OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Abz US Real rates

This indicator shows Fed Funds Rate vs US inflation. It also shows the US 10 year bond yield and provides a color indication that aims to indicate if this is a period where owning TLT is a good idea or not. It is not investment advice and it is only aiming to indicate whether the trend is supportive or not for long dated US bonds in comparison with short dated treasury bills and versus inflation.
Recessions: Recessions are indicated by a grey background.
Yield inversion: Periods where the Fed Funds Rate is above the US 10 year bond yield are shown as a maroon background and frequently are macro indicators of an upcoming recession. Like other macro signals, this can't be relied upon as a timing tool.
This is intended to be used as an indictor on a long term chart. Minimum would be weekly but could be even more valid to focus on a chart with monthly candles.
Recessions: Recessions are indicated by a grey background.
Yield inversion: Periods where the Fed Funds Rate is above the US 10 year bond yield are shown as a maroon background and frequently are macro indicators of an upcoming recession. Like other macro signals, this can't be relied upon as a timing tool.
This is intended to be used as an indictor on a long term chart. Minimum would be weekly but could be even more valid to focus on a chart with monthly candles.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Absorbing info with every cycle
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Absorbing info with every cycle
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.