Technical Shift FVG Break and Retest Hints at Further Upside!Gold is currently showing strength after taking support from the trendline, indicating buyers are stepping in around that level. Moreover the price has successfully broken above the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which suggests a shift in market sentiment. This FVG zone has now transitioned into an inversion level meaning what was once a resistance area could now act as support. At the moment, the market is pulling back, likely to retest this newly flipped zone. If buyers defend this area on the retest, it could provide the base for a potential bullish continuation. From this zone, we may witness a strong upward move, with the next target likely being the liquidity resting above key resistance levels. As always, it’s important to conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly (DYOR).
Futures market
Dollar Index - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 29✅ Fundamental Analysis
🔹 U.S. Dollar Index Surges Strongly: On Monday, the U.S. Dollar Index jumped over 1%, closing at 98.6, marking a new short-term high. This rally was primarily driven by the U.S.-EU trade agreement, which reduced tariffs to 15%, easing concerns of a trade war escalation. As a result, risk assets gained appeal, while gold's safe-haven demand was suppressed.
🔹 U.S.-China Talks Resume with Limited Expectations: The U.S. and China resumed trade negotiations in Stockholm, aiming to extend the 90-day tariff truce. However, the U.S. side made it clear that "no major breakthroughs are expected," leaving room for uncertainty, which provides some support for gold.
🔹 Geopolitical Risks Remain Elevated: President Trump has set a 10–12 day deadline regarding the Russia-Ukraine issue, warning of stronger measures if no progress is made. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East continue. Any escalation in conflicts could trigger renewed safe-haven buying in gold.
✅ Technical Analysis
🔸 Gold closed lower again on Monday, marking the fourth consecutive daily loss. The price rebounded to the 3345 level during the day but encountered strong resistance. During the European session, gold broke down swiftly, reaching a low of around 3301, showing a typical one-sided sell-off with strong bearish momentum.
🔸 On the 4-hour chart, gold broke below the key support level at 3320 and continued trading below the MA system. If the price fails to reclaim the 3330–3340 zone, the outlook remains bearish. However, if the European or U.S. session can push the price firmly above 3330, a potential bottom formation could be underway.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3330 / 3345–3350
🟢 Support Levels: 3300 / 3285–3280
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3340-3345 area. Target: 3320-3310;If support breaks, the move may extend to 3300.
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3300-3305 area. Target: 3325-3335;If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3345.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 38.167 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 37.976 .and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Breaking SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold may paint a false breakdown of supportGold is testing local resistance at 3325 with a touch. It is also touching the lower boundary of the channel. Thus, the price is stuck in the range between 3325 and 3320. A return of the price to the upward channel may attract buying activity. In this case, we can expect growth to 3375 or to the channel resistance.
The trend is upward. If gold does not fall but returns to the channel, we will see a false breakdown of support. According to statistics, all the strongest movements begin after false breakdown
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Eyes $3,360 — Is This the Next Breakout?Looking at the 4H chart of XAUUSD, the price appears to be stabilizing after a period of decline, with selling pressure showing signs of exhaustion. The recent candles have smaller bodies, reflecting indecision from sellers and potential accumulation from buyers. Price is holding above the key horizontal support zone around 3,307–3,324, an area that has acted as a strong demand zone in the past. Each time the market dipped into this region, buyers stepped in, which gives the current structure a bullish undertone.
The EMA from your CM EMA TrendBars indicator has flattened out after a downward slope, suggesting that bearish momentum is losing strength. Price is also attempting to retest above this EMA, which, if achieved and maintained, could trigger further buying interest. This aligns with a possible short-term double-bottom pattern forming around 3,307, a common reversal setup if confirmed by a break above nearby resistance levels.
On the broader scale, gold has been in an overall macro uptrend for months. This recent weakness on the 4H chart could simply be a corrective pullback before another leg higher, rather than the start of a prolonged downtrend. If bulls can reclaim the EMA and hold above 3,348, the upside potential opens toward the 3,360 area and potentially higher.
Trading Setup
• Entry: Around 3,324.90
• Target: 3,360.89 (+1.10% / +36.4 USD)
• Stop Loss: 3,307.75 (-0.50% / -16.7 USD)
• Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ≈ 2.18
This setup offers more than double the potential reward compared to the risk, which fits well with a bullish bias. A decisive close above the EMA would serve as further confirmation for the trade.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for July 29Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily chart resistance: 3345, support: 3285
4-hour chart resistance: 3340, support: 3300
1-hour chart resistance: 3330, support: 3308.
After last week's sharp decline, gold continued its decline yesterday, breaking below its opening low and continuing its downward trend, reaching a low near 3300. In the short term, selling pressure is strong, but the rebound is weak, with a rebound high of 3330.
In terms of intraday trading, yesterday's low of 3301 was followed by a rebound. Focus on the resistance range of 3330-3338. Selling is recommended if the price is trading sideways between 3330-3338, with a defense of 3340. If it falls below 3300, the next target will be 3285.
Sell: 3338
Buy: 3302
Sell: 3300
XAUUSD – Gold Intraday Technical Analysis (15-Min Chart) - July Current Price: 3,323.93 USD
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Last update: 17:14 UTC+7
- Trend Overview:
The 15-minute chart shows a minor recovery after a sharp drop in gold prices. However, overall pressure remains bearish as price continues to trade below all key EMAs (50–100–200), and the bulls have yet to break through significant resistance above.
- Key Technical Zones:
Nearby Resistance:
3,331.57 (EMA200): dynamic resistance, repeatedly tested but not broken
3,340 – 3,350: supply zone + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
3,360 – 3,375: strong resistance zone (purple box), previous major rejection area
Nearby Support:
3,321.70 – 3,319.34 (EMA50 – EMA100): also aligns with 0.382 Fibonacci support
3,309 – 3,310: previous low, potential demand zone on deeper pullback
- Technical Analysis:
EMA & Structure:
Price is testing EMA200 (3,331.57) – a key level to watch for confirmation of any trend reversal. However, the larger trend remains bearish as long as this resistance holds.
EMA9 and EMA20 have crossed above EMA50, suggesting short-term bullish momentum, though not yet strong enough to confirm a full reversal.
Volume Analysis:
Recent bullish candles were supported by higher volume, but the current rally is weakening in volume – a sign of fading buying pressure.
RSI (not shown but recommended):
Watch for RSI break above 60 to signal potential continuation toward higher resistance levels.
- Trading Strategies:
Scenario 1 – Sell at Resistance (Sell on Rally):
Entry zone: around 3,330 – 3,335
Stop loss: above 3,340
Targets: 3,320 → 3,310
Rationale: Price is testing EMA200 and resistance; no confirmed breakout yet
Scenario 2 – Short-Term Buy on Dip:
Entry zone: 3,319 – 3,321 (EMA50/100 confluence)
Stop loss: below 3,308
Targets: 3,330 – 3,335
Rationale: Minor support holding, potential short bounce if price stabilizes
- Conclusion:
Gold is attempting a short-term rebound, but the broader trend remains bearish unless price breaks above 3,340 – 3,350 resistance. For now, focus on short setups at resistance and scalping small bounces from strong support zones.
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XAU/USD 29 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
RELIANCE-1H Smart Money Strikes AgainThis 1H chart of RELIANCE INDS FUTURES shows a classic Smart Money Reversal Setup.
Price first executes a sweep of sell-side liquidity (marked "SWEEP") and then confirms strength with a bullish divergence in RSI 📈.
A possible retracement into the demand zone (highlighted pink circle) could offer a high-probability long entry, targeting the previous high (Buy-side Liquidity Zone).
Volume spike + RSI trend breakout = institutional accumulation signs.
GOLD Slips as Dollar Gains on Trade Deal – Bearish Below 3349
Gold Pares Gains as USD Strengthens on Trade Deal Ahead of Fed
Gold gave up early gains, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar after the announcement of the US–EU trade agreement.
Meanwhile, attention shifts to upcoming U.S.–China negotiations later today, as both sides aim to extend the current trade truce and avoid new tariffs.
Investors are also closely watching the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Wednesday, seeking signals on future interest rate moves.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
Gold maintains a bearish trend while trading below 3349, with potential downside toward 3320.
A 1H candle close below 3320 – 3312 would confirm extended bearish pressure targeting 3285, driven in part by ongoing geopolitical risks.
⚠️ To shift back to a bullish structure, the price must stabilize above 3349.
Key Levels:
• Support: 3320 – 3285 – 3256
• Resistance: 3365 – 3375