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WC: 22.14 Target: 1800-2400 MOASS: 47k-100K: What Now?As I said in the end of day update yesterday the WEEK OF 06/09 was a doozy. As part of my #GME20WeekCycle theory that week is significant as it is one of the few dates The Cat specifically "gave us" in his tweets...and serves as significant "line in the sand" from which we should look for significant price improvement (covered in the last 3 video updates) (at least thats my theory) I expected positive price improvement of course this week...but we got the opposite because of the Convertible offering Along with that we also got TONS OF VOLATILITY AND VOLUME..which I also expected So what does the mean as far as the cycle theory goes? This doesnt change anything for me because I never thought or said that we HAVE to get price improvement during that week..its just what I expected because I anticipated BUY VOLUME to come in I also was CLEAR in the videos that its not just about the day or week of...its about the WHOLE CYCLE I specifically talked in last video and in the LIVE on 06/09 about adjusting my expectations and to stop "looking for it all" to happen at one time or any given time.. So again I got 2 out the 3 things I was looking for this week: I got Volume and Volatility..just no Positive Price improvement...YET :) Looking forward I expect the same thing to transpire as the last Convertible offering: Significant Positive Price Improvement Last time we saw a 72% run from April low to May high This time I expect 100% move before we see a significant retracement BUT we do need to watch the 38 LEVEL carefully as its a PRIME AREA for retracement due to the presence of overlapping 1.00 extensions....yeah definitely need to watch that area And yes we are still in a MASSIVE diagonal pattern so look for the ABCs and continue to expect DEEP RETRACEMENTS of ANY significant moves up GME DECODED Expanded View of Cycles Fib Focused Chart. Yellow Vertical lines are FUTURE POTENTIAL PRICE PIVOTS (I absolutely believe these to be powerful) Above EACH horizontal white line is a Zone of Low Liquidity. There is nothing above 32 but there is also NOW NOTHING ABOVE 22. Once price gets going higher this becomes a VERY REAL PROBLEM FOR SHORTS i.e. why we are getting EPIC SHORTING between 32-34 Next Week. Short Term levels im watching GOOD TRADING TO YOU ALL!!!
NYSE:GMELong
by Heartbeat_Trading
13
Oracle Just Frickin Exploded ....What the Hell Just Happened?!!When you hear the name Oracle, what comes to mind? Chances are, you're thinking of old-school databases, big enterprise contracts, or maybe Larry Ellison’s yacht. And you're not wrong — Oracle has been a software giant for decades. But behind the legacy, there’s a transformation underway that’s catching serious investor attention: Oracle is becoming one of the most quietly powerful cloud infrastructure players in the AI boom. So the real question smart investors should be asking right now isn’t: “Is Oracle still relevant?” It’s this: “Is Oracle still a smart investment at this price?” As a value investor who combines deep fundamental analysis with AI-powered tools, I’m going to walk you through a comprehensive breakdown of Oracle from a true value lens — one that cuts through the noise and gets to the numbers that actually matter. Whether you're learning how to value a stock or looking for your next long-term compounder, this guide will change how you see companies like ORCL. Let’s dive in. 🧩 First: What Even Is Oracle? To understand whether Oracle is a good buy, you first need to understand what it actually does — and how it’s reinventing itself in the AI era. 👇 TL;DR – Oracle in 3 Sentences: 💲It builds the databases that power much of the world’s enterprise software and runs mission-critical infrastructure for governments and companies. 💲It’s pivoting fast into cloud computing — and now claims cloud growth of over 70%, driven by demand from AI startups and enterprises alike. 💲With nearly 80% of its revenue coming from recurring cloud services, Oracle is quickly becoming an AI-first infrastructure provider. Oracle isn’t just the old guard anymore — it’s quietly competing with AWS and Azure for the future of cloud. 🧠 Understanding Value: What Makes a Stock Undervalued or Overvalued? Before we talk stock prices, let’s clarify something: Value investing isn’t about buying cheap stocks. It’s about buying great businesses for less than they’re worth. To determine whether Oracle is undervalued or not, I ran it through six institutional-grade valuation models — then created a weighted average fair value to account for both opportunity and risk. These models include: ✅ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) ✅ Price-to-Earnings Multiples ✅ PEG Ratios ✅ Graham Formula ✅ Dividend Discount Model ✅ Forward Earnings Forecasts Let’s walk through them — simply and clearly. 💵 Market Snapshot (as of June 14, 2025) 🔹 Current Stock Price: $215.22 (All-time high) 🔹 Consensus Analyst Target: ~$230–240 (some stretch targets at $275) 🔹 My Fair Value Estimate (weighted model): $217.50 🔹 Upside Potential: ~1% base case, with a bull case of ~28%, bear case of -5-10%. 📊 Let’s Break Down the Valuation Models — One by One 1️⃣ Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) This model asks: “How much cash will Oracle generate in the future — and what is that worth today?” Assumptions: - Revenue grows at ~11% CAGR - 10% discount rate - Terminal growth at 2% Fair Value from DCF: $235.00 2️⃣ P/E Multiples (Price-to-Earnings) We look at how much investors are paying per dollar of earnings — adjusted for Oracle’s industry average. Fair Value from P/E: $220.00 (Oracle trades near 19× earnings vs. industry ~20×) 3️⃣ Forward P/E Valuation Forward P/E accounts for future earnings projections — critical for growth pivots like Oracle’s cloud expansion. Fair Value from Forward P/E: $240.00 4️⃣ Graham Formula Ben Graham’s method values a company based on conservative earnings and growth expectations. Fair Value from Graham Formula: $200.00 5️⃣ PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings/Growth) A PEG near 1.0 means the price matches growth. Oracle’s growth-adjusted valuation looks compelling. Fair Value Estimate from PEG: $250.00 6️⃣ Dividend Discount Model (DDM) Oracle pays a dividend, but it’s modest. This model gives a lower valuation since most profits are reinvested. Fair Value from DDM: $180.00 📊 Final Verdict: Weighted Average Fair Value = $217.50 At a current price of $215.22, Oracle is fairly valued — with more upside if growth exceeds expectations. BUT, I'd 100% wait for a pull-back. ⚖️ How I Weighed the Models (And Why It Matters) Some valuation models work better for mature dividend payers. Others capture future growth. For Oracle — which straddles both — we need a balanced lens. Here’s how I weighed the models: 🔹 Discounted Cash Flow (25%) Oracle’s predictable cash flows and stable margin profile make DCF highly reliable. 🔹 Price-to-Earnings (20%) Solid earnings and long-term contracts make the P/E model effective here. 🔹 Forward P/E (15%) We factor in strong earnings guidance and cloud growth momentum. 🔹 Graham Formula (15%) Good for conservatively modeling a legacy-heavy but evolving business. 🔹 PEG Ratio (15%) Captures Oracle’s accelerating cloud growth and valuation premium. 🔹 Dividend Discount Model (10%) Minor weighting — the dividend is nice but not central to the investment thesis. Result: A composite valuation of $217.50 — right around current prices, but with a stretch case closer to $275. 📚 Book Value Growth: Quiet Compounding in Action Oracle’s Book Value Per Share (BVPS) is often overlooked — but it's telling a quiet growth story. Here’s how it’s evolved: 🔹 2020: ~$52 🔹 2024: ~$80 🔹 5-Year CAGR: ~11% If this trend holds, BVPS could reach $142 by 2029. At the current P/B ratio of 2.7×, that implies a future price target of ~$384 — long-term investors, take note. This isn’t just noise. It’s what compounding looks like beneath the surface. 🔍 The Metrics That Matter Here’s what’s driving my conviction: 🔹 P/E Ratio ~19× — Slightly below industry average. Not overvalued. 🔹 Forward P/E ~18× — Sign of efficient earnings growth. 🔹 ROE ~25% — A solid return on shareholder equity. 🔹 Debt/Equity ~1.2× — Manageable leverage, not excessive. 🔹 PEG Ratio ~1.3× — Growth-adjusted value looks reasonable. 🔹 Free Cash Flow: $20.8B — Plenty of ammo for buybacks, dividends, or reinvestment. 🔹 Cloud Revenue Growth: Expected to surge 40–70% next year. This isn’t a sleepy old tech company anymore. Oracle is moving — fast. 📰 What’s Happening Right Now? 🔹 Q4 FY2025 Beat: $15.9B revenue (+11%), EPS beat 🔹 FY2026 Outlook: $67B revenue target, cloud growth >70% 🔹 Stock Surge: +29% YTD; +14.5% in a single day — best in 3 years 🔹 Record RPO: $138B — 41% YoY growth, signaling backlog strength 🔹 Some Analysts Cautious: Concerned about margin pressure and stretched valuations Oracle is executing. But it's also priced for near-perfection — which means entry timing matters. 📈 Technicals: What Do the Charts Say? Even fundamental investors should watch the chart. 🔹 Pattern: Inverse head & shoulders breakout 🔹 RSI: Overbought (~85) — signals short-term overheating 🔹 Support Levels: $180 and $154 — key zones to buy on dips 🔹 Next Resistance: ~$275 — stretch target on breakout continuation 🔹 Momentum: Strong buy signals from moving averages 📌 Recommendation: Wait for pullbacks between $180–200 for best risk/reward. 🧠 Bottom Line: Should You Buy Oracle? Let’s be real: Oracle isn’t flashy — but it’s doing something very rare: ✅ Accelerating growth in a legacy business ✅ Winning cloud infrastructure deals in the AI race ✅ Generating enormous cash flow ✅ Reasonably priced vs. peers If you want exposure to AI infrastructure without the megacap premiums of NVIDIA or Microsoft — Oracle might be the play. It’s not undervalued by much, but pullbacks offer a great long-term entry. Disclaimer: this is for informational purposes only. Do your own due diligence. 🚀 Want To Analyze Stocks Like This Without Doing All the Math? I built Wallstreet Alchemist AI to help investors cut through hype and analyze real value — using the same models I use professionally. 🎯 Try it for free (LINK IN PROFILE) — and let AI do the math, so you can focus on conviction.
NYSE:ORCL
by Wallstreet_Alchemist
APPLE Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the APPLE next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 196.46 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 193.21 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 202.06 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AnabelSignals
3
Comerica Incorporated (CMA) – Double Top Breakdown📉 Short Setup 🔍 Description: Comerica Incorporated (NYSE: CMA) has formed a Double Top pattern, signaling a bearish reversal. The price has broken below the neckline, confirming downside pressure. Current momentum favors continuation lower, with a clean risk-defined setup. 📊 Trade Details: 🔹 Entry: Below neckline confirmation (~54.99) 🔴 Stop Loss: 59.07 🟢 Target: 50.65 📌 Confirmation: Neckline break with strong bearish volume confirms the pattern. If price reclaims and holds above $59.07, this setup could be invalidated. Trade safe! 📉🚨
NYSE:CMAShort
by pliesfargo
Short Uber to deathUber driver's pay is declining constantly. This week it reached the point where good drivers are quitting. The self driving technology to replace these drivers is not yet here. Uber will start absorbing the self driving cars maintenance costs. They will be surprised how much money it takes to have a running clean car. Uber jacked up riders prices to prepare for this; accounting them as insurance costs. Riders are looking more and more into cheaper alternatives. Public transportation is making a come back. Uber will be bankrupt with this model. Their biggest mistake is not taking care of their biggest asset; their drivers. I'm shorting UBER to their death.
NYSE:UBERShort
by gastonvazqz
RIOT: 3 waves moves are not good!Since the April bottom, RIOT moved up very nicely. Even since the May bottom, things were looking decent. However, the move since June 5th bottom even though we saw some strong moves, it ended up 3 waves move. Along with a lower low today June 13th, I am forced to change into my alternate count. I don't think we are looking at a series of 1/2 moves any longer. With BTC also stalling out, I am tracking the entire sequence as a leading diagonal structure. So, this means, the current correction might get deep. The first leg down has also been a leading diagonal, so I am expecting a sharp move up next week before resuming farther down. I have taken profit already and most likely take some more profit if market allows next week and have a stop loss to get kicked out if needed. I will look for opportunities along the fib retracement areas. Until $6.19 breaks, the bullish bias will still prevail. However, until the big bad downward channel is broken, bear case is not fully gone.
NASDAQ:RIOT
by mukit1
RIOT / 2hAccording to the prior analysis, NASDAQ:RIOT continued to sell off 6.8% today and closed the week with an 11% decline in total. Wave Analysis >> The rising leading diagonal in wave (1) ended with a diagonal as its 5th wave inside at 10.86. Its correction in the same-degree wave (2) has started its way down toward the origin of the ending diagonal >> 7.93. Trend Analysis >> The trend has turned to correcting down. It might be a relatively deep retracement that will take a few weeks to develop. The retracement targets >> 8.20 >> 7.93 >> 7.67 #CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:RIOT
by ElliottChart