AMZN Heating Up – GEX Shows There's Room to Run!
Alright, guys – here's the scoop on Amazon (AMZN) right now based on the latest GEX map and price action.
🧠 GEX Setup:
We’re seeing solid call gamma buildup from 213 → 220, and a strong positive NET GEX wall near 215–217. That tells us market makers might start pushing price toward those high-gamma zones to hedge, especially above 213. Gamma support kicks in from 210 down to 207, so bulls have a nice cushion below.
👉 IVR 7.1 is low, and calls flow is healthy at 4.2%, meaning option premiums are still pretty cheap – great time to consider buying options before a possible breakout push.
🎯 Options Strategy:
If you're looking to catch the upside gamma move:
* ✅ Buy CALLs around 213–215 strike
* 🎯 Target 217.5 or 220+
* ⛔ Stop below 210 or HVL zone
You want to be in before the gamma snowball effect starts pulling price up.
🧩 Price Action & Smart Money Structure:
The 1H chart is showing strong SMC structure:
* BOS confirmed ✅
* Higher low forming
* Choppy flag forming just under resistance — could break out soon
We have clear liquidity above 214–217 (old OB zone), so price may hunt that next. There’s a big imbalance left from the selloff — if we get a retest of the green OB at 210–211 and hold, that's your confirmation for a solid long entry.
📌 Trade Idea Summary:
* Bias: Bullish short-term
* Entry Zone: 211–213
* Target Zone: 217.5 → 220
* Stop: Below 208
* Option Play: Calls (1–2 DTE or next week)
If 213 holds and volume picks up, we could ride the gamma wave right into those high OI strikes. 🔥
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just one trader’s view using GEX and smart money price action. Always manage risk and size appropriately.
AMZN trade ideas
AMZN: Daily Trend Change with Bullish Continuation Setup
🗓 Published: June 26, 2025
📍 Ticker: NASDAQ:AMZN – Amazon.com Inc.
🕒 Timeframes: Daily & 4H
📊 Technical Bias: Bullish
📈 Trend: Higher Highs & Higher Lows
🧠 Analysis Summary
Amazon has successfully reclaimed a bullish market structure on the daily chart by forming higher highs and higher lows since late April. Price is now retesting a key support zone around $209–$212, which aligns with both horizontal support and the rising trendline.
On the 4H chart, the price is stabilizing near the trendline support, offering a high-probability long entry setup if the current structure holds.
📍 Key Levels
Price Level Description
206.28–206.42 Key support zone (invalidation area)
209.06 Local demand area
212.06 Retest level, potential entry
214.76 Local high / minor resistance
219.92 Intermediate target zone
225.22–225.29 Main bullish target / resistance
✅ Trade Setup
Entry Zone:
🔵 Long between $209.00 – $212.00 on confirmation of support
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $214.76
TP2: $219.92
TP3: $225.22–225.29
Stop Loss:
🔴 Below $206.00 (break of structure + trendline invalidation)
Risk:Reward Potential: ~1:2.5
🔍 Confluence Factors
Daily trendline acting as dynamic support
Demand zone overlap at $209
Volume spike near base, suggesting buyer interest
Higher low formation + potential breakout of local range
⚠️ Risk Note
Only valid if price holds the $209–$212 demand area. If $206.00 is broken with strong bearish candles, the long setup is invalidated and a reassessment is required.
💬 Do you think AMZN will reclaim $225 by earnings? Let me know your outlook!
🚀 Stay patient, follow price structure, and manage your risk properly.
Rendon1
Amazon swing trade ideaAmazon has fallen below its trendline and started to dip slightly despite the fact that the broad market is going higher. I have found an opportunity for a decent long entry and have ran the numbers, the intrinsic value of Amazon right now is between $180 and $520. Not only is it a retail giant but is an emerging technology innovator and investment company. I got about 4% of my portfolio allocated to it now.
Amazon “All-In” on UK InvestmentIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Amazon announced on Tuesday an ambitious £40 billion investment in the United Kingdom over the next three years. The goal: to boost technological innovation, expand its logistics network, and strengthen the infrastructure needed for artificial intelligence development across Europe.
According to the company, this investment will contribute approximately £38 billion to the UK’s GDP and includes the construction of four new fulfilment centres, delivery stations, and upgrades to Amazon’s more than 100 existing operational sites in the country. Part of this expansion will create 4,000 new jobs in Hull and Northampton, in addition to new roles in the East Midlands and other regions.
A significant portion of the plan includes the £8 billion previously announced in September 2024 for AWS data centre development through 2028. This move reinforces Amazon’s commitment to cloud computing leadership and AI-driven services.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer described the announcement as “a huge vote of confidence in the UK as a place to do business,” while Amazon CEO Andy Jassy highlighted the company’s steady growth in the country over the past 27 years.
Fundamental Analysis: Strong Results with a Cautious Outlook
As of yesterday’s close, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) shares slipped by –0.62%, ending the session at USD 208.47. However, the Q1 2025 financials reveal a robust growth trajectory:
• Revenue: USD 155.7 billion (+9% YoY)
• Net Income: USD 17.1 billion (+64%), with EPS at USD 1.59
• AWS: USD 29.3 billion in revenue (+17%), with an operating margin near 40%
• Amazon Ads: USD 13.9 billion (+19%), consolidating as a key revenue driver
• Operating cash flow: USD 113.9 billion over the last 12 months
Despite this strength, the company issued a conservative outlook for Q2, which applied some pressure on markets: operating income is expected between USD 13.0 and 17.5 billion, below analysts’ consensus.
Technical Analysis: Solid Support, But Breakout Needed
From a technical standpoint, Amazon maintains the bullish structure initiated in November 2023. It is currently trading near the technical resistance range of USD 191–218, a breakout above which could pave the way toward the current high of USD 242.52.
• Key support: USD 202.04
• Moving averages: The 50-day MA is above the 200-day MA, and the 100-day MA has remained consolidated above both since the bullish crossover on May 30
• RSI: Neutral (~51%), providing room for further upside after the last failed attempt to break the USD 217.96 resistance
A confirmed break above USD 218 could signal a renewed expansion phase. Conversely, a drop below the USD 200 mark would test the bullish channel and could lead to a correction toward the current point of control near USD 187, or even lower toward USD 165, which marks the current technical floor.
Conclusion
Amazon combines operational strength with a long-term strategic vision in Europe. Its commitment to the UK—through investment in logistics, technology, and sustainability—reinforces its role as a key player in the continent’s digital transformation. In the markets, despite a cautious guidance, Amazon’s fundamentals remain solid, and its stock continues to offer opportunities in a stable growth environment.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
$AMZN - $2128.20 break for move higher. Multiple catalystAMZN - Stock rejecting daily highs at $218.20 and rejecting it trice. Long and swing calls added in the group. July has been a good month for the stock. Prime day coming in the next 2 weeks. looking for more calls above $220 for a move towards $240 and higher
AMAZON TROUBLENASDAQ:AMZN Is currently trading Just 11% below its all time high and currently Facing exhaustion.
Amazon is currently trading 217$ range which was previous support now turned resistance (Daily Timeframe) , making a double top pattern and a negative divergence on the RSI.
The best Trades are the ones with multiple confirmations
- Trading at a resistance (1D chart)✅
- Negative Price Action at the resistance (Double Top Pattern)✅
- RSI negative divergence✅
- Market Structure ✅
Entry Criteria
- A Red candle at the entry Line Marked
- Stoploss Above the Entry Candle
Target 1- 211$
Target 2- 208$
Keep Your Risk Reward Intact! Not An investment Advice
Amazon getting ready for another leg downAmazon is now in consolidation mode right below the 200MA which also happens to line up with a previous area of resistance. As long as it continues to consolidate below the 200MA, look for another leg down. If it breaks above the 200MA and closes an entire candle above then that would cancel the bearish set up.
Nothing good ever happens below the 200
AMAZON Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AMAZON made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Around 219$ and the stock
Is already making a local
Bearish pullback so a further
Bearish correction
Is to be expected
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Amazon: Continuing to RiseWith Amazon’s recent climb, prices are edging closer to the top of wave (1) in magenta. However, there is still a bit of upside potential in the short term before wave (2) makes its corrective move. Our primary scenario does not anticipate a new low below $160.50. Instead, we expect wave (3) in magenta to eventually surpass resistance at $242.52. Under our alternative scenario, there is a 30% chance we could see new lows below $160.50. In this case, wave alt.B in beige would have peaked at $242.52, prompting us to focus on a magenta downward impulse.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Amazon ($AMZN) – Bullish Breakout WatchPublished by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
🗓️ May 19, 2025 | 1D Chart
Amazon is showing strong momentum with a confirmed break above the $200.92 resistance zone (now flipped support). The price is currently consolidating around the 0.786 Fibonacci level ($208.21), and a clean daily close above this region could open up an impulsive move toward the 1.618 Fib extension at $233.99 and the key resistance level of $239.23.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support: $200.92
🔹 Resistance: $208.21 → $214.84 → $233.99
🔹 Final Target (Short-term swing): $239.23
🎯 Bullish Fib Extensions: 1.618 ($233.99), 2.618 ($264.98), 3.618 ($295.97)
📊 Setup Rationale:
Bullish structure with higher lows forming since May.
Breakout above major supply zone.
Clean Fibonacci confluence for upside targets.
Volume confirmation and market momentum favor upside continuation.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence. This chart is for educational purposes under Wavervanir DSS guidance.
Imbalance, FVG & Short Trend Flag Strategy / Estrategia basada..*************************
* ENGLISH VERSION *
*************************
This analysis blends institutional structure with price action to identify high-probability zones on AMZN.
🔍 Setup Structure:
Imbalance breaks PH/L of the trend: Confirmation of institutional strength breaking a Previous High or Low, creating a liquidity imbalance.
Short Trend Flags: A corrective flag pattern within the impulse move, signaling continuation until the Fair Value Gap (FVG) is filled.
FVG Closure: Validates key zones where price must return to restore market balance.
IFVG: Institutional Fair Value Gap that also needs to be closed, showing deeper order flow activity.
Key Resistance & Support Zones: Act as liquidity magnets where price often reacts.
9:30am Opening Candle Against the Trend: This candle acts as a liquidity trap and potential reversal trigger.
🧠 Technical Notes:
FVG and IFVG used as targets and reaction zones.
Confirmation through opening volume and candlestick behavior.
Flags serve as entry triggers in trend direction.
🎯 Perfect for scalpers and day traders who trade clean structure with multi-layered confirmations (structure + liquidity + reaction).
*************************
* SPANISH VERSION *
*************************
Este análisis combina estructuras institucionales con acción del precio para identificar zonas de alta probabilidad en AMZN.
🔍 Estructura del Setup:
Imbalance rompe PH/L de la tendencia: Confirmación de fuerza institucional al romper un Previous High/Low, generando desequilibrio de liquidez.
Short Trend Flags: Patrón correctivo dentro del impulso que sirve como señal de continuación hasta cerrar el FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Cierre de FVG: Validación de zonas de interés donde el precio debe retornar para balancear el mercado.
IFVG: Imbalance Fair Value Gap que también necesita ser cerrado, indicando profundidad institucional.
Zonas clave de resistencia y soporte: Actúan como imanes de liquidez donde el precio suele reaccionar.
Apertura 9:30am contra la tendencia: Vela que actúa como trampa de liquidez y posible gatillo para reversión.
🧠 Notas Técnicas:
Uso de FVG y IFVG como targets y zonas de reacción.
Confirmación con el volumen de apertura y comportamiento de las velas.
Flags como patrón de entrada para seguir la dirección dominante.
🎯 Ideal para scalpers y day traders que siguen estructuras limpias con validaciones múltiples (estructura + liquidez + reacción).
AMZN Monday Setup: Will $225 Hold or Fold? Key Levels for Trader🚨GEX-Based Options Sentiment (as of Sunday Close):
* $225 – Key Call Wall & Highest Positive GEX level: Strong resistance. AMZN closed right below this — very telling.
* $220 – GEX8 / 2nd Call Wall: Gamma magnet zone. Price may gravitate here early in the session.
* $210 – Strong Put Wall + HVL zone: Critical gamma support; if broken, opens path toward $207–$200.
* IVR: 14.9 (low) — Options premiums are cheap. Good for debit spreads or directional calls/puts.
* Calls flow: 3.8% bullish bias — Minor tilt to the upside, but not extreme. No sign of aggressive positioning yet.
🟢 Option Suggestion (Monday through Wednesday):
* If AMZN reclaims and holds above $225, consider:
* Buy CALL debit spread (225c/230c Jul 3 or Jul 5 expiry)
* Targets: $227.50 → $230 (GEX9 + 3rd Call Wall zone)
* Stop: Below $222 or if $225 fails again
* If AMZN fails $222.50 and breaks $220:
* Buy PUT (220p or 217.5p Jul 3 expiry)
* Target: $215 → $211 (structure & OB zone)
* Stop: If reclaim $223+ with volume
Intraday Trading Analysis (1H chart structure):
Price broke above $222 → BOS confirmed, then sharply rejected near $225 GEX resistance. Now sitting at a precarious area — right between CHoCH support and the GEX call wall.
📊 Key Intraday Zones for Monday:
* Resistance:
* $225 – GEX Call Wall + Supply zone
* $227.50 – Next impulse target if $225 flips cleanly
* Support:
* $220.49 – GEX8 (gamma support zone)
* $217.50 / $216.03 – Strong structural confluence
* $211.12 – Final defense before selloff accelerates
🧠 My Thoughts for Monday:
If AMZN gaps up into $225+ and holds, it could trigger gamma acceleration toward $230. However, if we see a rejection and price stays under $222.50, then watch for a flush to $217.50–$215 quickly.
Confluence favoring a "fade the pop" early if $225 resists. Volume Friday spiked heavily on rejection — could be distribution.
Intraday traders can:
* SHORT near $225 with stop above $226.50
* LONG scalp off $220 only if support confirms (e.g., bounce with volume, bullish 5m CHoCH)
* Expect volatility early due to IV crush & GEX flip zone.
Conclusion & Game Plan:
This is a critical GEX reversal zone. Price is pinned between $225 gamma resistance and $220–217.5 support. Wait for Monday's open — trade the confirmation, not the guess. Watch volume reaction at these levels.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and manage your risk accordingly.
Profit Raiders’ Guide to Conquering AMAZON Stock!Hello, Wealth Warriors! 🌟
Stock market adventurers, let’s embark on a thrilling quest to dominate AMAZON stock with our cunning Raider Trading Strategy! 🗡️📈 Fueled by razor-sharp technical analysis and robust fundamental insights, this plan targets high-reward zones while dodging market traps. Follow the long-entry map, aim for the golden profit zone, and stay vigilant for overbought signals, consolidation, or bearish ambushes that could shift the trend. 🐻🔍 Secure your gains and celebrate your victory! 🎉
Entry 📈
The treasure chest is wide open! 🏰 Seize the bullish momentum at the current price of $206.02—your adventure begins! For precision, set Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute chart for pullback entries, targeting a retest of recent highs ($206.69) or lows ($202.19).
Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Place your Raider Stop Loss at the recent swing low ($196.00) on a 4-hour chart for day trades. Adjust based on your risk tolerance, position size, and number of trades to stay in control. 🛡️
Target 🎯
Set your sights on $217.00 or exit early to lock in your profits! 💸 Refer to the finance card above for price trends.
Scalpers, Stay Sharp! 👀
Focus on quick long-side trades. Large accounts? Strike now! Smaller portfolios? Join swing traders for the raid. Use a trailing stop to safeguard your gains as the stock moves. 🧲💰
AMAZON Stock Market Insights 📊
AMAZON is charging bullish, driven by strong fundamentals. 📈 Dive into earnings reports, macroeconomic trends, geopolitical events, market sentiment, sector correlations, and future price projections for a complete view. As of May 28, 2025, at 12:04 AM EST (UTC-5), the stock’s momentum is supported by a market cap of $2.17 trillion and a year-to-date high of $242.52. Stay informed! 🔗
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Risk Management 📰
Market-moving news can strike fast! Protect your gains:
Avoid opening trades during major news events.
Use trailing stops to secure profits and minimize losses. 🚫
Join the Raid! 💥
Support our battle plan—smash the Boost Button! 🚀 Let’s conquer the market with the Raider Trading Strategy and stack profits like true stock market legends. 💪🤝 Prepare for the next adventure, raiders! 🤑⚔️🎉
Amazon further upside 10% if no bad newsAs of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:09:56 PM PDT, here's an analysis of AMZN:
Current Price & Performance:
Last Price: $223.30 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025)
Today's Change: Up $6.18 (2.85%)
Previous Close: $217.12
Today's Range: Not explicitly available for today's high/low, but recent trading has been within the range of $211.045 to $223.30.
52-Week Range: $144.05 - $228.88
Bollinger Bands (21-Day Timeframe):
To apply Bollinger Bands correctly, we need three components:
21-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the middle band.
Upper Bollinger Band: 21-Day SMA + (2 * 21-Day Standard Deviation)
Lower Bollinger Band: 21-Day SMA - (2 * 21-Day Standard Deviation)
Based on available data (which provides a 20-day moving average, often a close proxy for 21-day in such analyses, and general band behavior):
21-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) / Middle Band: The 20-day moving average is around $212.30. Assuming the 21-day SMA is very similar, this will be our median.
Current Price Position: Amazon's current price of $223.30 is above the 21-day SMA/middle band ($212.30).
Where are we - between the median and the upper band or lower band?
Given that the current price ($223.30) is significantly higher than the 21-day SMA/middle band ($212.30), and considering its recent upward momentum, it's highly likely that AMZN is currently trading between the median (21-day SMA) and the upper Bollinger Band.
Interpretation of Bollinger Bands for AMZN:
Price above the middle band: This generally suggests bullish momentum, indicating that the stock is performing stronger than its recent average.
Moving towards the upper band: When the price approaches or touches the upper band, it can sometimes signal that the stock is becoming overbought in the short term, potentially indicating a pullback or consolidation. However, in a strong uptrend, prices can "walk the band" along the upper limit for an extended period.
Bandwidth: While we don't have the exact standard deviation to calculate the precise upper and lower bands, the fact that the price is moving higher and staying above the middle band suggests that volatility might be increasing, and the bands could be expanding.
Recent News & Outlook:
Amazon recently surged by 6.75% in the five trading days ending June 8, 2025, reaching approximately $211.50 per share. (This was a few weeks ago, and the price has continued to climb since).
Analyst consensus targets are generally optimistic, with a median price target around $240.81.
Strong Q1 2025 results with significant revenue and net income growth underscore operational resilience.
Major investments in cloud infrastructure (AWS) and AI development continue to be key growth drivers.
The stock's upward movement is also being influenced by broader market optimism and positive developments like U.S.-China trade talks (from early June).
In summary, based on the 21-day timeframe and the current price action, AMZN is exhibiting strong bullish momentum and is trading within the upper half of its Bollinger Bands.
Important Considerations for Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands are lagging indicators, meaning they reflect past price action.
They are best used in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis.
"Walking the band" can occur during strong trends, so touching the upper band doesn't always immediately mean a reversal.
It's important to consider the overall trend and market context.
Remember, this analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions.
AMZN: Bullish Momentum Meets Critical Resistance - What's NextOverview:
After a significant downtrend from its early February highs (a move initiated after breaking down from the "Flip Zone" around 232−238), Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) found a strong bottom in late April. Since then, the stock has been in a well-defined uptrend, characterized by a consistent series of higher lows and higher highs.
Current Market Structure:
The price action is clearly respecting an ascending "Trendline Support" (the shaded teal channel), indicating underlying bullish strength. Each pullback has found buyers around this trendline or the identified support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
Key Resistance 220 (Red Zone):
This is the most immediate and critical hurdle for AMZN.
The price has tested this level multiple times in recent weeks (late May and mid-June) and faced strong rejections, indicating significant selling pressure or profit-taking at this psychological and technical barrier.
A decisive break and sustained close above $220 would be a highly bullish signal, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend.
Intermediate Support 205 (Lower Teal Zone):
This level has proven to be reliable support during recent pullbacks (early June and late June).
It acts as a key pivot point; as long as price holds above $205, the bullish structure remains intact.
Flip Zone (232-238 - Upper Teal Zone):
This zone is crucial from a historical perspective. It acted as strong support in early February before the major breakdown. After breaking, it effectively "flipped" to resistance (as seen with the red circle showing a rejection).
If AMZN successfully breaks above the "Key Resistance 220," this "Flip Zone" will likely be the next major target for buyers and a potential area for sellers to emerge.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
AMZN Breakdown Brewing — Will $213 Hold or Slipping to $210?📈 GEX Options Sentiment (As of June 17 Close):
* Resistance Zones (CALL Walls):
* $217.5 → 2nd CALL Wall and YDH (Yesterday’s High)
* $220 → Gamma Wall (Highest Positive NET GEX)
* $222.5–225 = Upper GEX cluster (low probability unless a macro bounce)
* Support Zones (PUT Walls):
* $210 → Major gamma-supported zone
* $207.5 → GEX Pivot/Defensive line
* $202.5 = 2nd PUT Wall (Flush zone if $207 breaks)
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: 13.6 (still low)
* IVx avg: 32.7
* Put Flow: 0.6% = nearly no bearish hedging → risk of fast re-pricing
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 (still stable but neutralizing)
🧠 15-Min Smart Price Action Breakdown:
* Current Price: $214.22
* Structure:
* Price rejected multiple times off ORH (216.26) and YDH (217.06), forming multiple FVGs downward.
* Currently sitting in the PML–Demand Zone at $213.65 — critical bounce or breakdown area.
* Indicators (RSI, BBP, MACD, DMI) show building bearish pressure with fear (-14.44) and oversold tag.
* Trend Confluence:
* Lower highs + FVGs stacking downward = exhaustion
* Market mode = choppy / waiting, but volatility could expand below $213
🧭 Trade Scenarios for June 18:
🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup:
* Trigger: Breakdown and 15-min close below $213.60 (PML)
* Target 1: $210.00 (Gamma cluster + PUT support)
* Target 2: $207.50 (Critical GEX floor)
* Stop-loss: Above $215.00
Momentum + volume pickup in that zone = likely flush to gamma magnet
🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup (Fade Play):
* Trigger: Hold and bounce from $213.60 zone + reclaim $215.00
* Target 1: $216.16 (YDC/PMH)
* Target 2: $217.50 (CALL wall + YDH)
* Stop-loss: Below $213.40
Needs market-wide support from SPY/QQQ to hold up — more likely a short squeeze bounce than clean rally
🔮 My Thoughts for Wednesday:
* AMZN is sitting on the last support shelf before gamma accelerates to the downside.
* GEX is still slightly neutral/bullish but very fragile — one push below $213 and dealers start to hedge short.
* Options flow is light, but low IVR makes buying options attractive if direction is clear.
* Best play is to watch open reaction at $213.60 — either rejection confirms short, or bounce gives scalp long.
✅ Summary:
* Bias: Bearish below $213.60
* Key Level to Break: $213.60
* Gamma Risk Level: $210
* Upside Reclaim: $216.16 → $217.5
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Amazon (AMZN) at a Decision Zone! Jun 17🧠 GEX Options Sentiment Summary:
* GEX Walls & Zones:
* Gamma Wall / Resistance near $220 — heavy CALL interest.
* 2nd CALL Wall at $217.5, aligning with recent rejection.
* PUT Support strongest near $207.45, overlapping with a key demand zone.
* Negative GEX/PUT Walls cluster between $202–197, showing downside gamma acceleration risk if $207 breaks.
* Current GEX Metrics:
* IVR: 9.4 (low vol)
* IVx avg: 30.6
* GEX Signal: 🟢🟢🟢 (bullish tilt but vulnerable)
* Call Dollar Flow: 3.4% (muted call flow despite recent rally)
* Interpretation:
* GEX shows strong resistance overhead at $217.5–220 with the bulk of positive gamma above current price.
* Below $210, gamma flips negative and opens room to $202/$197 PUT walls — possibly a slippery slope on a break.
🧭 15-Minute Intraday Price Action (SMC View):
* Current Price: $213.25
* Structure:
* CHoCH confirmed from recent local high at $217.
* Price swept local liquidity and broke structure, then retraced into the supply zone (highlighted box) and rejected cleanly.
* Multiple CHoCHs around $214.08 → now acting as key support/resistance.
* Trendlines:
* Still holding the ascending trendline, but just barely.
* Break below $212.10 → $211.60 could lead to bearish acceleration.
* Volume Profile:
* Spike in bearish volume during the breakdown — institutions likely unloading.
🧪 Trade Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Setup:
* Trigger: Reclaim $214.08 (prior CHoCH zone)
* Target 1: $217.50 (CALL wall)
* Target 2: $220 (GEX gamma wall)
* Stop-loss: Below $211.50 (invalidate reclaim thesis)
Ideal if market finds support at demand + reclaim $214 with volume. Watch for higher lows and bullish divergence on RSI/MACD.
🚨 Bearish Setup:
* Trigger: Clean break below $211.60
* Target 1: $207.45 (PUT support + demand zone)
* Target 2: $202.50 / $200 (2nd PUT wall / gamma acceleration)
* Stop-loss: Above $214 (reclaim negates bearish thesis)
If the trendline snaps with confirmation, expect price to magnet to gamma-supported downside zones fast.
🎯 My Thoughts:
* We’re in a mean-reversion + options pinball range. This is a game of patience and levels.
* $214.08 is the intraday decision zone — reclaim = bounce play, reject = breakdown play.
* The market is likely to chop within $207–$217 unless broader market drives a breakout.
* For options traders, focus on $215–220 CALLs for breakout plays or $210–205 PUTs on breakdowns with short expiry for gamma moves.
🔚 Conclusion:
AMZN is at a pivot where Smart Money just reversed structure after liquidity sweep. The GEX shows resistance above and puts support below, compressing price into a decision wedge. Trade the breakout/breakdown — not the chop.
🛑 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Shoulders to the Sky: Amazon’s Breakout Journey BeginsOverview
Name: Amazon.com, Inc
Ticker Symbol: AMZN
Exchange: NASDAQ
Founded: 1994
Headquarters: Seattle, Washington, USA
CEO: Andy Jassy (as of 2025)
Sector: Consumer Discretionary / E-commerce & Cloud Computing
About
Amazon is a global e-commerce and cloud services powerhouse. It dominates online retail while also operating AWS (Amazon Web Services), one of the world’s leading cloud computing platforms. Other segments include advertising, logistics, streaming, AI hardware (Alexa), and physical retail.
Fundamentals
Earnings: Amazon has consistently beaten revenue expectations with strong growth in AWS and advertising segments.Revenue: Q1 2025 revenue topped $154.8B, up 13% YoY, with solid margins.Outlook: Management has raised guidance for Q2 citing AI integration in AWS and retail efficiency gains.
Technicals
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern confirmed on the daily chart — a strong bullish reversal signal.
Price has broken above the neckline (~$213–$215) with volume confirmation.
Golden Cross forming on short-term MAs — bullish signal.
RSI is around 64, suggesting momentum remains but is nearing overbought.
MACD is bullish with widening divergence — supports potential continuation.
📌 Support Zones: $202, $199
📈 Resistance / Target Zones: $217 (short-term), $235 (TP), $242 (extension)
💡 My Take
AMZN is showing bullish continuation out of a textbook inverted head and shoulders — typically a strong reversal setup after a downtrend. We’ve seen the neckline break with follow-through, and volume patterns support the move.
While the RSI shows slight overbought conditions, this could lead to a short consolidation before another leg up toward $235–$242. With macro tailwinds from cloud and advertising sectors, AMZN is positioned well for a strong Q3 rally.
Position
Type: AMZN 235 Call
Expiry: July 11, 2025
Quantity: 7
Average Cost Basis: $1.00
Last Price: $0.69
Purchase Date: June 12, 2025
Total % Gain/Loss: –30%
Despite current drawdown, I remain optimistic about AMZN's momentum. The technical setup is strong, and short-term weakness is likely just healthy consolidation. I'm holding through July with my eyes on the $235 target.
AMZN Quick Take: GEX & Chart Analysis- jun 161️⃣ Gamma Context (1‑Hour Chart)
* Call gamma wall clusters around $214–220, with the strongest resistance near $218–220—dealers may hedge/delta-neutralize here, creating selling pressure at that zone.
* Implied volatility is low (~13%) relative to average (~38%), making call spreads cheaper and appealing for defined-risk entries.
* Option setup suggestion: Consider a bull call spread around the $215–220 strike range. This targets the gamma resistance while managing risk—ideal in a low-IV environment.
2️⃣ Price Structure & Momentum (15‑Min Chart)
* Support: The $208–210 level has held twice, reinforced by a rising trendline—suggests short-term bullish structure.
* Resistance breakout occurred above the $214–217 supply box, confirming a short-term bullish shift (BOS). A strong volume breakout through this zone supports further upside.
* Key red flags: A breakdown below $208 or the trendline could invalidate the bull scenario, pushing price back toward $205 or lower.
3️⃣ Trade Logic & Execution
* Bullish Scenario: If AMZN holds above $210 and cleaves through $214–217 with conviction, initiate a $215–220 call spread with 5–10 days to expiration. This plays momentum toward the gamma ceiling.
* Risk Definition: Use a stop-loss just below the $208–210 trendline support. Breakdown triggers consideration for a bear put spread targeting $205, while maintaining risk discipline.
💡 Why This Setup?
* Gamma walls guide momentum: Targeting the $220 resistance uses options to your advantage while respecting dealer positioning.
* Low IV = cost efficiency: Spread premiums are cheaper, reducing breakeven pressure and making directional plays more attractive.
* Chart structure aligns: Support and breakout structure underpin the bullish thesis, giving confidence to engage defined-risk setups.
⚠️ TradingView Disclaimer
This analysis is educational, not financial advice. Options trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always manage your position size, set stop-losses, confirm price action breaking structure, and be cautious around news or earnings events.
AMZN — Accumulation Zone or Just a Healthy Pullback?📦Amazon (AMZN) is offering an interesting opportunity after a healthy correction from its 2025 highs. With continued AWS expansion and aggressive investment in AI infrastructure, the fundamentals remain solid — but short-term volatility opens the door for strategic entries.
🎯 Entry Points
🔹 $194 – First key support, ideal for early buyers
🔹 $187 – Strong technical congestion zone
🔹 $169 – Deep value zone with higher risk/reward potential
💰 Profit Targets
✅ TP1: $210 – First resistance and psychological level
✅ TP2: $227 – Last swing high area
✅ TP3: $241+ – Full recovery path if momentum holds
🧠 Strategy Insight
This setup suits a swing trade horizon (30–60 days). Scaling into the position and adjusting stops under $160 offers a risk-managed approach. The upcoming earnings on July 31, 2025 could be the trigger for a major move — watch AWS growth numbers and forward guidance closely.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.