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Shift in the down trend and a new wave is coming Hello Traders, i would like to thank every one who support the prev idea when it was head and shoulders and early notifiess to go down, and now i have seen another pattern its the Diamond for those who doesnt know it signals a potential trend reversal, similar to a diamond-shaped formation. It typically occurs after an extended trend and indicates a period of consolidation before a potential breakout in the opposite direction. The pattern can be bearish (Diamond Top) or bullish (Diamond Bottom), forming at or near market tops and bottoms, respectively, so it was formed on the 1hr frame my target will be prev hight at 3.8 good luck stop loss is under the prev low 3.58 kindly show the support for me so i can continue posting my ideas thats help me alot that i have a view and it could be right thanks again.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by TONYMONTANA87
2
Gold 1hr -Don't Know when is the next movement ? This for You🔥 Gold – 1h Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 1h- Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. Your Ultimate key levels 👌Bullish After Break : 3392 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bullish After Break : 3415 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bullish After Break : 3435 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3375 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3325 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
14
GOLD The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #gold #dollar
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #GOLD #DOLLAR
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold will inevitably fall after risingGold has risen sharply due to the violent geopolitical conflicts and the surge in risk aversion. It once reached around 3445, but in the process of falling back, it only touched 3408 and rebounded again, stabilizing above 3400. It is obvious that due to the changes in fundamentals, the sentiment of gold bulls is high; although the upward momentum of gold near 3440 has weakened, there is no clear signal of peaking yet! For short-term trading, it is relatively difficult to participate at present. To be honest, I naturally don’t want to chase gold at a high level; but there are no more signals to support me to short gold for the time being. However, with the rebound of gold, the current short-term support below is in the 3425-3415 area, followed by the psychological support of the 3400 integer mark; and the short-term resistance above is in the 3455-3465 area, followed by the area near 3480. Compared with the profit and loss ratio, I prefer shorting gold for short-term trading, because gold has performed relatively strongly in the London market. Logically, gold will have the inertia to rise in the New York market, so I think gold may rise and then fall in the New York market, so my current plan is to try shorting gold starting in the 3455-3465 area. Because the changes in gold's fundamentals are more extreme and complex, you must set up SL when participating in transactions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Gold Breaks Out- Bulls Eye Record High Gold prices are poised to mark a third consecutive daily advance with XAU/USD clearing the June opening-range on news of war breaking out in the Middle East. The breakout takes price into uptrend resistance and while the broader outlook remains constructive, the immediate advance may be vulnerable while below this slope. A rally of more than 1.7% extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line before pulling back and the immediate focus is on today’s close with respect to the record high-close at 3431. Risk for near-term inflection off this zone with a close above needed to mark uptrend resumption. Subsequent resistance objectives are eyed at the record high at 3500 and the 100% extension of the May rally at 3578- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Initial support now rests back at the 61.8% retracement of the April decline / the record high-day close (HDC) at 3355/80- losses should be limited to the median-line IF price is heading higher on this stretch. Subsequent support seen at the May / June open at 3288/89 with bullish invalidation now raised to the May LDC / late-May swing low at 3240/45- a close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger reversal is underway. Bottom line: The gold rally has extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line- risk for possible inflection / topside exhaustion into this slope. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 3355 IF price is heading for a breakout with a close above the median-line needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance. Keep in mind we get the release of key interest rate decisions from the Bank of Japan, the Federal Reserve, and the Bank of England next week. The ongoing conflict in Iran adds an additional layer of event risk as gold presses record highs- stay nimble next week and watch the weekly closes for guidance here.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Geopolitics Trigger Gold Breakthrough Above $3,400Last night's released strategy accurately predicted Israel's military action against Iran – the strike was launched in the early morning. The driving effect of geopolitics on gold is significant. As a major global oil supply region, the Middle East situation has directly triggered a surge in oil prices. The key focus is on Iran's subsequent counterattack: if retaliation is carried out, gold's safe-haven attribute will be further activated, and the possibility of gold prices breaking through the $3,500 threshold is significantly increased. Currently, go long near the $3,400 support level. Pay attention to changes in the international situation, and I will notify you immediately of any new news. XAU/USD buy@3400-3410 tp:3430-3440 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
Gold In Strong Uptrend More to Come?Hey Traders so today we are looking at the Gold Market with strong uptrend intact. So the main question is where to from here? Well resistance now at $3500 so the market could test that level, pause or breakthrough. I think that right now though best place to buy in would be at support $3300. Why this level? It is the 23% Fibonacci support level and the market has not broken it yet. So seems to want to stay above it. Seasonally Gold begins higher prices also in July/August Indian Wedding Season etc. So if you bullish wait for market to test $3300 and aggressive would be to buy at soon as it hits it. Conservative entry would be wait for bounce off $3300 the buy it. Stop loss $3230 or lower maybe $3200 remember we must give the market room to Breathe. If your bearish be careful this uptrend is very strong I would not consider shorting at this time. Always use Risk Management! (Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTheIndex
1
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis – June 13, 2025🔍 Key Observations Uptrend Structure: Gold remains in a rising channel (higher highs, higher lows). $3265 flipped from support to springboard for continued upside. $3365–$3375 has held as a solid support zone. Resistance Levels: 💠 $3400 – psychological barrier and channel resistance. 💠 $3480 – upper channel boundary, long-term target. 💠 $3490 – historical ATH, may trigger pullbacks. Macro/Geopolitical Drivers: Israel–Iran tensions and soft U.S. data boost safe-haven demand. Central bank accumulation reinforces bullish case. Bearish Contingency: Failure to break $3432.57 (double top) could pull price down to: 🔻 $3384.83 – intermediate support 🔻 $3270.06 – final downside target 📈 Trade Setup – Bullish Continuation 📥 Entry Zones: $3377–$3380 support area (pullback entry) OR $3400 breakout confirmation (high-volume thrust) ⛔ Stop-Loss: Below $3350 to guard against fakeouts 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $3444.75 TP2: $34458.44 TP3: $3472.14 TP4: $3490 (ATH zone) 📊 Risk/Reward: Favorable 3:1 (e.g., risking $25 to gain $75 from $3375 entry) 🔑 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3400, $3432.57, $3456, $3480, $3490 Support: $3384.83, $3375, $3340, $3319 🧭 Sentiment & Volume Cues Bullish Confirmation: Volume spike above $3365–$3400 Continued soft US data / geopolitical fear Bearish Signals: Weak breakout at $3432.57 Breakdown below $3384.83 with low volume ✅ Summary Gold maintains bullish structure. Look for long entries around $3375–$3384.83 or wait for a strong breakout above $3400. Use tight stops and monitor both technical levels and macro triggers. 🛑 Disclaimer: Trade with proper risk management. This analysis reflects technical outlooks and may change based on real-time events.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
15
Bull market continues? Beware of the possibility of a pullback📰 Impact of news: 1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates 📈 Market analysis: In the short term, gold is expected to rise further. Relatively speaking, there is still room for further increase. If it continues to rise today, it depends on the test of 3440 points, which is the opening position of the previous decline. In the short term, pay attention to the 3340-3350 resistance. If it can break through and stay above it, the 3468-3493 line we gave in the morning can still be used as a reference, and it is even expected to reach 3500. But at the same time, the RSI indicator in the hourly chart is approaching the overbought area, so we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a pullback. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3440-3450 TP 3430-3420 BUY 3415-3400 TP 3420-3440 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Geopolitical risks boost gold prices, focus on key resistance Market drivers The escalation of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has become the core catalyst for gold prices. The partial withdrawal of US personnel and Iran's retaliatory warnings have intensified risk aversion demand, and gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has received strong buying support. History shows that conflicts in the Middle East often push gold prices to rise in stages, and the current US-Iran confrontation may continue to boost gold prices. Technical analysis The 4-hour chart of gold shows a volatile upward structure. In the early trading, it broke through the 3400 mark with the help of risk aversion news. The short-term resistance moved up to the 3435-3438 area. If it breaks through, it will further look at 3468-3493. The key support is at 3403-3380, and it will weaken if it loses 3380. If the European session remains above 3410, the US session is expected to continue to rise; if the momentum decays, be wary of the risk of rapid retracement. Operation strategy Long position: Arrange in batches when the price falls back to 3403-3380, stop loss below 3375, target 3435-3468. Short position: Try short position with light position when the price touches 3435-3438 for the first time, stop loss at 3445, target 3400; if the price breaks through 3440, wait and see until 3468 and then reverse the price. Risk warning The Fed's policy expectations and the changes in the situation in the Middle East are still double-edged swords. Be wary of profit-taking after risk aversion subsides. In the short term, the price should be more volatile, but the stop loss should be strictly enforced.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Trend_Trading_xau
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great finish after completing each of our targets throughout the week with ema5 lock confirmations on our proprietary Goldturn levels. Yesterday we finished off with 3388 and stated we would look for ema5 cross and lock above 3388 to open 3428 and failure to lock will follow with a rejection. - This played out perfectly with the cross and lock confirmation and then the target hit at 3428 completing the range. BULLISH TARGET 3318 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3352 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3388 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3428 - DONE We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
Gold Testing Channel Resistance – Bearish Reversal Expected Gold (XAU/USD) – 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis Gold is trading within an upward parallel channel on the 4-hour chart, with price action consistently respecting both the support and resistance boundaries of the formation. At present, Gold is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, currently trading around 3425, indicating a key resistance zone. A rejection from this level is anticipated, which could initiate a corrective move to the downside. Entry 3425 (Resistance Zone) Target 3340 (Support Zone) Stop-Loss 3451 The technical setup favors a short position, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if the resistance holds. Traders are advised to monitor for confirmation signals before entry. Bearish bias below 3451, with potential downside toward 3340.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Anna_Wade