AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
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Key Points
- U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick stated that "a broad agreement has been reached to implement the Geneva Accord with China," adding that "the results will be reported to President Trump, and the agreement will be implemented once both leaders approve."
- It is reported that in this negotiation, the U.S. offered to ease semiconductor-related sanctions in exchange for a stable supply of rare earth elements from China.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ June 11: U.S. May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ June 12: U.K. April GDP, U.S. May Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ June 13: Germany May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has broken out of the recent range between 0.64000 and 0.65000 and is showing upward momentum. In the long term, a rise toward the 0.69000 level is expected. However, there may be resistance near the 0.67000 level, so close attention is warranted in that area.
AUDUSD trade ideas
Pinex-Capital Trade IdeaThe second chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484.
A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Pines-Capital Trade IdeaThe second chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484.
A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Pines-Capital Trade IdeaThe chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484.
A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
AUDUSD follow the ascending channel bullish now from key demand 📈 AUD/USD Technical Outlook – 1H Timeframe
The AUD/USD pair continues to trade within a bullish ascending channel, rebounding strongly from the key support zone at 0.64800. Momentum remains positive, signaling potential for further upside.
🎯 Next Technical Target:
1st Resistance: 0.65200
Traders should monitor price action near this level for potential breakout or rejection signals.
🔍 Stay tuned for more real-time updates, insights, and setups.
👉 Like, follow, comment, and join the community for daily market analysis and trading ideas!
— Livia 😜
Aussie Weekly overviewHello Traders,
Be more cautious for short trades from 0.65031
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
AUD Bulls Charge on China CPI & Trade HopesOANDA:AUDUSD is trading near 0.6510, buoyed by China’s better-than-expected May CPI print at -0.1% YoY (vs forecast of -0.4%) and optimism over the renewed U.S.-China trade dialogue, which has improved global risk sentiment.
Despite weak CMCMARKETS:AUDUSD Australian Q1 GDP and a narrower trade surplus, the Aussie remains firm as a proxy for Chinese demand and commodity-linked risk appetite.
From a technical perspective, the pair is moving within an ascending hourly channel and is currently testing key resistance at 0.6517. A confirmed breakout could clear the path toward monthly resistance at 0.6582. However, failure to break higher may see a pullback to 0.6492, or deeper to the critical support at 0.6411. As long as the channel structure remains intact, the bias stays bullish.
Resistance : 0.6517 , 0.6582
Support : 0.6492 , 0.6411
AUDUSD consolidation phase bullish from supportOANDA:AUDUSD Analysis 🦘💵 | 4H Timeframe
Pair is currently consolidating, creating a solid base around 0.63400 – key support level holding strong. Entered long from support, targeting 0.65400 resistance zone.
📈 Trend bias: Bullish
🟢 Entry: 0.63400 (Support zone)
🎯 Target: 0.65400 (Key resistance)
🔐 Invalidation: Break and close below 0.63000
Also keeping eyes on the bullish Order Block at 0.59500 on higher timeframe – strong liquidity area if price revisits.
Let the market breathe, plan your trade, and trade your plan. Patience pays 💅
— Livia 😜📊
#Forex #PriceAction #AUDUSD #TradeSetup #SmartMoney #FXQueen
Falling towards pullback support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6499
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6485
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6536
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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AUDUSD Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
US tariffs bite, markets eye ADP and Beige Book | FX ResearchPresident Trump expressed challenges in negotiating trade with China's President Xi, while EU–US trade talks progressed positively in Japan. Scheduled discussions in Washington are set for June 5th to 8th, amid new 50% US tariffs on steel and aluminium and China’s potential Airbus jet order.
In economic data, eurozone services PMIs improved, with mixed results across Spain, Italy, France, and Germany, while UK services PMIs rose—signalling recovery from tariff-related weakness.
Australia’s Q1 GDP grew weaker than expected at 0.2%, reinforcing expectations for an RBA rate cut in July, though the Aussie dollar remained stable.
In the US, focus shifts to the ADP private payroll report, services ISM, and the Fed's Beige Book. The Bank of Canada's upcoming decision is seen as a close call, with one major bank suggesting a dovish tone and a possible July cut—despite strong Q1 GDP driven by tariff-related frontloading.
Criticism of President Trump’s tax bill is growing, with Elon Musk and Republican Senator Mike Lee calling for revisions and highlighting fiscal concerns.
E xclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
AUD/USD Poised for Breakout ahead of NFPsThe Australian Dollar broke back above the 200-day moving average this week with AUD/USD testing resistance at the 65-handle today. Its decision time for the Aussie as the bulls threaten to breakout of a multi-month range in price.
Aussie is testing resistance today at the 2025 high-close / 61.8% extension of the Friday rally at 6495-6504 with key resistance seen just higher at 63540/50- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement of the September decline and the 100% extension. Note that the upper parallel converges on this threshold into the close of the week and a breach / close above would be needed to fuel the next major leg of the Aussie advance. Initial breakout objectives eyed at the September low at 6622 and the November high-day close (HDC) at 6680.
Initial support rests with monthly open / 200-day moving average at 6432/43 and is backed closely by the May open at 6402. Ultimately, a break / close below the April / August lows at 6348/62 would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger correction is underway towards broader bullish invalidation at 6300- look for larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: Aussie is attempting to mark a fresh yearly high-close today but still shy of uptrend resistance just higher. The immediate focus is on a breakout of the weekly opening-range for guidance with the long-bias vulnerable into the upper parallel. From at trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 6400 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 6550 needed to fuel the next major leg of the April advance.
-MB