SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.303 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Futures market
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis – June 13, 2025🔍 Key Observations
Uptrend Structure:
Gold remains in a rising channel (higher highs, higher lows).
$3265 flipped from support to springboard for continued upside.
$3365–$3375 has held as a solid support zone.
Resistance Levels:
💠 $3400 – psychological barrier and channel resistance.
💠 $3480 – upper channel boundary, long-term target.
💠 $3490 – historical ATH, may trigger pullbacks.
Macro/Geopolitical Drivers:
Israel–Iran tensions and soft U.S. data boost safe-haven demand.
Central bank accumulation reinforces bullish case.
Bearish Contingency:
Failure to break $3432.57 (double top) could pull price down to:
🔻 $3384.83 – intermediate support
🔻 $3270.06 – final downside target
📈 Trade Setup – Bullish Continuation
📥 Entry Zones:
$3377–$3380 support area (pullback entry)
OR $3400 breakout confirmation (high-volume thrust)
⛔ Stop-Loss:
Below $3350 to guard against fakeouts
🎯 Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $3444.75
TP2: $34458.44
TP3: $3472.14
TP4: $3490 (ATH zone)
📊 Risk/Reward:
Favorable 3:1 (e.g., risking $25 to gain $75 from $3375 entry)
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $3400, $3432.57, $3456, $3480, $3490
Support: $3384.83, $3375, $3340, $3319
🧭 Sentiment & Volume Cues
Bullish Confirmation:
Volume spike above $3365–$3400
Continued soft US data / geopolitical fear
Bearish Signals:
Weak breakout at $3432.57
Breakdown below $3384.83 with low volume
✅ Summary
Gold maintains bullish structure. Look for long entries around $3375–$3384.83 or wait for a strong breakout above $3400. Use tight stops and monitor both technical levels and macro triggers.
🛑 Disclaimer: Trade with proper risk management. This analysis reflects technical outlooks and may change based on real-time events.
Bull market continues? Beware of the possibility of a pullback📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
In the short term, gold is expected to rise further. Relatively speaking, there is still room for further increase. If it continues to rise today, it depends on the test of 3440 points, which is the opening position of the previous decline. In the short term, pay attention to the 3340-3350 resistance. If it can break through and stay above it, the 3468-3493 line we gave in the morning can still be used as a reference, and it is even expected to reach 3500. But at the same time, the RSI indicator in the hourly chart is approaching the overbought area, so we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a pullback.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3440-3450
TP 3430-3420
BUY 3415-3400
TP 3420-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Geopolitical risks boost gold prices, focus on key resistance
Market drivers
The escalation of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has become the core catalyst for gold prices. The partial withdrawal of US personnel and Iran's retaliatory warnings have intensified risk aversion demand, and gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has received strong buying support. History shows that conflicts in the Middle East often push gold prices to rise in stages, and the current US-Iran confrontation may continue to boost gold prices.
Technical analysis
The 4-hour chart of gold shows a volatile upward structure. In the early trading, it broke through the 3400 mark with the help of risk aversion news. The short-term resistance moved up to the 3435-3438 area. If it breaks through, it will further look at 3468-3493. The key support is at 3403-3380, and it will weaken if it loses 3380. If the European session remains above 3410, the US session is expected to continue to rise; if the momentum decays, be wary of the risk of rapid retracement.
Operation strategy
Long position: Arrange in batches when the price falls back to 3403-3380, stop loss below 3375, target 3435-3468.
Short position: Try short position with light position when the price touches 3435-3438 for the first time, stop loss at 3445, target 3400; if the price breaks through 3440, wait and see until 3468 and then reverse the price.
Risk warning
The Fed's policy expectations and the changes in the situation in the Middle East are still double-edged swords. Be wary of profit-taking after risk aversion subsides. In the short term, the price should be more volatile, but the stop loss should be strictly enforced.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish after completing each of our targets throughout the week with ema5 lock confirmations on our proprietary Goldturn levels. Yesterday we finished off with 3388 and stated we would look for ema5 cross and lock above 3388 to open 3428 and failure to lock will follow with a rejection.
- This played out perfectly with the cross and lock confirmation and then the target hit at 3428 completing the range.
BULLISH TARGET
3318 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428 - DONE
We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Testing Channel Resistance – Bearish Reversal Expected Gold (XAU/USD) – 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
Gold is trading within an upward parallel channel on the 4-hour chart, with price action consistently respecting both the support and resistance boundaries of the formation.
At present, Gold is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, currently trading around 3425, indicating a key resistance zone. A rejection from this level is anticipated, which could initiate a corrective move to the downside.
Entry 3425 (Resistance Zone)
Target 3340 (Support Zone)
Stop-Loss 3451
The technical setup favors a short position, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if the resistance holds. Traders are advised to monitor for confirmation signals before entry.
Bearish bias below 3451, with potential downside toward 3340.
Buy 3424, close during Asia open on Monday.This is a fundamentally based idea. I´m expecting GOLD will gap during weekend, diue to possible Iran "retaliation" atack during weekend(this night). The most likely target is 3500-3520. You can open your position now at 3424. Very important, you HAVE TO, control your position during Asia open on Monday and do not be greedy. Expecting very sharp pullback (do not trade it). Control your size, take it as educational idea with very small size. Wishing you good luck.
I´m not a signal service. If you want to trade signals, please contact one of the signalist commenting this idea, help them finance their life from signal services. I do not do this service. My suggestion is rely on your own trading decisions, not somebody else. You will save a lot of money.
CL 4 hr. "Hopefully, the situation won't escalate further!"1). Inflation came-out lower, which is a Barometer for Oil! 2). Extension of 5 wave sequence! 3). Volume is starting to drop on the rise! 4). Banks are Buying liquidity! 5). Trend is intersecting with 200% Fib. level! 6). Economy is slowing! 7). Checks all the boxes for reversal! 8). Hopefully, the situation won't escalate further!
GOLD around 3,425-3,450 is sell for me, WAVE C is on making!I found a comprehensive Elliot Wave count on this entire movement.. The upward movement since the previous heavy drop on Gold is detected as B correction, which is extended to ABC-X-ABC.
And now i assumed that the B is over (or almost done) and we will head to WAVE C.
DON'T MISS IT!!
CHEEERRRSSS...!!!
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – CHoCH Confirmed & Discount Pullback in Motio👋 Hey traders!
Here’s your fresh H4 XAUUSD Outlook for June 9, 2025 — real-time structure, sniper zones, and bias clarity, right where price is sitting. Let’s dive in 👇
📍 Bias: Bearish short-term → clean CHoCH & liquidity sweep, targeting discount retracement
🔹 1. 🔍 H4 Structure Summary
CHoCH (Lower) confirmed after recent LH at 3384.
Price failed to reclaim supply → now trading back below the 3350 level.
Multiple internal CHoCHs + bearish OB at 3368 showing clear short-term rejection.
Market is shifting from a bullish continuation into a retracement leg.
🔹 2. 🧭 Key H4 Structure Zones
Zone Type Price Range Structure Notes
🔼 Supply Zone (Flip Trap) 3360 – 3384 Clean CHoCH, FVG, + OB rejection area — major sell trigger
🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3272 – 3252 Retest OB + FVG cluster, ideal reaction zone for possible bounce
🔽 Deep Discount Zone 3174 – 3145 Last major accumulation + bullish origin block
🔹 3. 📐 Price Action Flow
Previous HH → LH → CHoCH confirms internal structure break.
Liquidity swept above LH at 3384, trapping late bulls.
Now targeting equilibrium zone around 3260–3280 as next H4 liquidity base.
🔹 4. 📊 EMA Alignment (5/21/50/100/200)
EMA5 and EMA21 are starting to cross down.
Price has lost momentum above EMA50 → retracement expected into EMA100/200 territory (sub-3280).
Full bullish EMA stack remains — but this is a controlled correction inside trend.
🔹 5. 🧠 RSI + Momentum View
RSI has dropped below 50 → bearish control short-term.
Momentum flow fading after multiple rejection wicks from premium zones.
📌 Scenarios
🔽 Retracement Flow in Progress
Price likely heading to 3272–3252 demand block for reaction
If this zone fails → we open door to 3174–3145 clean swing zone
🔼 Invalidation
Bullish pressure only regains control on break + hold above 3384
Until then: favor selling the supply + letting price reach discount
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
We’ve officially shifted into retracement mode on H4. The game now is to either:
Sell retests into supply, or
Wait for clean confirmations at demand for new longs
Let price come to your zone. No emotion — just structure.
💬 Drop your chart view below or ask if you’re unsure where to position next.
Locked in for next move,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
Oil | Long | Smart Money Accumulation | (June 2025)Oil | Long | Geopolitical Conflict & Smart Money Accumulation | (June 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
We're watching a long-term bullish setup in crude oil, driven by rising geopolitical tensions, smart money accumulation, and a potential reclaim of key levels from a historic triangle pattern.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: LongEntry: Watching for a reclaim of the $72 level (re-entry into triangle zone)Stop Loss: $62 (just below the recent liquidation zone)
TP1: $106
TP2: $116
TP3: $123
3️⃣ Key Notes:
This setup originates from a macro triangle structure formed since September 2012. Oil broke out post-2020 and surged, but recent volatility has shaken out many long positions—especially those from around $60.8. A reclaim of $72 would indicate a failed auction and potential continuation higher.
Geopolitical instability—particularly in the Middle East—continues to provide bullish tailwinds. JPMorgan has projected potential upside targets as high as $230 if tensions escalate.
The Volatility Index (VIX) is around 19, suggesting a calm market—often a precursor to strong directional moves. Smart money seems to be stepping in, accumulating positions during dips.
✅ This confluence makes oil a compelling candidate for macro upside, especially if global uncertainty deepens.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note:
If the setup confirms, I’ll update this idea with revised targets and entry levels. Keep an eye on geopolitical developments—they’ll be key triggers.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
XAUUSD: Analysis June 13This morning, the gold market witnessed a strong price increase after receiving two important news:
- US CPI was lower than expected, causing the USD to weaken.
- Israel continued to strike Gaza, raising concerns about escalating conflict in the Middle East.
🟨Trend: Strong increase - Break resistance
✅ Potential Buy Zone: 3410 – 3405: This is the breakout zone after the news, you can wait to buy if the price retests. SL 2399
❌ Potential Sell Zone (exit block or surfing):
✅ 3450 - 3455, SL 3461: Strong resistance, old accumulation zone (according to Bar chart, Resistance is determined at 3,455). If RSI/H1 shows overbought signal, consider taking profit or short Sell.
Fomo is bullish, gold could hit 3480⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices extended their rally for a second consecutive session on the back of weaker-than-expected inflation and labor market data in the United States (US), with XAU/USD climbing to $3,386—just below the key $3,400 threshold—amid mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The overall market sentiment remains buoyant, fueled by consecutive soft US inflation prints that have amplified pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to begin easing monetary policy. Meanwhile, signs of fragility in the labor market persist, as jobless claims exceeded 240,000 for the second week in a row, underscoring concerns about the broader economic outlook and lending further support to the safe-haven appeal of gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
War, a factor that helps gold prices grow, towards 3480
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3478- 3480 SL 3485
TP1: $3462
TP2: $3450
TP3: $3435
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3375-$3377 SL $3370
TP1: $3389
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3412
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Analysis of the latest gold trend on June 13:
Gold multi-period resonance analysis
1. Daily level - trend strengthening stage
Structural breakthrough: The price effectively stood above the 3350 neckline (the upper edge of the previous oscillation range), and the daily closing was "engulfing the positive line", confirming the bullish dominance.
Moving average system: 5/10/20-day moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, MACD double lines diverge upward from the zero axis, and RSI (14) remains above 60 without overbought.
Key pressure: 3390-3400 area (weekly Fibonacci 78.6% retracement level).
2. 4-hour level - momentum verification
Wave structure: The 3320 low point can be regarded as the end of wave C, and the current running is sub-wave 3 of driving wave 3, with a theoretical target of 3415 (1.618 extension level).
Volume and price coordination: The rise is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, while the Asian session pullback is reduced, indicating that the selling pressure is limited.
3. 1-hour level - short-term trading anchor point
Time-sharing support:
Strong defensive position 3356 (starting point of Asian morning session + Bollinger middle rail)
Bull lifeline 3348 (previous high conversion support + V-shaped retracement 61.8% position)
Intraday channel: Currently running along the rising channel (lower rail 3355/upper rail 3395)
Today's three-dimensional trading strategy
▶ Main long plan
Best entry area: 3362-3355 (4-hour EMA10 and channel lower rail overlap area)
Position allocation: 50% main position, stop loss 3345 (stop loss moves up after breaking through the previous high)
Target 1: 3385 (equal amplitude measurement after breaking through the Asian session high)
Target 2: 3400 (reduce position by 50% in the daily pressure zone)
Target 3: 3415 (clear position at the wave theory target position)
▶ Auxiliary short opportunities
Counter-trend conditions: first touch 3408 and appear:
1-hour chart pregnancy line/evening star
MACD top divergence + shrinking trading volume
Operation: light position short (position ≤ 20%), stop loss 3418, target 3380
▶ Breakthrough chasing order strategy
Break above 3402: fall back to 3392 to chase long, stop loss 3385, target 3425
Break below 3348: rise and rebound to 3352 to short, stop loss 3360, target 3330
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan for June 13, 2025🌀 Wave Structure Overview
As anticipated in previous plans, a strong bullish move has unfolded. Unfortunately, wave 2 within wave 3 was extremely sharp, triggering our stop loss — but that’s part of trading. Not every market movement will go perfectly as planned.
Currently, by closely observing wave 3, we can see that each bullish leg has shown similar length. This suggests a high probability of an extended wave, possibly wave 3 or wave 5.
In Elliott Wave theory, extended waves are the most difficult to predict in terms of where they will end. That’s why selling against the trend (“standing in front of the train”) is discouraged. Instead, we should rely on corrective structures to find buy opportunities in line with the main trend.
On the chart, the price is showing a 5-wave structure (i ii iii iv v) in purple. There’s also a possibility that wave iii itself is extending, forming 5 smaller waves, making a total of 9 subwaves — all with similar bullish momentum. This reinforces the potential for an extended wave in progress.
🎯 Target Zone for Wave iv Correction (Purple)
Watch levels: 3419 and 3411
This is the ideal zone to look for buying opportunities aligned with the prevailing uptrend.
📉 Momentum Analysis
- Daily (D1): Momentum remains bullish, which supports the continuation of the upward trend — a key requirement for a sustained wave move.
- H4: Momentum is currently in the overbought zone and may remain there for a while, waiting for D1 to also reach overbought. However, this also signals a potential risk of reversal that should not be ignored.
- H1: Momentum has turned downward, which supports the idea that wave iv is forming.
✅ Trade Plan
BUY ZONE: 3415 – 3412
STOP LOSS: 3405
TAKE PROFITS:
TP1: 3428
TP2: 3444
TP3: 3480
📌 Note: Stick to trend-following trades and avoid counter-trend positions that try to "catch the top." Be patient, wait for clear confirmation signals around wave iv’s zone, and manage your risk carefully.
XAUUSD:Buy or SellRegarding the trend of XAUUSD (gold against the US dollar), it is completely in line with my expectations yesterday. The current price has reached the watershed of 3345. If it breaks through, continue to be bullish. If it does not break through. Then wait for the market to fall.
### Key analysis points
1. Confirmation of resistance breakthrough
- The importance of the 3345 level: If this position is a resistance that has been tested many times recently (such as previous highs, Fibonacci retracement levels or trend line suppression), it may trigger short-covering or new buying after the breakthrough, pushing the price further up.
- Verify the effectiveness of the breakthrough: It is necessary to observe the momentum at the time of the breakthrough (such as accompanied by a large positive line, increased trading volume) and whether the closing price can stand above 3345 to avoid false breakthroughs.
2. Upward target
- First target: If the breakthrough is established, the next resistance may look at the 3360-3380 area (previous high or extended Fibonacci level).
- Medium-term potential: If the trend reversal is confirmed, it may even challenge the 3400 psychological level.
3. Pullback risk management
- Support level: If it fails to break through 3345 or falls back after a false breakout, you need to pay attention to the support below (such as 3320-3300), which is the short-term long-short watershed.
- Stop loss reference: The stop loss of long positions can be set below 3300 to protect the safety of funds.
Trading strategy suggestions
- Aggressive strategy (breakthrough trading):
- Entry: Go long when the price breaks through 3345 and then confirms the pullback.
- Stop loss: Below 3320 (adjusted according to volatility).
- Take profit: Close orders in batches (3360, 3380).
- Conservative strategy (retracement trading):
- Wait for the pullback to the 3320-3300 support area to stabilize and then go long, stop loss 3280.
- The target is the same as the breakthrough strategy.
- Short warning:
If the 3345 resistance continues to suppress and a bearish pattern appears, consider shorting with a stop loss above 3360.
Variables to be added
1. Time frame: Is the above analysis based on the daily or 4-hour chart? Short-term trading requires a smaller cycle to confirm the signal.
2. Driving factors: Pay attention to the Fed's policy expectations, the US dollar index, the geopolitical situation, etc., which may suddenly change the technical pattern.
Summary
Whether the current rebound can continue depends on the effectiveness of the breakthrough of 3345. If successful, it can be bullish, but a strict stop loss is required.
If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management plan, please feel free to let me know your trading cycle and risk preference, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
XAUUSD: Buy or sell now?Continuously update good transactions. Let members make rich profits. How to trade XAUUSD today?
Reference suggestions are as follows:
If it retreats to the range of 3318-3328, consider buying. Target 3345-3360
If it falls below 3310, chase the shorts and choose to sell. Target 3280-3265
For reference only. Do not trade independently.
If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management solution, please feel free to tell me your trading cycle and risk appetite, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
XAUUSD: Buy or sell now?The price of XAUUSD has come to the position near 3345 again. The pressure at this position is very controversial. We need to observe. If this position is stable. Then we need to pay attention to the target of 3360-3385. If it is unstable, we will short and wait for the TP of 3320, which still needs to be emphasized. If you are not sure how to trade. Remember to leave us a message. We will lead you to make better and more accurate transactions, expand profits or recover losses. Do not trade independently. Create greater losses.
Remember to continue to pay attention to the core trading strategy updates of swing trading.