Tesla - This bullish break and retest!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - confirmed the bullish reversal:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Tesla recently created a very bullish break and retest. Therefore together with the monthly bullish price action, the recent rally was totally expected. But despite the short term volatility, Tesla remains bullish, is heading higher and will soon create new highs.
Levels to watch: $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
6/16/25 - $crcl - I'm short6/16/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:CRCL
I'm short
- it's much easier to find shorts in this tape than the converse
- NYSE:CRCL is the chitstablecoin that broke a few yrs ago and nobody serious in "crypto" (when i mention "serious" i mean bitcoiners) uses
- they basically hold deposits and give you a USD-style token and earn the spread
- but if you look at financials... they don't make nearly as much $ as they should on these deposits
- ofc they'll tell you they're doing a lot of other silly things
- "yes" stables and the stables economy r red hot (hence the stonk price reaction). also kudos to them for IPO'ing in this window. it was really a great time to do it. so hats off.
- but what is an inferior stable (USDT/ tether is the only legit product on the market) worth?
- multiple hundreds of times PE?
- 10x book?
- guys... this is basically a one-trick-pony-bank, they aren't reinventing the wheel, and most products built around USDC won't likely be launched by circle b/c the org is slow/ expensive and will be highly regulated to doing such things in a reasonable window of time
- so will it go higher? idk. idc. i'm looking for shorts.
- this one is a bit OTM for oct. it's a helluva expensive short, probably for good reason
- but i don't think this valuation holds
- and it's great offset/ hedge to my monster OTC:OBTC stack, which i expect a convert in the next 2-3m to ETF, which means 15% upside on this holding. so i need an offset here, hence i'm looking for some beta-adjacent hedges.
V
Is DJT getting ready for a pump?The “Pump”—Trump Hype and Public Signals
-Trump’s social media signals: Trump frequently posts “THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! DJT” on Truth Social or X, coinciding with dramatic tariff announcements or political rallies. Shortly after, DJT stock often spikes—rising ~22% in a single day following one such call.
-High volatility & trading halts: The stock is extremely volatile; it sometimes triggers multiple trading halts within a single session due to rapid price surges fueled by meme-like interest.
-Retail-driven surge: The spike is largely driven by speculative retail traders—symbolic of meme-stock behavior and “scalper” pump tactics.
-It seems that the "pumps" are getting smaller and smaller, leading to a possible max pump of around 100-200% next time, if there's any pump. And as the current chart stands, the 16$ area seems like the start of the pump. But everything can change, and a new low could form and no pump could come.
The “Dump”—Insider and Early-Exit Selling
-Coinciding insider sales: Major shareholders—including Pam Bondi and other insiders—have sold significant chunks of DJT stock right after sharp price jumps.
-Sharp declines post-hype: Shares often retreat quickly after peaks. DJT’s recent crash washed out ~$2.4 billion in Trump's paper wealth, erasing gains from spikes tied to political victories.
-Regulatory red flags: Critics and regulators accuse Trump of influencing stock spikes before selling—bordering on “scalping,” a form of pump-and-dump via social presence.
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
AMD First touch of 1W MA50 after 8 months!Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) hit today its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 8 months (since October 28 2024). This is a crucial test as the las time this level broke as a Resistance following a Channel Up bottom rebound was on the week of January 30 2023.
When that happened, the Bullish Leg extended the upside to complete a +143.12% rise, before the next 1W MA50 pull-back.
As a result, if we close the week above the 1W MA50, we expect to see $185 before the end of the year.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
6/16/25 - $lulu - Comment at low $240s6/16/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LULU
Comment at low $240s
- see comment from 6/6/25 about why $260 post EPS was "interesting" but not obvious to own ST
- now we're only down a modest ~10% from there, so not much has really changed, except discretionary stocks have further drained. so this is not LULU specific per se, but sector/ factor beta
- when you take LT leases out of the EV of ~29.3 bn as of writing, or about 1.5 bn = you get ~27.8 bn. when you consider PF capex is about 500 mm (ex growth)... you end up with FCF this year of ~1.5 bn. so 1.5/ 27.8 = 5.4%.
- in the current macro where consumer has yet to really trough, or where we get "all clear cut to rates" (which is not my base case - if anything i think rates could stay sticky or even head higher in the ST), this means yield for this type of name post the last EPS comms might have to approach 6-7% all else equal
- the mid teens PE of ~16x is "buy" (again referencing the last note), but in this sort of macro/ environment, 13...14...15x is also reasonable until the mkt can underwrite exactly where the "trough" will be and start to put a more comfortable '26 estimate on the stock (we're not there).
- right now there are only three discretionary names i like in this order: NYSE:ANF > NYSE:YETI > $lulu. i only own NYSE:ANF b/c the FCF yield is nearly 15% on my est. and growth/ mgns also decent/ last EPS was "good". I trade around NYSE:YETI (don't currently own), and i see reason NASDAQ:LULU could get a ST bid here all else equal, so i'm playing a bit of a ST bounce here in the $240 region with some slight ITM option exposure for july.
- however, i'm aware that the low is probably not in
- and i've also seen this stock make nice mean reverting moves before it needs to find a lower level especially b/c the brand is great, the growth is not over... and eventually this will be a top tier discretionary name to own and the mkt is currently pricing it as such, anyway, at mid teens EPS when the rest of the B tier stuff is already single digits. *there's a reason for that*.
- food for thought.
V
General Dynamics Launch Pad Cleared for TakeoffNYSE:GD Multiple Bullish Signals Detected
- Geopolitical tensions are causing bullish tailwinds for the defense sector
- Tested .5 Fibonacci retracement level 5 times before breakout, now retesting as support
- Lined up perfectly with the trendline breakout and retest
- And the overnight gap from June 12 to 13 was filled today, ready for a reversal to the upside.
- 50MA touching 200ma, a golden cross in the coming days is inevitable
- Geopolitical escalation with the golden cross will cause massive inflows (traders & quants)
Isn't it obvious? It's in front of your eyes. Don't overthink it.
- READ THE CHARTS 6/16/25
6/16/25 - $qubt - 20% short. ice cold veins.6/16/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QUBT
20% short. ice cold veins.
- puts/ size managed approps.
- be warned, this company won't likely ever deliver a product.
- therefore, it's very likely worth exactly zero.
- i'll take it to 30% if i need to in the next few sessions leading up to it's "index inclusion" where it will get absolutely decimated as funds find it an "easy" funding short on the mgn.
- mgmt will have a hard time testifying in court why they are making various misleading statements which are likely fraudulent and at worst criminal. but that's just a guess.
- alas who knows.
- i don't have a crystal ball
- but i know a donut when i see one.
V
Trading at the Market OpenTrading at the Market Open
The market open marks a critical juncture in the financial world, presenting a unique blend of opportunities and challenges for traders. This article explores the essence of trading at the open across stocks, forex, and commodities. It delves into the heightened volatility and liquidity characteristic of this period, offering insights and strategies to navigate these early market hours effectively, setting the stage for trading opportunities.
What Does the Open Mean in Stocks, Forex, and Commodities?
The open signifies the start of the trading day for various financial markets. It's a time when trading activity surges, marked by a rush of orders that have accumulated since the previous close. In stock markets, this includes shares, indices, and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The influx of orders often leads to significant price movements as the market absorbs overnight news and global economic developments.
For forex and commodity markets, the open can vary by region, reflecting their 24-hour nature. This period is crucial for setting the tone of the trading day, offering insights into sentiment and potential trends. Traders closely watch the market open to gauge the strength of these movements, which can indicate broader market trends or sector-specific shifts.
Volatility and Liquidity at Market Open
Trading at the open is often marked by enhanced volatility and liquidity. Heightened volatility is primarily due to the influx of orders accumulated overnight, reacting to various global events and news. As traders and investors assimilate this information, rapid price movements are common, especially in the first few minutes of the session. These price fluctuations can present both opportunities and risks for traders.
Increased liquidity, which refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without causing significant price movements, is also a characteristic of the open. A higher number of market participants during this period may result in better order execution and tighter bid-ask spreads, particularly in highly liquid markets like forex and major stock indices.
What to Know Before the Market Opens
In terms of things to know before the stock market opens, it's essential to review the overnight and early morning news that can affect stocks. This includes company earnings reports, economic data releases, and geopolitical events. Traders also check pre-market trading activity to gauge sentiment and potential opening price movements.
For forex and commodities, understanding global events is crucial. Developments in different time zones, like policy changes by central banks or shifts in political scenarios, can significantly impact these markets. Additionally, reviewing the performance of international markets can provide insights, as they often influence the US open.
It's also vital to analyse futures markets, as they can indicate how stock indices might open. Lastly, around the forex, commodity, and stock market openings, indicators and other technical analysis tools applied to the previous day can also offer valuable context for the day ahead.
Market Open in Different Time Zones
Market open times vary globally due to different time zones, significantly impacting trading strategies. For instance, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) opens at 9:30 AM Eastern Time, which corresponds to different times in other parts of the world. For traders in London, this translates to an afternoon session, while for those in Asian markets like Tokyo, it's late evening.
Forex, operating 24 hours a day during weekdays, see overlapping sessions across different regions. For example, when the Asian trading session is concluding, the European session begins and later overlaps with the North American session. Such global interconnectivity ensures that forex markets are active round the clock, offering continuous trading opportunities but also requiring traders to be mindful of time zone differences and their impact on liquidity and volatility.
Strategies for Trading at Market Open
Trading at market open requires strategies that can handle rapid price movements across all markets. Here are some effective approaches:
- Pay Attention to Pre-Market Trends: This helps traders assess how a stock might behave at the market open. If a stock is fading from post-market highs, it might be wise to wait for a trend change before entering.
- Gap and Go Strategy: This involves focusing on stocks that gap up on positive news at market open, an indicator of potential further bullishness. Traders look for high relative volume in pre-market and enter trades on a break of pre-market highs. This strategy is fast-paced and requires quick decision-making.
- Opening Range Breakout (ORB): The ORB strategy uses the early trading range (high and low) to set entry points for breakout trades across all types of assets. The breakout from this range, typically the first 30 to 60 minutes of the session, often indicates the price direction for the rest of the session. Time frames like 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute are commonly used for ORB.
- Gap Reversal: The gap reversal method is used when the price creates a gap, but then the range breaks in the opposite direction. If the gap is bullish and the price breaks the lower level of the opening range, it signals a gap reversal. The same concept applies to bearish gaps but in reverse.
The Bottom Line
In essence, understanding unique features of market open trading is vital for those participating in stock, forex, and commodity markets. The opening moments are characterised by heightened volatility and liquidity, driven by global events and sentiment. However, savvy traders may capitalise on these early market dynamics with effective strategies.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMD Elliott Wave Analysis: 5 Wave Rally Supports Bullish BiasSince bottoming out on April 10, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has embarked on a robust rally, signaling a bullish trend. Technical analysis reveals a five-swing sequence from the April 10 low, favoring continued upward momentum. The initial ascent, wave (1), peaked at $97.91, followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2) that found support at $83.75. The stock then surged in wave (3) to $122.52. A subsequent retracement in wave (4) concluded at $107.10, as depicted in the one-hour chart below. Currently, wave (5) is unfolding, structured as an impulse in a lesser degree, driving the stock higher.
From the wave (4) low, the subdivision of wave (5) began with wave ((i)) reaching $117.05, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) to $108.62. The rally resumed in wave ((iii)), peaking at $119.40, with wave ((iv)) retracing to $114.25. The final leg, wave ((v)), concluded at $124.60, completing wave 1 of a higher degree. A corrective wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag, with wave ((a)) declining to $119.88. Wave ((b)) rebounded to $121.35, and wave ((c)) bottomed at $115.06. As long as AMD holds above $107.10, expect one more upward leg to complete wave 3. Then it should be followed by a wave 4 pullback and a final push in wave (5) to conclude the cycle from the April 10 low. This structured advance underscores AMD’s bullish outlook, with key support levels guiding its near-term trajectory.
AAPL Breaking Structure! Gamma Says Caution — Is $195 Next? 🍎 AAPL Breaking Structure! Gamma Says Caution — Is $195 Next? 🔻
🧬 GEX Options Sentiment Analysis:
* Gamma Key Levels:
* CALL Walls:
* $202.50 (moderate resistance)
* $205 = Gamma Wall / Call Resistance
* $210–215 = Higher walls unlikely to reach short-term without catalyst
* PUT Walls:
* $198 = 2nd PUT Wall and Heavy Volume Level (HVL)
* $195.70 = Highest negative NET GEX / PUT magnet
* Below $195 opens risk to $192.50, $190 (GEX7/10 cluster)
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: 21.6
* IVx avg: 30.2
* PUT Flow: 0% (!!) – no PUT buyers showing up (caution on reversals)
* GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴🔴 (very bearish tilt)
* Interpretation:
* AAPL is hugging the gamma flip zone at $198–$200. If it breaks and stays under $198, dealers may accelerate hedging, sending it down toward $195/$192.
* Call side is weak; momentum buyers missing.
🧠 15-Minute SMC Structure Breakdown:
* Current Price: $197.18
* Structure:
* CHoCH confirmed just below supply at $198.50 → bearish sign.
* Repeated rejections from the supply zone (pink box).
* Broke ascending wedge/trendline support on rising volume — bearish pattern confirmation.
* Demand box sits near $195.70–$196.50.
* Volume:
* Bearish volume increasing during rejection = potential for trend continuation lower.
⚔️ Trade Scenarios:
🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup:
* Trigger: Confirmed close below $196.50 with increasing volume.
* Target 1: $195.70 (GEX/SMC demand)
* Target 2: $192.50 (GEX7 magnet)
* Stop-loss: $198.50
Strong confluence with gamma, SMC structure, and volume break = high-probability short.
🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup (Low Probability):
* Trigger: Reclaim of $198.89 with conviction
* Target 1: $200
* Target 2: $202.50 (CALL wall)
* Stop-loss: Below $196.45
Only consider if SPY/QQQ stage reversal bounce and AAPL leads.
💡 My Thoughts:
* AAPL looks weak and vulnerable heading into Tuesday.
* If price loses $196.45, gamma + structure suggests fast flush to $195 and possibly $192.
* This is not the spot to go long blindly — let the level reclaim first.
* PUT flow being 0% despite this setup suggests retail hasn't stepped in — this could change rapidly.
🔚 Conclusion:
AAPL is breaking down from structure and trending toward gamma PUT support. Options sentiment and Smart Money structure are both aligning for bearish continuation — short bounces are sell opportunities unless $199+ is reclaimed with strength.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and follow your plan.
Would you like to format this for a TradingView post next or combine all into one GEX/TA wrap-up?
Oracle (ORCL) shares surge 24% in a week, hitting all-time highOracle (ORCL) shares surge 24% in a week, hitting an all-time high
Last week, Oracle (ORCL) shares:
→ rose by approximately 24% — marking the strongest weekly gain since 2001;
→ broke through the psychological level of $200 per share;
→ reached an all-time high, with Friday’s session closing above $215. It is possible that a new record may be set this week.
What’s driving Oracle (ORCL) shares higher?
The main catalyst was the quarterly earnings report released last week:
→ Earnings per share ($1.70) exceeded analysts’ expectations ($1.64);
→ CEO Safra Catz projected revenue growth of 12–14% in upcoming quarters;
→ Company founder Larry Ellison highlighted “astronomical” demand for data centres, as well as Oracle’s competitive edge in building and servicing them.
Notably, Oracle provides infrastructure services for both OpenAI and Meta Platforms.
Technical analysis of ORCL shares
ORCL shares have shown high volatility throughout 2025, largely influenced by news surrounding Donald Trump. His promises to strengthen the US position in AI served as a bullish signal, while plans to impose international trade tariffs had a bearish impact.
As a result, a broad upward channel has formed on the chart, with the following key observations:
→ the price has repeatedly bounced sharply from the lower boundary (1), indicating strong demand;
→ by early June, the price had risen and stabilised near the channel’s median line (2).
Currently, the ORCL chart shows that the earnings-driven rally has pushed the price into the upper quartile (3) of the channel.
With the RSI indicator at extreme highs, it is reasonable to assume that ORCL may be vulnerable to a pullback. However, if a correction does occur, it is unlikely to be deep — perhaps testing the psychological $200 level — given the company’s strong fundamentals.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Who’s with me on PLTR?PLTR is showing a very clear and strong bullish trend, making this an A+ trade setup in my book – especially given how close the price is to a key level. 🔍
🔹 Liquidity Sweep Setup:
On Friday, June 13, the opening swept the liquidity created on Wednesday, June 11 at 9:40 AM – an institutional move that left an imbalance candle.
Then, at 8:30 AM on the same Friday, liquidity was taken below the 5:30 AM low, setting the stage for a strong institutional move at the 9:30 AM opening.
Just before the open, at 9:20 AM, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) was formed – this became our focus entry area, which also aligned with resistance points from June 10, 11, and 13. 📊
🔹 A+ Trade Conditions:
What makes this trade so attractive is how the 9:30 AM candle created bearish liquidity, giving us a clear liquidity point to target for our entry. This aligns perfectly with the Vep Trader liquidity sweep strategy. ✅
📍 Trade Setup:
Entry: $133.33
Stop Loss: $132.00
Take Profit: $140.00
Let’s see how this plays out! Who’s riding this wave with me? 🌊💰
#PLTR #Stocks #TradingView #LiquiditySweep #FVG #PriceAction #SmartMoney #DayTrading #OptionsTrading #StockMarket #BullishSetup #VepTrader #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure
NVDA: Fractal Wave BreakdownBreaking above Rounding Top Pattern after rejections.
Wave transformed from pullback to impulsive one, which implies that the emerging structure needs to be routed to relative cycle.
Waveform
Referral structure looks like compressed version of decline after ATH.
As if the movement of big magnitude that pierces through SL levels, causes "shockwaves" that resets frequency of reversals of forthcoming waves.
Fibonacci interconnection of ATH and Bottom
Descending Triangle in Apple?Apple has struggled all year, and evidence of a downtrend may be growing in the tech giant.
The first pattern on today’s chart is this month’s lower high relative to mid-May. Combined with the May 7 low of $193.25, some traders may think a descending triangle is taking shape. That’s a potentially bearish formation.
Second, TradeStation data shows that AAPL is the only trillion-dollar company now trading below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The 200-day SMA has also turned lower. Those points may confirm long-term price action is less bullish.
Next, prices remaining below the falling 50-day SMA may signal intermediate-term weakness.
Fourth, short-term trends may be weakening: The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA and MACD is falling.
Finally, AAPL is one of the most active underliers in the options market. That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options.
Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com .
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
How to find pre-earnings runs weeks ahead of the actual earningsThere is far more opportunities to make higher profits BEFORE a CEO announces the Earnings Report on the public exchanges.
In this lesson, you will learn about how the Buy Side Dark Pools consult with the CEO and CFO to determine weeks ahead of the earnings season whether the report will be stellar, average, or weak.
Retail Analysts do not have access to this information and are guessing much of the time and often just state an estimate which the Corporation can easily beat or meet.
However, there are far greater profits from trading pre-earnings swing style runs of a stock.
This educational training helps you choose stocks to trade for this upcoming earnings season.
Put together a watchlist of not just big blue chip stocks, but also lesser known companies that have new technologies or services that are going to help that company grow into a big blue chip.
Pre Earnings runs start much earlier than you may think.
For a list of ALL of the companies reporting each day starting in late June or early July, go to NASDAQ.com which provides a list of all companies reporting and on what day that report is due out.
Then put together a watchlist of stocks that have charts that are showing some Dark Pool activity and pro trader activity well ahead of the earnings report date.
This is an Earnings Strategy that is excellent for Swing Trading, Momentum Trading, etc.
$AAPL In ConsolidationNASDAQ:AAPL is consolidating here in a wedging pattern. I do not know which way this will resolve. But, since I rarely if ever short, I am looking on the long side of a trade. The thing I like about a consolidation pattern like this is, you know when you are wrong very quickly. My plan is to take a ¼ size long position if / when it moves above the 50 DMA (red) with a stop just below the most recent low (which would also correspond to dropping below the lower wedging trendline.
Then if it can break out over the upper downtrend line, I will look to build out my position. I thought this would be a good one to put on your watchlist. If you like the idea, please make it your own so that it fits within your trading plan.
NVDA: Options GEX & Technical Setup for Jun 161️⃣ Options Gamma Insights
* Strongest gamma resistance sits in the 140–145 zone, with a hefty 3rd CALL wall (~79%) and consistent NETGEX/Call shelf near 145.
* IV is ultra low (~6.4 vs avg 46.5), meaning traders benefit from moves more than decay—especially as price nears gamma protection levels.
* GEX exposes (call $5.8 put $94) show mild call skew, favoring small upside tilt.
* Trade idea: Look to buy short-dated (~5DTE) calls or a call spread below 140–142, targeting fade/exercise pressure at 145; or consider put protection if NVDA breaks below 140 with bearish momentum.
2️⃣ 15-Minute Chart Analysis
* Price anchored near top of short-term consolidation range (140–145), after breaking below previous range high. Structure shows lower lows & lower highs → bearish tilt.
* Resistance: 142–145 overhead zone.
* Support: Near 140 (stop level), followed by 137 and previous BOS at ~140.86.
* Trend direction: Downward pullback within afternoon range.
3️⃣ Trade Setup Suggestion
* Bias: Bearish if price fails to reclaim above 142–145 gamma region. Bullish only on reclaim + clear BOS structure.
* Options plays:
* Buy 5DTE–10DTE put spread below 140, targeting 137–135 with tight risk.
* Alternatively, buy call spread if price breaks and holds above 145 with volume.
* Stops & Sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade; place stop-loss just outside your entry trigger zone.
🧠 My thoughts?
* Gamma alignment: Gamma walls act as structural support/resistance—145 is reinforced by call wall.
* Low IV: Minimizes premium decay and makes directional moves more profitable.
* Chart context: Lower-highs structure gives bearish edge; bearish setup aligns with downside call-to-put skew.
🚨 Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. All trades carry risk. Manage position size carefully and be aware that options are risk assets—especially with low IV.
Cisco Is Pushing a Generational HighCisco Systems has climbed as AI investment helps power growth, and some traders may think the move will continue.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the February 13 peak of $66.50. It was the highest level since September 2000, when the dotcom bubble was deflating. The networking giant come within $0.14 of that level on June 9 and remains in close proximity. Is a breakout coming?
(If CSCO were to clear this year’s peak, investors may next eye $82, its previous all-time high from March 2000.)
Next consider the May 15 closing price of $64.26 following strong quarterly results. The stock probed below the level last week and bounced. That may suggest old resistance has become new support.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has stayed above the 21-day EMA. Such a sequence may reflect a short-term uptrend.
Finally, Bollinger Band Width has dropped as price moves narrow. Could that tightening price action open the door to price expansion?
Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
RGTI : First Long Position AreaNASDAQ listed Rigetti Computing Inc. stock is currently trading above the 50 and 200 period moving averages.
Once it gained momentum, it later lost it but its outlook is not weak at the moment.
Right now, if the Iran-Israel war uncertainty is overcome and if there is no bad news affecting the index, the gap may close.
Risk/Reward ratio of 3.00 is a very valuable ratio to try with small position amounts.
Risk/Reward Ratio : 3.00
Stop-Loss : 9.91
Take-Profit : 18.2
Regards.
AMD – Breakout Watch (Daily Chart)NASDAQ:AMD surged +9.12% on June 16 with volume 1.8× above average, reclaiming the 200-day SMA for the first time in 7 months.
This marks a clear character change, but not yet a setup. Price stalled into multi-quarter trendline resistance around 128–130.
No pivot, no contraction — just strength into supply. Still needs to consolidate below trendline resistance for a valid trade.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 130 / 145
• Support: 124.35 (breakout zone), 116.55 (MA stack)
• Watch for: Tight coil, volume dry-up, pivot pattern formation
Not chasing — watching for structure. Patience is a position.
📉 Weekly chart also reclaimed 30-week MA for the first time since Nov ’24.
#AMD #technicalanalysis #breakoutwatch #tradingview