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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUDUSD: weekly analysis Jun 1, 2025 – Jun 7, 2025Trump administration makes traders follow trades every single political news. Unpredictable about everything, if I want to describe the U.S president in one phrase. one day he decides to reduce tariffs, the other day he increases. One day wishes a good future for Iran, the other day he threatens Islamic republic with bombing. The same story with Russia, China and everything expects the Crypto. Okay let's get back to Aussie! any good news about China-Australia relations will increase the AUD. The other important news this week is quarter to quarter GDP of the land of kangaroos. After all, taking a look at weekly chart! A bullish week is more possible ******************************************************************* The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Long
by AliSignals
AUD-USD Rebound Ahead! Buy! Hello,Traders! AUD-USD made a retest Of the horizontal demand Area around 0.6394 and We are already seeing a Nice bullish reaction from The level so we are locally Bullish biased and we will Be expecting a further Local bullish move up On Monday Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
2
AUDUSDAUD/USD Analysis: Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differential, Carry Trade, and Upcoming Fundamentals 1. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differential (May 25–30, 2025) Australian 10-Year Bond Yield: ~4.42% (as of May 23, 2025) . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: ~4.51% (as of May 21–23, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential:4.51% (US)−4.42% (AUD)=+0.09% so the IRD is 4.51% (US)−4.42% (AUD)=+0.09% The US held a slight yield advantage, though the spread narrowed due to RBA rate cuts and weaker Australian data. 2. Policy Rate Differential and Carry Trade Advantage RBA Cash Rate: 3.85% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) . Fed Funds Rate: 4.25% (lower bound) . Interest Rate Differential:4.25% (US)−3.85% (AUD)=+0.40% The USD held a carry trade advantage, incentivizing investors to borrow AUD (lower rate) and invest in USD assets (higher rate). 3. AUD/USD Price Action (May 25–30) AUD/USD fell to 0.6425, down 1% weekly, pressured by: Weak Australian retail sales (-0.1% MoM) and building permits . RBA’s dovish pivot, signaling potential further cuts amid trade tensions and slowing inflation . Reinstated US tariffs under Trump’s policies, boosting USD safe-haven demand . 4. Key Fundamentals for June 1–7, 2025 Australia: Retail Sales (May 30): Weakness could reinforce RBA easing expectations . Building Approvals (June 3): Further declines may pressure AUD . RBA Rhetoric: Dovish guidance likely to persist, with markets pricing rates to 3% by early 2026 . US: Nonfarm Payrolls (June 6): Strong data may revive Fed rate hike bets, widening the USD yield advantage. Tariff Developments: Escalating US-China/EU trade tensions could strengthen USD . Global Risks: Stagflation fears and bond market volatility may amplify AUD/USD swings . Summary Table Metric Australia (AUD) United States (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield ~4.42% ~4.51% Policy Rate 3.85% 4.25% Interest Rate Differential +0.40% (USD over AUD) — Carry Trade Bias USD favored — Conclusion May 25–30: AUD/USD weakened due to RBA dovishness and USD strength, with a +0.40% rate differential supporting USD carry trades. June 1–7: Focus on Australian retail sales, building approvals, and US jobs data. A soft AU data mix and resilient US economy may extend AUD/USD’s downtrend toward 0.6360 Monitor RBA/Fed rhetoric and trade policy shifts for volatility. #audusd
Long
by Shavyfxhub
3
AUD/USD Price Action Analysis – Range Trading Opportunity📉 AUD/USD Price Action Analysis – Range Trading Opportunity 🔁 ⚙️ Market Structure Overview: The AUD/USD pair is currently exhibiting a well-defined range-bound market structure between the Support Zone (0.63800 – 0.64000) and the Resistance Zone (0.65200 – 0.65400). 🟩 Support Zone 📍 Identified by multiple price rejections and bullish reversals (marked with ⬆️ arrows). 💡 This area represents strong buying interest, making it a potential long-entry zone on bullish confirmation. 🟥 Resistance Zone 📍 Marked by two sharp rejections (⬇️ arrows) and upper wicks. 💡 This zone has served as a supply area, where sellers overpower buyers, signaling potential short opportunities. 🔄 Current Scenario: Price is approaching the support zone again after rejecting the resistance area. Based on historical behavior: 📉 Short-term Bearish Momentum is in play until support is tested. 📈 Potential Bullish Reversal is likely if support holds — aligning with previous bounce behavior. 🔮 Trade Ideas: 📈 Bullish Setup: 📍Entry: Near support zone (~0.63850) 🎯Target: Resistance zone (~0.65250) 🛑Stop-loss: Below support (~0.63650) 📉 Bearish Setup (Breakdown Scenario): 📍Entry: On confirmed break below support (~0.63800) 🎯Target: Lower structure zones (TBD based on breakout leg) 🛑Stop-loss: Above broken support 📅 Key Risk Events: 🔔 Multiple high-impact USD and AUD economic events approaching. 🧭 Traders should monitor fundamentals closely for increased volatility and breakout potential. 🧠 Summary: 📌 The AUD/USD pair is currently respecting a range-bound structure. 🧱 Buying from support and selling from resistance remains the most probable high-probability strategy. 📊 Range trading suits this setup until a confirmed breakout or breakdown occurs. 🔔 Like & Follow for more clean, structured trade setups and zone-based price action ideas!
Long
by ZareeFxTradingAac
10
AUDUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidation supported at 0.6360The AUD/USD pair maintains a bullish bias, underpinned by a steady rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action shows consolidation, indicating a pause in upward momentum as the market awaits a fresh catalyst. Key Technical Levels: Support: 0.6360 – Critical near-term support and prior consolidation zone. A successful retest could reinforce the bullish setup. 0.6320 – Next support level; a break below 0.6360 may trigger a deeper pullback. 0.6280 – Broader downside support zone; loss of this level would signal a shift in trend. Resistance: 0.6500 – Primary upside target on continuation of bullish momentum. 0.6530 – Secondary resistance; break above would confirm strength. 0.6570 – Long-term resistance zone; potential target if bullish momentum accelerates. Technical Outlook: A pullback to 0.6360 followed by a bullish rebound would suggest continuation of the current uptrend, opening room for gains toward 0.6500, 0.6530, and 0.6570 over the medium term. On the downside, a daily close below 0.6360 would invalidate the bullish setup, exposing the pair to a potential decline toward 0.6320 and 0.6280. Conclusion: AUD/USD remains in a bullish structure, but near-term direction depends on the 0.6360 level. A rebound from support keeps the upside scenario in play, while a confirmed break lower may lead to a corrective retracement. Traders should watch for price behavior around 0.6360 for confirmation of the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
AUDUSD Will Explode! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 0.6420 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.6455 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 0.6446 1st Support: 0.6358 1st Resistance: 0.6538 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
2
Bearish reversal for the Aussie?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6464 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6499 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6397 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Australian Dollar Consolidation Which Way From Here?Hey traders so today we are going to look at the Austrailian Dollar which is now in chart pattern called a Symetrical Triangle. So how do we know which way to trade the market right now? We don't so why guess when instead we can wait for the market to confirm which way it wants to go. These are normally known as a consolidation patterns, and normally they can break out in the direction of the prevailing trend which appears to be bullish. However they can also break against the trend so the best way to trade it is watch which side it breaks then place an order to enter on the side that market breaks out of. The the other side can then become your stop loss because most likely the market won't go to the other side. For profit target you can measure the distance of the triangle from top to bottom so in this example 183 pips or ticks. Always use Risk Management! (just in case your wrong in your analysis) Hope This Helps Your Trading Clifford
by TradeTheIndex
1
AUDUSD – Recoil Back into the Range After Failed BreakoutOn Monday, AUDUSD briefly threatened a breakout from its May trading range, evident between 0.6356 (May 12th low) up to 0.6514 (May 7th high) with an early push up to a new monthly peak of 0.6537 on the Asia open. However, that move failed quickly after news of President Trump’s decision to extend the deadline for 50% tariffs on the EU from June 1st to July 9th hit the newswires. While this update boosted risk sentiment and global stock prices, it removed the immediate downside pressure that had been starting to build again on the US dollar. AUDUSD has since fallen victim to position rebalancing which saw prices fall as low as 0.6407 on Wednesday, before a slightly higher than expected Australian CPI reading, led to some fresh buying. Looking forward, with their short term trade concerns alleviated further this morning by a US Court ruling that the vast majority of President Trump's global tariffs were illegal, the question for traders into the end of the week, is whether AUDUSD can hold current levels and push higher again, or if it could retest the bottom of its May trading range at 0.6356, perhaps even further. After all, market pricing currently places the chances of another rate cut from the RBA at their next meeting in early July at about 70%, which continues to weigh on AUDUSD if any new strength is seen. Friday’s release of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge (PCE Index) could also be relevant to the direction of the dollar (and therefore impact AUDUSD) into the weekend. Traders are waiting to see if inflation is still moderating or whether there are signs that President Trump’s tariffs are starting to push prices higher again. Technical Update – More Balanced Themes Emerge It might have been argued that on May 26th 2025, AUDUSD was attempting to break higher, especially as moves above 0.6519, the May 7th previous price high were seen. However, as the chart below shows, this proved to be a failed breakout, as selling pressure quickly emerged, meaning the 0.6519 upside extreme held on a closing basis. An inability of AUDUSD buyers to extend recent price strength is suggested by this activity, resulting in the development of a possible sideways price range. This also appears to be supported by the current Bollinger Bands set-up, where the mid-average is flat and the bands are parallel to it. This highlights something of a decision-making process between both buyers and sellers, with a closing breakout of either required to suggest the direction of the next more sustained phase of price activity. What technical levels might AUDUSD traders find useful to watch? Potential Resistance Levels: Upper extremes of the current sideways range could now be marked by 0.6519/37, which is combination of the May 7th and May 26th price highs, levels where sellers have previously been active and may be again. While any close above the 0.6519/37 resistance is not a guarantee of further upside, it may then lead to price strength towards 0.6688, the November 7th 2024 high. Potential Support Levels: With current evidence suggesting AUDUSD is developing a more balanced range, traders may well be focusing on the last correction price low, as the lower limit of the range. If this is the case, 0.6357 the May 12th 2025 session low, might be the support to monitor. Closes under 0.6357, if seen, may then be an indication of a deeper decline in price, possibly towards 0,6298, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 9th to May 26th 2025 strength, even the 50% retracement level which stands at 0.6224. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 26-28/05/2025Incase you're new to the Judas Swing Strategy and want to know what the strategy is about, it is a classic price manipulation concept where the market fakes a move in one direction (the “Judas” move), only to reverse and trend in the opposite direction. It’s common during 00:00 - 08:30 EST openings, often used by smart money to trap retail traders. It’s especially powerful when paired with liquidity grabs above/below key highs or lows, followed by a reversal into a FVG confirmation On Monday, we identified a clean Judas Swing setup. Price spiked below previous lows, giving us a bias to look for potential buying setups after what looked like a classic liquidity grab. We got a break of structure and a reversal into the FVG created. However, after entry, price failed to reject meaningfully and instead continued lower only after taking out the low, hitting our stop loss before any major move up. We lost 1% on this trade and the lesson all traders need to learn here is that even valid setups will fail and you'll lose money at some point when trading. Fast forward to Wednesday We saw a similar manipulation as price spiked below recent Judas swing zones during NY session, grabbing sell-side liquidity before reversing sharply. We waited for confirmation a strong bullish engulfing and break of minor structure. Entry was taken long, with stop loss 10 pips below the liquidity grab and target at previous structure highs. The trade ran smoothly into profit, validating the setup and recovering the week's earlier loss. Trade Outcome: Win Risk-Reward: Clean 1:2 Notes traders need to take from this trade: - Perfect Judas Swing after liquidity sweep - Patience for confirmation paid off - Structure shift confirmed smart money reversal
by CleoFinance
AUD/USD - Two possible Scenarios lining upPrice is trapped in a tight range between two daily supply zones, coiling for a strong move. Here are your two potential trade options: ✅ Bullish Scenario If price breaks above the upper daily supply zone with strong momentum: Entry: On breakout & retest above supply zone Confluence: Channel breakout + MACD shift to bullish + reclaim of 200 EMA Target: Move toward higher daily supply zone near previous highs Confirmation: Strong bullish candle close above structure ❌ Bearish Scenario If price rejects the upper supply and breaks the trendline support: Entry: Break and retest of ascending trendline + daily demand zone flip Confluence: MACD bearish crossover + clean rejection from upper supply Target: Drop toward lower demand zone in the $0.63–0.64 range Confirmation: Rejection from resistance + break below trendline and demand
by jamesibartram
Lingrid | AUDUSD support Level Bounce TradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:AUDUSD formed a higher low above the rising trendline near 0.6418, signaling potential bullish continuation. A break above 0.6440 could confirm upward momentum, targeting the previous supply zone around 0.6482. Structure holds as long as price remains above the support level. Buyers may accumulate near the trendline to catch the next leg up. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 0.6418–0.6430 Buy trigger: breakout above 0.6440 Target: 0.6482 Sell trigger: breakdown below 0.6418 💡 Risks Rejection at descending blue trendline Failure to sustain higher low could trap buyers Bearish pressure increases if 0.6418 fails to hold Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
1