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GOLD GOLD ,the price action on 3hr shows that GOLD trading between demand and supply trendline line ,we have taken advantage of retest at 3373-3375 broken descending trendline and on the retest 3373-3375 activated . but 3403-3398 remains higher intraday day 3hr timeframe supply zone coming as a black ascending trendline. If buyers wont break it, they will continue to sell from that level ,if they start selling and break the current ascending trendline ,i will be waiting at the next demand floor 3342-3347floor and the next floor will be to retest the descending trendline breakout connecting 3500-3438-3365 breakout and that will be 3261-3265 demand floor . goodluck.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
CL Futures Weekly Trade Setup — June 17, 2025🛢️ CL Futures Weekly Trade Setup — June 17, 2025 🎯 Instrument: CL (Crude Oil Futures) 📉 Strategy: Short Swing 📅 Entry Timing: Market Open 📈 Confidence: 68% 🔍 Model Insights Recap 🧠 Grok/xAI – Bearish due to overbought RSI + price stalling near MAs 🤖 Claude/Anthropic – Bearish pullback expected, despite recent strength 📊 Llama/Meta – Overextended Bollinger Band + RSI = short bias 🧬 DeepSeek – Supports downside via divergence + high volatility ⚠️ Gemini/Google – Bullish thesis based on momentum; diverges from consensus 📉 Consensus Takeaway While short-term momentum is strong, most models forecast a pullback due to: 🔼 Overbought RSI readings 📈 Price extended well above key moving averages 🧨 High volatility and profit-taking zone near $73–$74 ✅ Recommended Trade Setup Metric Value 🔀 Direction Short 🎯 Entry Price $72.65 🛑 Stop Loss $74.20 🎯 Take Profit $68.80 📏 Size 1 contract 📈 Confidence 68% ⏰ Timing Market Open ⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations 🌍 Geopolitical events or OPEC news can cause unexpected surges 📉 If bullish momentum resumes, upside breakout could invalidate short thesis 📏 Risk management is critical—stick to stop-loss if price breaks above $74.20 🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "CL", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 72.65, "stop_loss": 74.20, "take_profit": 68.80, "size": 1, "confidence": 0.68, "entry_timing": "market_open" } 💡 Watch price action at the open. If oil opens weak or fails to reclaim $73, this short setup has a strong edge.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by quantsignals
GOLD SWING TRADEGold Trade Idea – Long Bias (Q2 Swing Setup) Market Context: Gold remains bullish on both the quarterly and monthly timeframes, supported by strong institutional accumulation. The current sharp retracement is viewed as a healthy pullback within a broader uptrend, offering a low-risk entry opportunity. Technical Outlook: Price is approaching a key Weekly Bullish Order Block (OB) around 3356, which is expected to act as a demand zone. This OB coincides with prior structure and a likely liquidity pool beneath recent swing lows. A bounce from this zone aligns with higher timeframe bullish structure. 🔑 Trade Parameters Entry Price: Ideal entry at 3360, just above the weekly order block. Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, breaker structure, or SMT divergence vs. Silver/XAU pairs if desired). Stop Loss: 3350 (below the OB and key liquidity threshold) Take Profits: TP1: 3450 – near recent structure highs / FVG fill TP2: 3500 – psychological round number and probable premium zone Trade Management: Partials off at TP1, shift stop to breakeven. Trail remaining position based on H4 market structure shifts. Holding Period: Hold through to Friday’s New York AM Session close to capture full week’s expansion. ✅ Trade Justification High timeframe bias aligns (Q2 + Monthly) Deep retracement into Weekly OB = ideal smart money entry Clean risk:reward ratio (~1:9 for TP2) Friday NY session close is often used by institutions to finalize weekly moves
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by kbchipunza
Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move? Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move? After an aggressive rally fueled by geopolitical FOMO headlines, gold (XAUUSD) saw a sudden pullback — but what looked like weakness might actually be a setup for smart accumulation. The market narrative is shifting, and price action is sending important signals... 🌍 Global Drivers Behind the Volatility Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, prompting global safe haven flows. Evacuation warnings and nuclear deal pressure add more uncertainty to the mix. Despite bullish news, gold failed to hold its highs — a potential bull trap as institutional players took advantage of retail FOMO to offload. Big capital may now be rotating from gold into other sectors like energy (oil) and discounted equity assets. 📉 Price Action & Technical Outlook (M30–H1) After topping around 3442–3440, price snapped back into the mid-range — a sign of liquidity hunting rather than a full reversal. The EMAs (13/34/89/200) on the M15–M30 timeframes are showing early signs of bearish crossover, hinting at further short-term weakness. Below current price sits a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) that could act as a magnet — aligning with a high-probability buy zone. 🎯 Trading Playbook ✅ BUY Setup – "Smart Money Entry Zone" Buy Zone: 3342 – 3344 Stop Loss: 3338 Take Profit Targets: → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3380+ 💡 Look for price to tap into the FVG and form a base with bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence, or rising volume) before entering. ❌ SELL Setup – "Fade the Overhead Resistance" Sell Zone: 3440 – 3442 Stop Loss: 3446 Take Profit Targets: → 3436 → 3432 → 3428 → 3424 → 3420 → 3415 → 3410 ⚠️ Only short on a strong rejection or bearish engulfing candle near the resistance — do not short blindly. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight The initial Asian-session rally was likely a news-driven liquidity event. Institutions appear to be rotating capital, using emotional retail entries as exit liquidity. Current market conditions suggest a shakeout before a longer-term bullish move. 📌 Final Note Don’t chase price. Let it come to your zones. This market is being driven by geopolitical narrative and smart money behavior, not just technicals alone. ✅ Stay patient. 📊 Trade with logic. 🧘‍♂️ Let others FOMO — you focus on levels and confirmation. 👉 Follow for real-time London session updates and reaction-based entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Weekly Outlook – 17 June 2025Gold Weekly Outlook – 17 June 2025 Gold has been trading within a tight range over the past few weeks, repeatedly finding support along its upward trendline. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to be a key driver for gold prices in the coming weeks. Monday’s trading saw gold drop by over 700 pips amid escalating tensions in the region. This “flash crash” may well clear the path for bulls to regain control and push the yellow metal toward new all-time highs. For now, we remain on the sidelines, waiting to see how price reacts around the 3,360 level, which could serve as a launchpad for a bullish reversal.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Sanmi
Are we about to see historic highs on the markets?Are we about to see historic highs on the markets? In my previous article, I predicted that the trade war would soon be over and that the markets would resume their growth. This is exactly what is happening. I believe that stocks have bottomed out and I am positioning myself very bullishly ahead of the summer. Investors now have the opportunity to buy quality stocks at lower prices and use appropriate tools to make purchases at the right price. Maintaining calm during periods of market turbulence is of paramount importance. The stock market always tends to grow in the long term and, thanks to the intervention of central banks and sometimes governments, manages to overcome moments of deep crisis. This was the case during significant events such as the attack on the Twin Towers in 2001, the Lehman Brothers crisis in 2008, and the Covid period in March 2020. This dynamic is intrinsic to the history of the market itself. If you take a 20- or 30-year view of any major stock index, this trend is visible. Therefore, although recent market declines may appear volatile or steep, they are not particularly serious in the context of the long-term trend, provided you have the time and ability to remain calm while waiting for the situation to stabilize. Immagine These moments can present buying opportunities for high-quality technology stocks that were previously expensive. Despite the uncertainty, there are select opportunities when considering companies that continue to innovate by reinvesting their profits in research. These companies tend to emerge stronger from periods of crisis, especially if they have little debt and a loyal customer base. This is particularly relevant for companies developing artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure, such as Nvidia, Google Alphabet, and Microsoft Corp. Although these companies are not immune to cyclical difficulties, they continue to innovate internally. Some companies, while not distributing dividends to shareholders, reinvest all their profits in equity and technological research. Now we will examine what, in my opinion, is the best index to invest in for the summer. It is well known that one of the Trump administration's main goals is to weaken the dollar, and this dynamic is indeed underway. A weakening dollar has significant effects on American companies, with varying consequences depending on the sector and their exposure to global markets. It is well known that a devaluation of the dollar leads to improved export competitiveness. Companies that sell products abroad benefit from a weaker dollar because their goods become cheaper for foreign customers, increasing demand and profits. This phenomenon favors industries such as technology, aerospace, and agriculture. Immagine The indices we will focus on for the summer are the Nasdaq US TECH 100 and the S&P 500, US 500. Technology companies benefit from a weaker dollar thanks to exports. In general, as I often say, large American companies with strong international revenues tend to benefit from a weak dollar, as foreign revenues increase in value when converted into dollars. It is well known that Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple shares have a significant influence on this index. A weak dollar can boost the profits of companies that generate a substantial portion of their revenues abroad, such as the companies mentioned above. As a result, the rise in these stocks could lead the indices to reach new all-time highs. From a technical standpoint, chart analysis supports my purchases on the major US indices. Recent gains are in fact supported by above-average volumes, and prices remain above the 200-period moving average. In addition, the latest news is positive. As expected, the trade war was short-lived, and the US and Europe have also reached an agreement on 10% tariffs.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Antonio_Ferlito
The situation in the Middle East is in turmoil again! (Exclusive (Fifth day of Iran-Israel conflict: Trump leaves G7 ahead of schedule, Middle East situation stirs up waves again!)👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇 The conflict between Iran and Israel has continued to the fifth day, the war has not subsided, and the situation is becoming increasingly tense. Due to the sudden escalation of the situation in the Middle East, US President Trump left the G7 summit held in Canada one day ahead of schedule, which aroused widespread concern in the international community. On Tuesday (June 17), Trump strongly warned Iran through social media, demanding that it sign the nuclear agreement immediately and calling on Tehran residents to evacuate. At the same time, both Iran and Israel reported heavy casualties and infrastructure damage, ceasefire negotiations were deadlocked, and uncertainty in the global market was further exacerbated. Iran and Israel: The fifth day of tit-for-tat👇 Explosions over Tehran On Tuesday morning, violent explosions were heard over the Iranian capital of Tehran, and the air defense system was operating at full capacity, trying to intercept incoming missiles. According to Iranian media Asriran, Natanz, the site of an important nuclear facility about 320 kilometers from Tehran, also activated high-alert air defense measures. Iranian officials revealed that 224 people have died in Iran in the past five days, most of whom are innocent civilians. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi issued a statement through the social platform X, accusing Israel of "aggression" and warning that Iran will continue to respond strongly if Israel does not stop its military operations. Midnight alarm in Tel Aviv At the same time, Tel Aviv, Israel's financial center, also sounded an air raid alarm after midnight, and explosions resounded through the night sky. It is reported that this is another round of missile attacks launched by Iran against Israel. According to official Israeli statistics, the conflict has killed 24 civilians and nearly 3,000 people have been forced to evacuate due to security threats. Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said that Iran's attack has had a serious impact on the lives of Israeli people and the government is doing its best to deal with it. The shadow of nuclear facilities Iran's Natanz nuclear facility, as the focus of global attention, has once again become a sensitive target in the conflict. Although Iran stressed that its air defense system successfully protected key facilities, the tension in the region has undoubtedly exacerbated international concerns about Iran's nuclear program. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly stated on Monday that Israel will eliminate the threat posed by Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs at all costs. He also hinted that if the goal can be achieved through diplomatic means, Israel is willing to give Iran a "60-day opportunity." Trump's tough stance and early departure from the G7 summit "Iran must sign a deal!" Trump published a fierce post on Truth Social, a social media platform he founded, calling Iran's refusal to sign an agreement to curb the development of nuclear weapons a "shame" and a "waste of life." He repeatedly stressed that "Iran cannot have nuclear weapons" and urged residents of Tehran to evacuate immediately. Trump's remarks sparked controversy, with some seeing them as a direct threat to Iran and others interpreting them as him paving the way for possible military action. Interruption of the G7 Summit The White House confirmed that Trump decided to leave the G7 summit one day early on Monday night due to the sharp deterioration of the situation in the Middle East and go to Washington to hold a National Security Council meeting. French President Macron expressed support for this, believing that Trump's decision created conditions for Israel and Iran to accept the ceasefire agreement proposed by the United States. However, Trump's early departure also caused concerns among some allies, who feared that the United States' leadership in global affairs might be affected. U.S. official clarification In response to speculation that the United States might directly participate in military action against Iran, a White House aide explicitly denied the claim. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said in an interview with Fox News that Trump's primary goal is still to reach a nuclear agreement with Iran, while emphasizing that the United States will resolutely defend its assets and interests in the Middle East. The tortuous prospects of ceasefire negotiations Iran's compromise signal According to Reuters, citing sources, Iran has sent a message to Trump through Middle Eastern countries such as Oman, Qatar and Saudi Arabia, asking him to put pressure on Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to promote an immediate ceasefire. In return, Iran promised to show greater flexibility in nuclear negotiations. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said at X that if Trump really wants to end the conflict through diplomatic means, the next action will be crucial. He also warned that if Israel continues to "aggress", Iran's response will be unrelenting. Israel's tough stance Netanyahu reiterated that Israel will not compromise on Iran's nuclear threats and missile programs. He said that military action is the most direct means at present, but it has not completely closed the door to diplomatic negotiations. However, the voices of hardliners in Israel are growing louder and louder, believing that any compromise may weaken national security. Summary: The complex game of the situation in the Middle East The fifth day of conflict between Iran and Israel has not only exacerbated the turmoil in the Middle East, but also focused global attention on this sensitive area again. Trump's tough stance, early departure from the G7 summit, and the difficult progress of ceasefire negotiations highlight the complexity and uncertainty of the current situation. The compromise signals released by Iran through third countries are in sharp contrast to Israel's tough stance, and the future direction is still full of variables. Analysis of the impact on gold prices The continued tension in the Middle East usually pushes up the demand for safe-haven assets. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the price of gold is often boosted in such geopolitical crises. The escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel may lead to increased investor concerns about the stability of the global economy, further pushing up gold prices. However, if the ceasefire negotiations make a breakthrough or Trump's diplomatic efforts ease tensions, gold prices may face correction pressure. In the short term, market sentiment will dominate gold price fluctuations, and investors need to pay close attention to the dynamics of the conflict and related diplomatic progress. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Analyst
Hormuz oil tanker catches fire, is this Iran’s “shadow war”?Three ships or tankers caught fire in the Gulf of Oman near the Strait of Hormuz. The burning ships were reportedly located at the Khor Fakkan anchorage near Fujairah on the coast of the United Arab Emirates. The incident raised concerns about a possible repeat of the 2019 tanker attacks, which were widely believed to be carried out by Iran as tensions in the Middle East increased under Trump's "maximum pressure" campaign. It is worth noting that the current incident took place at the same location as the previous attack. Forexlive reported that one of the ships currently on fire may be the "ADALYNN". The specific cause of the fire is still unclear. ADALYNN is a crude oil tanker. There are unconfirmed reports that the fire outside the Strait of Hormuz was caused by a collision between two tankers (ADALYNN and Front Eagle). After the above news came out, international oil prices rose. However, later US media reported that Trump's team proposed to negotiate with Iran this week, and crude oil and gold prices fell accordingly. It is worth mentioning that on Monday, the UK Maritime Trade Organization (UKMTO) said it had received multiple reports of increased electronic interference to ships in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, confirmed by automatic identification system monitoring. Local naval forces also said on Monday that electronic interference to merchant ship navigation systems in the Strait of Hormuz and the wider Gulf region has surged in recent days, affecting ships passing through the area. The Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC) of the US-led multinational maritime joint force said in a notice: "JMIC continues to receive reports of electronic interference from the vicinity of Bandar Abbas (Iran), the Strait of Hormuz and several other areas in the Arabian Gulf. These interferences are increasing throughout the region and have a significant impact on the Gulf region itself. This interference is affecting the ability of ships to accurately transmit position data through the automatic identification system, causing operational and navigation challenges to maritime traffic." There is a straightforward way to think about the financial risks of the current Middle East conflict. According to this simple view, escalating hostilities between Iran and Israel will only have a major impact on investors if Tehran closes the Strait of Hormuz, blocking a key flow of global oil shipments and causing prices to soar. There is some truth to this theory, but it underestimates the possibility that other things could go wrong. As the conflict enters its fifth day, it is clear that cooler heads on both sides are having trouble prevailing. In an interview with Fox News on Sunday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that regime change in Tehran could be the result of an Israeli military attack on the country. This would make Iran's political leaders feel insecure. Conventional wisdom holds that escalation would include closing the Strait of Hormuz. But that doesn't mean there isn't a real danger that Tehran's Revolutionary Guards or Yemen's Iran-allied Houthi rebels could set their sights on trade routes through the Gulf. Iran and its proxies have long been linked to disrupting shipping in the region. In 2019, two Saudi oil tankers were sabotaged off the coast of Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates. Tehran denied the mine attack, but the United States said it was "almost certainly" from Iran. Hundreds of international ships were targeted as far back as the Iran-Iraq War in the 1980s. The United States, Europe and Saudi Arabia blamed Iran for the 2019 Abqaiq drone strike, which briefly knocked out half of Saudi oil production, but Iran again denied involvement. The Houthis began launching repeated attacks in the Red Sea last year, prompting most global shipping to detour around Africa. If Iran and its allies go down that path again, the Bahrain-based U.S. Fifth Fleet would likely intervene to protect maritime trade. But it also raises the possibility that it would be formally drawn into the current confrontation. Investors who are currently self-soothing have plenty of reasons to feel reassured. They argue that while Israel has expanded its operations from striking Iranian commanders to energy infrastructure, it has avoided Iran's key Kharg Island terminal, a gateway for 90% of its oil exports. They also see no signs that Tehran will interfere with ships in the Hormuz Corridor. Moreover, oil exports bring in about $50 billion a year for Tehran's battered economy, suggesting that Tehran has good reasons to avoid Hormuz. On top of that, various flashpoints between Iran and Israel in recent years have generally ended quickly. These reasons explain why Brent crude oil prices continue to hover around $75 a barrel, with relatively small gains since Israel launched its first attack last week. But Reuters columnist George Hay said that investors who fail to consider the risks mentioned above may simply not have learned the right lessons from history. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FOREXCOM:USOIL PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FX:USOIL
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Analyst
Gold is consolidating at structural support H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding the Proper rising wedge pattern on H4 and Range of 3380-3390. Bullish scanario: 3380-3385 is the optimal structural support and potential buyying area still not a signal candle closes below 3380 also market covered the FVG and volume opening gap at 3382. I'm still on upside surprise towards 3405 then 3430. However, if gold closes the H4 below the $3380 level, i will reassess my outlook towards 3355-3360. #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22177.25 - PR Low: 22065.25 - NZ Spread: 250.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM) Contract rollover week Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/17) - Session Open ATR: 385.81 - Volume: 47K - Open Int: 178K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -3.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
XAUUSD BUY SETUP – GLOBAL HORNS 🪙 XAUUSD BUY SETUP – GLOBAL HORNS 🕒 Timeframe: 30m 📈 Direction: BUY 📍 Entry: 3390 (active) 🎯 Target: 3405 ⏳ Duration: 1-3 days 📊 Context: Price bounced off support and is building momentum. Looking for a clean sweep of the highs at 3405. This level has been respected multiple times — a break through would signal strength. 📌 Time-based exit applies if target isn’t hit. ⚠️ Just sharing my trade, not financial advice. #Gold #XAUUSD #GlobalHorns
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by GlobalHorns
WTI(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is planned to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 70.41 Support and resistance levels: 75.98 73.90 72.55 68.27 66.92 64.84 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 72.55, consider buying, and the first target price is 73.90 If the price breaks through 70.41, consider selling, and the first target price is 68.27
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NuggetsWarriors
Sell-Side Breakdown for XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-Minute chart🔻 Sell-Side Analysis – June 17, 2025 🧠 Context & Market Structure Price rejected major resistance around 3415–3448 zone. SL Hunt zone marked at mid-levels around 3400–3408, showing manipulation. Current price: ~3397, after bouncing from the Daily Flip (support) at ~3388. --- 📉 Bearish Case Setup 1. Distribution Pattern at the Top The upper resistance zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout. Clear sign of exhaustion, with possible Smart Money Distribution. 2. Lower High Formation After breaking the short-term demand (green box), price formed a lower high near 3404–3405. Bearish market structure forming. 3. Consolidation Breakdown Likely Price is currently inside a small consolidation box (3393–3402). Failure to break and hold above 3402 = bearish continuation. Look for breakdown retests below 3393 to confirm. --- 🔻 Sell Zones Zone 1: 3402–3405 = good supply/retest area for shorts. Zone 2: 3410–3413 = high-risk re-entry (SL hunt zone retest). --- 🎯 Targets for Shorts TP1: 3388 (Daily Flip) TP2: 3373–3375 (next volume node and support block) TP3: 3365 (if full breakdown with momentum) --- 🛡️ Invalidation Clean break and hold above 3405–3410 invalidates bearish bias short term. If price reclaims SL Hunt zone and flips it, bullish continuation is likely. --- 🔍 Volume + Order Flow Notes Volume spikes around support zone hint at buyer absorption, not dominance. Bullish bounce lacked follow-through = potential sign of weak buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Siddharth_Joshi
GOLD- XAU-USD Hello Traders! The GOLD MARKET is on fire! 🚨🔥 XAUUSD has officially broken above the key resistance zone — this is not just a move, this could be the start of something BIG! 💥📈 Is this the golden breakout we’ve been waiting for, or just a short-lived spike? Are we heading toward the next major target, or is a pullback on the horizon? 🎯🔍 Your insights matter — comment below with your analysis and let’s decode this golden move together! Stay sharp, stay golden! ⚔️💰 #XAUUSD #GoldBreakout #ForexTraders #MarketMomentum #GoldAnalysis #TradeSmart
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore