AMGND trade ideas
Can Amgen(NASD:AMGN) shares go significantly higher?The Minichart Trendline indicator has determined that the share price of Amgen Inc. has just broken its downtrend and is likely to recover from here.
This indicator developed by Minichart can detect stocks that change their trend, either from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa. It is plotted automatically.
First of all, Amgen Inc. stock price reached a short-term support 2 days ago when it hit the 38.2% Fibonacci support of a strong uptrend. The uptrend of the stock price started on 1 June 2023, and lasted for 7 months.
The strong uptrend has also formed a bullish head and shoulders (H&S) formation on the Minichart. From a technical analysis perspective, the recent pullback is a salutary correction after the price broke out of the H&S formation. Over time, the price will probably continue to rise and break above the high reached on February 5.
In addition, there are 3 other reasons why the price may have reached a good support and could rise again from here.
The price has reached the exponential moving average of 100. This is a strong support level.
The Minichart Heikin Ashi indicator has changed colour. It is now bullish.
The Stochastic indicator is oversold and starting to turn upwards.
Amgen Inc. Price Target
Next, we will use the Fibonacci retracement to find the immediate price target when the price starts to recover.
Using the Minichart Fibonacci retracement measurement from February 5 to 20, the first price target is $299, followed by $305. This is based on the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci retracement levels. These levels coincided with resistance points during the sideways consolidation (green arrow on the chart).
If traders were to buy the stock based on Friday’s close of $289.18, they could potentially realise a decent return of 3.5% to 5.5%. This is based on the $299 to $305 Minichart price target mentioned above.
Of course, this is a short-term price target that can be reached within the next few weeks. Should the share price break through the high reached on February 5, the new price target will be significantly higher.
AMGN Amgen Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold AMGN ahead of the HZNP buyout:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMGN Amgen prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $322.5 strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-9,
for a premium of approximately $6.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Amgen Poised for Continued Upside## Amgen Poised for Continued Upside
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) appears poised for continued upside based on technical indicators. The current price of $324.56 is above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating an upward trend.
Key technical indicators also suggest further upside:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 66 indicates AMGN is not overbought and has room to run
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line recently crossed above the signal line in a bullish sign
- Bollinger Bands widening suggests building upside momentum
I am initiating a buy on AMGN with an entry point of $330.95. This allows some room above the current price for confirmation of the uptrend. Profit targets are set at $340.79, while a stop loss of $321.36 limits downside risk.
The positive technical outlook combined with strong fundamentals makes AMGN a compelling buy at current levels for continued price appreciation. I will look to take profits as the price approaches overbought levels near the upper Bollinger Band. Managing risk with the defined stop loss is also key to success of this long setup.
Citations:
www.investing.com
www.chartmill.com
www.macroaxis.com
www.tipranks.com
financhill.com
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Incorporates Tepezza, an FDA-approved medicine for thyroid eye disease, into Amgen's product portfolio.
📈 Market Outlook:
Bullish stance on AMGN suggests support levels above $260.00-$265.00.
Anticipated upside target in the range of $360.00-$365.00.
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AMGN short Hi traders,
let's take a look at the AMGN chart.
Price is retesting the previous all time high, which we expect to act as the resistance therefore, before the price continues the uptrend we are expecting pullback.
RSI has entered into overbought conditions.
Entry. stop loss and 2 targets for the short position are shown on the chart.
The idea is purely speculative based on technical analysis.
Ascending Triangle in Amgen?Amgen has been stuck at its current price area for almost 3-1/2 years, but now some traders may expect its longer-term uptrend to resume.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the $255-260 price zone. It roughly matches peaks in the summer of 2020, the spring of 2021 and the spring of 2022. AMGN ripped through it late last year, pulled back and stalled at the same price area in April of this year.
Strong earnings drove the pharma stock above that level in August. It was subsequently tested in September and late October, with prices remaining above. Has old resistance become new support?
Second is the series of higher lows since the last dip. The resulting ascending triangle is a potentially bullish continuation pattern.
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in mid-September. That may suggest the longer-term trend is getting more positive.
Finally, the lower study features our 2 MA Ratio custom script with the default settings of the 8-day and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). It just turned positive, meaning the faster EMA has risen above slower EMA. That may suggest the shorter-term trend is getting more positive.
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AMGN Amgen Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold AMGN on the HZNP deal:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMGN Amgen prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 262.5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $8.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AMGEN is exploding upwardsAmgen / AMGN is having an incredible price jump on a 1day MACD Buy Cross.
Inside this long term Channel Up pattern, the stock isn't unfamiliar at all with such explosive legs upwards as the same move happened in August 4th/7th/8th.
It is a clear wedge consolidation into aggressive expansion pattern. All supported by the 1day MA50.
It is not too late to buy and target 296.80 (Resistance A).
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AMGEN Short-term buy signalAmgen Inc (AMGN) broke above the quick Bull Flag pattern and is targeting the top of the Channel Down pattern at 277.00. Based on the 1D MACD, this is a symmetrical bullish sequence as the one that peaked in early November. That will be a major test for the uptrend as the longer the price stays high, the easier it will form a 1D Golden Cross, the first since February 22 2023.
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Amgen Inc. 20% ROI opportunities Amgen Inc. (AMGN) approaching significant resistance, able to absorb weekly buying pressures. From here (AMGN) can fall back to channel support, eliciting losses of 20% over the following 3-5 months. Inversely, if a settlement above this resistance level occurs, (AMGN) would be placed into a buy signal where gains of 20% would be expected over the following 5-6 months.
SneakerBunny: Possible setup for a swing on $AMGNPossible swing trade: This is setting up for a 2:1 r/r if you use the newer support line as a stop and the area of resistance as a profit taking point. Depending on your appetite for risk, it would also be an option to use the stronger support line as your hard stop. Recent news about Prolia reducing fracture risk compared to a competitor is positive. DYOR and....be careful alright?
Amgen is Forming a Cup & HandleKeep Amgen on your radar. It has formed a rather large cup and I've measured the conservative parameters for the cup height.
Conservative price target: FWB:280
No position yet but I'll be watching the daily candles and volume to snipe the entry when it reverses.
Stay tuned!