Bullish on RDDT - Can it clear 130 and hold this time?Key levels to watch
Support: 108–110. This zone held on the most recent pullback and aligns with prior structure.
Short-term target: 125–126. If price breaks and holds above this level, it suggests momentum is building.
Overhead Resistance: 130. Clearing and holding above this level is what would turn this from a bounce into something with more swing potential.
Upside potential: 155–166, if price can build a base above 130
While the structure is building constructively, and a decline from here isn't my first pick, it is possible that we just continue to chop. But, for now I am bullish on RDDT for the next few weeks, and I will continue to update you here as it plays out.
VRT : Long Position Vertiv Holdings is trading above the 50 and 200-period moving averages.
It has overcome the resistances one by one without being exposed to a very high IV.
It has started to draw a cup.
However, it is much better to focus on the big gap rather than the cup formation because with good chances it can encounter a big resistance there.
Targeting the 50-period ema and the 0.5 level of the short-term Fibonacci retracement levels as a stop point gives us the opportunity to try trading at a not bad risk/reward ratio.
With a small position size or small portfolio percent :
Risk/Reward Ratio : 2.54
Stop-Loss : 103.77
Take-Profit : 145.32
$OSCR 190% Upside! The MASSIVE move is already in MOTION! The MASSIVE move on NYSE:OSCR is already in MOTION! 🚀
🎯 Targets:
2025 = $28+
2026 = $35+
2027 = $45+
Falling Wedge Breakout
Approaching CupnHandle breakout
WR% Is swinging from green to red
MACD is about to flip bullish
Massive Volume Shelf launch
Fundamentals are next level
Massively undervalued
What else could you want?!
📈 Breakout confirmed. Momentum building. Smart money positioning. Are you ready?! 👇
JBL is pressing into ATH. Potential next stop: $194Jabil Inc. (JBL) is pressing into all-time highs with strong momentum, and both RSI and MACD support further upside — but this is a textbook spot where trend traders must watch for a breakout confirmation or a double top trap.
Technical Breakdown
1. Price Action – Testing All-Time Highs (~$176)
JBL is now retesting its prior high from March 2025 after a steep recovery off the ~$115 lows. The move has been orderly and relentless, showing strong demand with minimal corrective pullbacks. Price is at an inflection point: either it breaks through and enters price discovery mode, or stalls for a potential double top.
2. MACD – Bullish Continuation Setup
MACD is currently bullishly crossed and rising steadily. Histogram is green, but not spiking, suggesting sustainable momentum — not overextended. This is a healthy mid-trend momentum pattern — no signs of exhaustion yet.
3. RSI – Elevated, But Not Overbought
RSI is at 76.79, slightly into overbought territory. This supports the bullish case as long as it stays above 60–65 on any pullback. However, if RSI rolls over while price fails to break above $176, a bearish divergence could develop.
4. Volume – Needs Confirmation
Volume isn’t surging yet — which makes this a “show me” breakout attempt. A convincing breakout would ideally need a volume spike and a strong daily close above $176.
Fibonacci Extension Setup
We’ll anchor the extension to the most recent strong impulse leg, from the March 2025 low to the current resistance area:
Swing low: ~$115 (March 2025)
Swing high (resistance): ~$176 (current all-time high)
Pullback low: ~$155 (early May consolidation)
This gives us a base leg of ~$61 in length ($176 - $115).
Fibonacci Extension Targets
Fib Level Price Target Commentary
1.0x $176 ✅ Already hit — major resistance
1.272 $194–195 First breakout target — conservative
1.618 $210–212 Primary trend continuation target
2.0 $237 Stretch target — euphoria or AI tailwinds
Final Take
If JBL breaks above $176 with confirmation, the Fibonacci extension suggests a primary upside target at $194–212 — with $237 as a stretch target if the move accelerates.
LONG | AVGO (Broadcom) | 1DScenario 1 – Pullback to Structure Zone
Entry: $211.01
Stop Loss: $198.33
Target: $259.05
Risk:Reward: ~1:3
Structure: Pullback to key fib level (~38.2%) and prior breakout base.
Market Logic: Reclaiming structure post pullback; trend resumption with minimal drawdown.
Scenario 2 – Deep Demand Zone
Entry: $187.68
Stop Loss: $162.10
Target: $263.77
Risk:Reward: ~1:3
Structure: 61.8% fib + institutional demand cluster; "if market breaks deep", re-entry possible here.
Market Logic: Value-buy zone; often unfilled unless broad market correction. Ideal for swing/position trader allocations.
_______________________________
Business Model & Sector Positioning
Core Focus: Broadcom designs and develops semiconductors and infrastructure software solutions. Their chips power AI data centers, 5G infrastructure and cloud networking—key growth pillars.
AI Exposure: AVGO provides custom silicon to hyperscalers like Google and Meta. Its next-gen networking and AI accelerator chips are integral to expanding AI workloads, which fuels earnings upside.
Earnings & Financial Momentum
Recent Results (Q2 FY25):
Revenue up ~43% YoY, beating consensus.
EPS surged ~50% YoY, driven by data center demand.
AI-related revenues now make up nearly 25% of total sales.
Guidance Raised: Management upgraded full-year revenue targets—signaling internal confidence.
Analyst Consensus & Institutional Flow
Buy Ratings: >85% of analysts rate AVGO a Buy.
Price Targets: Median PTs have moved from $260 to $285 post-earnings.
Ownership: High institutional interest—Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street are among top holders.
Dividends: Pays a sustainable dividend (~1.8% yield), increasing yearly—strong signal of financial health.
Macro Environment
Interest Rate Outlook: With the Fed expected to cut by late 2025, tech stocks are well-positioned. Lower yields boost growth stock valuations like AVGO.
Capex Trends: Global cloud providers are increasing AI data center spending—Broadcom is a primary beneficiary.
___________________________
Conclusion
Why The Setups Work Fundamentally:
$211.01 Entry: Technical pullback + fundamental tailwind from raised guidance.
$187.68 Entry: Deep value zone backed by secular demand + institutional conviction in AI.
Both zones represent opportunistic entries into one of the most fundamentally sound AI infrastructure plays, with upside tied to macro tech trends, strong earnings, and durable cash flow.
AAPL for me an obvious short term long entryThis would be a Swing trade, which I would personally trade because it is a common pattern, not a chart pattern, but a Price Action Pattern. To explain it quickly. First you get a sell off, then stopping Volume with Buy limit orders pushing the stop up, then you see Volume dropping, and after that some more Volatile price action. But I generally dont do these kinds of trades, because I like to have more safety and when I´m short term invested I have more risk and this is not coping with my personal risk - reward policy.
GOOG | The Year of Quantum | LONGAlphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in software, health care, transportation, and other technologies. It operates through the following segments: Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services, such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment refers to infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. The Other Bets segment relates to the sale of healthcare-related services and internet services. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.
MSFT weekly cup and handleMSFT staying strong during all of the volatility and chop shows relative strength would like to see the market push to all time highs with MSFT and some other mega caps leading the way this could pan out in time and looks like a great set up to test the highs reset and push higher. Not financial advice
AMZNThis is a company I believe can become one of the most valuable companies by market cap I think they have a toe in every sector at this point. AI is a massive one and robots also them just possibly replacing all employees with AI and robots. That could make them extremely efficient and profitable short term target of 250 with longer term targets of 300. Not a professional and this is not financial advice just what I am speculating.
TSLA: Uptrend channel bounce, trading between 50 and 200-day SMAHey guys/gals!
So we all know that Tesla took a massive drop last week. It fell about 14%, and was down even 3% after hours at one point. I think we can all agree this crash wasn't technicals driven - it was clearly headline impacted. This was a clear black swan even t, and even in my case, nothing like this has ever happened to me as a trader. It was unforeseeable, forced me to hedge overnight and I'm still having nightmares (lol). Definitely one to remember as I don't think something like this would happen with any other stock. Tesla is truly unique in this sense.
But looking at the bigger picture, the bounce that we experienced on Friday must've been technicals driven, and psychologically influenced, as I am almost certain that the crash was a massive overreaction. People woke up the next day and thought this was severely discounted over a couple social media tweets (I won't go into the politics of things).
As you see on the chart, Tesla may in a new upward channel. At first I figured this may be a bear flag, however due to the upcoming catalyst like the Robotaxi launch - this would likely only be a bear flag if prices crashes below the lower support trend line.
As long as price is within the channel, I'd say things are holding up. We'd likely see a jump towards the upper side of the channel - however it's important to note that $300 and £360 are major resistance points. Robotaxi launch and any future tweets will definitely move price, and I think those will be a factor in determining whether price goes up or crashes below the trend line.
Another thing to point out is that price is currently trading between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The 50-day SMA is acting as vital support, whereas the 200-day SMA is the resistance. If there is a break above the 200-day SMA, price will likely go higher. The opposite may happen if price crashes below the 50-day SMA.
Either way, headlines and technicals mentioned above will continue to influence price.
Note: not financial advice.
When Intuition Beats the Algorithm█ When Gut Feeling Beats the Bot: How Experience Can Improve Algorithmic Trading
In today’s world of fast, data-driven trading, we often hear that algorithms and rules-based systems are the future. But what happens when you mix that with a trader’s intuition, the kind that only comes from years of watching charts and reading price action?
A recent study has some surprising results: A seasoned discretionary trader (someone who trades based on what they see and feel, not just rules) was given a basic algorithmic strategy. The twist? He could override the signals and use his instincts. The result? He turned a losing system into a winning one, big time.
█ What Was the Experiment?
Researchers Zarattini and Stamatoudis (2024) wanted to test whether a skilled trader’s experience could boost a mechanical system. They took 9,794 stock “gap up” events from 2016 to 2023, where a stock opens much higher than the day before, and let the trader pick which ones looked promising.
⚪ To make it fair:
All charts were anonymized — no names, no news, no distractions.
The trader had only the price action to guide his choices.
He could also manage open trades — adjusting stop-losses, profit targets, and position sizing based on what the price was doing.
⚪ The Trading Setup
█ What Did They Find?
The trader only selected about 18% of all the gap-ups. But those trades performed far better than the full list. Here's what stood out:
Without stop-losses, the basic strategy lost money consistently (down -0.25R after just 8 days).
With the trader involved, profits rose fast, hitting +0.80R just 4 days after entry.
Risk was tightly managed: only 0.25% of capital was risked per trade.
⚪ So what made the difference? The trader could spot things the system missed:
Strong momentum early in a move
Clean breakouts from long sideways ranges
Patterns that had real follow-through, not just random gaps
He avoided weak setups and managed trades like a pro, cutting losers, letting winners run, and trailing positions with smart stop placements.
⚪ Example
An experienced trader can quickly identify a breakaway gap, when a stock gaps up above a clear resistance level. Unlike random gaps, this setup often signals the start of a strong move. While a system might treat all gaps the same, a skilled trader knows this one has real potential.
█ What Does This Mean for You?
This research shows that trading experience still matters — a lot.
If you’re a systematic trader, adding a discretionary filter (whether it’s your own review or someone else’s) could drastically improve your results. A clean chart read can help you avoid false signals and focus only on the best setups.
If you’re a discretionary trader, this study is proof that your skills can add measurable value. With the right tools and discipline, you don’t need to throw away your instincts, you can combine them with structure and still win.
█ Key Takeaways
⚪ Gut feeling isn’t just noise, trained instincts can spot what rules miss.
⚪ Trade selection matters more than just following every signal.
⚪ Managing risk and exits well is just as important as picking good entries.
⚪ Hybrid trading, rules plus judgment — might be the most powerful combo.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Bullish - StandardAero (SARO)📈 Why I’ve started building a position in StandardAero (SARO)
Some of you have been asking what I’m buying next for my long-term portfolio, so here’s one I’m quietly excited about.
I’ve started accumulating SARO, a relatively new listing (IPO’d Oct 2024) that specialises in aircraft engine and airframe maintenance — known as MRO (maintenance, repair & overhaul). These guys are one of the largest independent MRO providers in the world, with military, commercial, and business aviation clients.
So why SARO?
▶️ First: They’re starting to win serious defence contracts.
They’ve recently secured:
A $315M U.S. Navy engine contract (E-2D Hawkeye)
An $80M turbine engine contract for the U.S. surface fleet
And they’re in line to build Black Hawk helicopters in the UK if the NMH programme goes ahead. That deal alone would create 600+ jobs in Gosport.
▶️ Second: They’re small, but not unknown.
At a $10B market cap, SARO is still tiny compared to defence giants like BAE ($78B). But big money is already circling. The reason I found this opportunity in the first place, is due to monitoring closely 'Theleme Partners' (a hedge fund co-founded by Rishi Sunak before politics) - they just opened a position. So did T. Rowe Price, Two Sigma, and Vanguard.
▶️ Third: Macro tailwinds.
UK and global defence spending is rising rapidly. The UK has pledged to hit 2.5% of GDP by 2027, with a fresh £15B aimed specifically at submarines and nuclear support. If SARO lands even one meaningful UK MoD contract, which is very possible through its UK-based Vector Aerospace arm... it could seriously pay off.
💡 How I’m playing it:
This is a long-term hold for me personally and I’ll look at dollar-cost averaging into my position.
Short-term, I’ve marked targets around $32, $35 and $38 for potential profit-taking zones for those trading shorter holds.
Long-term, I’m holding a big chunk in case we see SARO grow into something much bigger.
It’s not without risk:
🔴 High post-IPO debt
🔴 Execution risk on current contracts
🔴 ... and the gamble that they secure government defence work all need to be considered.
But that’s part of the calculated upside here.
I’m sharing this because I think SARO is an early-stage contender worth watching and one that fits well into a defence-heavy decade ahead.
Curious to know if anyone else is looking at this one?
#LongTermInvesting #DefenceStocks #SARO #MarketInsights #DCA #MRO #UKDefence #InvestingStrategy
Market Update - 6/8/2025• Friday was a solid day, lots of strength especially in the energy, quantum computing and recently construction/industrial names
• A bit concerning is that breadth is very high already which tends to be followed by corrections, but we've been in a correction in small caps for almost a month now
• Good sign to see small caps outperforming large caps on Friday
• Gold and TLT are selling off, so that also confirms risk on mode
• Plus the strength in construction and retail names and the weakness in healthcare names are also pointing towards a risk on mode environment
• Will risk 0.5-0.75% of my account over the next weeks