Market Sell-Off GaugeOVERVIEW
The Market Sell‑Off Gauge identifies high‑conviction, risk‑off entry opportunities by detecting broad market sell‑off behavior and rising stablecoin dominance, then confirming risk‑off sentiment via NDX weakness, VIX spikes, and elevated volume. It uses fuzzy logic and sigmoid scaling to convert raw signals into a smooth, bounded metric.
FEATURES
Sell‑Off Detection - calculates percentage drops in the primary asset over a user‑defined lookback.
Stablecoin Dominance Surge - tracks combined USDT/USDC dominance rises as a proxy for on‑chain “flight to safety.”
Macro Confirmation
NDX Weakness (NASDAQ‑100)
VIX Spikes (CBOE Volatility Index)
Elevated Volume on declining bars
Fuzzy Logic & Scaling - component values feed into a fuzzy‑logic membership scor and are passed through a sigmoid compressor (–1 to +1). Weighted aggregation derives the final result of the gauge (or metric).
VISUALISATION
Continuous line plot - Smoothed metric (–1 to +1), colored cold‑to‑warm.
Entry circles - Highlighted when all conditions (fuzzy or crisp) are met after the time offset.
Time‑Offset marker - Vertical line/label showing the user‑specified “start” bar.
Component table - Displays real‑time % changes & volume multiples in the lower right of the indicator.
USAGE
Asset drop % - The threshold percent decline to register a sell‑off.
Stables rise % - The threshold percent increase in stablecoin dominance to qualify as a “flight to safety.”
NDX drop % - The threshold percent decline in the NASDAQ‑100 for macro confirmation.
VIX rise % - The threshold percent increase in VIX. Contributes to risk‑off validation.
Volume Multiplier - Defines how many times above SMA volume must rise to confirm conviction.
Lookback Period - Controls the number of bars over which % changes are measured.
Time Offset - Point in time beyond which bars to “fade” historical signals, enables focus on recent data only.
Fuzzy Logic Settings - Enables fuzzy scoring and set membership threshold & sensitivity.
Weights - allows for adjusting the relative importance of each component (Asset, Stables, NDX, VIX, Volume).
Sigmoid Steepness (k) - Controls curve steepness for compression (0.1 = very flat → 5.0 = very sharp S‑curve).
Chart & settings
Best applied on 4H or Daily BTCUSD (or similar) charts to capture meaningful sell‑off events.
Combine with broader trend filters (e.g., moving averages) for trend‑aligned entries.
Adjust Sigmoid Steepness and Membership Sensitivity to fine‑tune signal crispness vs. smoothness. Refer to tooltips.
Disclaimer
This indicator is intended for educational purposes only. Always perform your own due diligence before making financial decisions.
Metric
Channel CorridorOVERVIEW
The Channel Corridor indicator is designed to operate on a log chart of asset prices (e.g., BTCUSD), specifically on a weekly timeframe.
The intent of the indicator is to provide a visual representation of market dynamics, focusing on a dynamically adjusted corridor around a Simple Moving Average (SMA) of an asset's price. The corridor adapts to changing market conditions. The indicator includes channels within the corridor for additional reference points.
PURPOSE
Trend Identification: The channel corridor can aid in visualising the overall trend, as it dynamically adjusts the corridor based on an SMA and user-defined parameters.
Volatility Assessment: The width of the channel corridor can may act as a gauge of market volatility.
Reversal Points: The channel corridor may signal potential trend reversals or corrections when an asset price approaches the upper or lower bounds of the corridor.
Long-Term Trend Analysis: The channel corridor may aid in longer-term trend analysis.
CONSIDERATIONS
Validation: It's recommended that careful back-testing over historical data be done before acting on any identified opportunities.
User Discretion: Trading decisions should not rely solely on this script. Users should exercise judgment and consider market conditions.
CREDIT
Ideation: Thanks @Sw1ngTr4der for the idea and corridor seed code
Market MonitorThe script can be used to send a JSON message to the webhook once per time. For example, to store market conditions in an external database. The latter is make sense for smaller timeframes due to TradingView limitations on the number of available bars. The interval between messages can be set in the settings. To set up transmitted market metrics, you will probably need to modify the script code to add metrics that are important to you.
Risk Metrics: Crypto VersionRisk Metrics for Crypto.
Market can be set to BTCUSD, BTCEUR, BTCCHF, BTCGBP, BTC1!, BTC2!, SPX, and DTB3
Beta
Correlation
Standard Deviation
Variance
R-squared