Crude oil is the ultimate winner
💡Message Strategy
Currently trading around $70.00 a barrel during Friday's European session, crude oil prices surged on growing concerns about supply disruptions. Rising tensions in the Middle East threaten navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, a key passage for about 20% of global oil shipments.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil prices in the medium term broke through the upper resistance of the range and tested a new high of 75.50. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is upward.
The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued to fluctuate upward, and the price near 74 was tested. The moving average system relies on the bullish arrangement of oil prices, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. Oil prices hit a new high near 75.30, and then fell back and closed with a negative real candlestick. The short-term momentum is still bullish, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level oscillation upward rhythm.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:70.09-71.50
Futures market
WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 71.83 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 68.50 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 77.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 16th June 2024)Asian + London Session
Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Notes:
- War escalated
- Looking for continuation to 2460
- Potential BUY if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3400
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Sniper Smart money Gold
🟡 XAUUSD (Gold) – H4 Analysis
Date: June 13
Price: 3446.64
Timeframe: H4 (4H)
Indicators Used: RSI, 3 EMAs (likely 20, 50, 200)
---
🔍 Market Conditions:
✅ Strong Uptrend: Price is consistently above the 20 EMA (green), 50 EMA (red), and 200 EMA (white).
📈 Bullish Momentum: Candles are forming higher highs and higher lows.
💡 RSI = 73.12: Overbought zone, but still bullish – showing strength in buyers.
🚀 Breakout Structure: The price has broken previous resistance levels with strong bullish candles.
---
🔥 Smart Money Insights:
Price is in Premium Zone = Institutions may soon start profit-taking.
No liquidity grab yet = Be cautious. If there's a sharp dip, it could be Smart Money hunting stops before another move up.
No reversal signs yet = Trend remains valid until a strong bearish engulfing or liquidity sweep happens.
---
📌 Possible Scenarios:
📈 Bullish Continuation:
Buy if price retraces to:
🔸 3435–3440 zone (possible demand zone near 20 EMA)
Target:
🔹 TP1 = 3465
🔹 TP2 = 3485
🔻 Short-Term Pullback:
RSI is overbought, suggesting a potential short-term pullback before continuation.
Watch for bearish candle formations (engulfing, pin bar) around current levels.
---
📥 Trade Idea (Buy the Dip Style):
Entry: Wait for price to touch the green EMA (~3435–3440)
SL: Below red EMA (~3420)
TP: 3465 / 3485
RR: 1:2 minimum
---
🧠 Smart Money Tip:
> “Let price come to you. If it doesn’t pull back to a fair value zone, it’s not a Smart Money .... Talion-promosale
GOLD OPENS BULLISHJust as analysed, there was a strong bullish setup at the close of last week so this move was just taking out top liquidity, continuing its course of bullish rally. We can also spot a bullish trend build up from the 3400's which projected to the 3450's before making its retracement last week.
we expect Gold to go for more higher liquidity as we are close to the ATH, in other words; ROAD TO 3500'S as a visible path has been analysed
NQ trades with 350+ ticks in profit for longCaught a solid long setup on NQ during the Asia open session, following clean price action and key demand zone confirmation. Two take-profits were hit, and one position closed at break-even — locking in 350+ ticks overall.
Patience and precision paid off today. Zones marked in advance using my custom supply/demand indicator.
#NQ #NasdaqFutures #FuturesTrading #SupplyAndDemand #DayTrading #MicroFutures #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas #AsiaSession
Gold Market Eyes Structural Wedge CompletionGold market opens afloat in the third week of June, plunging with momentum to complete its structural wedge toward the 3480s. This move follows continued bullish sentiment and sustained breakouts above key levels. follow for more insights , comment for more , and boost idea
XAUUSD - Breakdown: Israel-Iran Conflict - RISK OFFTVC:GOLD Weekly Outlook:
Spot ended Friday with bullish momentum, primarily driven by a Risk OFF sentiment in financial markets due to the Israel-Iran conflict, we also had fundamentals like CPI & PPI, US-China talk during the week which supported the bullish momentum.
With escalations over the weekend, Israel has continued its attack on key military and nuclear facilities as well as Oil Infrastructure including Iran's South Pars gas field, these escalations could lead to more safe heaven inflows and a RISK OFF sentiment when market opens, which could point to higher targets of 3450-3500, above 3430, the next resistance is 3500, which with such instability can easily be broken through.
However Iran has communicated to the US that if Israel stops their attacks, they will also consider the same, Trump has drawn a red line and said they will not get involved unless American Lives are directly targeted, this is in spite of Israel requesting them to join the war multiple times as Israel does not have the equipment and armaments to complete the job. Trump wants them to make a deal and become the hero that accomplished it, this remains to be seen , but if talks do happen, expect a Risk ON environment where a drop below 3450 will find support/ bounce at 3350, 3304 and below that opens the floor to 3275 and below.
We also have Monetary Policy this week with Pappa Powell speaking mid week, I believe rates will stay the same, with cautious Fed Policy, No rate change in June with inflation fears due to Tariffs. As always risk management should be No 1, combined with Tech and Funda knowledge, Trade Safe, this week will be very interesting.
The next down move on Gold will depend on whether we get de-escalation headlines and if so then RISK ON with money moving into Risk Assets like the Stock Markets
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
MES Long - HVN, RejectionMES long trade idea.
Price went down after heat up of middle east conflict between Iran and Israel.
Rallied slowly afterwards for the whole day and created a HVN near the bottom.
I can think of a revisit of that area and a bounce to the upside.
Since the conflict is heating up further my risk will be reduced, and depending on the market open and a possible gap the idea might be invalid.
16/6/25 Bulls Need Strong Follow-through Buying on Monday
Friday’s candlestick (Jun 13) was a bull bar closing near its high and above the 20-day EMA.
In our last report, we said traders would see if the bears could create another follow-through bear bar, or if the market stalls again and form a bull bar trading above the 20-day EMA in the next few days instead.
The market stalled again and formed a bull bar closing above the 20-day EMA.
The bears want a reversal from a wedge bear flag (April 25, May 14, and Jun 3) and a double top bear flag (May 14 and Jun 3). They see another smaller wedge bear flag (May 29, Jun 3, and Jun 9).
The problem with the bear's case is that the follow-through selling below the 20-day EMA has been limited. The bears are not yet strong.
They must create strong bear bars to show they are back in control.
The bulls want a reversal from a wedge bull flag (May 16, May 26, and Jun 11).
They want the market to reverse above the 20-day EMA. So far, the market has done so.
They want a breakout above the 4000 high followed by a measured move based on the height of the recent small trading range which will take the market to around the 4150 area.
The 4030 area could also be an area of resistance (weekly 20-day EMA).
Production for June should be more or less around May's level. It could be slightly lower even. Sppoma's first 10 days are down -16%, but could be due to the Hari Raya Haji holiday.
Refineries' appetite to buy so far looks decent.
Export: Looks strong in the first 10 days +25-30%
For tomorrow (Monday, Jun 16), the market will likely open higher. Traders will see if the bulls can close the day as a bull bar above the 4000 level.
Or will the open higher, but lack follow-through buying, closing the day with a bear body with a long tail above? If this is the case, it will indicate the bulls are not yet strong.
Andrew
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly Forecast - 16 to 20 June 2025🔥 Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Outlook | June 16–20, 2025
🧭 Macro & Geopolitical Context
Israel–Iran war (Operation Rising Lion) has escalated: Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear and missile infrastructure on June 13, followed by Iranian missile/drone retaliation, have sharply intensified regional conflict .
The safe‑haven bid is in full swing: spot gold surged toward $3,500, breaking $3,400 last week, driven by risk‑off flows and a weaker US dollar .
🧩 Fundamental Catalysts
1. Fed dovish tilt: May CPI/PPI prints came in soft, lifting expectations for rate cuts. No change is expected at the June 18 meeting, but the Fed’s dot‑plot and Powell’s tone offer upside triggers .
2. Technical breakout: Gold has reclaimed key levels—23.6% Fibonacci (~ $3,377) now acts as support, with the next resistance zones at $3,450 → $3,500 .
3. Bank & analyst sentiment: Goldman Sachs sees potential for $3,700 by year-end; Bank of America projects a path toward $4,000/oz .
📊 Technical Setup & Levels
Support: $3,400; next down at $3,377 (23.6% Fibo) and $3,325 (21‑day SMA) .
Resistance: $3,450 → major barrier $3,500 (all‑time high).
Momentum: RSI around 62—leaves room for further upside .
Catalysts to Monitor
June 18 Fed meeting: Dot‑plot, Powell’s press conference.
Any Iran retaliation or widening of the conflict.
Short‑term US data: June CPI, PPI, Retail Sales (especially mid‑week).
USD strength or weakness—dollar reversal could clip gold gains.
Follow for more updates
#XAUUSD #GOLD #Goldanalysis #WeeklyAnalysis #trade
Gold (XAU/USD) Setup – June 16, 2025🔍 Watching for a bearish retracement
Gold is currently trading around 3432.83, but price action shows signs of weakness after a strong bullish impulse. We're now seeing consolidation near the top, and if momentum fades, I expect a retracement back to test key demand zones.
🎯 Target Zones for Retracement:
📌 3403.48 – First key level of interest (minor support)
📌 3391.97 – Stronger demand area
🟠 3386.58 to 3383.95 – Institutional order block / NDOG zone (June 13)
💭 My Bias:
Short-term bearish – I expect sellers to step in and push price down into one of these zones before bulls potentially return.
📆 Let’s see how the market reacts around these levels tomorrow. Will gold respect the zones and bounce? Or break deeper?
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #FX #SmartMoney #NDOG #OrderBlocks #LiquidityGrab
USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
In the short term, geopolitical risks will continue to dominate market sentiment, with oil prices likely to oscillate at elevated levels or even test higher. However, from a medium-to-long-term perspective, OPEC+ production increase plans, uncertainties in global economic recovery, and the acceleration of energy transition may weigh on oil prices again. In any case, the subsequent evolution of the Middle East "powder keg" will profoundly influence the operational logic of the global energy market in the second half of the year. Investors should closely monitor developments and flexibly navigate this volatile oil market landscape.
Technical Analysis:
Prices rebounded after finding support in the $70–$71 range. The MACD indicator remains above the zero line, with strong bullish momentum intact.
Overhead resistance lies in the $75–$76 zone, while support is seen at $71–$70. Crude oil is expected to continue its upward trend next week.
Trading Recommendations:
Primary strategy: Buy on pullbacks
Secondary strategy: Sell on rallies
Trading Strategy:
buy@70-71
TP:75-76
Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Good week for oil bulls but still a lower high below the April high 78.1. Now what? If this buying is the real thing and market is expecting higher prices for longer, the pullback will stay above 70. If bulls do that, we can expect at least a second leg up to retest 75+ or even 80+. We are seeing a full on war between Israel and Iran but you should not trade based on that. There are bulls who bought above 73 on Friday and lost Money so far.
current market cycle: trading range 54 - 78 on the weekly tf. Decent chance we are in a bull trend that could lead to 80/84 or higher.
key levels: 70 - 77
bull case: Bulls have all the arguments on their side. They now need to leave a big open gap to 69.3 and then we can do a measured move up. My lowest target for that is 80. Structure on the 1h chart is a textbook two-legged pullback and above 74.5 it’s a clear buy signal.
Invalidation is below 70.8 but can likely also be 70
bear case: Bears do not have much. They trapped late bulls on Friday and that’s a likely reason we sold off 677 ticks from the high. They need lower lows below 70.8 and close the gap to the Thursday high before the news-bomb hit. For that to happen they have to break 2 bull trend lines. I will not look for shorts on this tbh.
Invalidation is above 74.5
short term: Bullish. Maybe a bit more sideways but I have given two invalidation prices for bulls and couple of targets above. I don’t think looking for shorts makes any sense unless you are really good at scalping.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-15: Maybe we have seen the 2-year trading range coming to an end on Friday and we are in a new bull trend that could lead oil to 80 or higher. Right now it’s pure guesswork until we print higher highs above Friday’s 77.62. Oil above 80 is not something we have seen since end of 2023 so expect some ripples.
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: I do think we will continue to print lower highs from 22094. Very clear invalidation price for that thesis is a print above 21855. 21000 is my target for the next days/weeks. A strong daily bear close below the daily 20ema around 21450 would be my confirmation. Above 21855 we continue to chop sideways and could retest 22094.
current market cycle: trading range most likely for now until we have a daily close below 20ema
key levels for next week: 21450 - 21855 (below 21450 - next target is 21000 and above 21855 next target is 22000)
bull case: Bulls outdid themselves by almost completely reversing the strong sell-off on Friday. That certainly was unexpected but now is decision time. Can they keep the market above 21500 a second time? If so, most bears will likely be quick to give up again and we can continue sideways 21500 - 22100 or even higher. Since we did not close below the daily ema, bulls remain in control.
Invalidation is below 21450
bear case: Bears see the bull wedge as broken and want to trade down from here. The top we have formed is a credible double top with ath 22656 and good for swing shorts. Bulls have been given two amazing macro numbers last week, especially the cpi print and we could not break strongly above. Instead we got a spike and it crumbled afterwards. Those are the type of things that don’t happen in bull trends.
Invalidation is above 21855
short term: Neutral for now and I wait for the breakout to either side. I want to favor the bears but they were so weak after the Globex sell spike on Friday, it’s not wise to hope they suddenly become strong.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-15: Daily close below 21450 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher.
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears leaving no doubt who is in control of the market now. Volume is picking up on the move down and bear bars are getting bigger. I expect a bit more fighting around 23500 but once we break below, 23000 is the next target and also likely a gap close down to 22600. I have drawn my least bearish wave thesis on the chart where the 50% retracement gets hit over the next weeks. Much more bearish would be the 20000 target. If this selling continues without a pullback, I will adjust the legs.
current market cycle: trading range until we close below 23200 - then we are in the new bear trend. As of now the continuation inside the range is more likely.
key levels for next week: 22600 - 24000
bull case: Got nothing for the bulls but in case we trade back above 23580, we have to assume sideways for longer. I don’t think we can try another new ath after this selling. Bulls found support at the sell-spike from the 50% tariff announcement. If overall markets won’t sell off early on Monday, we can expect some sideways movement before market gets the next impulse up or down. Anything above 24100 would surprise me big time.
Invalidation is below 23280
bear case: 23280 is the price to break for more downside and 23580 is the most important price for bears to prevent the bulls from getting. If 23580 holds, we can do another strong leg down to close the gap 22600. If we go above, the next bear trend line would be around 23950ish and if we get there we will likely test 24000 again. After 5 consecutive bear bars, bulls can not hold longs in hope for another run at the highs. The bear bars are getting bigger and market tested above 24000 enough to know there are not enough buyers. Bulls tried 4 times to 3 times to continue the trend. Selling this top with long term shorts is as good as it gets. On lower time frames I expect a bit more sideways before another leg down.
Invalidation is above 23280
short term: Neutral but only on time frames lower than 4h. W1 has likely concluded but I expect at least a big second leg down to 22600ish. Bears have to keep it below 23580 or we could test back up to 24000.
medium-long term from 2025-06-15: Bull trend has most likely concluded. Long term shorts are fine. Stop has to be at least 24508. I see it 70% or more that we will see 22000 before end of August.