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XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?On our previous view we were expecting a wave c to the upside that will complete wave B of higher degree. It looks like wave B is completed with an ending diagonal. Now what I am anticipating is price to drop to complete wave 4 in higher degree. However, if wave 4 is complete then the move up might be a leading diagonal for wave 1 of 5. But all in all the the current bias is to the downside and therefore to take advantage of the move to the downside one should find areas where price will find resistance for a possible sell opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elliotwavesglobal
Bullish Undercurrents Build in Soybean Oil MarketSoybean oil futures have rebounded nearly 14% in June, following a 5.7% drop in May, supported by tightening global supply, resilient demand, expanding biodiesel use, and steady U.S. production with some planting delays. Severe drought in Brazil and Argentina, who together account for 45% of global soybean exports, has slashed yields by roughly 15%, tightening supply chains and boosting prices. Strong Chinese demand, both for food and hog herd rebuilding, continues to be a major price driver. China imports nearly 18.5 million tons of soybean oil annually and remains the world’s largest consumer. The USDA’s June WASDE report underscored a bullish backdrop: U.S. production is steady at 4.34 billion bushels for 2025–26, but ending stocks are projected to fall to 295 million bushels, down from 350 million in 2024–25, signalling a tighter domestic supply. Adding to the bullish momentum, crude oil prices surged on 13/Jun amid escalating Israel-Iran tensions, indirectly supporting soybean oil due to its role in biodiesel production. Higher crude prices enhance biodiesel’s competitiveness, boosting demand for soybean oil as a feedstock. Soybean oil futures also jumped after the EPA proposed higher-than-expected biofuel blending mandates. The Trump administration’s proposal, seen as a major win for the biofuels industry, is expected to significantly increase domestic soybean crush demand in 2026 and 2027. TECHNICAL SIGNALS POINT TO BULLISH REVERSAL Technical indicators suggest weakening bearish momentum in soybean oil. Since early June, prices have climbed above the 9-day, 21-day, and 50-day moving averages after starting the month below them. Though the 9-day MA is still below the 21-day, the narrowing gap signals strengthening momentum and a possible bullish crossover. The MACD and RSI indicate that selling pressure has subsided, with momentum now tilting bullish. If this strength persists, the uptrend in soybean oil futures could gain further traction. OPTIONS DATA SIGNALS GROWING BULLISH MOMENTUM For the week ending 10/Jun, Managed Money’s net long positioning in soybean oil futures fell by 22.6%, reflecting a 13% drop in longs and a 7.1% dip in shorts. Rising implied volatility alongside prices and a positive skew suggest growing bullish sentiment, as market participants position for potential upside in soybean oil futures. Source: CME CVOL The rise in call OI across near-term contracts suggests growing bullish sentiment for soybean oil prices. Source: CME QuikStrike While selective increase in put OI reflects cautious hedging, pointing to expectations of further upside with some near-term uncertainty. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Bullish fundamentals driven by rising Chinese demand, supply disruptions in South America, and a sharp uptick in crude oil, combined with supportive technical indicators and skewed options positioning, suggest further upside potential for soybean oil futures. This paper posits a tactical long on CME Micro Soybean Oil August futures (MZLQ25 expiring on 25th July), targeting an uptrend in prices. Investors can position against this backdrop using the CME Micro Soybean Oil Futures, which are sized at one-tenth (6,000 pounds) of standard contracts (which are 60,000 pounds). This allows for a cost-effective method to express a short-term bearish stance. As of 16th June, the minimum exchange margin on this contract is USD 190 per lot. • Entry: USc 51/Pound • Potential Profit: USc 57/Pound (57– 51= 6) x 6000/100 = USD 360 • Stop-Loss: USc 47.3/Pound (47.3- 51 = -3.7) x 6000/100 = USD 222 • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.62x In collaboration with the CME Group, TradingView has launched The Leap trading competition. New and upcoming traders can hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group using virtual money and real time market data. The competition lasts another 14 days. Please join the other 54,500 participants who are actively honing their trading skills using virtual money. Click here to learn more. #TheFuturesLeap #Microfutures MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER, the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CBOT_MINI:MZL2!Long
by mintdotfinance
Will ASIA favor BULLS or BEARS?Two “if-this-then-that” scenarios If price pushes above the recent swing high (~3 430–3 435) → Look for a move toward the 50% retracement zone at 3 415–3 416 (our next upside target). If price drops below the recent swing low (~3 356–3 357) → It’ll likely slide down to the 21-day EMA at 3 342, which has acted like a magnet/bounce area. Why the 21-day EMA matters It’s sloping up beneath price (green trendline), so dips into it often spark fresh buying. A buy-limit order around 3 342 gives you a low-risk entry with the trend still intact. Overall bias As long as gold stays above that rising trendline/21 EMA, the bulls remain in control. Break the swing high → more upside. Break the swing low → deeper pullback into support.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by artschweizch
Continue the rally, get ready for gold to return to 3443 ⭐️Gold News: Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell for the second consecutive trading day on Tuesday, retreating from the gains in the early Asian trading hours, which had briefly pushed above $3,400. A slight rebound in the US dollar (USD) continued to put pressure on the precious metal, acting as a major resistance. However, the downside for gold seems limited due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further cut interest rates in 2025. Meanwhile, the ongoing air conflict between Israel and Iran has entered its fifth day, exacerbating concerns about further escalation in the region. This ongoing geopolitical uncertainty supports demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. Investors also remained cautious ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)'s two-day policy meeting, the outcome of which could affect the next move of non-yielding gold. ⭐️Technical analysis: Gold price gets liquidity from the support level below: 3385, 3373 completed, short-term downward trend breaks, gold price will soon return to above 3400. Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3443-3453 SL 3458 TP1: $3435 TP2: $3422 TP3: $3407 🔥Buy gold area: $3358-$3350 SL $3345 TP1: $3368 TP2: $3376 TP3: $3390
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RupertNoel
1
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East 2. Iran nuclear talks 3. Retail sales data 📈 Market analysis: Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3380-3370 TP 3390-3400-3450 SELL 3400-3390 TP 3380-3370-3350 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold on the Rise! – Bullish Setup in Focus The chart shows a repeating consolidation‑then‑breakout pattern, with Gold forming ascending swing structures, consolidating in rectangles (green), then riding higher along a rising trendline (purple). Price has just bounced off that trendline again, signaling a possible new leg up—potentially targeting the upper range near $3,448–3,450. A clear breakout above that level could open the door toward $3,500+. 📍 Trading Plan 🎯 Entry Long on breakout above recent consolidation highs (~$3,440–3,448). Alternatively, buy the dip near the purple trendline (~$3,385–3,390), with confirmation (hammer candle, bounce). 🛑 Stop‑Loss For breakout: just below the top of the rectangle consolidation (~$3,389). For trendline entry: slightly below recent swing low (~$3,358–3,360). 🎯 Profit Targets Primary: upper rectangle level (~$3,448–3,450). Extension: historic all‑time high region (~$3,500) → next major zone. 🎥 Path Potential minor pullback toward trendline. Bounce establishes support. Surge toward top of range. Breakout with trend continuation to new highs. 📊 Trade Risk & Reward Target ~60–100 pts above entry, stop ~50 pts below → ideal Risk:Reward ≥ 1:1.2. 📌 Key Levels to Monitor Level Role $3,360 Swift dip support (green base line) $3,390–3,400 Trendline confluence zone $3,440–3,450 Breakout area & top of rectangle $3,500 Next major resistance/all‑time high 🧭 Market Context & Drivers Broad uptrend remains intact amid geopolitical tensions, especially the Israel–Iran situation, which continues to support safe-haven flows Markets are positioning ahead of Fed’s June 18 decision; dovish signals could fuel continuation toward new highs (~$3,500+) . Technical structure reflects bullish momentum—ascending wedge patterns with shallow dips and strong trendline bounces . ✅ Summary Bias: Bullish – uptrend intact. Strategy: Go long on dip near trendline or on breakout above $3,445. Stop‑Loss: Just below last swing low ($3,360). Targets: Near-term: $3,448–3,450 Medium-term: $3,500+
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Soybeans and Heat: Subtle Signals in a Volatile Market1. Introduction Soybeans aren't just a staple in livestock feed and global cuisine—they’re also a major commodity in futures markets, commanding serious attention from hedgers and speculators alike. With growing demand from China, unpredictable yields in South America, and increasing climatic instability, the behavior of soybean prices often reflects a deeper interplay of supply chain stress and environmental variability. Among the many weather variables, temperature remains one of the most closely watched. It’s no secret that extreme heat can harm crops. But what’s less obvious is this: Does high temperature truly move the soybean market in measurable ways? As we’ll explore, the answer is yes—but with a twist. Our deep dive into decades of data reveals a story of statistical significance, but not dramatic deviation. In other words, the signal is there, but you need to know where—and how—to look. 2. Soybeans and Climate Sensitivity The soybean plant’s sensitivity to heat is well documented. During its flowering and pod-setting stages, typically mid-to-late summer in the U.S., soybean yields are highly vulnerable to weather fluctuations. Excessive heat during these windows—particularly above 30ºC (86ºF)—can impair pod development, lower seed count, and accelerate moisture loss from the soil. The optimal range for soybean development tends to hover between 20ºC to 30ºC (68ºF to 86ºF). Within this window, the plant thrives—assuming adequate rainfall and no pest infestations. Go beyond it for long enough, and physiological stress builds up. This is precisely the kind of risk that traders price into futures markets, often preemptively based on forecasts. Yet, trader psychology is just as important as crop biology. Weather alerts—especially heatwaves—often drive speculative trading. The market may anticipate stress well before actual yield reports come out. This behavior is where we see the beginnings of correlation between temperature and market movement. 3. Quantifying Weather Impact on Soybean Futures To test how meaningful these heat-driven narratives are, we categorized weekly temperatures into three buckets: Low: Below the 25th percentile of weekly temperature readings Normal: Between the 25th and 75th percentile High: Above the 75th percentile We then calculated weekly returns of Soybean Futures (ZS) across these categories. The results? Despite the modest visual differences in distribution, the statistical analysis revealed a clear pattern: Returns during high-temperature weeks were significantly different from those during low-temperature weeks, with a p-value of 3.7e-11. This means the likelihood of such a difference occurring by chance is effectively zero. But here’s the catch—the difference in mean return was present, yes, but not huge. And visually, the boxplots showed overlapping quartiles. This disconnect between statistical and visual clarity is exactly what makes this insight subtle, yet valuable. 4. What the Data Really Tells Us At first glance, the boxplots comparing soybean futures returns across temperature categories don’t scream “market-moving force.” The medians of weekly returns during Low, Normal, and High temperature periods are closely clustered. The interquartile ranges (IQRs) overlap significantly. Outliers are present in every category. So why the statistical significance? It’s a matter of consistency across time. The soybean market doesn’t suddenly explode every time it gets hot—but across hundreds of data points, there’s a slightly more favorable distribution of returns during hotter weeks. It’s not dramatic, but it’s reliable enough to warrant strategic awareness. This is where experienced traders can sharpen their edge. If you’re already using technical analysis, seasonal patterns, or supply-demand forecasts, this weather-based nuance can serve as a quiet confirmation or subtle filter. 5. Why This Still Matters for Traders In markets like soybeans, where prices can respond to multiple fundamental factors—currency shifts, export numbers, oilseed competition—small weather patterns might seem like background noise. But when viewed statistically, these small effects can become the grain of edge that separates average positioning from smart exposure. For example: Volatility tends to rise during high-heat weeks, even when average return shifts are small. Institutional players may rebalance positions based on crop health assumptions before USDA reports arrive. Weather trading algos can push prices slightly more aggressively during risk-prone periods. In short, traders don’t need weather to predict price. But by knowing what weather has historically meant, they can adjust sizing, bias, or timing with greater precision. 6. Contract Specs: Standard vs. Micro Soybeans Accessing the soybean futures market doesn’t have to require big institutional capital. With the launch of Micro Soybean Futures (MZS), traders can participate at a more granular scale. Here are the current CME Group specs: 📌 Contract Specs for Soybean Futures (ZS): Symbol: ZS Contract size: 5,000 bushels Tick size: 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel = $12.50 Initial margin: ~$2,100 (varies by broker and volatility) 📌 Micro Soybean Futures (MZS): Symbol: MZS Contract size: 500 bushels Tick size: 0.0050 per bushel = $2.50 Initial margin: ~$210 The micro-sized contract allows traders to scale into positions, especially when exploring signals like weather impact. It also enables more nuanced strategies—such as partial hedges or volatility exposure—without the capital intensity of full-size contracts. 7. Conclusion: A Nuanced Edge for Weather-Aware Traders When it comes to soybeans and temperature, the story isn’t one of obvious crashes or dramatic spikes. It’s a story of consistent, statistically measurable edges that can quietly inform better trading behavior. Yes, the return differences may look small on a chart. But over time, in leveraged markets with seasonality and fundamental noise, even a few extra basis points in your favor—combined with smarter sizing and timing—can shift your performance curve meaningfully. Using tools like Micro Soybean Futures, and being aware of technical frameworks, traders can efficiently adapt to subtle but reliable signals like temperature-based volatility. And remember: this article is just one piece in a multi-part series exploring the intersection of weather and agricultural trading. The next piece might just provide the missing link to complete your edge. Stay tuned. 🌾📈 When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.sweetlogin.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. 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CBOT:ZS1!Education
by traddictiv
Geopolitics (Iran/Israel), 6 relevant risk barometersGeopolitics is in the spotlight this week, along with the FED's monetary policy decision. Geopolitical news is covered by the general media, so there's no need here to repeat information that's accessible to everyone. We therefore propose to review our selection of stock market barometers which, in our opinion, best measure the intensity of geopolitical risk. 1) Oil and natural gas prices Naturally, oil price trends are the main barometer of the geopolitical risk of the current confrontation between Israel and Iran. Although Iran accounts for just 3% of the world's oil supply, the region itself represents 20%, and above all there is a risk of closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 25% of the world's oil supply passes. Technical analysis of the oil price is therefore the primary tool for measuring the intensity of current geopolitical tensions. The price of oil recently returned to the former technical support of $65, but there is no major bullish technical signal as long as the price of US crude oil remains below resistance at $80. We must therefore keep a close eye on the $80 threshold for US oil. 2) The trend of the S&P 500 index, the benchmark of Western finance The equity market is the second barometer of geopolitical risk that we offer. The most important thing is to select the stock indices that best represent the perception of geopolitical tensions. We believe that the S&P 500 future contract does this job well, as it is the most widely traded stock market futures index in terms of volume by global high finance. A few days ago, we published a detailed graphical analysis of the S&P500 index, which you can consult by clicking on the image below. 3) Trends on the main stock markets in the Near and Middle East Equity markets in the Near and Middle East are excellent indicators of the current perception of geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel. We suggest you take a look at the Saudi Arabian Stock Exchange (Tadawul), the region's largest in terms of market capitalization. Naturally, you should also follow the trend of the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange's flagship index, the TA 35, as well as that of the Egyptian stock market. These markets have the advantage of being open on Sundays, and are often a good early indicator of trends in Asia and Europe for Monday morning. 4) The trend of the US dollar (DXY) on the foreign exchange market (Forex) and of gold on the commodities market On the floating foreign exchange market (FX), it is the US dollar that plays to the full its safe-haven aspect. In the event of geopolitical tensions spiraling out of control, it would make a strong bullish reversal. This week, however, the US dollar will be under the influence of the FED. So it's best to trust gold's trend as a barometer of geopolitical risk. Geopolitics is not necessarily the dominant fundamental factor, but rather the dynamics of interest rates and the US dollar. 5) The TRUFLATION trend If current geopolitical tensions were to become a major global shock, international trade would be disrupted, and transport difficulties would lead to a sharp rise in prices, particularly for raw materials and industrial goods. This potential price rise would then be rapidly reflected in TRUFLATION, the benchmark for real-time price dynamics in the USA. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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NYMEX:CL1!
by Swissquote
SGX Iron Ore: Retest of 2025 Lows Back in PlaySitting in an established downtrend and with momentum indicators providing bearish signals, a retest of the 2025 lows may be on the cards for SGX iron ore. A move below $93—where the price bottomed on Monday—would allow for shorts to be established targeting $91.75. A tight stop above would protect against reversal. Alternatively, if the price bounces towards downtrend resistance running from the May highs, bearish positions could be set with a stop above for protection. If the trade target is achieved, either setup could be reevaluated with a more pronounced support zone located beneath $90. Good luck! DS
SGX:FEF2!Short
by FOREXcom
GOLD - Bearish Continuation Story : Market formed a BEARISH DIVERGENCE on 1H time frame and then divergence played well as we can see market broke the neckline (HL) and then continued series of LH and LL (Dow Theory) TRIPLE TOP kind of formation can also be seen before it continued bearish divergence Anticipate : I anticipate that market will continue series of LH and LL as there is no bullish divergence and no sign of reversal pattern. Plan: We take our entry on the break of LL which is 3380 level, and then we continued to target TP1 and TP2 with our 1:1 & 1:2 R:R ratio. once pending order is triggered, out Stoploss is defined which is slightly above the defined LH 3410 level. Dear Followers, Keep following and like- if you want more (simple) analysis like these
TVC:GOLDShort
by ProTradeProfessor
Gold: Key Levels Amidst Bull-Bear ClashDaily Technical Analysis Daily Chart Gold trended sideways-up last week, repeatedly testing upper resistance without a decisive breakout, though bullish momentum remains robust 🚀💪. The Bollinger Bands are expanding upward with price near the upper band, moving averages in bullish alignment, and MACD forming a golden cross above the zero axis with an expanding red histogram—signaling a dominant long-term uptrend 🔥📈! 4-Hour Chart After reaching an intraday high of 3451, price corrected lower, forming small bearish candles that indicate short-term bearish momentum 📉🔻. However, moving averages still maintain a bullish order, with initial support at the psychological level of 3400. If price stabilizes here, further upside may resume 📈🚀. MACD has formed a bearish cross at high levels with a nascent green histogram, suggesting near-term correction is needed ⚠️🔄! 1-Hour Chart Price is in a correction channel after retreating from highs, suppressed by short-term moving averages 📉🔽. Note that 3382 acts as a key prior support—if price pulls back to this zone, it may trigger bullish rebounds 💪🔥! RSI hovers around 50, indicating balanced long-short forces with an unclear near-term direction 🤷♂️🔀. Gold Trading Strategies sell@ 3430-3450 tp:3410-3400 buy@3400-3403 tp:3420-3430 (3450 if 3430 breaks)🚀 Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊 Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀 Confused about market trends? Stuck in strategy bottlenecks? Real-time strategies serve as your "trading compass" 🌐 From trend analysis to entry/exit points, dissect market logic comprehensively Refer now 📲 Help you move steadily forward in investments ✨ 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LenBessemer
The best opportunity is when crude oil falls 💡Message Strategy Crude oil futures fell in the European session on Monday (June 16), giving up earlier gains, as a new round of hostilities between Israel and Iran had limited impact on oil production and exports. WTI briefly rebounded to $77.49, close to last week's high, which was also our second profit target, but failed to break through the key resistance level near $78.09. Oil prices surged 7% on Friday, driven by geopolitical risks, pushing crude to its highest level since January. However, Monday's reversal reflected the lack of immediate threats to supply routes, especially the strategically important Strait of Hormuz. If Iran's production drops sharply due to the conflict, the global oil supply buffer will be quickly exhausted and oil prices may usher in a new round of surges. Faced with this complex situation, investors, oil-producing countries and consumers need to be prepared to meet the possible energy storm. This is also the reason why we repeatedly emphasize that crude oil should be long when it falls. We can foresee its upward momentum, and the pullback is only in a moment without any signs. 📊Technical aspects The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued to fluctuate upward, and the price near 74 was tested. The moving average system relies on the bullish arrangement of oil prices, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. In the morning, the oil price hit a new high near 75.30, and then fell back and closed with a negative real candlestick. The short-term momentum is still bullish, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level oscillating upward rhythm. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position:69.50-70.50 The first target is around 73.00 The second target is around 75.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
GOLD - Selling opportunity on the horizonLooking at gold. We have a nice bearish continuation orderflow on the 15min TF. We have a nice potential inducement level of liquidity that we are more than likely to take before moving lower. This is a reduced risk entry due to where we are on the higher TF as we are pulling into a potential demand zone on the higher timeframe. ITS REALLY IMPORTANT to remember where we are in terms of structure and as we well know Gold doesn't tend to fall for to long as it remains bullish the majority of the time. so in regards to the HTF like I mentioned above we are still bullish so we are expecting a reversal for the longer term at some point in the near future so this could be a case of get what we can from the market and then look for our LTF orderflow to switch Bullish before then looking for them long entries
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenFxLDN
Gold is weak, and there may be a low point yet to come!According to the current structure, gold is obviously in a weak position. Gold has failed to break through the high point of the previous wave after multiple rebounds during the day. 3400 has become a new round of pressure area; and gold has just accelerated its decline and fell below 3370. For the current trend, falling below 3370 will weaken the bullish sentiment to a certain extent and indicate that there is further room for decline, so I think gold should have a low point, and the low point we should first pay attention to is in the range of 3365-3355. So in terms of short-term trading, First, we can try to short gold with the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405; But if gold first retreats to the support area of 3365-3355, we can first choose to go long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Time for a Rise in Oil Prices $$$When analyzing the recent movements in oil prices through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory, it appears that the current structure is completing an ABC corrective formation. Initially, the A wave has developed as a strong upward 1-5 impulse structure. The B wave evolved through a classic ABC correction, pushing prices down to the support area marked as (B). Following this correction, early signals indicate the initiation of the C wave. In this context, the technical structure suggests a potential new upward momentum in oil prices with the activation of the C wave. The target zone for the C wave should be monitored in consideration of the existing trendlines and historical resistance levels. Nevertheless, under the current market conditions characterized by high volatility, it is critical to monitor volume and momentum indicators to confirm the C wave and ensure key support levels are maintained.
TVC:UKOILLong
by kofc
GOLD Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3389.4 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal -3396.3 Recommended Stop Loss - 3385.8 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Potential Scenarios (Neutral Outlook):1. Overall Trend (Short-Term): From early June onward, the trend has shown a clear upward movement, especially after June 11, suggesting bullish momentum. However, in the most recent candles (last 24–36 hours), there is a consolidation/sideways movement, potentially indicating a pause or reversal. 2. Key Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance Zone: Around 3,460–3,470 (the recent high before price pulled back). Support Zone: Near 3,380–3,390, previously tested before the last push upward. 3. Price Structure & Patterns: There was a strong rally from June 11–13, followed by a pullback and consolidation. This could be forming a bullish flag or pennant, which often precedes a continuation upward if confirmed by volume or breakout above resistance. 4. Recent Candlestick Behavior: Current candles are small-bodied with wicks on both sides — this suggests indecision or low momentum, often found before a breakout or reversal. 🧭 Potential Scenarios (Neutral Outlook): Bullish Continuation: A breakout above the recent high (~3,460) could resume the uptrend toward 3,500+. Bearish Reversal: A drop below the 3,380 support area could trigger a correction toward 3,340 or lower. 📌 Note: Watch for upcoming economic events marked on the chart — especially those with the U.S. flag, as USD news often significantly affects XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Sienalunaz