AUDGBP trade ideas
08.08.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:GBPJPY
FX:EURNZD
FX:GBPAUD
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
GBPAUD - COULD BE A GOOD SELL TRADEHey Traders!
I believe GBPAUD could have a strong bearish push towards the downside, since the institutional data suggest that GBP is weakening, while AUD orders are slightly increasing, looking at the 4 hour trends it seems it stay on a bearish path, however just recently it broke out the weekly pivot point, which could signal a breakout so consider risking less, overall daily timeframe is also bearish, there are also a number of chart patterns on the daily timeframe suggesting sell bias as well.
Some issues with this trade is the major pairs gbpusd especially has broken upwards past the weekly pivot showing signs of bullish pressure, so we could see a push of gbp before a exhaustion back down.
I suggest taking partial profits along the way.
GBP/AUD Trade Setup – Bullish Flag Breakout in PlayGBPAUD has formed a clean bullish flag structure after a significant impulsive move upward. Following the correction, we’re now testing breakout levels with clear Fibonacci confluence and bullish structure support around 2.0560. I'm anticipating a push toward the next resistance levels if buyers defend this trendline.
🔎 Technical Highlights (My View):
Bullish Flag Pattern: The corrective flag has broken to the upside and is being retested. This suggests a possible continuation of the bullish trend.
Fibonacci Support: Price bounced near the 23.6% retracement of the previous bullish leg, which acts as a minor but effective support in trending moves.
Bullish Trendline Holding: The ascending trendline from the July lows continues to act as dynamic support. This shows sustained buyer interest.
Target Zones:
TP1: 2.0720 – aligns with 50% retracement and recent structure.
TP2: 2.0827 – aligns with 78.6% retracement and past resistance.
SL: Below 2.0450 to invalidate the setup.
🏦 Fundamental Context:
GBP Strength: The Bank of England remains more hawkish than the RBA. UK inflation data remains sticky, and traders are still pricing in the potential for another hike if services inflation remains elevated.
AUD Weakness: AUD is under pressure due to soft labor market data and declining commodity demand from China. RBA minutes also struck a cautious tone, which weighs on the Aussie.
China Risk: AUD is sensitive to Chinese sentiment. Current trade and tariff tensions are adding indirect bearish pressure to the AUD.
⚠️ Risks to My Setup:
If Aussie labor or CPI data surprises to the upside, AUD could regain strength.
UK economic data deterioration (e.g., services PMI, wage inflation) could weaken GBP.
Break below 2.0450 would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest potential range continuation.
📅 Upcoming Catalysts to Watch:
UK Retail Sales – A strong print supports GBP continuation.
AU CPI (Trimmed Mean) – Any upside surprise could limit AUD downside.
China Industrial & Services PMI (if released soon) – indirect AUD mover.
⚖️ Summary – Bias & Trade Logic
I’m currently bullish GBP/AUD, expecting a continuation of the prior uptrend now that price has broken and retested the flag structure. Fundamentally, GBP is supported by relatively hawkish BoE expectations, while AUD remains pressured by RBA caution and China-linked macro weakness. My bias stays bullish as long as the trendline holds and Aussie data doesn’t surprise significantly.
Lingrid | GBPAUD Consolidation - Continuation ScenarioFX:GBPAUD is breaking down from the upward trendline and testing key horizontal support near 2.0500 after rejecting from a lower high in the downward channel. This structure confirms a bearish continuation bias within the broader descending pattern. A clean break below 2.0500 opens the path toward the next support level around 2.0358. The failure to reclaim the lower high signals growing bearish pressure on the pair.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Break and hold below 2.0500
Sell zone: 2.0500–2.0480
Target: 2.0358
Invalidation: Return above 2.0506
💡 Risks
Bullish defense of 2.0500 could trigger a rebound
Re-entry into the broken trendline may trap sellers
Broader AUD weakness may delay downside move
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GBP/AUD: Pound Surge to 2.066?FX:GBPAUD is forming a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart, testing support at 2.05037 with a buy trigger between 2.05037-2.05115. Target 2.066 aligns with the next resistance level, offering a solid risk-reward setup. Set a stop loss at 2.0493 below the recent low. Watch GBP strength and AUD data for catalysts. Trade with precision!
Share your opinion with me in the comments.
#GBPAUD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CurrencyPairs #DayTrading #MarketSignals
GBPAUD to resume bullishDaily candle closed with strong bullish.
i'm expecting another bullish move after complete pullback.
calculate your own risk & reward.
Good Luck
GBPAUD Confirmed, checking for re entry.We are bullish in the higher time frames.
Prices reacted at the 4hr invalidation confirming our bias.
We are waiting for a re entry risking 19 Pips and aiming for a 1:20+
This is not a financial advice, trade with quation.
I’m bullish on GBPAUDGBPAUD – Catching the Lift from the Launchpad 🚀
Markets don’t move in straight lines — they coil, pull back, and then explode. GBPAUD looks ready to do just that. It’s pulling into a demand zone, flashing oversold signals, and now showing early signs of upward momentum. This may be the moment just before the next leg up.
📈 I’m bullish on GBPAUD — buying at support with price action confirmation.
Key drivers behind this setup:
GBPAUD in a strong uptrend ✅
Demand level + technical support zone 📍
Momentum shifting upward after retracement 🔄
AUD weakness expected due to RBA easing 📉
UK fundamentals holding firm despite mixed sentiment
The UK economy remains steady — Q1 growth hit 0.7%, driven by business investment. While May saw a small GDP dip, the bigger picture shows resilience. The BoE is likely to cut by 25bps on August 7, but the easing path is gradual. GBP sentiment is mixed, with positioning cooling off, but technicals still favor long setups like GBPAUD over time.
Australia’s situation looks softer. Inflation is moderating (2.18%), consumer spending is weak, and the Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to cut rates on August 12. Despite a recent trade surplus, the AUD dropped 1.4% last week as expectations shifted toward easing. Speculators are still net short on AUD, and if the RBA delivers another dovish message, the Aussie could slide further.
Technically and fundamentally, GBPAUD looks like it’s bottoming at a buyable level. This is a textbook “buy-the-dip” scenario with both sentiment and price structure aligning.
Are you long this one too? Or fading the strength? Let’s talk trades.
GBP/AUD SHORT 200 PIPS 1-10 RR🎯 1. Resistance at Trendline & Horizontal Zone
The price is touching a descending trendline (in yellow), coupled with a horizontal resistance zone (light-blue/boxed) just above.
This area acted as support earlier and now has flipped to resistance—classic supply–resistance confluence.
2. Structure Shift – Lower High Forming
The most recent swing high is lower than the previous peak, indicating weakening momentum and possible shift into a downtrend.
Market structure aligns in favor of sellers.
3. Trendline Rejection (Backtest)
The price attempted to breach the descending line but failed and pulled back below it.
Indicates lack of bullish conviction and a likely continuation downward.
4. Risk–Reward Zone
The red zone indicates your stop-loss placed just above the resistance zone/trendline confluence — a tight and logical level.
The large blue rectangle below represents your potential profit target — good R:R.
In essence, you're risking small for a larger reward.
5. Confirmation via Price Action
Notice the recent wick-up into resistance followed by bearish rejection (candles showing rejections).
This is a typical reversal signal at a strong confluence area.
GBPAUD forming a bottom?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 2.0470.
We look to Buy at 2.0470 (stop at 2.0420)
Our profit targets will be 2.0670 and 2.0700
Resistance: 2.0600 / 2.0670 / 2.0700
Support: 2.0450 / 2.0420 / 2.0390
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPAUD longOn the GBPAUD chart, we have a very beautiful bullish Butterfly harmonic pattern forming at a major support level. I expect the price to start moving higher.
GBPAUD sideways consolidation capped at 2.0600The GBPAUD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 2.0600, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 2.0600 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 2.0400, followed by 2.0350 and 2.0290 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 2.0600 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 2.0645, then 2.0730.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 2.0600. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/AUD SHORT 8/15/2025 FOR NEXT WEEKmarket came to resistance area, broke structure / retested trendline, created resistance area above and looking to push down next week into clear level of support that hasnt been approached yet.
great risk to reward setup
GBPAUDbias Bulish
1#trend dow thery Bulish
2#no any divergence
3#entry type buy limit at 0.50% fib level
EP 2.7495
SL 2.06405
TP 2.08540
RRR 1:1
GBP/AUD Bull Power: Eyeing the Perfect Fib 0.382 Buy Entry!Analysis:
Currently observing GBP/AUD on the 1H timeframe. The pair is in a strong bullish trend, confirmed by consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
🔍 Technical Setup:
Trend: Bullish
Divergence: Bearish divergence spotted on momentum indicators – suggesting a short-term pullback.
Pattern: Trend Line support intact.
Harmonics: None detected.
Bias: Bullish
Fibonacci Play: Expecting price to retrace to Fib 0.382 to form a fresh HL before continuation.
Entry Plan: Buy Limit at 2.07388 with SL at 2.06399 and TP1 at 2.08377.
Risk/Reward: 1:1 (Risk $50, Reward $50 on 0.08 lots, 0.5% risk on $10K account).
📊 Currency Index Confirmation:
GBP Index is strongly bullish, indicating Pound strength.
AUD Index is strongly bearish, showing Aussie weakness.
This aligns perfectly with the bullish bias on GBP/AUD.
📰 Fundamental Drivers:
Recent UK economic data (e.g., better-than-expected GDP growth & positive services PMI) has strengthened GBP.
AUD weakness driven by falling commodity prices and cautious RBA policy tone.
Risk-off market sentiment has reduced demand for AUD as a commodity currency.
Trade Plan:
Buy Limit: 2.07388
SL: 2.06399
TP1: 2.08377
Lot Size: 0.08
Risk: 0.5% ($50)
Reward: 0.5% ($50)
💬 What’s your view on GBP/AUD? Do you see the same setup?
📍 Drop your analysis in the comments — let’s discuss!
❤️ Like if you find this useful, 🔄 share to help other traders, and ✅ follow me for more trade setups.
#GBPAUD #ForexSignals #PriceAction #SwingTrading #ForexStrategy #FibonacciTrading #ForexAnalysis #TradingSetup #CurrencyTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrend #ForexCommunity #FXTrader #PriceActionTrading #TradeSetup #ForexCharts #MarketAnalysis #ForexLife #TrendTrading #TraderLife #ForexEducation #GBPIndex #AUDIndex
GBPAUDBroke out of H4 resistance zone, trendline and made a retest. We have both trendline and EMA support holding price up. Waiting for H1 resistance to break, get a retest then look for buying confirmations. Target is next daily resistance around 2.10000
GBP/AUD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GBP/AUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2.069
Target Level: 2.057
Stop Loss: 2.078
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
