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GOLD - Monthly breakout retest may confirm multi-year bull cycleHello everyone, what are your thoughts on the long-term outlook for XAUUSD? Looking at the monthly chart (1M), we can clearly see that XAUUSD has broken out of the long-standing ascending channel that has held since 2015 — a major signal suggesting the start of a new bullish cycle. Price is now retesting the previously broken trendline, hinting at the possibility of a fresh upward leg to resume the longer-term bullish trend we've seen recently. Personally, I'm targeting $3,600 in the medium term, and potentially $4,000 by 2026–2028 if institutional capital continues to rotate back into safe-haven assets like gold. What about you — do you think BTC/USD will rise or fall in the coming years? And what’s your target for it?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alexx_Bui
3
I maintain my #3,277.80 and #3,252.80 TargetsI didn't engaged any re-Sell orders throughout yesterday's session and re-Sold Gold on #3,295.80 ahead of Asian session, with plan to keep orders over-night. However due NFP, Gold might be stationary / ranging until the news as I closed both of my orders on #3,291.80 / each #9.000 Eur Profit and my #3,300.80 pending Sell limit has been triggered over-night which is now running in Profits with Stop on breakeven. I do expect #3,277.80 and #3,252.80 Targets to be met within #1 - #3 sessions and if there aren't NFP numbers, I would keep all three orders / set of Selling orders maintaining my first #3,277.80 Target. Due the news, Gold might fluctuate within Neutral Rectangle until the news. Technical analysis: My earlier Selling configuration / Technical expectations was confirmed on Hourly 4 chart under prolonged weakness and Price-action respecting the trend-line guarding the downtrend (very Bearish formation) as Hourly 1 chart is already an aggressive Descending Channel (width opened on Williams) that should reach it’s next local Low’s (currently Trading slightly below Double Bottom) and Oversold state near my take Profit of #3,252.80 benchmark. If the bands are widened Traders may witness #3,277.80 test, also if gets invalidated and #3,270.80 gives away, #3,252.80 mark extension test is inevitable. In any case I will update my Targets or levels of Profit taking if I decide to exit earlier than #3,252.80 benchmark to be in accordance with the Daily chart’s period / I already ride Selling wave since #,3,300's and my Profit will be already good to ignore. My position: DX is soaring, Gold is under Bearish Technical developments and #3,252.80 benchmark is my final Target of current Selling leg. Only factor which can reverse this Intra-day but not postpone is NFP. I expect downside Jobs surprise which may reverse DX from local High's however hot upside surprise will make Gold test #3,252.80 Intra-day. NFP or not I do believe Gold is Bearish. Trade accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
Gold on the edge: Will 3,270 break as Fed pressure builds?Hello traders, what’s your view on XAUUSD? Yesterday, gold remained under pressure as a series of fresh U.S. economic data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. As a result, U.S. Treasury yields surged, the dollar strengthened, and gold came under renewed selling pressure. Currently, XAUUSD is trading around 3,288 USD, down 0.04% on the day. From a technical standpoint, gold is clearly trading within a well-defined downward-sloping channel, confirming the dominance of bearish momentum. Moreover, both the EMA34 and EMA89 are acting as dynamic resistance levels, repeatedly rejecting any short-term recovery attempts—highlighting the strength of the current downtrend. If a pullback occurs before the next leg lower, the confluence of resistance and the EMA zone will be crucial to watch. It could offer ideal conditions for potential short setups in line with the trend. Looking ahead, the next key support lies at 3,270 USD. A break below this level could open the door for a deeper move toward the 32XX area. What do you think? Will gold continue to drop further? Good luck and trade safe!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alexx_Bui
8
Silver H4 | Potential bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price reverse from the sell entry at 3.86, and could drop from this level to the downside. Stop loss is at 37.63, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 35.34, which is a swing low support that lines up with th e 61.8% Fibonacci retraecment. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAGUSDShort
by Tradu
Bounce From Final Liquidity or Start of a Bullish Move? Bounce From Final Liquidity or Start of a Bullish Move? After the FOMC event, gold completed a sweep of the final liquidity zone at 3269–3271 and rebounded strongly, in line with the broader bullish trend. The price has now recovered sharply and is gradually returning to the liquidity zones left behind after yesterday’s sharp drop. 📍 At the moment, gold is reacting around 3295, which aligns with a CP (Compression Point) Zone on the M30 chart. We're seeing a slight pullback here, and another retracement could occur before a strong upward continuation — potentially breaking out of the descending trendline that’s formed over recent days. 📊 Trading Plan & Key Levels ✅ BUY ZONE – Trend Continuation Setup Entry: 3286–3284 Stop Loss: 3278 Take Profits: 3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3330 → … 💡 This is a prime area to look for re-entries into the dominant bullish move. Price action left a clean liquidity zone below after the aggressive upside reaction — ideal for riding the next wave. ❌ SELL ZONE – Only Valid Below VPOC Entry: 3328–3330 (Volume Point of Control) Stop Loss: 3335 Take Profits: 3324 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 🔻 This is a high-probability short only if price stays below 3330. If gold closes above this VPOC region, the structure shifts to bullish and we should look for sells higher up — around 335x–337x zones. 📅 Monthly Candle Close – Watch for Indecision As it’s the last trading day of the month, note that the past two monthly candles have printed doji-like wicks, signalling indecision and liquidity grabs. The market is still waiting for a clearer signal from the Fed on the first potential rate cut of the year. 🚫 Avoid emotional trading. This is a highly reactive environment, so careful risk management is key. 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold continues to respect market structure and liquidity theory. The first major test lies at the 3313 resistance level — if broken, it opens the door to stronger bullish momentum toward the broader VPOC zone. ⏳ Be patient and only act when price confirms your bias.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 68.21 1st Support: 65.56 1st Resistance: 72.91 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Gold: final pullback or bull trap?On the 1H chart, gold (GOLD) is forming a bullish flag after a sharp decline, which may just be a corrective move within a broader downtrend. The price is now approaching the key resistance zone around $3313–$3317 - this area holds the POC, broken trendline, and the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement from the last drop. This is the decision-making zone. If bulls fail to push above it, we expect a move down toward $3268 - the next strong support and potential buy zone, also confirmed by Fibonacci and local demand. Stochastic divergence and slowing volume suggest a possible rebound from that level. However, if the price breaks and holds above $3317, this would indicate a local trend reversal, with targets at $3333 and $3374. Watch the $3317 zone closely - bulls have yet to prove this is more than just a bounce.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Min Chart Analysis – August 1, 2025Structure Summary: CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed after price broke the previous lower high, signaling a potential trend reversal. Price has since formed a bullish falling wedge (blue trendlines), a classic continuation pattern after CHoCH. Volume spikes during reversal attempts suggest accumulation. Trade Setup: Entry: Breakout above wedge resistance. Stop Loss: Below recent swing low near 3280 area (red zone). Target: Around 3315–3320 zone (blue box), aligned with previous demand-turned-supply area. 📌 Outlook: Bullish breakout expected if momentum sustains. Watch for confirmation candle with volume above the wedge. Clean R:R setup with tight SL and wide TP potential. 📊 Technical Bias: Bullish ❗Risk Management: Adjust position size based on lot exposure and account size.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TradingbyTanveer
GOLD (XAUUSD) -Monthly Analysis & Trading Plan (Aug 2025)GOLD (XAUUSD) -Monthly Analysis & Trading Plan (Aug 2025) Title: XAUUSD: Correction in Progress, Patience is Key for the Next Move Chart: XAUUSD Monthly (1M) Analysis Type: ICT/SMC, Price Action, & Moving Average Summary: After a historic and powerful bull run that saw Gold (XAUUSD) breach all-time highs in the first half of 2025, the market has entered a significant corrective phase. The massive red candle in June signaled a strong reversal of momentum, and the current July candle confirms that sellers remain in control, albeit with less intensity. This is a critical juncture for long-term traders, and a strategic approach is required. Key Observations & Analysis 1. **Price Action & Market Structure:** The move from late 2024 through May 2025 was a textbook "impulsive leg." The sharp reversal in June 2025, with a powerful bearish candle, likely acted as a **liquidity grab** or a **high-volume distribution event**, trapping late buyers. The market is now in a clear **break in market structure (BOS)** to the downside on this long-term timeframe, suggesting the correction is not over. 2. **ICT/SMC Concepts:** * **Imbalance/Fair Value Gap (FVG):** The rapid bullish move created significant imbalances on the monthly chart. Price often returns to fill these gaps. The current correction is likely heading to fill or test these inefficiencies. * **Order Block (OB):** The massive bullish move in late 2024/early 2025 likely created a strong bullish order block. The current sell-off is heading toward this potential institutional demand zone. * **Liquidity:** The lows from late 2024 and early 2025 will be key liquidity pools. Smart money will likely be targeting these areas for a potential reversal or accumulation. 3. **Moving Average Analysis (MMA):** * The price is currently trading above both the purple and yellow moving averages, which are still pointing upward. This confirms the long-term trend remains bullish, and the current move is a correction within that trend. * The **purple moving average** is a key support level to watch. A test of this level would be a high-probability event, and its reaction will be crucial for the next major move. Suggested Entry & Exit Levels 1. Aggressive Entry (Short) Rationale The bearish momentum, though slowing, is still the dominant force. An aggressive trader could look for a continuation of the short-term bearish trend. Entry/b] A short entry could be considered on a pullback to the recent highs around **$3,400 - $3,500** if a strong bearish candlestick pattern forms on a lower timeframe (e.g., weekly or daily). Stop Loss A tight stop-loss placed just above the recent high, for example, **$3,600**. This is a high-risk entry, so position sizing should be small. Target The first major target would be the **moving average support level**, roughly in the **$3,000 - $3,100** zone. The ultimate target for a full correction would be the order block from late 2024, around **$2,800**. 2. Conservative Entry (Long) Rationale The long-term trend is still bullish. The current move is a correction. The most prudent approach is to wait for a high-probability long entry at a key support level. Entry/b] Wait for price to reach the **purple moving average support zone (around $3,000 - $3,100)**. Look for a clear reversal signal on this level, such as a large bullish "pin bar" or "engulfing candle" on the monthly or weekly chart. This would be a high-probability demand zone for a reversal. Stop Loss A stop-loss should be placed below this key support level, perhaps around **$2,850 - $2,900**, giving the trade room to breathe. Target The first target for a new bullish leg would be the New swing high around **$3,800**. The ultimate long-term target would be a new all-time high above **$4,000**. Conclusion The Gold market is in a crucial phase. The bullish party from earlier in 2025 is over for now, and a healthy correction is underway. **The most logical and safe approach is to wait for the market to complete its corrective move.** Do not attempt to catch a falling knife. Instead, be patient and wait for price to reach a key institutional demand zone (our moving average support or the late 2024 order block) and show a clear sign of reversal. This will present a high-probability, low-risk long entry for the next impulsive move up. Disclaimer This is not financial advice. Please perform your own due diligence and risk management. Trading involves a significant risk of loss.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Muhammad_Aoun
3
NFP Friday - XAUUSD Prediction - August 2025#NFP Friday + New Month 👇 - Still leaning bearish on TVC:GOLD - New month = re-positioning flows - Watching 3225–3250 zone (Fib 38/50 confluence) - Clean pullback setup near Psy level & untested orders News Prediction: - Labor market still holding up, I’m thinking NFP prints closer to 130k–150k, not that 110k estimate - Yes, tech & retail saw some layoffs, but not enough to tank the whole report - Adapt if wrong, execute if right. No stress #XAUUSD #Gold #NFP #Dollar #NFPFriday #XAUUSD #Gold #NFP #JobsReport #Dollar #Macro #Trading #MarketOutlook #NFPFriday
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JOHNDOUGHFX
Gold Crashes $100 After Hitting Monthly High | What’s Next?In this video, I break down everything that moved the price of gold last week, from the early-week rally toward $3,430 to the sharp midweek drop toward $3,325. We go beyond the surface, diving into what caused the reversal, and how I'm approaching next week’s market using a simple ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. With major events like the FOMC rate decision, U.S. GDP, PCE inflation, NFP and the August 1 tariff deadline all on the radar, this analysis will help you stay grounded and prepare for volatility. 👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Boost, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #goldanalysis, #goldforecast, #xauusd, #goldpriceprediction, #technicalanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #tradingstrategy, #forextrader, #priceaction, #fomc, #usgdp, #pceinflation, #goldtrading, #forexeducation, #dollarvsgold, #tariffnews, #chartanalysis, #forexmentorship, #rebuildingthetraderwithin
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
1
Gold price analysis July 31XAUUSD – Bearish pressure still prevails, watch for SELL in the direction of the trend Yesterday's session witnessed a strong decline when the D1 candle closed with selling pressure up to 60 prices, forming a key candle that shapes the trend. When the market forms a main candle, the 25% and 50% candle body areas are often important price areas to continue trading in the direction of the main trend. In the current context, the priority strategy will be to sell in the direction of the downtrend when the price rebounds to the resistance areas and there is a rejection signal. 🔹 Important resistance areas: 3301 – 3312 – 3333 🔸 Target support areas: 3285 – 3270 – 3250 🎯 Trading strategy: Prioritize SELLing at the resistance area of 3301–3312 when there is a price reaction (rejection). Target: 3250 BUY only considered when 3313 area is broken decisively. Staying disciplined and sticking to the reaction price zone will be key in the context of the market moving in a clear trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support Chart Summary: Gold (XAUUSD) has shown a clear reaction from a strong support zone near 3260, suggesting bullish momentum is gaining strength. The chart highlights multiple key market structure elements and confirms the potential for a bullish move. Technical Highlights: 🔻 Strong Support Zone (3260–3280): Price tapped into a well-defined demand zone with historical significance, initiating a bullish response. 🔺 Resistance Zone (3460+): A strong resistance level lies ahead. This area may act as a potential target for bulls. 🔁 Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple BOS marks on the chart indicate trend shifts and liquidity grabs. Most recent BOS aligns with potential reversal. 💹 Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG): A bullish FVG near mid-structure confirms institutional interest and adds confluence to the upside move. 📈 Target: 3,366.984 USD Marked as the next probable short-term liquidity target. If momentum sustains, price may approach resistance above this. Price Expectation: If the current bullish momentum holds above the strong support zone, we may see a rally towards 3,366–3,400 USD. This move could be driven by: Buy-side liquidity grab above prior highs Breakout traders entering above BOS Reaction to macroeconomic calendar (highlighted on the chart) ✅ Educational Takeaway: This is a textbook example of: Support-resistance flip Liquidity concepts (Buy-Side Liquidity) Fair Value Gaps usage Volume Profile confluence
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential from Strong Support Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,291.780, showing a potential bullish reversal setup from the strong support zone after a clear liquidity sweep and market structure shifts. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: ✅ Strong Support Zone (Demand) Price is reacting from a major demand zone (Strong Low) between $3,275 – $3,225, a level that previously triggered bullish rallies. Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and CHoCH indicate previous bullish control and a possible re-accumulation phase. ✅ CHoCH Near Support A recent Change of Character (CHoCH) around the support area shows the first signs of smart money accumulation. Liquidity below recent lows has been swept, triggering possible bullish intent. ✅ Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) A clear Bullish FVG remains unmitigated around the mid-range, offering target confluence at $3,349.560. Price may aim to rebalance inefficiency and fill the FVG as part of the bullish move. ✅ Resistance Zone Above The resistance area near $3,325 – $3,350 acts as a short-term target for long positions. Further resistance lies at the Buy-Side Liquidity & Weak High zone around $3,450 if momentum sustains. 🧠 Smart Money Concept Interpretation: Liquidity Grab: Price dipped into strong demand to collect sell-side liquidity before potential reversal. CHoCH + BOS Alignment: Indicates the market may now transition into a bullish phase. FVG as Magnet: Price is drawn toward unfilled value zones—ideal for bullish target projection. 🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purposes Only): Bias: Bullish Entry: Around current zone ($3,290) Target: $3,349.560 (FVG zone) Invalidation/SL: Below strong low (~$3,225)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
The rebound is weak, short orders intervene#XAUUSD After two consecutive trading days of volatility, gold finally began to fall under pressure near 3335. After breaking through the 3300 mark, the price of gold accelerated its decline, reaching a low of around 3268, and yesterday's daily line closed with a large negative line. 📊 Today's rebound is more likely to be based on the buffering performance of the impact of news. The ATR data also shows that the bullish momentum is slowly weakening in the short term. 🐻After digesting the impact of yesterday's news through rebound during the day, it may fall again in the future.📉 📎The primary focus today is 3305 above, which was also the high point of yesterday's pullback correction. If the gold price rebounds to 3305-3320 and encounters resistance and pressure,📉 you can consider shorting and look towards 3290-3270.🎯 If the short-term gold rebound momentum is strong and breaks through the 3305-3320 resistance area, it will be necessary to stop loss in time. Gold may be expected to touch yesterday's high resistance of 3330-3335, which is the second point to consider shorting during the day.💡 🚀 SELL 3305-3320 🚀 TP 3290-3270
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
2
Silver under pressure!Silver prices dropped sharply following a sudden plunge of over 20% in U.S. copper futures, triggered by a surprise decision from the Trump administration to cancel import tariffs on refined copper. This move caused turmoil in the markets and impacted related assets such as silver. From a technical perspective, silver is trading in a general downtrend on the 4-hour chart, forming lower lows and lower highs, maintaining a bearish structure. If the price rises to the 37.034 level, it is likely to reverse downward to continue the bearish trend, targeting the 36.45 and 35.60 levels in the medium to long term. However, if the price climbs above 37.26 and closes a 4-hour candle above that level, the bearish scenario would be invalidated, and this breakout could signal a trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
CFI:XAGUSD
by CFI