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XAGUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by dkb14246
1
Micro Bitcoin Futures-MBTCME:MBT1! I’ve entered a short position on Micro Bitcoin Futures (MBT1!) based on a potential mean reversion setup. Price recently touched the upper Bollinger Band and met resistance near the 109–110 zone. Given the overextension and slowing momentum, I’m anticipating a pullback toward the lower band, aligning with previous support around 102.7. Entry: 107,400 Target: 102,740 (+4.33%) Stop-Loss: 109,255 (−1.73%) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.5 This setup is driven by the classic Bollinger Band strategy – shorting near the upper band with confirmation from resistance and aiming for a reversion to the mean. Let’s see how this plays out.
CME:MBT1!Short
by ALVO13_official
Learn 6 Common Beginner Trading Mistakes (FOREX, GOLD) In the today's post, we will discuss very common beginner's mistakes in trading that you should avoid. 1. No trading plan 📝 That is certainly the TOP 1 mistake. I don't know why it happens but 99% of newbies assume that they don't need a trading plan. It is more than enough for them to watch a couple of educational videos, read some books about trading and Voilà when a good setup appears they can easily recognize and trade it without a plan. Guys, I guarantee you that you will blow your trading account in maximum 2 months if you keep thinking like that. Trading plan is the essential part of every trading approach, so build one and follow that strictly. 2. Overtrading 💱 That mistake comes from a common newbies' misconception: they think that in order to make money in trading, they should trade a lot. The more they trade, the higher are the potential gains. The same reasoning appears when they choose a signal service: the more trades a signal provider shares, the better his signals are supposed to be. However, the truth is that good trades are very rare and your goal as a trader is to recognize and trade only the best setups. While the majority of the trading opportunities are risky and not profitable. 3. Emotional trading 😤 There are 2 ways to make a trading decision: to make it objectively following the rules of your trading plan or to follow the emotions. The second option is the main pick of the newbies. The intuition, fear, desire are their main drivers. And such an approach is of course doomed to a failure. And we will discuss the emotional trading in details in the next 2 sections. 4. Having no patience ⏳ Patience always pays. That is the trader's anthem. However, in practice, it is extremely hard to keep holding the trade that refuses to reach the target, that comes closer and closer to a stop loss level, that stuck around the entry level. Once we are in a trade, we want the price to go directly to our goal without any delay. And the more we wait, the harder it is to keep waiting. The impatience makes traders close their trades preliminary, missing good profits . 5. Greed 🤑 Greed is your main and worst enemy in this game. It will pursue you no matter how experienced you are. The desire to get maximum from every move, to not miss any pip of profit, will be your permanent obstacle. Greed will also pursue you after you close the profitable trades. No matter how much you win, how many good winning trades you catch in a row, you always want more. And that sense main lead you to making irrational, bad trading decision. 6. Big Risks 🛑 Why to calculate lot size for the trade? Why even bother about risk management? These are the typical thoughts of the newbies. Newbie traders completely underestimate the risks involved in trading and for that reason they are risking big. I heard so many times these stories, when a trading deposit of a trader is wiped out with a one single bad trade. Never ever risk big, especially if you just started. Start with a very conservative approach and risk a tiny little portion of your trading account per trade. Of course there are a lot more mistakes to discuss. However, the ones that I listed above at the most common and I am kindly recommending you to fix them before you start trading with a substantial amount of money. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
4-Hour Analysis for XAUUSD (14 June 2025)4-Hour Analysis: The Bigger Picture Price Action & Market Structure Current price is at $3432.835. The market has printed a higher high above the previous swing at ~$3425. Last Break of Structure (BOS): Occurred to the upside at ~$3412. Recent CHoCH (Change of Character): None yet to the downside—bullish structure still intact. Conclusion: Bullish Market Structure is dominant. Fibonacci Levels Measured from the swing low at $3362 to the recent swing high at $3437: 38.2% retracement: ~$3410 50% retracement: ~$3399 61.8% retracement: ~$3388 These are our retracement zones where demand is likely to step in. Smart Money Key Concepts Imbalance: Clean imbalance exists between $3408–$3415. Bullish Order Block (OB): 4H candle at $3394–$3402 Liquidity Grab: Sweep below $3411 (old low) before reversal signals smart money accumulation. Premium/Discount Zone: Current price is above 50% of last impulse → In premium zone (better to look for sells here until retracement). Key Zones (Interaction Points) Buy Zone Cluster (Discount Price) Zone A (OB + 61.8% + Liquidity Pool) → $3385–$3402 Zone B (Imbalance + Fib 50%) → $3408–$3415 Sell Zone Cluster (Premium Price) – for retracements Zone C (Last Supply + Swing Highs) → $3437–$3445 Zone D (Rejection Block + Liquidity Above) → $3455–$3462 4-Hour Bias: Bullish We are in a bullish continuation phase. Ideal trades are buys from demand zones, aiming for new highs or liquidity sweeps above swing points. Zoom-In: 1-Hour Chart – Trade Setups Setup 1: Buy from Demand + OB Reaction Entry Zone: $3394–$3402 Direction: Buy Stop-Loss: $3384 Take Profit 1: $3430 Take Profit 2: $3445 Trigger Condition: Bullish engulfing or bullish BOS on 15-min chart after liquidity grab into the zone. Reason: Overlap of OB, 61.8% fib, and clean liquidity pool below $3400. Setup 2: Buy from Imbalance Tap Entry Zone: $3408–$3415 Direction: Buy Stop-Loss: $3398 Take Profit 1: $3432 Take Profit 2: $3440 Trigger Condition: CHoCH on 15m with FVG fill (imbalance closes with bullish follow-through). Reason: Bullish continuation with low-risk entry within imbalance zone and close to 50% fib retracement. Setup 3: Short from Supply Zone for Retracement Entry Zone: $3455–$3462 Direction: Sell Stop-Loss: $3472 Take Profit 1: $3432 Take Profit 2: $3415 Trigger Condition: Bearish engulfing or 1H CHoCH inside the zone. Reason: Price likely to grab liquidity above highs before retracing; this is a countertrend scalp within premium pricing. Final Takeaway: “Stay bullish on Gold while it’s above $3394—but let price correct into demand before looking to join the trend.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
USOIL The current conflict between Iran and Israel has caused a sharp spike in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a geopolitically sensitive region that is critical for global energy flows. Key Effects on Oil Prices: Price Surge: Oil prices jumped over 7% on June 13, 2025, reaching multi-month highs. Brent crude rose to $76.190 close 73.535 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to around $77.542 before closing at 72.91 per barrel on Friday Earlier intraday spikes were even higher, with Brent briefly surging over 13% and WTI over 14%, marking the largest single-day gains since March 2022. Risk Premium and Supply Concerns: The Israeli strike on Iran significantly raised the "risk premium" on oil prices as markets worry about potential retaliation by Iran targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route for about 20% of the world’s oil. Iran produces about 3.3 million barrels per day (3% of global supply) and exports 1.5 million barrels daily, mainly to China and Turkey. Disruptions here could tighten global supply considerably. Potential for Further Price Increases: Analysts warn that if the conflict escalates, oil prices could surge beyond current levels, potentially topping $93 to $100 per barrel if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz or attacks Gulf energy installations. Goldman Sachs projects Brent crude could peak slightly above $90 per barrel before falling back as supply stabilizes. Broader Market Impact: The conflict has also caused stock market declines and a flight to safe-haven assets like gold, which rose sharply alongside the oil price spike. U.S. gasoline prices are expected to rise in the coming days due to higher crude costs, potentially increasing fuel prices significantly if the conflict worsens. Summary The Iran-Israel conflict has already caused a major jump in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a key oil-producing region. The risk of Iran retaliating by targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sustained higher prices, with some analysts warning of a possible spike to $93–$100 per barrel if tensions escalate further. This situation is closely monitored by markets given its potential to impact global energy supplies and inflation worldwide #USOIL #OIL
FX:USOILLong
by Shavyfxhub
Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step________________________________________ 🏆 Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step Practical Guide ________________________________________ 📌 Step 1: Overview and Goal The goal is to build a neural network system to predict intraday short-term gold price movements—typically forecasting the next 15 to 30 minutes. ________________________________________ 📈 Step 2: Choosing Indicators (TradingView Equivalents) Key indicators for intraday gold trading: • 📊 Moving Averages (EMA, SMA) • 📏 Relative Strength Index (RSI) • 🌀 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) • 📉 Bollinger Bands • 📦 Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) • ⚡ Average True Range (ATR) ________________________________________ 🗃 Step 3: Data Acquisition (Vectors and Matrices) Use Python's yfinance to fetch intraday gold data: import yfinance as yf import pandas as pd data = yf.download('GC=F', period='30d', interval='15m') ________________________________________ 🔧 Step 4: Technical Indicator Calculation Use Python’s pandas_ta library to generate all required indicators: import pandas_ta as ta data = ta.ema(data , length=20) data = ta.ema(data , length=50) data = ta.rsi(data , length=14) macd = ta.macd(data ) data = macd data = macd bbands = ta.bbands(data , length=20) data = bbands data = bbands data = bbands data = ta.atr(data , data , data , length=14) data.dropna(inplace=True) ________________________________________ 🧹 Step 5: Data Preprocessing and Matrix Creation Standardize your features and shape data for neural networks: from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler import numpy as np features = scaler = StandardScaler() data_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(data ) def create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10): X, y = , for i in range(len(data_scaled) - window_size - 1): X.append(data_scaled ) y.append(data .iloc ) return np.array(X), np.array(y) X, y = create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10) ________________________________________ 🤖 Step 6: Neural Network Construction with TensorFlow Use LSTM neural networks for sequential, time-series prediction: import tensorflow as tf from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential from tensorflow.keras.layers import LSTM, Dense, Dropout model = Sequential( , X.shape )), Dropout(0.2), LSTM(32, activation='relu'), Dense(1) ]) model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mse') ________________________________________ 🎯 Step 7: Training the Neural Network history = model.fit(X, y, epochs=50, batch_size=32, validation_split=0.2) ________________________________________ 📊 Step 8: Evaluating Model Performance Visualize actual vs. predicted prices: import matplotlib.pyplot as plt predictions = model.predict(X) plt.plot(y, label='Actual Price') plt.plot(predictions, label='Predicted Price') plt.xlabel('Time Steps') plt.ylabel('Gold Price') plt.legend() plt.show() ________________________________________ 🚦 Step 9: Developing a Trading Strategy Translate predictions into trading signals: def trade_logic(predicted, current, threshold=0.3): diff = predicted - current if diff > threshold: return "Buy" elif diff < -threshold: return "Sell" else: return "Hold" latest_data = X .reshape(1, X.shape , X.shape ) predicted_price = model.predict(latest_data) current_price = data .iloc decision = trade_logic(predicted_price, current_price) print("Trading Decision:", decision) ________________________________________ ⚙️ Step 10: Real-Time Deployment Automate the model for live trading via broker APIs (pseudocode): while market_open: live_data = fetch_live_gold_data() live_data_processed = preprocess(live_data) prediction = model.predict(live_data_processed) decision = trade_logic(prediction, live_data ) execute_order(decision) ________________________________________ 📅 Step 11: Backtesting Use frameworks like Backtrader or Zipline to validate your strategy: import backtrader as bt class NNStrategy(bt.Strategy): def next(self): if self.data.predicted > self.data.close + threshold: self.buy() elif self.data.predicted < self.data.close - threshold: self.sell() cerebro = bt.Cerebro() cerebro.addstrategy(NNStrategy) # Add data feeds and run cerebro cerebro.run() ________________________________________ 🔍 Practical Use-Cases • ⚡ Momentum Trading: EMA crossovers, validated by neural network. • 🔄 Mean Reversion: Trade at Bollinger Band extremes, validated with neural network predictions. • 🌩️ Volatility-based: Use ATR plus neural net for optimal entry/exit timing. ________________________________________ 🛠 Additional Recommendations • Frameworks: TensorFlow/Keras, PyTorch, scikit-learn • Real-time monitoring and risk management are crucial—use volatility indicators! ________________________________________ 📚 Final Thoughts This practical guide arms you to build, deploy, and manage a neural network-based intraday gold trading system—from data acquisition through backtesting—ensuring you have the tools for robust, data-driven, and risk-managed trading strategies. ________________________________________
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
24
Gold closed strong bull weekly candleGold closed strong bull weekly candle. gold manage to close a solid weekly candle that manage to cover most of previous wick highs that showing a strong indication that it wants to reach its ATH as first destination which is accordance to fibo from the latest bearish movement of 3403 to 3295. Bias is Bullish. However, in the current daily line chart. we are at 3-point touch of resistance. which also indicate a very strong point of resistance. 1st scenario is I foresight gold will continue its climb towards 3500 or even closer to it to cfm its direction. if breaks above 3500 means gold will head towards 2.618 of fibo. 2nd scenario, if gold did not manage to break the 3500 ceiling, possibility for a trendline support retest as previous the weekly trendline was able to be broken however due to fundamental of trade war tariff its bounce back making it as a fake out. my plan for next week. 1. I will still focus to look for buys, however I will only scalp position. means if I identify a support area to buy with a clear confirmation of fresh breakout target with a 50pips 1st tp 50% and 100pips 25% and balance B.E. for every setup. 2. I will wait for a confirmation of sells setups nearer to its resistance. if a strong and clear rejections appear in smaller tf shall i take that trade with the same principals and target as it makes sense to sell high. at the current no trader is wrong to buy or sell as we are in at the most volatile area that a minute candle goes as much as 100pips. only money management that will keeps us alive. A self reminder to me as well. All the best traders. may it'll be a fruitful week ahead for all of us.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAN_Simply_Trade
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 73.374. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 78.914 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
2
NQ100 → Entering the Danger Zone?📈 1. Technical Context (Price Action & Structure) The daily chart shows a strong bullish continuation from the 17,350 area, with price now extending toward the 22,000 USD zone. We are currently within a weekly/monthly supply, with: Mild RSI divergence in overbought conditions Temporary rejection at 22,050–22,200 A potential liquidity sweep above highs before distribution or pullback The monthly structure shows a strong swing low that may serve as anchor for a future reversal 🧠 2. COT Report – Commitment of Traders (as of June 3) Commercials (Smart Money): +4,041 long | +3,320 short → Net +1,455 → hedging phase, not trend expansion Non-Commercials (Speculators): –2,237 long | +125 short → net exposure reduction Open Interest increasing → new positions building, but no extreme imbalance 📌 Conclusion: Tactical neutrality, slight bullish lean from commercials. 📆 3. Seasonality June has been historically bullish, especially in the past 2 years (+700 pts avg) 10Y average still leans bullish ⚠️ September is a clear seasonal reversal month across all timeframes 📌 Conclusion: Seasonal tailwind through end of June; cyclic reversal risk into Q3. 📰 4. Macro Calendar High-impact USD week: CPI – Wed, June 11 PPI – Thu, June 12 These will be critical to: Validate the disinflation narrative Set expectations for a Fed cut by Sep/Nov 📌 Conclusion: Expect explosive mid-week volatility — watch for liquidity spikes above 22,000 if CPI surprises. ⚙️ Operational Outlook ✅ Primary scenario (bullish continuation): 🎯 Target: 22,260 → fib extension + structure ❌ Invalid below 21,350 🔄 Alternative scenario (mean reversion): 🔻 Short from 22,050–22,200 🎯 Target: 20,950 → liquidity + FVG zone 🔁 Trigger: weekly engulf or hotter-than-expected CPI
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
USOIL: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsSupply Shortage Risks Escalating Middle East tensions pressure Iran's crude supply: Israeli airstrikes have hit key facilities, and potential conflict escalation may disrupt oil production capacity and transportation through the Strait of Hormuz (where 20% of global oil shipments pass). Although OPEC+ has proposed output increases, doubts over implementation fuel concerns about supply gaps, supporting oil prices. Peak Demand Season Support Summer triggers peak travel seasons in Europe and the U.S., surging demand for gasoline, jet fuel, etc. Despite global economic slowdown, rebounding seasonal consumption—combined with supply-side uncertainties—exacerbates market fears of supply-demand imbalance, underpinning prices. Panic Sentiment Drive Middle East tensions spark panic buying of crude oil futures, amplifying short-term price volatility. As long as conflicts remain unresolved, emotional factors will sustain upward momentum for oil prices. USOIL buy@71-72 TP:75~76 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_02
As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long. As shown in Figure 4h. I clearly show the trend of gold prices through the split chart. 1: The ABC span forms the golden ratio, indicating that if the gold price continues to rise out of control in the future, it will rise to the range of 3700-4000. 2: The blue triangle angle is a convergent triangle in the upward trend, which is a strong triangle. The probability of bullishness next week is high, and the possibility of breaking through and returning to the range of 3450-3500 is very high. 3: We need to consider the most unlikely possibility, that is, the worst expectations and results. If the gold price breaks through 3450 and it is a false breakthrough, there may be an expectation of a sharp decline: 3365-3330-3270. Operation strategy: As shown in the figure: 1: Pay attention to the 1-2 path and defend the 3-4 path. 2: Wait for low prices to find long opportunities 3: As long as the gold price is above 3400 points, only participate in the long strategy. 4: Gold price fluctuation range: 3400-3450 5: Two test pressure areas for intraday short-term short selling: 3450 and 3500 6: Strong support area: 3400--3365--3330-3270, these points can be used as support points and stop loss ranges for future attempts to go long.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa21210
Gold Wave Analysis and OutlookHi Traders, My technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD suggests we are currently in a corrective wave 2 pattern. This correction could take gold to the 1800-1780 region , likely around October 2023. After wave 2 finishes, wave 3 has potential to break above 2000 and resume the larger bullish trend. However, we need to see the correction play out first, so I don't anticipate a sustained upside move until after wave 2 completes. For now, I'm cautious on new long positions in gold until we see signs of wave 2 bottoming out around 1780-1800. Once the correction finishes, I will look to go long for the next leg up towards 2000 (around 2300). Let me know if you have any other opinion!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by teconlab
Gold Poised to Shine - 18% Upside Projected by Completing Wave 5Gold is currently trading around 494.92 RMB per gram in China as of July 25, 2023. Based on the technical analysis on XAUCNY showing we are currently in wave 5, subwave 4 of an upward trend, the prediction is that by January 2025, the price for 1 ounce of gold will reach 16575 RMB. Given that 1 ounce equals 28.3495 grams, a price of 16575 RMB per ounce implies that the price per gram of gold is expected to reach around 584 RMB by January 2025. This represents an increase of approximately 18% from the current price of 494.92 RMB per gram. Going from subwave 4 to subwave 5 typically signals the final leg of an advancing trend before it completes the larger degree wave 5. If the analysis is correct, we can expect the 18% price increase to occur over the next 1.5 years as gold enters the terminal subwave 5. The ongoing expansionary monetary policies by central banks globally serves as a key driver supporting higher gold prices. High inflation levels in many economies incentivizes investors to allocate more funds to gold as an inflation hedge. Geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict also increase safe-haven demand for gold. While risks remain, such as potential interest rate hikes that strengthen the dollar, the overall backdrop still seems conducive for higher gold prices. From a technical perspective, the upside projection toward 584 RMB per gram over the next 1.5 years aligns with the view that subwave 5 will see accelerating upside momentum toward completing wave 5. In summary, based on current technical analysis, the prediction is that gold will reach 584 RMB per gram by January 2025, an 18% increase from today's levels, as it completes the final wave 5 uptrend over the coming months. The macroeconomic and geopolitical environment also seem supportive of this view.
SAXO:XAUCNHLong
by teconlab