AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Rejection from Supply ZoneAUD/USD is showing signs of bearish pressure after getting rejected from the key 0.65420 supply zone, marked by strong historical resistance and a high-volume node. Price tested this area multiple times but failed to break above, forming a potential lower high – a classic signal of institutional distribution.
🔵 Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.65420
Mid-range support: 0.65040
Demand Zone: 0.64649 – 0.64400
🔻 Bearish Outlook: If price holds below 0.65420, we anticipate a drop first toward 0.65040, and potentially down to 0.64649, where a demand zone is likely to react. The previous bounce from demand suggests smart money accumulation below.
📌 Watch for:
Bearish engulfing or rejection wick candles near 0.65400.
Break below 0.65040 to confirm short continuation.
Confluence with macroeconomic events (FOMC, US data on the 17th–18th).
💬 Are you shorting AUD/USD from the supply zone? Drop your thoughts👇
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AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD Coiling Near Key Resistance, Big Move Ahead?After a long period of sideways chop, AUD/USD is finally showing signs of strength. Price has been pressing against the key resistance zone, and we’re now seeing a tightening wedge breakout structure forming just beneath it.
A key moment on the chart is where sellers got trapped during that sharp downside wick. Since then, price has been recovering in a steady, controlled manner.
Now, with higher lows forming and momentum building near resistance, a parabolic move could be on the horizon if price manages to break out cleanly.
This is a classic setup where patience could pay off, the structure is bullish, and breakout confirmation may unlock strong upside potential.
DYOR, NFA
AUDUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 0.6533, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6513, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6552, a swing high resistance.
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AUDUSD Distribution pt.2I haven't been active for the last 2 days, which probably caused me to miss out on the best setups in months. There where so many setups that just completed, but anyway.
The model 1 i was looking for turned out into a model 1 which gets completed with a model 2 as 2nd deviation. Since the technical target is the range low i will look for valid entrys that complete this distribution.(I don't like the supply above the range, but that should be saved for later if this model is intended to play out)
AUD/USD at Critical Resistance — Bearish Outlook Below 0.65381. Major Resistance Zone: 0.65380
Price is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance level at 0.65380, a level that has been tested multiple times (as shown by the pink circles).
This level has acted as a historical turning point, which increases its significance.
2. Price Structure: Lower Highs and Equal Highs
The chart reveals a potential double top or distribution pattern, forming under the 0.65380 resistance.
This suggests weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a bearish reversal.
3. Projected Bearish Path (White Dotted Lines):
If price fails to break above 0.65380 decisively, the expected move is a stepwise decline.
The projected path targets several support levels:
0.65003
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
Final target: 0.63627, a key support from early May.
4. Support & Resistance Zones:
Resistance Levels:
0.65380 (Major)
0.65003
Support Levels (Sequential Targets):
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
0.63627
5. Confluence with Fundamentals:
U.S. economic events (highlighted at the bottom with calendar icons) may act as volatility triggers, potentially accelerating this move.
✅ Summary & Trading Implications:
Bias: Bearish below 0.65380
Trade Idea: Watch for rejection at resistance or break below 0.65003 for confirmation.
Bearish Targets: Gradual move toward 0.63627 with key pauses at intermediate support levels.
Invalidation: Daily close above 0.65380 would negate the bearish setup and open potential for new highs.
AUDUSD Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.650.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.647 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
Looking at the chart of AUDUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD has officially broken out of a multi-week ascending triangle structure, and momentum is now building for a bullish continuation. The price is currently trading around 0.6533 after a strong breakout above the 0.6520 resistance zone. This consolidation was forming higher lows, signaling accumulation and bullish intent. The clean breakout above the horizontal resistance confirms buyers are in control. With this pattern validated, my short-term target is 0.6700–0.6750, aligning with the measured move projection.
From a macro perspective, AUD is gaining strength due to a divergence in monetary policy outlooks. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains hawkish, supported by sticky inflation data and a tight labor market, while the Federal Reserve has recently hinted at a dovish turn, acknowledging signs of economic slowdown. Additionally, a weaker U.S. dollar index (DXY) and rising commodity prices—especially iron ore and copper—are tailwinds for the Australian dollar. These fundamental shifts are reinforcing the bullish technical breakout.
On the 8H chart, the ascending triangle is a clear signal of bullish pressure. The zone around 0.6450–0.6520 acted as strong demand during the consolidation phase. A successful breakout retest of this zone could offer secondary entry opportunities. The risk-reward ratio is attractive, with a defined invalidation below the trendline and a target extending toward yearly highs near 0.6750.
This setup stands out as high-probability. With bullish price action, supportive fundamentals, and risk-on sentiment returning across FX majors, AUDUSD is primed for further upside. I’m holding long with conviction, expecting continuation toward the projected breakout target. This trade aligns with current market structure, trend strength, and macro drivers—perfect timing in a trending market environment.
Bullish continuation?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6499
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6483
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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AUDUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD is currently forming a strong ascending triangle on the 8H chart, with a series of higher lows pressuring a key horizontal resistance zone around 0.65250–0.65300. This is a classic bullish continuation pattern, indicating buyer strength and a potential breakout toward 0.67000 if the structure confirms. The current price action at 0.65285 shows that bulls are testing the upper boundary again, signaling possible breakout acceleration as we move into mid-June volatility.
From a macro standpoint, the Australian dollar is supported by rising commodity demand, particularly in iron ore and copper — both of which are showing strength in global markets. At the same time, the Federal Reserve remains cautious with its rate path, with recent U.S. labor data pointing to a cooling job market. Traders are now pricing in possible rate cuts sooner than expected, weakening the dollar’s bullish grip. This divergence in central bank tone and economic performance favors risk-on currencies like the AUD.
Technically, the ascending triangle is providing solid structure and confluence. Breakout traders may look for a clean candle close above 0.65350, which could open the path to the 0.67000 zone with minimal resistance ahead. A well-placed stop below the 0.64500 zone keeps risk controlled, and the favorable risk-to-reward ratio makes this setup ideal for swing continuation strategies in trending environments.
This pattern has been building over several weeks, showing market accumulation and strong bullish compression. With today's fundamentals aligning with the technical structure, AUDUSD looks ready to launch into a higher bullish leg. Keep eyes on the breakout candle and volume confirmation as we may be entering a powerful momentum phase toward the 0.67 handle.
Bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6499
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6517
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6471
Why we like ot:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
#AUDUSD:We are yet to see weaken USD! AUDUSD to make yearly highAUDUSD hasn’t seen strong bullish volume yet, but tomorrow’s NFP will be crucial for determining the future trend of the AUDUSD. Based on your analysis, you can set multiple targets.
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AUDUSDTechnical Analysis:
Trend Context:
On H4 and Daily, AUD/USD is in a downtrend or corrective phase within a broader bearish structure.
Recent rallies have failed to break key resistance at 0.6550-0.6560, forming a double top/weak continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 0.6550 – 0.6565
Support Zone: 0.6460 – 0.6440
Next Major Support: 0.6400 (if 0.6460 breaks)
Trade Setup: AUD/USD Short at 0.65256
🔻 Position: Sell AUD/USD
🔹 Entry Price: 0.65256
🎯 Target: 0.64600 (Initial TP)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 0.65580
🔧 Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:2