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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUD/USD Bulls Capped by Critical Resistance Aussie is trading into a critical resistance range into the start of the week at 6511/50- a region defined by the July close low and the 61.8% retracement of the 2024 decline. Note that the 75% parallel converges on this threshold this week – looking for possible inflection here with the near-term rally vulnerable while below. A topside breach exposes a potential run towards the upper parallel / September low at 66222 and the 2019 low at 6670. Initial support rests with 52-week moving average and is backed by the February high-week close (HWC) at 6357. A break / close below the low-week close (LWC) / 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 6290-6300 is needed to mark resumption of the broader downtrend. -MB
by FOREXcom
AUD/USD Breakdown in Progress – Time to Sell the Aussie?Hey traders! AUD/USD just gave us a clean rejection from a major supply zone. Let’s break this down 👇 --- 🟦 Supply Zone: 0.65100 – 0.65300 The pair was rejected sharply from a strong supply area after multiple failed attempts to break through. This is a clear sign of seller dominance in this region. 🔻 Current Price: 0.64980 – Showing early signs of a bearish reversal. --- 📉 What I'm Watching Next: First key support: 0.64487 If that breaks, next target = 0.63698 (strong demand zone + previous liquidity grab area) 🟠 Watch for bearish continuation candles around 0.64800 to confirm further downside pressure. --- 📅 Upcoming Risk Events: U.S. economic data releases on June 13 could fuel more volatility – mark your calendar! --- 💡 Trade Setup Idea: Short on retest of 0.65000–0.65100 🎯 Target 1: 0.64487 🎯 Target 2: 0.63700 🛑 SL: Above 0.65350 (above supply zone) --- 🔔 Are the bears taking over AUD/USD? Comment your thoughts or charts below! 📲 Don’t forget to follow me for more clean breakdowns! #AUDUSD #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TradingView #FXSignals #SupplyDemand #LuxAlgo
Short
by FrankFx14
AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Key Rejection🔍 Market Context: AUD/USD has shown an ascending structure followed by a potential bearish divergence. The recent high around 0.65437 is marked as the Invalidation Level — a break and close above this level would invalidate the current bearish scenario. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance / Invalidation Zone: 0.65437 Support Target Zone: Near 0.64000 --- 📉 Bearish Scenario: Price is expected to reject the resistance zone and move downward based on the current structure and possible exhaustion of bullish momentum. The red projected path illustrates a potential move lower if price fails to break above the invalidation level. --- 📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Short
by Forex_Int
AUD/USD BuyBuy (Bullish breakout continuation) ✅ Entry Conditions (Wait for confirmation first): Daily candle must close above 0.6550 with strength (not a wick rejection). After breakout, wait for a retest back into the 0.6500–0.6520 zone. Only enter if price shows bullish rejection off that zone (e.g., wick rejections, bullish engulfing, or small-bodied doji followed by green candle). 📍 Trade Setup Buy Limit– 0.6520 Stop Loss (SL): 0.6440 (below the retest structure) Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.6700 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.6850 (Optional TP3): 0.7000 (stretch target)
Long
by tradercat2025
AUDUSD sideways consolidation supported at 0.6360The AUD/USD pair maintains a bullish bias, underpinned by a steady rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action shows consolidation, indicating a pause in upward momentum as the market awaits a fresh catalyst. Key Technical Levels: Support: 0.6360 – Critical near-term support and prior consolidation zone. A successful retest could reinforce the bullish setup. 0.6320 – Next support level; a break below 0.6360 may trigger a deeper pullback. 0.6280 – Broader downside support zone; loss of this level would signal a shift in trend. Resistance: 0.6500 – Primary upside target on continuation of bullish momentum. 0.6530 – Secondary resistance; break above would confirm strength. 0.6570 – Long-term resistance zone; potential target if bullish momentum accelerates. Technical Outlook: A pullback to 0.6360 followed by a bullish rebound would suggest continuation of the current uptrend, opening room for gains toward 0.6500, 0.6530, and 0.6570 over the medium term. On the downside, a daily close below 0.6360 would invalidate the bullish setup, exposing the pair to a potential decline toward 0.6320 and 0.6280. Conclusion: AUD/USD remains in a bullish structure, but near-term direction depends on the 0.6360 level. A rebound from support keeps the upside scenario in play, while a confirmed break lower may lead to a corrective retracement. Traders should watch for price behavior around 0.6360 for confirmation of the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
4
Pinex-Capital Trade IdeaThe chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484. A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Long
by jakubNQ
Aussie H1 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6526 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6547 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6502 which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUDUSD Hello traders. Today I spotted a buy opportunity on the AUDUSD pair and wanted to share it with you as well. We’re seeing an ideal pullback setup on this one. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 0.64987 ✔️ Take Profit: 0.65088 ✔️ Stop Loss: 0.64920 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
2
Falling towards pullback support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.6487 1st Support: 0.6472 1st Resistance: 0.6528 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD Start of Week DropThe DXY index has double bottomed and left a significant FVG at around $1. This has yet to retrace and market sentiment towards seeing the USD under $1 is tough. This FVG is likely to close this week as a last ditch effort to hold the USD at $1 level. We have business confidence news twice in the early week that is likely to be not great pressuring the AUD, then later on we have USD news that will likely hold or temporarily bolster USD confidence. This is the dynamics shift that I believe will bring on that larger retracement of the USD to $1. Be ready for a significant rejection once we arrive at the FVG though.
Short
by sd_x
3
AUDUSD 1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: Around 4.26% to 4.53% in early June 2025, with recent fluctuations near 4.3% to 4.5%. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate to 3.85% in early June, citing inflation progress and global uncertainties, which influenced bond yields to decline slightly after a prior rise. United States 10-Year Treasury Yield: Approximately 4.44% to 4.55% in early June 2025, slightly higher than Australia's yield. US yields rose due to fiscal concerns and inflation risks despite expectations of rate cuts later in the year. 2. Interest Rate Differential The 10-year bond yield differential (Australia minus US) is currently small and slightly negative or near zero: 4.3%(AU)−4.5%(US)≈−0.2% This indicates US 10-year yields are marginally higher than Australian yields, reducing the carry advantage for AUD relative to USD. The policy rate differential also favors the US slightly, with the US Federal Reserve cash rate around 4.10% and RBA cash rate at 3.85% as of June 2025. 3. Interest Rate Parity and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) Interest Rate Parity (IRP) theory states that the forward exchange rate should reflect the interest rate differential between two countries, preventing arbitrage opportunities. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) suggests the expected change in the spot exchange rate equals the interest rate differential E =iAU−USE =i AU −i US With a slightly negative differential (~ -0.2%), UIP implies the AUD may appreciate slightly against the USD or the USD may depreciate against AUD over time to offset interest rate differences. However, UIP often fails in the short term due to risk premiums, capital flows, and market sentiment. 4. Carry Trade Advantage Given the small or negative yield differential, the traditional carry trade incentive to buy AUD and sell USD based on interest rates is currently weak or absent. The carry trade advantage depends on the interest rate spread; with US yields marginally higher, borrowing USD to invest in AUD offers little or no positive carry. Other factors like commodity prices, risk sentiment, and economic outlook influence AUD/USD more than carry trade currently. 5. Key Upcoming June 2025 Economic Data Australia: Q1 GDP data release (important for growth outlook) Inflation reports (CPI updates) Employment and unemployment figures Retail sales and business confidence data RBA monetary policy statements and forward guidance United States: Non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate good for dollar index and holding rate cute on data. CPI and PCE inflation data Federal Reserve meeting minutes and policy outlook Consumer confidence and retail sales These data points will be critical in shaping expectations for interest rates, bond yields, and ultimately the AUD/USD exchange rate. Summary Table Metric Australia (AUD) United States (USD) Differential (AU - US) 10-Year Government Bond Yield ~4.26% - 4.53% ~4.44% - 4.55% ~ -0.2% to 0% Policy Interest Rate 3.85% (RBA) ~4.10% (Fed) ~ -0.25% UIP Expected Exchange Rate — — Slight AUD appreciation implied Carry Trade Advantage Weak/None Slight advantage Minimal carry trade incentive Key June Economic Data GDP, CPI, employment, RBA policy Employment, inflation, Fed policy — Conclusion The current AUD/USD 10-year bond yield differential is minimal or slightly negative, reducing the carry trade appeal of AUD versus USD. According to uncovered interest rate parity, this suggests a modest expected appreciation of AUD against USD, but actual currency movements will depend heavily on upcoming economic data and central bank policy signals from both countries. The market is closely watching inflation, growth, and employment reports in June 2025 to gauge the direction of monetary policy and bond yields #audusd
by Shavyfxhub
AUDUSD Will Fall! Short! Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 5h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.649. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.645 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Bearish Gartley Pattern on AUD/USD : WEEK-7Hey traders! 👋 I’ve spotted a Bearish Gartley Pattern forming on the AUD/USD 1H chart and wanted to share this potential short setup for those tracking harmonic patterns. I’m watching this pair closely for a potential bearish reversal from the PRZ. A break below the sell stop level would confirm the pattern completion and trigger the short setup. As always, manage your risk and wait for confirmation before entering! #AUDUSD #HarmonicPattern #Gartley #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishSetup #PriceAction #FX #TradingView
Short
by asimafridi