Futures market
Lingrid | GOLD shorting Opportunity at Confluence ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD broke down sharply after forming a local top at the 3433 resistance zone, with clear bearish momentum dominating recent candles. Price is now consolidating below the broken trendline and previous structure at 3349, setting up for a possible retest and rejection. If price confirms rejection under this resistance, continuation toward the 3288 support area becomes highly likely. A lower high formation below the blue upward trendline would validate the bearish thesis.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection near 3349–3350
Sell zone: 3345–3355
Target: 3288
Invalidation: Break above 3355 and trendline recovery
💡 Risks
Sudden bullish breakout could reclaim upward trendline
Support near 3288 may create a rebound
Thin liquidity could exaggerate short-term wicks
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
With the Fed's tariff decision approaching, can gold see a turnaWith the Fed's tariff decision approaching, can gold see a turnaround?
Gold Outlook: The Current Bull-Bear Game Amid Three Major Storms
Key Event Drivers
Countdown to US-China Tariff Exemptions (August 1): The negotiation deadlock is difficult to break, but an "extension" could be a temporary respite for both sides. Be wary of Trump-style abrupt shifts that could impact market sentiment.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Thursday): A consensus is for holding steady, but if Powell unleashes a hawkish outlook on expectations management, gold could face further pressure—the market currently has little illusion of a dovish Fed.
Non-Farm Payroll Data (Friday): ADP provides a preliminary analysis. If the job market remains hot, the 3,300 mark will face a severe test.
Key Technical Dividing Points
Bull resistance: 3280 (July double bottom neckline) + 3300 (psychological barrier); a break opens up downside potential.
Bear support: 3345 (price point) + 3336 (5-day moving average); a breakout will alleviate the downward trend.
Current scenario: After Monday's breakout above 3320, which induced buying, the market has shifted into a "short on rebound" mode. However, be wary of the Fed's "selling expectations, buying facts" strategy—if gold prices remain above 3300 after the decision, short-covering could be triggered.
Trading Strategy
Keynote: Focus on long positions, bottom fishing requires stringent conditions.
Aggressive short positions: Open a position near 3345, stop-loss at 3355, target 3320 (profit-loss ratio 1:2.5)
Long position on the left: Only try long positions with a small amount after stabilization in the 3280-3300 range, with a strict stop-loss below 3275.
"Gold is currently walking a tightrope, with the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on one side and the lifeline of geopolitical risks on the other. Before the data dust settles, any chasing orders is a gamble—either wait for a breakout above 3345 and a strong rally, or wait for a long lower shadow at 3280 after a panic sell-off. Otherwise, hold onto the high side and participate in the market."
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 65.944.Colleagues, I previously recommended moving trades to break-even, and for good reason. It is always necessary to hedge and reduce losses—this is part of professional work.
(Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level).
The price has nevertheless shown a stronger correction, and I now believe that the medium-term “ABC” waves have not yet formed, nor has the large “Y” wave.
This means that I expect the completion of wave “B” and then a continuation of the downward movement in wave “C.”
I consider the support area of 65.944 to be the minimum target.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold Market Builds Momentum Toward 3358 Supply ZoneGold market continues to build momentum gradually, with price action targeting supply mitigation at 3358.
The duration of this stance depends on whether price can clear this zone decisively; failure may lead to short-term consolidation before the next stance.comment ,boost idea and follow for more informed decisions on gold market
Gold Eyes Breakout From 3-Month Consolidation After reaching its record high of 3500 in April 2025, Gold entered a contracting consolidation phase for more than 3 months now, bounded between the 3500 resistance and 3100 support. This structure sets the stage for a breakout, with price action tracing five waves—raising the probability of another leg higher.
• Bullish Scenario: A close above the 3450 level could open the door to 3780 and even 4000, aligning with the broader monthly cup-and-handle formation target.
• Bearish Scenario: A close below 3300 could expose the market to downside risks, with potential retracements to 3280, 3250, 3200, and 3130.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
WTI Crude Eyes Bullish Momentum Above $68.9FenzoFx—WTI Crude Oil broke resistance at $68.9 in the last session, now trading near $70.6. This breakout supports a bullish shift.
Yet, RSI 14 and Stochastic indicate overbought conditions, suggesting possible consolidation. Support at $68.9 could offer a discounted entry if prices retreat.
Watch for bullish signs like candlestick formations and inverted FVG around the $68.9 support.
WTI Crude Oil Breaks Out of Symmetrical Triangle, $73-$76 ZoneThe WTI Crude Oil chart shows a strong breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern that was forming for several weeks. Price has decisively broken above the descending resistance trendline and is now testing the $70–$71 area, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (around $70.27) and an important horizontal resistance ($71.03). This breakout indicates strong bullish momentum, supported by the recent series of higher lows and a sharp upward move in recent sessions.
If price sustains above $69.05 (previous breakout zone), we could see a bullish continuation towards $73.40 (0.118 Fibonacci) and potentially to $76.00–$76.50, which is the upper resistance block marked on the chart. However, if the price fails to hold above $69.00, there could be a pullback to retest the broken triangle resistance around $67–$68 before any next bullish leg.
Weekly Chart
The weekly chart of WTI Crude Oil is showing a long-term downtrend channel, where price has been consistently making lower highs and lower lows since mid-2023. Currently, oil is trading around $69.96, showing a sharp bullish push of 6.13% for the week. However, the price is still inside the broader descending channel, which keeps the long-term trend bearish unless a confirmed breakout occurs.
Key Resistance Levels:
- $70.27, $71.03, $73.43
Support Levels:
- $69.05 (previous breakout zone)
- $67.00–$68.00 (triangle retest area)
Trend Outlook:
- Short-Term: Bullish momentum; pullbacks likely to hold above $69.05.
- Medium-Term: If $71.85 breaks, price may target $76.00–$76.50 resistance.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Will Gold Break Higher or Resume the Downtrend?Gold has been trading within a defined rising channel pattern, forming a short-term consolidation phase after a significant bearish leg. The current setup presents a critical inflection zone where Gold (XAUUSD) could either break out above the resistance trendline and major resistance zones or retrace and resume the prior downtrend.
Traders and investors should pay close attention to the price behavior around these key levels for possible high-probability trading opportunities.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Rising Channel Pattern
Gold has been bouncing between a support trend line and a resistance trend line, forming a rising channel. This indicates a controlled upward movement or short-term relief within a broader downtrend.
Support Trendline: Has been respected multiple times and offers a key reference point for bullish continuation.
Resistance Trendline: Acting as a cap on the short-term rallies.
This pattern represents a state of consolidation and indecision, often preceding a strong breakout in either direction.
2. Major Resistance Zone Ahead
The region around $3,345–$3,355 is stacked with:
Previous supply zones.
Confluence of the channel resistance and historical price rejection.
Psychological level near $3,350.
This zone is the make-or-break point for bulls. A successful breakout above this resistance could open the doors for a strong bullish continuation targeting levels such as:
$3,370
$3,390
$3,400+
But without a convincing close above this zone, bullish attempts may get rejected, resulting in a pullback or even breakdown.
3. Immediate Support Zone
On the downside, $3,320–$3,325 is a key short-term support level:
Aligned with the lower boundary of the channel.
Previous breakout retest zone.
Demand area observed in past bounces.
If this zone fails to hold, Gold could witness a strong decline, with potential targets at:
$3,310
$3,290
$3,275
🧠 Two Scenarios for Traders
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
Trigger: Price breaks above $3,355 and sustains.
Retest Opportunity: If price comes back to test the breakout zone with a bullish engulfing candle or pin bar, it can serve as confirmation.
Target Zones: $3,370 / $3,390 / $3,400+
Stop Loss: Below the breakout point or recent higher low inside the channel (~$3,320)
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
Trigger: Breakdown of the support trendline and close below $3,320.
Confirmation: A bearish retest or continuation candle adds strength to the setup.
Target Zones: $3,310 / $3,290 / $3,275
Stop Loss: Above $3,335 (recent high)
📝 Final Thoughts
The XAUUSD 1H chart is setting up for a volatile move as price action coils between strong support and resistance. The rising channel within the larger downtrend makes this an ideal setup for both breakout traders and trend followers.
For bullish traders, the best entry lies above the resistance trendline, ideally after a retest. For bearish traders, a breakdown below the support line confirms downside momentum continuation.
In either direction, a clear break from this consolidation channel is likely to deliver a fast, directional move. Patience is key—wait for a clean breakout or breakdown before entering large positions.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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VWAP Rejected, POC Respected, Let the Squeeze BeginMNQ just gave us a cheeky little rejection wick right off VWAP and the POC classic London session move. After flushing into prior structure, price left a long lower wick and a tiny body candle, signaLling seller exhaustion. We're also bouncing right off a trend line that’s held since last week, and the 21/9 EMAs are starting to flatten, hinting at a potential shift.
What makes this even more interesting is how cleanly price tapped the POC (23,486), respected it, and then started grinding back up. That kind of level-to-level respect usually means algo eyes are on it and I'm here for it.
I’m long from 23,491 with a stop just below 23,474, targeting a move into 23,544 for TP1, and possibly 23,652 if momentum carries. It's a structured setup, built off VWAP, POC, Fib mid, and ORB timing. Not a moonshot call just a solid base hit play with clean risk defined.
Gold Trade plan 30/07/2025Dear Traders,
This chart represents the XAU/USD (Gold / U.S. Dollar) pair on a 4-hour timeframe. The market is showing a series of Fibonacci retracements and key levels, with potential price action zones marked for future movements.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: At 3,422.105 (near the green line), followed by the 3,386.171 level (Fibonacci 0.618).
Support Zones: Major support is visible near 3,282.131 (bottom of the chart), with additional minor support levels at 3,305.000 and 3,293.000.
Mid-range Support: Around 3,369.987.
Potential Price Action:
The price recently dropped from higher levels, breaking below the previous support levels. The market seems to be testing lower support zones.
A potential move down towards 3,284.116 or 3,282.131 is likely if the current support levels do not hold.
Conversely, if price action holds the current support zone (3,329.040), a retest of the higher resistance at 3,350.163 could occur.
Fibonacci Levels:
Retracement Levels: The Fibonacci retracement is drawn with key levels, particularly around 3,372-3,378 and 3,349-3,357, acting as strong support or resistance.
Extensions: There is potential for the price to move towards the 3,420 region if resistance levels break.
Strategy Suggestion:
Short Position: Targeting lower levels near 3,282.131 or 3,284.116.
Long Position: If price holds above 3,329.040, target resistance at 3,350.163 and beyond.
Regards,
Alireza!
Silver Signals Pullback Risks From $40 BarrierFrom a fundamental standpoint, the strength seen in both tech and silver markets in 2025 may be supported by the structural integration of AI and innovation into global economic agendas. As AI and technology increasingly become the backbone of global infrastructure and development, demand is likely to remain strong.
Silver is currently retreating from the $40 psychological zone, the 39.50 high, which aligns with the target of an inverted head and shoulders pattern formed between August 2020 and March 2024.
• Pullback Scenario: In line with weekly overbought momentum as per the RSI indicator, a retracement may target support levels at $37, $36.20, and $35.20 before resuming its broader bullish trend.
• Breakout Scenario: A confirmed close above $40 may open the door to $42, $46, and potentially a move beyond $50.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains in a bearish structure, consolidating in a narrow range after the sharp drop earlier this week. Price is trading around 3,330, testing the 3,334 resistance zone while still below the 200MA (3,362), which may act as dynamic resistance.
As long as price stays below 3,348–3,362, the bias remains to the downside, with a break below 3,309 likely exposing the 3,289–3,267 support zone.
A clean reclaim above 3,334- 3,348 would neutralize the immediate downside pressure and open the path back toward 3,373–3,387.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ 3,334
‣ 3,348
‣ 3,362
‣ 3,373
‣ 3,387
Support:
‣ 3,309
‣ 3,289
‣ 3,267
‣ 3,241
🔎Fundamental Focus – FOMC
The FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference later today will be the key driver for gold. Expect sharp volatility and potential whipsaws around the release.
⚠️ Manage risk carefully, avoid chasing initial spikes, and wait for clear direction once the event dust settles.
XAGUSD – Reversal Signs After the Run Toward $40Lately, I’ve been a strong advocate for a Silver rally toward $40, and indeed, we got a solid move, with price reaching as high as $39.50, not touching 40 though...
Just like with Gold, the last 3 days of last week turned bearish, and now it looks like we may be entering the early stage of a correction.
📉 Current Setup:
- The rejection from $39.50, right below the psychological $40 level, is significant
- I’ll be monitoring for a possible short entry if we get a rebound into the $38.80–$39.00 zone
- A new high above $39.50 would invalidate this setup
📌 On the downside, if price breaks below the confluence support at $37.70–$38.00, that would confirm the reversal and could lead to an acceleration toward $35.50 support
Conclusion:
The bullish narrative on Silver is pausing here. Until a new high is made, I’m looking to sell the bounce and follow the momentum if the breakdown under support is confirmed.
Let’s see how this plays out this week. 🧭
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
[XAUUSD – Intraday Price Action Outlook | 30 July 2025Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,329 USD and is consolidating within a narrow rising channel after completing a significant downtrend. The market is showing signs of a potential breakout, either to continue a short-term bullish correction or resume the dominant bearish momentum.
Key Technical Zones:
Resistance zone: 3,339.2 – 3,348
This is a critical zone where bullish breakout confirmation is likely to attract momentum buyers. The zone aligns with upper trendline resistance and previous consolidation highs.
Support zone: 3,325.6 – 3,292.7
This range acts as a short-term support base, marked by multiple rejections and aligned with the lower boundary of the current rising wedge formation. A breakdown here could trigger strong bearish continuation.
Indicators & Confluences:
EMA200 (blue): Acting as dynamic resistance, slightly above current price.
EMA50 & EMA100: Compressing toward current price action, indicating price equilibrium and coiling volatility.
RSI (not shown): Likely hovering near 50 – signaling market indecision.
Fibonacci 0.874 has been tagged – often a zone where false breakouts or liquidity grabs occur, demanding caution.
Trading Strategy Suggestions:
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Strategy)
Entry: Buy only if price closes above 3,339.2 (confirmed breakout of wedge).
Stop-loss: Below 3,328.1 (previous supply turned demand).
Target: 3,370 – 3,392 zone (aligned with EMA200 breakout & prior structure).
Note: This setup relies on confirmation and should not be anticipated early. Wait for candle close above 3,339.2 to invalidate current wedge structure.
Bearish Scenario (Rejection & Breakdown Strategy)
Entry: Sell if price rejects 3,330–3,332 area and returns below 3,327.80 (as marked).
Stop-loss: Above 3,332.04 (above trendline and EMA cross).
Target: 3,292.74 (volume node + base of channel).
Risk/Reward: >7.0 (based on current tool parameters shown in chart).
This is a favorable setup if price respects current wedge resistance and fails to breakout convincingly.
Conclusion:
Gold is at a decisive point. The formation of a rising wedge in a prior downtrend signals potential bearish continuation, but a breakout above 3,339.2 could trigger a reversal short-term. Both bulls and bears need confirmation before entering. Monitor volume closely — rising volume on breakout/breakdown will validate either scenario.
XAUUSD H4 | Heading into pullback resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 3,354.73, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,383.55, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,311.79, which is a multi-swing low support.
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Gold Price Analysis July 30Gold (XAUUSD) Consolidating in a Triangle Pattern – Preparing for a Big Breakout
Currently, gold is moving within a triangle consolidation pattern, reflecting the market’s indecision as investors await a series of important economic data from the US this week. This hesitation suggests that a breakout from the triangle pattern could trigger a strong FOMO effect, creating a significant price movement in either direction.
The current price action is similar to a “bull flag” or “pennant” pattern, where a breakout could lead to a clearer and more decisive trend. If the support zone in the pattern fails to hold, the possibility of a sell-off is high.
Trading scenario:
🔻 Activate SELL order:
When price breaks the triangle bottom around 3324
Downside target: 3285, further is the strong support zone at 3250
🔺 Activate BUY order:
When price breaks and holds above the resistance zone 3333
Or: when there is a bearish rejection signal and candle confirmation at the area 3385
XAUUSD. MINOR UPWARDS CONSOLIDATION BEFORE THE NEXT MOVE.XAUUSD. MINOR UPWARDS CONSOLIDATION BEFORE THE NEXT MOVE.
XAUUSD rebounded from local support level of 3,300.00 and attempted to develop some bullish momentum here yesterday. However, the price went into consolidation, showing us the weakness of this short-term bullish rebound. RSI shows the bearish divergence, the price is ready to drop. Of course, fundamentals of last couple of days don't favor this asset either. The decline towards support level of 3,300.00 is expected.
Gold - Powerful RunAfter its powerful run, gold has shown signs of fatigue, stalling near technical resistance between $3,330–$3,350 per ounce in late July. Analysts warn that while the bullish trend remains intact on a structural level, daily volatility is high and some profit-taking or consolidation could continue unless new destabilizing events emerge.
Will the Rally Continue?
The Bull Case
Structural Demand: Multiple sources, including J.P. Morgan and other major forecast groups, predict gold’s structural bull case remains strong with average prices of $3,220–$3,675 per ounce likely through the end of 2025, and even $4,000 possible by 2026.
Ongoing Uncertainty: Persistent geopolitical risks, trade disputes, and fiscal pressures are expected to maintain robust safe haven flows into gold.
Central Bank and Asian Demand: Sustained buying by central banks and consumers in Asia could provide a solid floor below current levels.
The Bear Case
Interest Rate Dynamics: If central banks, especially the US Federal Reserve, hold or increase interest rates, gold could lose momentum, higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non yielding bullion.
Diminishing New Risks: Unless fresh economic or geopolitical shocks appear, further upside may be capped in the near term. Several experts predict gold may consolidate or trade sideways pending new catalysts.
Speculator Flows: Rapid speculative bets could lead to sharp corrections, particularly on technical breakdowns after such a strong rally.
Conclusion
The gold rally of 2025 has been driven by an unusual mix of global volatility, central bank behavior, and shifting investor psychology. While prices could pause or pull back in the coming months, the fundamental supports structural demand, central bank buying, and persistent global risks, suggest that the broader gold bull cycle is not yet over, with $3,000+ likely forming the new base for gold as we look toward 2026.
*NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE*
#gold #safehaven #uncertainty #economy #finance #trading #indicator
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis – July 30, 2025 | 15-Min ChartStructure & Context
Gold is consolidating just above the key intraday support of $3,323, following a bounce from the high-demand zone ($3,322–$3,323.5).
Demand Zone Validity
The yellow zone has consistently attracted buyers, defending it multiple times with sharp rejections. This confirms it as a short-term demand base.
Resistance Still Capping Upside
$3,330.85 acts as immediate resistance. Price has failed to close above it despite several wicks testing this zone — showing strong seller presence.
Scalp Long Idea In Play
A buy setup is in motion with entry near $3,323.5, stop below $3,322, and target at $3,337.5. Risk-to-reward remains favorable while above demand.
Critical Levels to Watch
Support: $3,322.8 → $3,308.3 → $3,302.5
Resistance: $3,330.8 → $3,337.5 → $3,345.4
🎯 Bias: Bullish above $3,322, bearish if broken.
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) Technical Analysis – 4H Char🔍 XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) Technical Analysis – 4H Chart
Based on my shared image from TradingView, here's a detailed analysis of the current XAU/USD market scenario:
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🧩 Chart Type & Indicators Used
Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4)
Platform: TradingView
Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud
Bollinger Bands (BB)
Support/Resistance zones
Trendlines
Price Action with Target Points Marked
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📉 Current Market Structure
Price: ~$3,324 (Sell/Buy zone shown)
Overall Trend: Turning bearish in the short term.
Price Action:
Price has broken below an ascending trendline, suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing a bearish bias.
Failed retest of the cloud resistance zone (around 3,335–3,340), which now acts as a resistance.
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🔻 Bearish Signals
1. Trendline Break:
The rising trendline support (mid-July to now) is broken.
This indicates a potential reversal from the previous bullish momentum.
2. Retest & Rejection:
Price attempted to retest the breakdown zone and was rejected from the 3,335–3,340 level.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Bearish Setup:
Price is clearly below the cloud.
Future cloud is bearish (red shaded).
Chikou Span (lagging line) is below price candles and cloud.
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🎯 Targets
First Target Point: ~3,300
This is the next horizontal support level (near recent lows).
Final Target Point: ~3,270
Stronger support zone and measured move from breakdown.
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🛡 Resistance Zone
Immediate Resistance: 3,335–3,340
Stronger Resistance: 3,370
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📌 Conclusion
The XAU/USD 4H chart shows a bearish breakout below the rising channel, with confirmation from Ichimoku and price rejection at cloud resistance. The market is targeting 3,300 as the first support, and if that breaks, 3,270 will likely follow.
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✅ Strategy Suggestion (if trading):
Bias: Short/Sell
Entry: After a weak pullback or retest near 3,330–3,335
Targets:
TP1: 3,300
TP2: 3,270
Stop Loss: Above 3,345 or near 3,350 zone
Let me know if you'd like this in simpler terms or want me to track the next setup.