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XAUUSD: Analysis June 16Gold has a lot of momentum to increase and could head towards testing the all-time high around 3500 as there are too many risks emerging, from geopolitical developments to interest rate outlook, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term. Gold, after increasing around 3450 this morning, is currently correcting down. But overall, the uptrend with gold is still solid after breaking the downtrend channel. However, we should avoid buying in strong corrections. The support area around 3400 will be the ideal place for us to BUY today. And the resistance area 3440 - 3445 will be where we SELL.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
2
GOLD SELL 3390Several key factors are contributing to the current bearish sentiment in XAUUSD (Gold/USD): 1. Easing Geopolitical Tensions Gold is widely considered a safe-haven asset, attracting demand during periods of heightened geopolitical risk. Recently, concerns about escalating conflicts in the Middle East have subsided, leading to a reduction in safe-haven demand and a shift of capital toward riskier assets. Reports of potential diplomatic engagement between major world powers (e.g., US and Russia) and a lack of escalation in ongoing conflicts have further reduced the urgency to hold gold for safety. 2. Hawkish Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Expectations The Federal Reserve's minutes revealed policymakers are hesitant to cut interest rates and are even considering further hikes due to persistent inflation. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it less attractive to investors. This expectation of prolonged higher rates has strengthened the US dollar and pressured gold prices downward. 3. Technical Breakdown and Bearish Chart Patterns Gold recently failed to break above key resistance at $3,440 and is now correcting lower toward support at $3,400. A break below this level could trigger further downside, with technical targets at $3,350 and $3,340. Technical indicators, such as the MACD and RSI, are signaling strong bearish momentum. The price has broken below important moving averages (EMA 200, Ichimoku cloud), and a "death cross" (EMA 50 below EMA 200) has formed, all pointing to further bearish pressure. Chart patterns, including a bearish double top and a break below the regression channel, reinforce the negative outlook. 4. Reduced Demand from Key Buyers If global economic uncertainty fades and central banks slow their gold purchases, demand can weaken, further weighing on prices. Easing US-China trade tensions and a potentially weakening Chinese economy could also reduce gold demand from one of its largest consumers
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SachitMaskey
1
Middle East tensions rise; gold may hit new highs next weekThe Middle East situation has continued to escalate over the weekend, indicating that gold may witness a rally at Monday's opening. On Friday morning, risk aversion surged rapidly, pushing the gold price to around 3,444, followed by a pullback. During the European session, the price quickly retreated to around 3,408 before rebounding—our strategy to go long near 3,410 at the time proved profitable. In the U.S. session, gold mounted a second rally, peaking at around 3,446 before entering a pullback and consolidation phase. However, from a fundamental perspective, the overall trend remains bullish; thus, buying on dips remains the primary trading approach. From a 4-hour technical view, immediate support lies in the 3,405–15 range, with key support at the recent resistance-turned-support zone near 3,375–80. When gold pulls back, traders should focus on longing near these levels. The critical bullish pivot for short-term traders has shifted up to the 3,345–50 zone; as long as gold holds above this level on the daily time frame, the dip-buying strategy should be maintained. XAUUSD buy@3405-3415 tp:3340-3360 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
10
Will gold continue to rise in the new week?Analyzing from the weekly level, the price of gold is supported by the support level of 3258-60. From the mid-line perspective, it is still in the mid-line bull market, and the price will only be under further pressure if it breaks the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday, and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. At the same time, according to the four-hour level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3407. This position is the key watershed of the short-term trend. At the same time, according to the one-hour level, the price has a short-term downward adjustment, so don't chase more for the time being, and focus on the subsequent retracement to the four-hour support before further rising. Short-term low-to-long thinking, focus on highs after pulling up.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BarnettWolf
2
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high. Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add more positions. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AgnesGreen
1
Gold intraday trading strategyToday's technical trend, from the hourly line, it opened slightly higher and hit a high point. The market was resistant to declines and rose in steps; the stochastic indicator on the 4-hour line continued to form a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive and broken positive slowly rose, which is a main long signal; the sideways support is the support position of 3425-3428; it is recommended to follow the trend; refer to the retracement support; the upper pressure position is 3488-93; the stochastic indicator in the daily K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive rise is the main long signal; the upper track of BOLL temporarily stabilized, and the daily K-line is mainly a bullish signal; and in terms of form, the 3488-93 line is not a high point; the stochastic indicator in the weekly K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the big positive line rose for the second time. In summary, today's thinking is mainly to continue to rise, and the pullback is a chance to go long! From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3425-28, and the key support below is around the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3375-80. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish. Next week, we will focus on the suppression of 3488-93. The daily level continues to maintain the same rhythm of retracement and long positions. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. Gold operation strategy: Gold retracement 3425-28 line long, stop loss 3314, target 3488-3490 line, continue to hold if broken;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AgnesGreen
1
Have you caught up with this golden opportunity?The 4-hour K-line pattern of gold shows that the upward trend remains intact, focusing on the strong support range of 3360-3365 (technical resonance with the 5-week moving average). Before the price effectively breaks below the support band, the bulls still have upward momentum, otherwise the trend may reverse. The 3365-3400 range is maintained for intraday fluctuations. The gold operation strategy recommends arranging long orders in the 3370-3375 area when the price falls back, and adding positions to long positions if the support of 3360-3365 is broken. Operation strategy: Gold recommends going long near 3370-3375 now, and adding positions to long positions in the support area of ​​3360-3365 when the price breaks, with the target of 3380-3390. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
1
Gold's Next Move Up: Why I'm Waiting for This 1H Order Block.Hello, traders! 👋 Let's take a look at the current price action on Gold (XAU/USD). 📉 Current Situation: Correction Phase After a strong impulse that swept the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), Gold has entered a correction. This corrective move has a clear target below: a key 1-hour order block that aligns with the 61.8% daily Fibonacci level. This area acts as strong support and a potential reversal zone for the continuation of the uptrend. ⚠️ Patience is Key Price has not yet reached a safe discount zone for considering long positions. This is where the "whale's" Point of Interest (POI) lies. It's highly probable that large players will deliver the price to this zone to "refuel" (mitigate their positions) before continuing the move up, or at least to test the manipulation that swept the initial BSL. My Trading Plan 🎯 The Long Setup The primary condition for considering a long setup from the $3356 - $3365 area is: Mitigation of the 1-hour order block. The 61.8% Fib level must hold with a clear reversal reaction on at least the 4-hour timeframe. I don't expect this to happen today. It's likely that price will first build liquidity above our POI before dropping into it. Only from that zone, and with LTF confirmation, can we consider safer long positions. This is not financial advice. My analysis is for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheWhaleSM
2
Gold price crosses $3,400 due to geopolitical uncertaintyGold price crosses $3,400 due to geopolitical uncertainty On Friday, gold decisively broke through the $3,400 resistance zone, confirming a bullish wave. This upward movement was fueled by geopolitical tensions, as Israel launched an attack on Iran, followed by Iran’s retaliation targeting Tel Aviv. With the situation still unfolding, the potential for further escalation remains uncertain. Technical Analysis: Gold continues to show strength, and uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict may keep its price above $3,400 for the foreseeable future. This level serves as a pivotal zone, despite overbought conditions. Looking ahead, gold could climb further to $3,450, $3,470, and potentially retest the top of the structure near $3,490. After that, the next move will depend on how the geopolitical landscape evolves. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
7
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish After Break : 3412 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3372 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position. Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish After Break : 3345 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3400 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
12
XAUUSD Bouncing back to 3450?3380.27, 3383.94 and 3386.08 three daily consecutively candlestick patter with continuted series of higher low formed the daily support. Previous daily candle just closed at support with an ATR of 1.1ATR, which is quite large in the opposite direction of the major trend while the price is trading above 10ema in the daily. In 4h there is also 3 ATR ( overall) bearish move is spotted giving a high probability for this market to bounce back to the daily resistance to the major direction of the trend. We have a buy position at this level and will keep you posted for more updates!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ForexWizard01
Gold’s uptrend is clear, controlled, and far from overGold remains the centerpiece of bullish momentum, trading within a well-defined ascending channel. Price continues to respect the structure, printing higher highs and higher lows, with no signs of exhaustion thus far. A key resistance level was recently broken and has now flipped into support. Price is currently retesting this zone — a classic move in trending markets. If this area holds, it would validate the breakout and open the path for a potential move toward $3,460, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary. As long as price stays above this retested support, the bullish outlook remains intact. A failure to hold, however, would invalidate the setup and shift focus to the lower channel boundary as the next area of interest. Reminder: Always wait for confirmation before entering and apply strict risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jessica_Paul
13
Buy the Dip into 0.0070 Pre-Expiry Pin & Policy RiskThe Japanese yen has experienced significant swings in recent weeks, both higher and lower, reflecting a fragile balance between diverging monetary policies and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. That said, its status as a safe-haven currency continues to offer it defensive appeal among global investors, independent of technical flows, such as the major USD/JPY option expiry scheduled for Monday, June 16. Fundamental Analysis Central banks have entered a wait-and-see mode. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady at its upcoming June 18 meeting. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets price in a 97% probability of no change, with only a 3% chance of an immediate cut. In this context, the USD still benefits from rate differentials, but forward guidance is now increasingly balanced over the next 6 months. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan has started to normalize its ultra-loose policy. After decades of zero or negative interest rates, the BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.50% in January 2025. Although no hike is expected on June 17, the central bank has signaled vigilance toward imported inflation and yen depreciation. As a result, the USD/JPY interest rate gap remains wide but is gradually narrowing. On the geopolitical front, Israel’s recent airstrike on Iranian strategic sites has lifted energy prices and reignited risk aversion. The VIX briefly jumped around 22, before retreating to 20. Historically, such uncertainty tends to benefit the yen, as risk-averse capital flows gravitate toward defensive assets. Technical Analysis The Japanese currency has gained over 8% year-to-date, with spot USD/JPY retreating to a low of 140 in April. This level corresponds to 0.007263 on the 6JU2025 futures contract. We now shift focus to the September contract, with the March expiry settling this Monday. After the volatility spike mostly driven by US tariffs (which pushed the VIX above 50 for the first time since the pandemic), risk conditions have stabilized. The yen has since consolidated within a well-defined range with stable volumes. In late May, buyers stepped in aggressively around 0.00692, leading to a sharp rebound to 0.00710. Price action has now stabilized near 0.00700, inside a pivot zone that acts both as equilibrium and a tactical entry area. These dynamics suggest a buy-on-dip strategy may offer strong asymmetry. If price returns to the 0.00692–0.00700 area, the trade setup remains valid. However, a clean daily break below 0.00691 would invalidate the bullish view and suggest a return to a broader sideways range. Sentiment Analysis According to the CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) report, asset managers remain net long the yen, reflecting a structurally bullish bias. These positions are consistent with macro/geopolitical hedging strategies, and reflect growing expectations that the policy rate differential between the Fed and the BoJ may gradually narrow. On the retail side, positioning is surprisingly neutral on USD/JPY, a rare condition for a pair often dominated by consensus directional trades. This suggests that retail traders are in a wait-and-see mode, likely due to the policy event risk ahead. Options Analysis – The $7 Billion USD/JPY 145.00 Magnet A massive $7+ billion USD/JPY option position at the 145.00 strike is due to expire Monday, June 16, at the 10am NY cut. This level currently acts as a gravitational anchor on spot price action, keeping USD/JPY within a tight range near 145. Market makers are likely adjusting hedges as expiry approaches, suppressing volatility in the short term. This has also indirectly stabilized the 6JU2025 contract in the 0.00700–0.00705 range. Once the strike expires, we may see a volatility release and potentially a new trend emerge, depending on the Fed-BoJ policy tone. Trade Idea – Buy on Dip Around 0.00700 Strategy: Buy the pullback ahead of expiry and potential breakout • Entry target: Buy at 0.0070000 (tactical dip zone) • Stop-loss: 0.0069100 (below the May 29 rejection low) • Take-Profit 1: 0.0071000 (recent resistance) • Take-Profit 2: 0.0072500 (near YTD highs) Rationale: Geopolitical risk and Fed-BoJ policy events support safe-haven flows • Technically clean reaction from 0.00692 suggests strong buying interest • Option expiry-induced pin near spot 145 could offer a lower entry window • COT positioning supports a bullish JPY view • Attractive risk-reward setup with tight stop This setup allows traders to take advantage of a volatility compression regime due to options expiry before potential breakout catalysts next week, with well-defined risk. The 6JU2025 contract is currently resting in a strategic equilibrium zone near 0.00700. Macro fundamentals and speculative positioning both argue in favor of yen stabilization or modest appreciation. The expiry of the $7B option on Monday, followed by central bank events midweek, could unleash a directional move. Until then, a dip-buying strategy near 0.0070 appears compelling, as long as the 0.00691 support holds on a daily closing basis. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.com/cme/. This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6JU2025Long
by satelysfx
7
Short gold, it needs to retreat to the area around 3350!Gold is currently testing the support near 3380 again. According to the current trend of gold, gold is likely to break through 3380, and gold has stopped near 3400 many times during the rebound process, and the rebound strength of gold is lacking. If gold really wants to rebound, then after testing near 3380 many times and getting support at 3390, it should have rebounded to the 3410-3420 area, but it is obvious that gold has not yet touched the 3410-3420 area. Therefore, gold's performance is relatively weak and its correction trend should continue for now. In terms of fundamentals, Iran is not decisive in its retaliatory behavior, so if the conflict in the Middle East does not escalate, gold may find it difficult to continue to rise. So according to the current trend and performance of gold, we should not be stubborn in long gold trading for the time being, and adjust our trading plan reasonably according to the market and price behavior. If gold continues to retreat, the first thing we need to pay attention to below is the 3355-3345 area, followed by the area near 3330. So for the next short-term trading, we can try to short gold in the 3395-3405 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would want the lower level red box to be tested and rejected in order to give us the move upside into that 3330-35 region where we wanted to monitor the price for the short. We managed to get a pin point move, however, we had to exit the short trades early due to the support level holding us up. We then continued to follow Excalibur and the red box indi’s which were suggesting higher pricing and by the end of the week we had completed all our bullish above target levels, plus Excalibur trade targets and LiTE again performed at 100% accuracy. A phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade, analysis and post on. So, what can we expect from the week ahead? For this week we can expect some gaps on open which is going to make it difficult due to skewed data. We will however stick with the red box levels and the tools we have to make a plan for the two scenarios we may see potential of. Scenario one: Price opens and gaps upside, we’ll be looking for the levels of 3455-60 for a potential reaction in price, if achieved, an opportunity may be available to short there back down into the 3450, 3443 and 3435 levels. Scenario two: If we do open and gap downside, we’ll look for the levels of 3430-23 to hold us up, and if achieved, an opportunity to long there back up into the 3450-5 level and in extension of the move 3465 may be available. It’s a difficult one again as no one knows how the market is going to open and what is going to happen. So we’ll update traders as much as we can during the day and the week with KOG’s bias of the day and red box target levels KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3465 with targets below 3425, 3420, 3410 and 3406 Bullish on break of 3465 with targets above 3477, 3485, 3492, 3495 and 3503 Red Boxes: Break above 3435 for 3443, 3448, 3465 and 3476 in extension of the move Break below 3420 for 3410, 3406, 3397, 3385 and 3380 in extension of the move Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades. LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
9
Middle East Tensions Intertwined with Fed Rate Cut SpeculationThe Middle East situation remains tense ⚠️, and with rumors of a Fed rate cut emerging 👂, gold is likely to see significant volatility in the near term 📈📉. Due to the war, we still favor going long at lower levels 💹. During the current U.S. trading session, another pullback may occur—we need to wait for the correction before continuing to go long ⏳ ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375 🚀 TP 3400 - 3410 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
Gold Hits PRZ with RD-! Time for Bears to Take Over?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone ($3,445-$3,406) once again, forming an Ending Diagonal at the top of the structure. Although price reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , the presence of Regular Divergence (RD-) between the last two peaks could indicate the weakening of bullish momentum . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , we can clearly count a completed 5-wave structure , with an Ending Diagonal pattern . This supports the idea of a major correction starting soon . I expect Gold to attack the lower lines of Ending Diagonal , and if it breaks, it could drop to at least $3,333 . The Second Target could be the Support zone ($3,451-$3,120) . Do you think Gold will make a new All-Time High(ATH) again in this rally?! Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,463 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
1