolitical risks: The escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel and trade policy uncertainty still provide potential support for gold, but the market reaction is temporarily mild, limiting the rise in gold prices. 2. Key technical points Short-term trend: Monday opened high and fell, breaking the 3,400 mark, forming a small-level top, and weakening in the short term. Support level: First support: 3383-3380 (intraday low) Second support: 3360 (Daily MA5 and weekly key support) Resistance level: 3403-3408 (anti-pressure area after breaking, short-term defense position) 3. Operation strategy Short-term: Short-selling on rebound: intervene when the 3403-3408 range is blocked, stop loss is set above 3410, target 3385-3360. Long-term callback: if it falls to the 3360-3380 area and stabilizes (with daily MA5 support), you can lightly position long orders, stop loss below 3350, target 3400. Mid-term: Wait for the bottom to be confirmed (such as a double bottom or a large-volume rebound near 3360), and then arrange medium- and long-term long orders, looking towards 3500. 4. Risk Warning FOMC Decision: If the Fed is unexpectedly hawkish (such as downplaying expectations of rate cuts), it may trigger a further correction in gold; a dovish stance may restart the rally. Geopolitical Situation: If the conflict in the Middle East suddenly worsens, gold prices may rebound quickly, and positions need to be adjusted flexibly. Key Operation Range Today Short Entry: 3403-3408 (Stop Loss 3415, Target 3380) Long Entry: 3380-3360 (Stop Loss 3355, Target 3400)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
GOLD The relationship between gold, the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield, and interest rates has traditionally been a key focus for investors. Historically, gold prices and bond yields have shown a strong inverse correlation, but recent years have seen some deviations due to shifting macroeconomic and geopolitical dynamics. 1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield Inverse Correlation: For nearly two decades, gold and the 10-year Treasury yield moved in opposite directions: rising yields made bonds more attractive relative to gold (which pays no interest), causing gold prices to fall, and vice versa. Recent Divergence: Since 2022, this relationship has weakened. Despite rising yields, gold prices have remained strong or even increased, largely due to unprecedented central bank gold buying and heightened geopolitical risks. Current Data: As of June 16, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.46%, up from 4.20% a year ago. Gold prices remain elevated, reflecting persistent demand despite higher yields. 2. Gold and Interest Rates Opportunity Cost Effect: Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, typically leading to lower gold prices. When rates fall, gold becomes more attractive, supporting price gains. Real Interest Rates: The most relevant metric is the real interest rate (nominal rate minus inflation). Gold’s correlation with real yields is strongly negative (historically around -0.82): when real yields fall or turn negative, gold prices rise as investors seek alternatives to low or negative real returns. Central Bank Policy: Expectations of rate cuts by major central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, tend to boost gold prices by lowering real yields and the dollar’s appeal. Real interest rates (adjusted for inflation) are the most important driver for gold’s price direction. As of June 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield is 4.46%, with markets watching for potential rate cuts that could further support gold prices. Conclusion: While gold traditionally moves opposite to bond yields and interest rates, the relationship has become more complex in 2025. Central bank demand, geopolitical risks, and real interest rates now play a larger role in gold price dynamics alongside traditional monetary policy factors.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Silver (XAGUSD) Analysis - Market looking strong!Why? I have been pro-actively trading this market over the last few weeks and months due to its strong bullish nature that it is showcasing. This market is trending very nicely and has delivered the perfect market conditions for me to go LONG. I know this because the impulsive waves are strong and are created with high volume. Rather than seeing typical corrections, we are seeing the formation of Re-Accumulations (stepping stones) to take price higher. My Predictions Price is showing no signs of wanting to slow down or stop. Therefore my bias remains Bullish. As of currently, we can see price has began to consolidate and enter the creation of another Re-Accumulation. Clearly with the red highlight, we can see price has liquidated the recent lows which is a sign that the institutions are getting involved. I am expecting price to continue bullish from here, to break the current market high and continue its next leg higher. I will be looking to get involved once price reaches and breaks the 36.900 level CONFLUENCES - Sentiment is above 80% Bullish ( MentFX Sentiment Source ) - Swing lows are being protected - The effect being created by the cause is strong (Wyckoff Theory) - Demand is clearly in control - We are in a mark-up phase of the Wyckoff price cycles (The best phase to go long) - Given the political uncertainty around the dollar right now, more investors are looking to pump money into alternative assets e.g Gold and Silver.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by JamesLAGFX
GOLD (XAUUSD) Daily Analysis Potential Rejection at Supply Zone Gold is currently trading at $3,383, right inside a major daily supply zone between $3,370–$3,403, as identified by the LuxAlgo Visible Range. Price has tested this zone multiple times and is now showing signs of exhaustion. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔹 Strong Daily Supply Zone (Resistance): Price is currently consolidating inside a key supply zone where previous rejections have occurred. The repeated failure to break above this level may trigger a bearish move soon. 🔹 Double Top / Triple Tap Formation: Price action is hinting at a potential double top or distribution phase, which often signals a major reversal pattern. 🔹 Bearish Targets in Sight: If price breaks below the minor support at $3,350: 🔻 Target 1: $2,997 – Previous strong demand zone and support. 🔻 Target 2: $2,602 – Critical demand zone with historical buying pressure. 🧠 Market Sentiment: Gold has been in a strong uptrend since November 2024, but the momentum is now stalling at a psychological barrier. With potential bearish divergence forming and economic data releases ahead (📰 US economic news event marked), bulls might take profits, leading to a deeper pullback. ⚠️ Trading Plan: 📌 Sell Zone: $3,380–$3,400 🎯 Take Profits: $3,000, $2,600 🛑 Invalidation: Clean break above $3,410 with strong volume 💬 What’s your take on gold – is this a trap or the beginning of a major drop? Comment below! 👇 🔔 Follow for daily trade setups and live market insights! #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #Forex #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #BearishReversal #TradingSetup #LuxAlgo #SmartMoney #FrankFx14
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
XAUUSD-it is very likely ATH in weekGold prices are being directly affected by the Israel-Iran tensions, the risk of trade conflicts due to the new US tariff policy, and concerns about slowing global economic growth. However, gold prices suddenly fell in the context of improving risk appetite of investors as they get used to the "new normal". Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, commented that if this rally starts to lose momentum, it could be a double top pattern for gold. Giving advice to investors, according to Mr. Pavilonis, they should start considering reducing their gold position at this time if they missed the opportunity to take profits at $3,509. When gold is peaking, investors see other markets moving higher, such as silver, platinum and palladium.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SimonaLawson
Today's gold price: support level 3335-3370,resistance level3400Today's gold price: support level 3335-3370, resistance level 3400-3420 On Tuesday (June 17), spot gold once again reversed the previous trading day's decline and closed at $3380. As concerns about geopolitical conflicts between Israel and Iran re-heated, the US dollar rose and became the headline of trade news. From a technical perspective: Before the Fed announces its policy, our trading ideas for gold prices are still in a state of buying on dips. News interpretation: Recently, as the market's acceptance of the possibility of the Fed continuing to cut interest rates in 2025 continues to increase, the US dollar is unlikely to attract strong buying, thereby providing support for interest-free assets such as gold. On the other hand, Israel's attack on Iran's state TV triggered a strong response from Iran, claiming that it would carry out the "largest missile attack in history." Near the Strait of Hormuz, three oil tankers caught fire and geopolitical tensions intensified. Summary: Market risk appetite has cooled significantly, still providing strong momentum for safe-haven buying of gold. As shown in Figure 4h: The gold daily chart maintains a clear ascending triangle convergence and oscillation trend, Support level: 3370-----3335. . If this area is effectively broken, the short-term upward structure may be destroyed and the price will face further downside risks. Current strong resistance level: $3,400. If it is successfully broken, it will open up the upside space to the $3434-3435 range, and then challenge the multi-week high of $3451-3452. The ultimate goal: still pointing to the historical high of $3,500. This position is also the overlapping area of ​​the upper rail of the channel, which has a strong technical resistance significance. From the current 4 hours, if the price falls directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. Specific operation ideas: Buying ideas: Buy: 3370-3375 Target: above 3400 Stop loss: 3360-3365 Selling ideas: Sell: 3415-3420 Target: 3390-3380 Stop loss: 3425-3430
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa21210
Gold precision operation ideas！News interpretation: This week, the Fed's policy meeting, retail sales data and geopolitical situation will become the three core factors affecting the global market. The Fed may keep interest rates unchanged, but its economic forecasts and statements on future rate cuts will directly affect the market's judgment on the trend of the US dollar. If the Fed releases dovish signals, the US dollar may be under pressure in the short term, but geopolitical risks and safe-haven demand may provide support for it. On the contrary, if the Fed emphasizes inflation risks, the US dollar may strengthen, but this may put pressure on global risk assets. In the long run, the fate of the US dollar is still closely related to the Fed's balancing act. Under the multiple challenges of inflation, employment and geopolitics, every step of the Fed will affect the nerves of the global market. Analysis of gold trend: Gold closed strong and full last week, and after the previous retracement, it has accumulated momentum. The weekly chart failed to further lose the defense of the 10-week line, the lifeline of the bulls. After the consolidation, it regained momentum and closed above 3,400, breaking the previous secondary high. It destroyed the pattern of further adjustment, and the weekly line is bullish. From the weekly level, the gold price is supported by the support level of 3258-60. From the mid-term perspective, it is still in the mid-term bull market. The price will be further under pressure only if it breaks the weekly support. Operation suggestion: The early high opening and the fallback continued. There was a signal of stopping the decline at the beginning of the European session. The current gold price is trading around 3415. There are two predictions for the next trend: the first is that 3410 stabilizes and rises to the gap position in the early session and then falls. The other is that it falls after crossing the gap position, and then rises after the second test around 3410. The overall idea is to rebound upward in the European session, and then confirm the operation idea of ​​the US session based on the rebound strength of the European session.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MonaBert
GOLD The relationship between gold, the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield, and interest rates has traditionally been a key focus for investors. Historically, gold prices and bond yields have shown a strong inverse correlation, but recent years have seen some deviations due to shifting macroeconomic and geopolitical dynamics. 1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield Inverse Correlation: For nearly two decades, gold and the 10-year Treasury yield moved in opposite directions: rising yields made bonds more attractive relative to gold (which pays no interest), causing gold prices to fall, and vice versa. Recent Divergence: Since 2022, this relationship has weakened. Despite rising yields, gold prices have remained strong or even increased, largely due to unprecedented central bank gold buying and heightened geopolitical risks. Current Data: As of June 16, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.46%, up from 4.20% a year ago. Gold prices remain elevated, reflecting persistent demand despite higher yields. 2. Gold and Interest Rates Opportunity Cost Effect: Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, typically leading to lower gold prices. When rates fall, gold becomes more attractive, supporting price gains. Real Interest Rates: The most relevant metric is the real interest rate (nominal rate minus inflation). Gold’s correlation with real yields is strongly negative (historically around -0.82): when real yields fall or turn negative, gold prices rise as investors seek alternatives to low or negative real returns. Central Bank Policy: Expectations of rate cuts by major central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, tend to boost gold prices by lowering real yields and the dollar’s appeal. Real interest rates (adjusted for inflation) are the most important driver for gold’s price direction. As of June 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield is 4.46%, with markets watching for potential rate cuts that could further support gold prices. Conclusion: While gold traditionally moves opposite to bond yields and interest rates, the relationship has become more complex in 2025. Central bank demand, geopolitical risks, and real interest rates now play a larger role in gold price dynamics alongside traditional monetary policy factors.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUAD Today update 17 - 6 -2025This chart shows a 30-minute timeframe for Gold (TVC:GOLD) with a clear short-term price action analysis. Here's a breakdown: --- 🔍 Key Levels & Zones Identified: 1. Resistance Area: Around 3,384.174 — marked with a black dashed zone at the top. Price previously rejected here. 2. Current Price: 3,386.600 (as of 10:56 UTC on June 17, 2025), slightly above the resistance — indicating a potential fakeout or bullish breakout attempt. 3. Support Zone: Around 3,338.913, highlighted in blue. The chart notes: "If it comes down below that, it will come down." Suggests a bearish continuation if price breaks this level. 4. Target Support: Near 3,325–3,300, green thick band at the bottom. This is the zone marked "then it will touch", likely the next bearish target. --- 🔁 Pattern Insight: A triangle or consolidation is forming, shown by blue trend lines — potential breakout or breakdown zone. If price fails to hold above 3,384.174, it could retest 3,338.913. A confirmed break below that support opens a move to 3,325 or lower. --- 🧭 Summary: Bullish Scenario: Hold above 3,384 and break out to retest highs above 3,425. Bearish Scenario: Drop below 3,338 → target 3,325–3,300 zone. Let me know if you'd like a trading strategy or confirmation indicators added to this analysis.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mr_Zakrii