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AUDCAD trade ideas

AUDCAD – Bearish Rejection at Key Resistance ZoneAUDCAD is showing signs of weakness near the 0.8980 supply zone after an extended rally. The pair is now reacting to a historically respected resistance area, with bearish momentum building as exhaustion sets in. 🔍 Technical Outlook: ✅ Price rejected at multi-touch resistance around 0.8980 📐 Clean bearish structure forming after wedge-like exhaustion 📉 Expecting a move down toward: TP1: 0.89365 – recent minor structure TP2: 0.89080 – key demand zone from early July TP3: 0.88654 – full measured target from range 📛 Invalidation above: 0.8985 🌍 Fundamental Breakdown: 🇦🇺 Australia: 📉 Softening inflation and retail sales 🏦 RBA cautious with limited appetite for further hikes 🇨🇳 Weak Chinese demand adds pressure on AUD 🇨🇦 Canada: 💪 Supported by rising oil prices and solid employment data 🏦 BoC remains vigilant on inflation, though on hold 🛢️ Strong WTI prices continue to support CAD ⚠️ Risks to the Bearish View: ⚡ Unexpectedly strong China data could boost AUD 📉 Sudden drop in oil prices would hurt CAD 🗣️ Surprise hawkish shift from RBA 🔗 Correlation & Flow: AUDCAD is a lagging asset, heavily influenced by WTI crude (boosting CAD) and China-linked risk flows (affecting AUD). Keep an eye on AUDUSD and USDCAD for early signals. 📆 Upcoming Key Events: 🇦🇺 RBA Minutes, Jobs Data, Wages Index 🇨🇦 BoC Business Outlook, CPI Print 🛢️ US Oil Inventories (affects CAD) 🧭 Summary: 🔻 Bias: Bearish 📊 Drivers: Oil strength, RBA caution, CAD resilience ⚠️ Risk: China rebound or oil correction 🕵️ Watch: Canadian CPI + Australian jobs data 📉 Likely to Follow: Oil and AUDUSD/USDCAD macro trends
Short
by ultreosforex
11
Lingrid | AUDCAD Shoring Opportunity at Monthly HighThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:AUDCAD surged through the previous resistance and is now testing the 0.9045–0.9050 zone, where both a horizontal supply and red descending trendline converge. This area is a critical junction, and current price action shows early hesitation with a potential rounding top formation. A deeper pullback is possible if buyers fail to break above this resistance convincingly, with downside targets near prior breakout levels. The broader uptrend remains intact, but short-term correction risks are rising from this confluence zone. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: confirmed rejection below 0.9050 with bearish engulfing or wick exhaustion Sell zone: 0.9025–0.9050 (key resistance + trendline) Target: 0.8960 initially, with deeper extension to 0.8822 Invalidation: clean hourly close above 0.9060 signals continuation of uptrend 💡 Risks Minor support near 0.9000 could stall decline Stronger-than-expected AUD data could lift price through resistance False breakout wicks above 0.9050 might trap early sellers If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
7
AUDCAD Eyes Key Resistance: Will It Break or Bounce?AUDCAD Eyes Key Resistance: Will It Break or Bounce? AUDCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone near 0.8980—the same level that capped price action in early July. While the pair is showing signs of hesitation with small candles, this indecision may be tied to broader market uncertainty, including renewed concerns over Trump-era tariffs. If we monitor for potential reversal signals around this level, it could present a solid trading opportunity. 🎯 My targets: 0.8930; 0.8905 ; 0.8870 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
6
AUDCAD Trade plan: Waiting for bullish confirmation at RetestPrice broke above resistance with a momentum candle, indicating buyer control. This is our first clue that a structure shift might have occurred. This retest is essential. Many traders make the mistake of entering too early without confirmation. But it's right here, once price touches the former resistance, that you must observe how price reacts. Look for price exhaustion or reversal candlesticks such as bullish engulfing patterns, or even inside bars. Once rejection is confirmed, I'm looking to go long to 0.90450. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Long
by TrendDiva
12
AUDCAD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, AUDCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.8881 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.8927 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
#AN020: US Tariffs, Euro Weakness, USD Strength, Forex at Risk? 1. New US Tariff Threats Against the EU and Canada Over the weekend, President Trump announced the sending of formal letters introducing new tariffs: 35% on Canadian goods and potential tariffs for the EU as well (15-20%). Context: The return of protectionism fuels uncertainty. Market Impact: Shift to safe-haven currencies — the US dollar gains ground, while EUR/USD and USD/CAD remain under pressure. 2. EUR/USD Below 1.1700 The EUR/USD pair closed the week below 1.1700, failing to recover. 3. GBP/USD Loses Ground The GBP/USD pair fell below 1.3500, hitting a three-week low. Factors: Disappointing UK GDP data + stronger USD. Impact: Pressure on the pound, possible continuation of the downtrend to 1.3420 unless better data emerges. 4. USD/JPY near 147.50 The dollar reached new two-week highs against the yen, hitting 147.50. Causes: Risk flight and reduced expectations for BoJ intervention. Outlook: If global sentiment remains adverse, USD/JPY could head towards 148.00. 5. Gold and safe-haven assets recover Trade uncertainty is supporting gold, which has risen to near $3,360/ounce. Outlook: Volatility and preference for the USD and JPY are increasing; gold will act as a sentinel of fear in the markets. 🔍 Summary of Impacts on Forex Markets EUR/USD Weaker: Push toward 1.1600 due to trade concerns and USD strength GBP/USD Down: UK data pressured + risk aversion USD/JPY Rising: USD refuge and possible break above 148 USD/CAD Volatile: Canadian tariffs penalize CAD, but oil prices and BoC reactions to monitor Gold & XM Gold strengthens, signaling risk, USD support; JPY and USD benefit
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
2
BUY AUDCAD now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuBUY AUDCAD now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuation ............... STOP LOSS: 0.8907 This buy trade setup is based on hidden bullish divergence trend continuation trading pattern ... Always remember, the trend is your friend, so whenever you can get a signal that the trend will continue, then good for you to be part of it TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything... Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with... trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Long
by BALE_FX
short setup on AUD/CAD🧠 Market Sentiment by Timeframe Weekly (W): Bearish Daily (D): Bullish 12H, 6H, 4H: Bearish Bias: Short-term continuation to the downside after retest of supply/imbalance. 🔍 Technical Breakdown 🔴 1. Structure & Momentum Price broke down from previous 4H support (~0.88900–0.89000) creating a lower low. A bearish BOS confirms momentum shift. Price is now consolidating below the 200 EMA and 50 EMA → indicating bearish pressure. 🟥 2. Weekly AOI / Supply Zone Red box above (0.89058–0.89307) marks Weekly AOI (Supply). It represents a strong resistance area where price previously sold off. Expected lower high (LH) to form at the retest of this supply. 🟦 3. Trade Plan Entry Zone: Anticipated pullback into 0.88922–0.89058 (Daily AOI + 200 EMA resistance). Stop Loss: Above the Weekly AOI at ~0.89307. Take Profit (TP): Toward the Daily AOI around 0.88000–0.87999, a previous demand zone. RR: Over 2:1 potential, depending on exact entry. 🔵 4. EMA Dynamics Price currently sits below both the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (red), confirming bearish alignment. EMAs act as dynamic resistance zones, giving confluence to the short. 📉 Bearish Confluences Bearish market structure on 4H, 6H, 12H. EMA crossover and rejection. Weekly AOI = major supply. Daily AOI just rejected. Anticipated lower high to form before continuation. ✅ Summary of Setup Type: Counter-trend against Daily bullish bias, with HTF bearish confirmation. Setup: Pullback → rejection → short continuation. Target: Clean sweep of liquidity near 0.8800 Daily AOI.
Short
by andreabiondo13
AUDCAD | Weekly Outlook | July 14, 2025🟦 AUDCAD | Weekly Outlook | ICT-Based Analysis 📅 Week Starting: July 14, 2025 🧠 "Don't chase — let the trade come to you." 🧭 Market Context (1H + HTF Alignment) This chart outlines a clear Smart Money framework for AUDCAD using ICT principles. The market recently completed a manipulation phase below a major accumulation zone, forming a clear SMT divergence and respecting a CISD (Clean Internal Sell-side Displacement). After manipulation and SMT confirmation, price respected the CISD and showed willingness to displace bullishly, suggesting a potential re-accumulation phase on the lower timeframes. 🔍 Key Observations Accumulation + SMT: We had a prolonged accumulation phase that led to a smart money manipulation (fakeout), marked by SMT divergence. This was followed by a bullish shift in structure, confirming intent. CISD + CE Reaction: Price respected the CISD zone and formed a bullish W reversal + OB/BI setup. This is a common ICT pattern before major expansions. Re-Accumulation Area: The current consolidation near ERL levels shows signs of controlled accumulation, with price respecting previous liquidity levels. This area may act as a springboard for expansion towards HTF objectives. 📈 HTF Targeting: Reversal Area + EQH The chart marks a High Time Frame Reversal Area (HTF) above the current price, potentially acting as a premium inefficiency or sell-side liquidity target. EOH (Expansion Objective High) is drawn in that same region, providing a long-term magnet for price. This aligns with the broader Monthly Cycle expectation. 🔄 Monthly Cycle Analysis “Monthly Cycle is Created — Open, Low... Now We Wait for the High and Close.” This suggests: Monthly Open and Low are already formed. A bullish monthly cycle is anticipated — meaning we're waiting for the High to form next. Once the high is set, a retracement towards the Close level is expected by the end of the month. This macro view gives us context for aiming long positions on pullbacks — buying dips within the re-accumulation range. ⚠️ Trader's Insight Don’t Chase — Let the Trade Come to You. The setup is not about chasing price. Instead, the idea is to: Wait for price to return to favorable zones (e.g., CE of OB inside CISD) Confirm intent with LTF SMT, FVGs, or M15 structural shifts Target HTF inefficiencies and liquidity zones (EOH & Reversal Area) 🎯 Bias for the Week Bullish, based on: Monthly cycle direction (expecting HIGH) Price behavior post-CISD respect Clear smart money accumulation and displacement Re-accumulation on LTFs suggesting continuation
Long
by muhannad_anwar
AUDCAD 15min ICT 1:2 bullish trade 1. Daily • Sell-side liquidity swept below previous low. • Price bounced from a bullish order block. • Bias: Bullish, targeting draw on liquidity above. 2. 4H • Bullish FVG respected. • Break of structure (BOS) to upside. • Retracement into OB + FVG → continuation expected. 3. 1H • Strong displacement candle. • Price returned to 1H FVG + OB. • MSS confirms shift in bullish momentum. 15M • Liquidity sweep + market structure shift. • Entry on return to OB or FVG. • Target: Equal highs / 4HR.
Long
by Dlongoria90
AUDCAD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDCAD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Bullish momentum to extend?AUD/CAD has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 0.8938 1st Support: 0.8905 1st Resistance: 0.9009 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets