Autoregressive Covariance Oscillator by Tenozen

Well to be honest I don't know what to name this indicator lol. But anyway, here is my another original work! Gonna give some background of why I create this indicator, it's all pretty much a coincidence when I'm learning about time series analysis.
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Well, the formula of Auto-covariance is:
E{(X(t)-(t) * (X(t-s)-(t-s))}= Y_s

But I don't multiply both values but rather subtract them:
E{(X(t)-(t) - (X(t-s)-(t-s))}= Y_s?
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For arm_vald, the equation is as follows:
arm_vald = val_mu + mu_plus_lsm + et

val_mu --> mean of time series
mu_plus_lsm --> val_mu + LSM
et --> error term

As you can see, val_mu^2. I did this so the oscillator is much smoother.
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After I get the value, I normalize them:
aco = Y_s? / arm_vald
So by this calculation, I get something like an oscillator!

(more details in the code)
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So how to use this indicator? It's so easy! If the value is above 0, we gonna expect a bullish response, if the value is below 0, we gonna expect a bearish response; that simple. Be aware that you should wait for the price to be closed before executing a trade.

Well, try it out! So far this is the most powerful indicator that I've created, hope it's useful. Ciao.

(more updates for the indicator if needed)

Release Notes

Fixed:
- line plots NaN/Incomplete line.
- Some timeframes plot NaN.

Usage reminder:
- If the resolution is lower than 10 Minutes, it won't plot anything. Please use a resolution equal to or above 10 Minutes.

Release Notes

Updating the Indicator Preview

Release Notes

Added src input

Release Notes

Added PVMA

Release Notes

Added invert value option

Release Notes

Added custom symbol option and an option to multiply the value by price

Open-source script

In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.

Tenozen

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.

Open-source script

Tenozen