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Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model Overview The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments. Purpose The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly. Core Features - Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress. - Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries. - Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix). - Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads. - Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability). - Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals. - Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals. - Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R. Model Complexity Levels Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth: 1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring. 2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule. 3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth. 4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users. Key Indicators Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance: - Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress. - Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs. - Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions. - Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator. - Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending. - PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction. - VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress. - S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption. - M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction. - NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions. - Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress. - JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns. - Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating. Data Processing - Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period). - Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback). - Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise. - Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations. Probability Calculation 1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance. 2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators. 3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix. 4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes. 5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs. Display and Visualization - Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands. - Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards. - Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence. - Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view. - Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis). - Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses. Practical Applications - Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases. - Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis. - Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%. - Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes. - Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated. Configuration Guidelines - Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred. - Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance. - Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals. - Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization. - Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading. Limitations - Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading. - Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes. - Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds. Final Note The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
Pine Script® indicator
by BackQuant
ATR % Line from LoD/HoDATR % Line Trading Indicator - Entry Filter Tool This Pine Script creates a sophisticated ATR (Average True Range) percentage-based entry filter indicator for TradingView that helps traders avoid buying overextended stocks and identify optimal entry zones based on volatility. Core Functionality - Entry Discipline The script calculates a maximum entry threshold by taking a percentage of the Average True Range (ATR) and projecting it from the current day's low. This creates a dynamic "no-buy zone" that adapts to market volatility, helping traders avoid purchasing stocks that have already moved too far from their daily base. Key Calculation: Measures the ATR over a specified period (default: 14 bars) Takes a user-defined percentage of that ATR (default: 25%) Projects this distance from the day's low to establish a maximum entry threshold Entry Rule: Avoid buying when price exceeds this ATR% level from the daily low or high. Visual Features Entry Threshold Line: Draws a horizontal line at the calculated maximum entry level Line extends forward for clear visualization of the "no-buy zone" Red zones above this line indicate overextended conditions Fully customizable appearance with color, width, and style options Smart Entry Alerts: Optional labels show the ATR percentage threshold and exact price level Visual confirmation when stocks are trading in acceptable entry zones vs. extended areas Real-Time Monitoring Table: Displays current distance from daily low as ATR percentage Shows whether current price is in "safe entry zone" or "extended territory" Customizable display options for clean chart analysis Practical Applications for Entry Management Avoiding Extended Entries: Primary Use: Don't initiate long positions when price is more than X% ATR from the daily low Prevents buying stocks that have already made their daily move Reduces risk of buying at temporary tops within the trading session Entry Zone Identification: Price trading below the ATR% line = potential entry opportunity Price trading above the ATR% line = wait for pullback or skip the trade Combines volatility analysis with momentum discipline Risk Management Benefits: Improved Entry Timing: Enter closer to daily support levels Better Risk/Reward: Shorter distance to stop loss (daily low) Reduced Chasing: Systematic approach prevents FOMO-driven entries Volatility Awareness: Higher volatility stocks get wider acceptable entry ranges Configuration for Entry Filtering Key Settings for Entry Management: ATR Percentage: Set your maximum acceptable extension (15-30% common for day trading) Reference Point: Use "Low" to measure extension from daily base Line Style: Make highly visible to clearly see entry threshold Alert Integration: Visual confirmation of entry-friendly zones Typical Usage Scenarios: Conservative Entries: 15-20% ATR from daily low Moderate Extensions: 25-35% ATR for stronger momentum plays Aggressive Setups: 40%+ ATR for breakout situations (use with caution) Entry Strategy Integration Pre-Market Planning: Set ATR% threshold based on stock's typical volatility Identify key levels where entries become unfavorable Plan alternative entry strategies for extended stocks Intraday Execution: Monitor real-time ATR% extension from daily low Avoid new long positions when threshold is exceeded Wait for pullbacks to re-enter acceptable entry zones This tool transforms volatility analysis into practical entry discipline, helping traders maintain consistent entry standards and avoid the costly mistake of chasing overextended stocks. By respecting ATR-based extension limits, traders can improve their entry timing and overall trade profitability.
Pine Script® indicator
by BigWaveChartist
Market Energy – Trend vs Retest (with Saturation %)Market Energy – Trend vs Retest Indicator This indicator measures the bullish and bearish energy in the market based on volume-weighted price changes. It calculates two smoothed energy waves — bullish energy and bearish energy — using exponential moving averages of volume-adjusted price movements. The indicator detects trend changes and retests by comparing the relative strength of these waves. A saturation percentage quantifies the intensity of the current dominant side (bulls or bears) relative to recent highs. - High saturation (>70%) indicates strong momentum and dominance by bulls or bears. - Low saturation (<30%) suggests weak momentum and possible market indecision or consolidation. The background color highlights the current control: green for bulls, red for bears, with transparency indicating the saturation level. A label shows which side is currently in control along with the saturation percentage for quick interpretation. Use this tool to identify strong trends, possible retests, and momentum strength to support your trading decisions.
Pine Script® indicator
by rikkeholm
Official USD Staggered Bands - ArgentinaOfficial USD Staggered Bands - Argentina The Central Bank, under the administration of Javier Milei (La Libertad Avanza), announced on Friday, April 11, 2025, a series of measures to eliminate the so-called "exchange rate restriction." In this new phase, the dollar's exchange rate on the Free Exchange Market (MLC) will be able to fluctuate within a band between $1,000 and $1,400 , the limits of which will be expanded at a rate of 1% monthly. The lines evolve daily, increasing as the public administration predicts. This way, you can know the likelihood of a Central Bank intervention to correct the variation and return the peso to a price within the band. The script runs under the ticker USDARS
Pine Script® indicator
by arielm00
ATR Plots + OverlayATR Plots + Overlay This tool calculates and displays Average True Range (ATR)-based levels on your chart for any selected timeframe, giving traders a quick visual reference for expected price movement relative to the most recent bar’s open price. It plots guide levels above and below that open and shows how much of the typical ATR-based range has already been covered—all in one interactive table and on-chart overlay. What It Does ATR Calculation: Uses true range data over a user-defined period (default 14), smoothed via RMA, SMA, EMA, or WMA, on the selected timeframe (e.g., 1h, 4h, daily) to calculate the ATR value. Projected Levels: Plots four reference levels relative to the open price of the most recent bar on the chosen timeframe: +100% ATR: Open + ATR +50% ATR: Open + 50% of ATR −50% ATR: Open − 50% of ATR −100% ATR: Open − ATR Coverage %: Tracks high and low prices for the current session on the selected timeframe and calculates what percentage of the ATR has already been covered: Coverage % = (High − Low) ÷ ATR × 100 Interactive Table: Shows the ATR value and current coverage percentage in a customizable table overlay. Position, color scheme, borders, transparency, and an optional empty top row are all adjustable via settings. Customization Options Table Settings: Position the table (top/bottom × left/right). Customize background color, text color, border color, and thickness. Optionally add an empty top row for spacing. Line Settings: Choose color, line style (solid/dotted/dashed), and width. Lines automatically update with each new bar on the selected timeframe, anchored to that bar’s open price. General Inputs: ATR length (number of bars). Smoothing method (RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA). Timeframe selection for ATR calculations (e.g., 15m, 1h, Daily). How to Use It for Trading Measure Volatility: Quickly gauge the expected price movement based on ATR for any timeframe. Identify Overextension: Use the coverage % to see how much of the expected ATR range is already consumed. Plan Entries & Exits: Align trade targets and stops with ATR levels for more objective planning. Visual Reference: Horizontal guide lines and table update automatically as new bars form, keeping information clear and actionable. Ideal For Intraday traders using ATR levels to frame trades. Swing traders wanting ATR-based reference points for larger timeframes. Anyone seeking a volatility-based framework for planning stops, targets, or identifying overextended conditions.
Pine Script® indicator
by abbadon9
Mongoose Market Expansion DashboardDescription: The Mongoose Market Expansion Dashboard tracks macro conditions that favor stock market upside. This dashboard aggregates five distinct categories: Taylor Rule Gap (FFR vs. estimated neutral rate) Liquidity Trend Market Breadth Sentiment Reversal Macro Acceleration Each category contributes to a composite score (0–5), plotted in real-time. A higher score signals improving market conditions and potential expansion. Designed for traders, analysts, and macro quants seeking clean macro overlays on price charts.
Pine Script® indicator
by TheRealMongoose
Taylor Rule (Styled by Mongoose) + Macro Action PlanMethodology: This indicator implements the standard Taylor Rule to estimate a theoretically neutral federal funds rate (FFR) based on economic conditions. Taylor Rule Formula: FFR = r* + π + 0.5(π - π*) + 0.5 × Output Gap π = current inflation rate π* = inflation target r* = natural real interest rate Output Gap = 100 × (u* - u) / u* u = actual unemployment rate u* = natural unemployment rate Visuals: Teal Line = Taylor Rule Rate Orange Line = Manual Fed Funds Rate (custom input) Color Zone Highlight Red = policy rate far below Taylor estimate (gap > +1.0) Green = policy rate far above Taylor estimate (gap < -1.0) Reference Lines: 0% (Zero Bound) 2% (Neutral Rate) 5% (Hawkish Zone) How to Use: A Taylor Rate above the actual Fed Funds Rate may imply accommodative conditions. A Taylor Rate below the actual Fed Funds Rate may imply restrictive or tight policy. The gap between the Taylor estimate and actual rate helps assess potential macro pressure on markets, yields, and risk assets. Trader Application: Helps forecast shifts in Fed stance and macro policy inflection points Use as a regime filter for positioning in equities, bonds, FX, and commodities Can support long/short macro strategies based on rate gap and inflation dynamics Inputs (Editable): Inflation rate Inflation target Neutral real rate (r*) Actual and natural unemployment rate Manual FFR value
Pine Script® indicator
by TheRealMongoose
EasyTrader PRO++ v2 (All-in-One Forex SMC Edition)📈 EasyTrader PRO++ v2 – All-in-One Forex SMC Strategy (15m & 1h Optimized) 🚀 The Ultimate Smart Money Concept Strategy – Built for Simplicity, Power, and Precision EasyTrader PRO++ v2 is a next-generation strategy script developed exclusively for Forex trading. It combines institutional concepts, price action, volume logic, and precision risk management into one powerful tool – all optimized for 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes. 💡 Core Features: ✅ Smart Money Entry Score System – 6-point scoring logic with real-time visual output ✅ Micro Orderblocks – visual levels with breakout confirmation ✅ Liquidity Sweeps – detects stop hunts & fakeouts automatically ✅ SuperTrend + EMA + HMA + TRIX confirmation system ✅ Volume Impulse Filter for explosive moves ✅ Session Filter for London/NY only (toggleable) ✅ Fully adjustable Risk/Reward ratio with auto TP/SL 🧠 Built-in Intelligence: 🟢 Buy/Sell signals optimized for clarity and entry precision 🎯 Info Panel showing signal strength, trend direction, liquidity status, and more ⚙️ Debug Mode: Allows instant backtest verification in Strategy Tester 🕹️ Customizable display options: choose your modules (OB, EMA, TRIX etc.) 🧪 Optimized for: ✅ Strategy Tester (fully Pine v6 compliant) ✅ Manual & algorithmic traders ✅ Visual clarity & educational transparency ✅ Beginner-friendly UI with Pro-level backend logic 🔓 No repainting. No lagging indicators. Just clean, optimized logic. If you're serious about Forex entries that make sense, this is your new daily driver. Try it on EURUSD, GBPUSD, XAUUSD and see the entry logic unfold live.
Pine Script® strategy
by ozan_ksmz
Bracket PreviewThe Bracket Preview indicator allows the user to set their intended bracket order distance (distance, in ticks, to take-profit and stop-loss) from the current live price so that a preview is generated and updated in real-time as price moves. This gives the trader a quick reference of where the bracket orders would be placed if a position were entered at that specific moment in time. This can be helpful by making it more obvious to the trader before a trade is placed exactly where these levels would be in relation to previous price action or if it would be better to wait for price to move to a more favorable level or accept a different Risk-Reward (RR) from this specific trade. • “If I entered a long position now, would my target be in front of or beyond a recent consolidation area where it is likely to run into resistance and potentially reverse before hitting my take-profit?” • “Would this bracket order place my stop-loss above or below a previous pivot or would I need to move it after entering the trade and potentially increase the risk on this trade to have it in a more logical level?” • “If price is in a range and I enter now, would my stop be in the middle of the range while my target is outside the top of the range? Maybe I should wait for price to move to an area where my target would be inside but near the top of the range while my stop loss is below the range so that I’m not taking unnecessary risk or being forced to take an unfavorable RR.”
Pine Script® indicator
by dakota10986
EUR/USD Multi-Layer Statistical Regression StrategyStrategy Overview This advanced EUR/USD trading system employs a triple-layer linear regression framework with statistical validation and ensemble weighting. It combines short, medium, and long-term regression analyses to generate high-confidence directional signals while enforcing strict risk controls. Core Components Multi-Layer Regression Engine: Parallel regression analysis across 3 customizable timeframes (short/medium/long) Projects future price values using prediction horizons Statistical significance filters (R-squared, correlation, slope thresholds) Signal Validation System: Lookback validation tests historical prediction accuracy Ensemble weighting of layer signals (adjustable influence per timeframe) Confidence scoring combining statistical strength, layer agreement, and validation accuracy Risk Management: Position sizing scaled by signal confidence (1%-100% of equity) Daily loss circuit breaker (halts trading at user-defined threshold) Forex-tailored execution (pip slippage, percentage-based commissions) Visual Intelligence: Real-time regression line plots (3 layered colors) Projection markers for short-term forecasts Background coloring for market bias indication Comprehensive statistics dashboard (R-squared metrics, validation scores, P&L) Key Parameters Category Settings Regression Short/Med/Long lengths (20/50/100 bars) Statistics Min R² (0.65), Correlation (0.7), Slope (0.0001) Validation 30-bar lookback, 10-bar projection Risk Controls 50% position size, 12% daily loss limit, 75% confidence threshold Trading Logic Entries require: Ensemble score > |0.5| Confidence > threshold Short & medium-term significance Active daily loss limit not breached Exits triggered by: Opposite high-confidence signals Daily loss limit violation (emergency exit) The strategy blends quantitative finance techniques with practical trading safeguards, featuring a self-optimizing design where signal quality directly impacts position sizing. The visual dashboard provides real-time feedback on model performance and market conditions.
Pine Script® strategy
by ZeroDayGray
BUY in HASH RibbonsHash Ribbons Indicator (BUY Signal) A TradingView Pine Script v6 implementation for identifying Bitcoin miner capitulation (“Springs”) and recovery phases based on hash rate data. It marks potential low-risk buying opportunities by tracking short- and long-term moving averages of the network hash rate. ⸻ Key Features • Hash Rate SMAs • Short-term SMA (default: 30 days) • Long-term SMA (default: 60 days) • Phase Markers • Gray circle: Short SMA crosses below long SMA (start of capitulation) • White circles: Ongoing capitulation, with brighter white when the short SMA turns upward • Yellow circle: Short SMA crosses back above long SMA (end of capitulation) • Orange circle: Buy signal once hash rate recovery aligns with bullish price momentum (10-day price SMA crosses above 20-day price SMA) • Display Modes • Ribbons: Plots the two SMAs as colored bands—red for capitulation, green for recovery • Oscillator: Shows the percentage difference between SMAs as a histogram (red for negative, blue for positive) • Optional Overlays • Bitcoin halving dates (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024) with dashed lines and labels • Raw hash rate data in EH/s • Alerts • Configurable alerts for capitulation start, recovery, and buy signals ⸻ How It Works 1. Data Source: Fetches daily hash rate values from a selected provider (e.g., IntoTheBlock, Quandl). 2. Capitulation Detection: When the 30-day SMA falls below the 60-day SMA, miners are likely capitulating. 3. Recovery Identification: A rising 30-day SMA during capitulation signals miner recovery. 4. Buy Signal: Confirmed when the hash rate recovery coincides with a bullish shift in price momentum (10-day price SMA > 20-day price SMA). ⸻ Inputs Hash Rate Short SMA: 30 days Hash Rate Long SMA: 60 days Plot Signals: On Plot Halvings: Off Plot Raw Hash Rate: Off ⸻ Considerations • Timeframe: Best applied on daily charts to capture meaningful miner behavior. • Data Reliability: Ensure the chosen hash rate source provides consistent, gap-free data. • Risk Management: Use alongside other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and fundamental analysis. • Backtesting: Evaluate performance over different market cycles before live deployment.
Pine Script® indicator
by Tin2100
TargetSync | Futures X FOMC IndicatorThis is a TradingView indicator that visualizes macro-aware price zones for futures contracts — specifically aligning with FOMC event timing and instrument bias (Gold or ES). It maps key levels like: - 🟠 Stretch Target - 🟢 Safe Target - 🟣 Fade Zone - 🧊 Drift Upper / Lower Buffers - 📌 Contract Label - 🪧 Sentiment & Macro Bias 🔎 Each level is drawn with precision using line.new() for straight horizontal lines and matching color-coded labels directly embedded at each price level. You’ve added epoch tinting, hit markers, and sentiment overrides for complete visual and contextual clarity. 💡 The indicator's purpose is to narrate macro-influenced targets in real time — clean, audit-friendly, and harmonized with session-aware strategy logic. It empowers futures traders to see key price zones, anticipate drift boundaries, and trade confidently around FOMC volatility.
Pine Script® indicator
by dscottmuller
HMM-Style Market RegimeVisual outputs rendered by the script Background color bands (bgcolor) Green when regime == Bull Red when regime == Bear Gray when regime == Sideways (uncertain) Labels (label.new) “Bull” in the top-left corner when entering a Bull regime “Bear” when entering a Bear regime “Sideways” when entering a Sideways regime Regime-change arrows (plotshape) ▲ Up arrow when the regime flips to Bull ▼ Down arrow when the regime flips to Bear Optional metric plots A chart of the return Z-score and volatility Z-score (when debug mode is enabled)
Pine Script® indicator
by tai239
Valuation Tool + Williams %R by QDEEDValuation + Williams %R Indicator This indicator combines relative valuation and momentum to help identify overvalued and undervalued conditions in key macro assets: DXY (US Dollar Index) GC1! (Gold Futures) ZB1! (30-Year US Treasury Bond Futures) Inspired by Larry Williams' techniques, this tool uses a rescaled comparison of asset prices and overlays the Williams %R momentum oscillator. What it shows: When the value line is above 0, the asset may be overvalued relative to the others. When it's below 0, the asset may be undervalued. The Williams %R adds a timing layer, indicating overbought/oversold momentum zones.
Pine Script® indicator
by QDEED
Combined Predictive Indicator### Combined Predictive Zones & Levels This indicator is a powerful hybrid tool designed to provide a comprehensive map of potential future price action. It merges two distinct predictive models into a single, cohesive view, helping traders identify key levels of support, resistance, and areas of high confluence. #### How It Works: Two Models in One This script is built on two core components that you can use together or analyze separately: **Part 1: Classic Range & Fibonacci Prediction** This model uses classic technical analysis principles to project a potential range for the upcoming price action. * **Highest High / Lowest Low:** It identifies the significant trading range over a user-defined lookback period. * **Fibonacci Levels:** It automatically plots key Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 38.2% and 61.8%) within this range, which often act as critical support or resistance. * **ATR & Average Range:** It calculates a "predicted" upper and lower boundary based on the average historical range and current volatility (ATR). **Part 2: Advanced Predictive Ranges (Self-Adjusting Channels)** This is a dynamic model that creates adaptive support and resistance zones based on a smoothed average price and volatility. * **Dynamic Average:** It uses a unique moving average that only adjusts when the price moves significantly, creating a stable baseline. * **ATR-Based Zones:** It projects multiple levels of support (S1, S2) and resistance (R1, R2) around this average, which widen and narrow based on market volatility. These zones often signal areas where price might stall or reverse. #### Key Features: * **Hybrid Model for Confluence:** The true power of this indicator lies in finding where the levels from both models overlap. A Fibonacci level aligning with a Predictive Range support zone is a much stronger signal. * **Comprehensive Data Table:** A clean, on-chart table displays the precise values of all key predictive levels, allowing for quick reference and precise trade planning. * **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:** The Advanced Predictive Ranges can be calculated on a higher timeframe, giving you a broader market context. * **Fully Customizable:** All lengths, multipliers, and levels for both models are fully adjustable in the settings to fit any asset or trading style. * **Clear Visuals:** All zones and levels are color-coded for intuitive and easy-to-read analysis. #### How to Use: 1. Look for areas of **confluence** where multiple levels from both models cluster together. These are high-probability zones for price reactions. 2. Use the Predictive Range zones (S1/S2 and R1/R2) as potential targets for trades or as areas to watch for entries and exits. 3. Pay attention to the on-chart table for exact price levels to set limit orders or stop-losses. **Disclaimer:** This script is an analytical tool for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. All trading involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use this indicator as part of a comprehensive trading strategy with proper risk management. Feedback is welcome! If you find this tool useful, please leave a like.
Pine Script® indicator
by TiamatCrypto