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XAU/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, using a combination of trend lines, EMA, RSI, and price structure. --- Technical Breakdown: 1. Price Structure: Gold is forming a rising channel (black trend lines) within a short-term uptrend, but this is happening below the 200 EMA, which generally indicates bearish momentum. A resistance zone is highlighted near the top of the channel, suggesting sellers might defend this level. 2. Key Level: Resistance Level: Around 3,330–3,335 zone. Target Point: Price is expected to break down from the channel and reach support levels near 3,284.35 and 3,282.51. 3. Moving Average (EMA 200): Current price is below the 200 EMA (3,348.42), reinforcing a bearish bias. 4. RSI (14): RSI is near 52.58, indicating neutral-to-slightly-overbought territory. No strong divergence is visible, but RSI is not confirming a bullish trend either. 5. Projection (Hand-drawn Path): The drawn path shows a potential breakdown from the channel with a bearish impulse targeting lower support zones. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Confirmation Needed: Break below channel support Entry Zone: Near the resistance of the rising channel (~3,330–3,335) Target Zone: 3,284.35 – 3,282.51 Invalidation: Sustained break above 3,348 (above EMA 200) plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
XUA/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, targeting a move toward the $3,310–$3,315 support zone. Here's the full breakdown: --- Technical Analysis – Gold (1H) 1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Supply Zones Two FVG supply zones are marked where price previously dropped sharply: Upper FVG zone near $3,385.49 (with red arrow: expected rejection point) Lower FVG zone near $3,352.47 Price is expected to reject from either zone, resuming the bearish move. 2. Market Structure: Lower Highs, Lower Lows The chart shows a clear bearish structure, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. The current price action suggests a potential pullback into FVG, followed by another leg down. 3. Key Support Zone (Target Area) The yellow box between $3,315.22–$3,310.99 represents a strong demand/support zone and is marked as the target point. This level has acted as a prior accumulation zone and is likely to attract buying interest again. 4. EMA 200 Resistance Price is trading below the 200 EMA (currently at $3,365.87) — indicating a bearish bias. EMA also aligns near the lower FVG zone, reinforcing the area as a potential reversal point. 5. RSI Indicator RSI at 35.38 is nearing oversold territory but still shows downward pressure. No divergence or reversal signal yet — supports the continuation view. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Bias: Bearish Current Price: $3,337.02 Supply Zones (FVG): $3,385.49 (stronger supply) $3,352.47 (minor supply) Support Target: $3,315.22–$3,310.99 Structure: Bearish (LL-LH formation) EMA: 200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance RSI: 35.38 – still bearish momentum --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
Patience Through VolatilityThere's something the market teaches you over time that no book, course, or checklist ever really prepares you for - “how to live with uncertainty” . It's amazing how quickly the market can make you doubt yourself. You can be doing everything right - following your process, managing your risk, sticking to your plans, and then volatility hits. Suddenly, nothing seems to make sense. The moves feel random. Your setups fail. Your confidence fades. You start questioning not just your trades, but yourself. You'll have stretches where patience feels like the hardest thing in the world. Watching markets whip up and down without direction, sitting on your hands when you want to trade just to feel in control again, it's exhausting in a different way. It's not the exhaustion of doing too much. It's the weight of doing nothing when your instincts scream at you to act. That’s the part most people don’t talk about. It’s not the losing trades that break most traders, it’s the feeling of being stuck. The uncertainty of not knowing when the noise will fade. The frustration of watching opportunities slip by without a clear way to take part. It’s the slow grind of sitting through volatility while your discipline quietly wears down, day after day. Patience isn’t something you can show off. Most of the time, it looks like doing nothing. And often, it feels like falling behind. Good trading isn't about finding opportunities in every move, it's about knowing when the market favours you, and when it doesn't. It's about understanding your edge and protecting it. Some environments aren't built for your system, your style, or your strengths. Volatile markets don't offer you clean setups or easy entries. They offer noise, confusion, and temptation. Most traders don’t struggle because of volatility itself, but because of the impatience it creates. They force trades. They chase moves. They try to squeeze something out of the market simply because the waiting feels unbearable. But waiting is not a weakness. Sitting still is not inaction. Restraint is a skill. Your progress won’t always be visible. It won’t always show up on a chart at the end of the day. Sometimes, progress is simply preserving your capital. Sometimes, it’s maintaining your discipline. And sometimes, it’s protecting your mindset so you’re ready when the right opportunities finally come back into focus. You have to learn to stomach the discomfort of volatility without tying your self-worth to every swing in your account. The noise always feels permanent in the moment. Doubt grows louder. You start questioning your system, your progress, and even yourself. (More on this in a future post.) That's normal. What matters is what you do with those feelings. Whether you let them push you into reckless trades just to feel something again, or whether you have the maturity to sit still, protect your capital, protect your mindset, and wait. There’s no hack for this. No shortcut. Patience is something you earn the hard way - forged in boredom, frustration, and the silence between trades. Patience isn’t about passively waiting; it’s about actively protecting yourself, your energy, your future self from the damage you could cause today. Not every moment in the market is meant for action. Not every day is meant for progress. Some days, weeks, or even months are simply about survival. Some seasons are for growth, and others are just for holding on. Knowing the difference is what keeps you in the game long enough to eventually see the rewards. The market will calm. Patterns will return. Opportunities will align. Your edge will reappear. The chaos always fades. The clarity always returns. When it does, you want to be ready - not emotionally drained, not financially wrecked, and not scrambling to recover from the mistakes impatience forced on you. But if you lose patience and start chasing just to feel active, you risk more than money. You risk undoing the very discipline you’ve worked so hard to build. Volatility will always test you. That's its nature. Patience will always protect you. That's your choice. If you’re in one of those stretches right now - high volatility, failing setups, doubt creeping in; remind yourself this is part of the process. It’s normal, and it’s not the time to force progress. Let the market burn itself out. If you can do that, you’ll find yourself ahead, not because you forced results, but because you endured the pain when others couldn’t. The rewards won’t come from predicting the next move. They’ll come from knowing you didn’t let the storm in the market create a storm within you. Trust that clarity will return. Your only job is to make sure you’re still here when it does. There’s strength in waiting. There’s wisdom in restraint.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by johntradingwick
39
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is currently approaching two key supply zones (OB 1H): 🔴 First OB zone: around 3354 – 3360 🔴 Second OB zone: around 3368 – 3370 We're watching these zones for potential short setups, only with confirmation on the lower timeframes (5M or 3M). If price reacts to one of these OBs, we expect a move down toward the green 1H demand zone around 3280 – 3290, where a long setup may later form. 📌 Key scenarios: 1️⃣ Price hits the first OB → confirmation → short 2️⃣ Price moves to the second OB → confirmation → short 3️⃣ Target for both setups = green OB around 3280 4️⃣ No entry without confirmation from LTF ❗️ Do NOT enter without lower timeframe confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ProfitaminFX
Gold recently experienced a typical "suppression and release"Capital dynamics and sentiment modeling, found that the gold market has recently experienced a typical "suppression and release" type of reaction. After a period of sustained pressure on the emotional background, the dominant force of the short side began to weaken, and both long and short sentiment tends to be balanced, and the logic of gold as a safe-haven asset has been re-explored and recognized. This type of trend is often non-explosive, but through the emotional layers of repair and structural slow reversal of the gradual unfolding. The current signal strength has reached the bearish threshold set by the system, with a certain operational feasibility. It is recommended that traders try to follow up with a low percentage of positions, but still need to retain enough position space to cope with the possible continuation of fluctuations. The whole layout is mainly defensive and offensive, and it is appropriate to seek progress in a stable manner.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Double_RR
Gold loading up on buys but first, more drops!Gold is in a place where many are loading up on buys and I understand why. Gold has been taking some significant drops since pushing all time highs but check my charts and reason with me. In the large timeframes gold still has some movement down to complete the cycle before going back for all time highs again. Additionally it’s holding the $3388 resistance level (futures price) pretty strong on the 15 minute chart. It’s gonna be an interesting week for gold to say the least.
COMEX:GCZ2025Short
by TAGS_Worldview
Oil Prices Form Bearish Head & Shoulders – Key Neckline in FocusWTI crude oil is showing a clear Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal signal. The left shoulder formed in early July, followed by a higher peak forming the head in mid-July, and finally the right shoulder near the current levels, which is lower than the head. The neckline is positioned around $66.00, acting as a key support level. Currently, the price is trading at $67.34, hovering slightly above this neckline, indicating that the market is at a critical decision point. A confirmed break below the neckline could accelerate bearish momentum, targeting the $62.20 – $62.80 zone based on the pattern’s measured move. However, if the neckline holds, a possible bounce toward $68.50 – $69.00 could occur, but overall bias remains bearish unless the price can break and sustain above $69.00. Key Price Levels: - Resistance: $68.50 – $69.00 - Neckline Support: $66.00 - Bearish Target (if confirmed): $62.20 – $62.80 Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by SibiSh
6
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Timeframe UpdateGold opened the week continuing its bearish move down to the 3303 area. Since then, price has been slowly climbing, showing signs of retracement — but structure remains uncertain. On the 4H timeframe, we’re currently forming a head and shoulders pattern (now 2/3 complete), and price action is also shaping a bearish flag, suggesting a possible continuation to the downside. We’re heading into heavy economic news starting tomorrow morning, along with the beginning of earnings season for major assets — all of which could trigger sharp volatility in gold. Key levels to watch: • A break above the swing high at 3345 would suggest a bullish continuation. • A break below the swing low at 3308 would confirm a bearish move. • The resistance level at 3365 is a key zone to monitor — this is where I expect the right shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern to complete. Importantly, the 50 SMA is currently traveling in line with this 3365 resistance, adding extra confluence. A break above 3365 would not only take out a strong historical level but also break above the 50 SMA, signaling potential strength to the upside. On the flip side, a rejection from this area would serve as a double rejection — from both resistance and the 50 SMA — reinforcing the bearish case. For now, it’s a tug of war between buyers and sellers, and with the upcoming data releases, momentum could shift fast. ⚠️ As always, wait for confirmed setups, manage your risk, and only trade with a plan. Limit risk to 1–2% of your capital per day.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by hustlewithtam
1
Schabacker's Gold Trap Inside the Trap: Schabacker Congestion, VWAP Warfare & The Silent Distribution on XAU/USD 1. The Congestion Area – Schabacker Style 🔍 What We Saw: Price action rotated in a tight range: 3,324.5 - 3,329.5. This is not random. This is Schabacker’s classic Congestion Zone: Duration: 12+ hours Width: ~5 points Volume: tapering near edges Failed breakouts on both sides = classic neutral wedge compression. 🎯 Schabacker Teaching Applied: "Congestion areas are places of rest and preparation — they are the breeding grounds of significant breakouts or breakdowns." From his bible “Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits”: Congestion after a trend → likely a continuation (but confirm via breakout volume). Multiple failed breakouts = deceptive strength/weakness → traps. Range becomes psychological equilibrium → breakout from this zone is explosive. 📘 Lesson: Watch for breakout confirmation only AFTER price escapes the congestion and retests the range (confirm with volume and delta). If volume weakens and price returns inside = fakeout, fade that sh*t. 🔥 How Schabacker Explains July 29 Price Action "This was a classic congestion scenario with symmetrical compression, rejecting value high and value low over and over — a balanced market ripe for an imbalanced expansion." Price coiled with lower highs + higher lows inside the value zone = triangle-like congestion. Breakout attempts both sides failed = energy stored. Delta flipped negative toward the close + volume dried = distribution inside the congestion. ✅ Congestion was not random chop. It was the Smart Money disguising their exit before slamming price. ⚔️ ENHANCED STRATEGIC OUTLOOK FOR TODAY (JULY 30, 2025) 🎯 Bias: Short bias unless proven wrong by breakout + acceptance above 3,329.50 Schabacker’s congestion broken to the downside = high probability short trigger. First target = edge of congestion zone @ 3,316.80 (previous VAL). Second target (extension) = swing low anchor near 3,310. 📘 Volatility Note: After tight range like this (Schabacker Box), volatility expansion is imminent. Don’t get caught trading inside — trade the break and retest. 💣 HYPOTHETICAL TRADE PLAN: SCHABACKER STRATEGY IN PLAY Order Type: 🔻 Sell Stop Below Congestion Break Entry: 3,322.00 Stop Loss: 3,330.00 (above congestion top + failed breakout zone) Take Profit 1: 3,316.80 (edge of range, VAL) Take Profit 2: 3,310.00 (target from congestion width projection) Confidence: 78% 🧠 Justification: Factor Explanation VWAP Flatlined = balanced market FVRP Price camped near POC = equilibrium Footprint Absorption at highs, silent selling = distribution confirmed Delta Early buyer strength flipped = trap Schabacker Congestion Classic box breakout setup = timing the expansion 🧠 EDUCATIONAL SUMMARY — WHAT YOU JUST LEARNED ✅ Schabacker’s Congestion Area Tactics Congestion after a move Leads to continuation (trend resumes after pause) Multiple failed breakouts Traps traders = setup for fakeout fade Volume dries inside box = Explosive breakout likely Use congestion width To project breakout targets You don't fade chop — you exploit it after the breakout. Don't waste your bullets inside the box. Wait for the beast to break loose — then you unload.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold Drops After Failing to Hold Above $3322📊 Market Overview: Gold initially surged above the $3322 resistance, hitting $3329 amid Fed pause expectations. However, a rebound in the US dollar and profit-taking triggered a sharp drop back to $3315, signaling weakening bullish momentum. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key resistance: $3322 – $3330 • Nearest support: $3308 – $3300 • EMA09 (H1): Price has fallen below EMA09 → turning short-term trend bearish • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: • Failed breakout above $3322 with strong bearish H1 reversal • Increasing volume during the drop → rising selling pressure 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue declining in the short term if it fails to hold above $3312. Bears have taken control after the failed breakout attempt. Risk increases for a move toward $3300–$3295. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3318 – $3321 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3325 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3295 – $3292 (only with clear bullish signal) 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3288
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
9
Crude oil: Sell around 70.20, target 65.00-64.00Crude Oil Market Analysis: Yesterday's crude oil market was very strong, with buying driving the market higher. The daily chart ultimately closed with a clear bullish candlestick. Buying on the daily chart is testing the resistance level between 70.00 and 70.60. After two consecutive days of bullish closes, and with clear bullish candlesticks, I predict another surge today. Let's look at the daily chart. The daily chart shows a significant rebound after a significant drop. Today, focus on selling opportunities between 70.00 and 70.60. A break of this level will change the overall selling trend. The strategy remains to sell high and be bearish. Fundamental Analysis: Today, focus on the ADP employment data and the EIA crude oil inventory data. The key news will be the interest rate results during the US trading session, along with speeches. Trading Recommendations: Crude oil: Sell around 70.20, target 65.00-64.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NicolaZhu
1
Gold - Sell around 3345, target 3320-3301Gold Market Analysis： Gold has been in a correction over the past two days, with repeated ups and downs, generally trending towards a low and then a rebound. Yesterday, we insisted on selling at 3320, 3326, and 3328, but the profits weren't significant. The daily chart doesn't clearly indicate stabilization or a reversal of trend. Looking at the longer-term trend, I still insist on buying if 3345 breaks. If it doesn't break, we can hold on to the bearish trend. We previously mentioned that 3300 is support on the daily and weekly charts. A technical rebound and correction after selling below this level is inevitable and a normal technical correction. Furthermore, starting Wednesday, big data will be released one by one, and the market is waiting for the data to guide its direction. The weekly chart is also confused and directionless. We're just small investors; we need to follow, not speculate. The 5-day moving average on the daily chart has dipped below 3335, a level that has been retested multiple times in the Asian session. The current correction range is 3300-3335, with resistance around 3345-3343. The daily chart closed positive again, suggesting that the support below may be difficult to break in the short-term Asian session, and a significant decline is unlikely. We anticipate continued correction pending the ADP results. Support is 3311 and 3301, resistance is 3345, with minor resistance at 3335. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3335. Fundamental Analysis: Today, focus on the ADP employment data and the EIA crude oil inventory data. The US interest rate results are the highlight, along with the speech. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Sell around 3345, target 3320-3301
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu