Looks bullish to me…If they crush earnings we could have a pretty nice sized break out. Im long for earnings. Boom or Bust…
BABA trade ideas
I'm long for $BABA earnings.NYSE:BABA has finally popped out of it's "TraderDaddy Triangle" to set the tone for a move up. Right in time for earnings it came back to retest the support level twice while coasting steady with the 20DMA. I'm looking at the $145 10/17 call with great Delta vs. Theta, With the profit take around $132.49 and leave a runner up to $143
BABA Perfect long positionNYSE:BABA is at a strong level ahead of its next upcoming earnings, I am looking for it to continue within its already formed parallel channel on the weekly chart. The daily shows a strong rejection of its 50ema, consequently breaking a previous swing high. the break indicates possibility of bullish momentum through the level. The current consolidation phase into the long term trend and the consolidation occurring on the long term volume profile POC, all act as positive confluence to the general idea of a mid-long term buy position on BABA. CN50 is also showing great strength on the monthly chart, which is a great confluence with BABA's overall performance.
Constriction of Bollinger daily bands is an added confluence, indicating the potential for increased volatility and a large move to come out of this consolidation phase in the near term.
I have entered a large long position, with stops shown at levels shown on chart to allow the trade to breath in the midst of unexpected volatility around earnings etc. Stops and tp may be adjusted as conditions change.
Goodluck trading ;)
Alibaba’s Next Stop: $200Alibaba (BABA) is showing clear signs of strength as it trades around $126, confirming entry into a new bullish channel.
The stock rejected further downside at $95, a level that aligns with major resistance-turned-support zones from 2016, 2023, and 2024. This successful defense signals that market sentiment has shifted, laying the groundwork for a sustained move higher.
If momentum holds, BABA could rally aggressively into the $190–$200 range by November–December 2025, where a significant resistance zone from 2018 awaits.
BABA 1M: Chinese favorite rising againTechnical setup:
Breakout from long-term triangle
Retest of trendline confirmed
Price holds above Fibo 0.236 (116.94)
First resistance: 151.85
Fibo targets:
→ 0.5: 187.82
→ 0.618: 219.50
Trade plan:
→ Hold after successful retest
→ Add on dips to 116–118
Targets: 151.85 / 187.82 / 219.50
Fundamentals:
Alibaba is restructuring around cloud and AI. Regulatory pressure from China is easing, and earnings are stabilizing. Buybacks and renewed institutional interest provide strong mid-term support.
Conclusion:
Alibaba may fall seven times, but rise eight — especially when Fibo and price action agree.
Trade Idea: $BABA Long - China Tariff pause for another 90 daysProfit Target $150
Stop Loss $118.00
If this breaks out at this pattern, I will move the stop to 120.00
China's recent economic data shows resiliency despite Trump tariffs.
Alibaba - This chart is pretty bullish!🎁Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) will head much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we saw the perfect creation of the rounding bottom on Alibaba, the trend finally shifted back to bullish. Especially with the recent bullish break and retest, Alibaba is now preparing for another major move higher. All we need now is simple bullish confirmation.
📝Levels to watch:
$140
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
$BABA’s next big run starts very soonHuge rounded bottom breakout, retest and bounce has occurred. We are now flagging before the next run begins
Tightness and expansion on the 2M bolinger bands.
Weekly Bolinger bands are becoming very tight again. Explosive move to the upside this year (if not this Q)
Alibaba | BABA | Long at $108.84Like Amazon, I suspect AI and robotics will enhance Alibaba's NYSE:BABA e-commerce, logistics, and cloud computing operations. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though...
NYSE:BABA has a current P/E of 14.2x and a forward P/E of 2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is very healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.2x, Altmans Z Score of 3.3, and a Quick Ratio of 1.5. If this were a US stock, investors would have piled in long ago at the current price.
From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band has started to reverse trend (now upward), indicating a high potential for continued (overall) price movement up. It is possible, however, that the price may reenter the SMA band in the near-term - the $80s aren't out of the question - as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold.
Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone at $108.84 (with known risk of drop to the $80s in the near-term).
Targets into 2028:
$125.00 (+14.8%)
$160.00 (+47.0%)
Bet on Alibaba’s Resilience: Long Position for Next WeekCurrent Price: $120.36
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $123.50
- T2 = $126.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $118.50
- S2 = $116.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Alibaba.
**Key Insights:**
Alibaba remains a central figure in China's tech sector and investor sentiment as it prepares for its upcoming earnings report. Key drivers include its cloud computing segment, international expansion, and strategic initiatives within its e-commerce division. Regulatory clarity in China has encouraged a more favorable outlook, giving the stock a boost of confidence over the short-term.
The macroeconomic landscape in China remains a key determinant of Alibaba’s valuation, as consumer spending ebbs and flows post-pandemic. Furthermore, restructuring updates within its business units could signal improved operational efficiency, an exciting development anticipated ahead of the earnings report.
**Recent Performance:**
Alibaba’s stock closed at $120.36 during the latest trading session, showing stability amid broader market fluctuations in the Chinese tech space. The stock has held up well despite sector volatility, a sign that investor confidence is improving. Key price levels in recent weeks suggest consolidation, but with the potential for an upside breakout looming as earnings approach.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market analysts express optimism for Alibaba due to its diversified growth opportunities. Its ongoing emphasis on cloud computing and international markets is particularly viewed as instrumental in driving long-term profitability. In light of these growth channels, and a strategic focus on innovation, Alibaba remains a high-conviction trade. Analysts do highlight short-term earnings volatility, but with positive expectations overall.
The forthcoming earnings announcements are expected to provide clearer visibility on restructuring plans and revenue mix allocation, both of which could trigger renewed investor interest in the stock.
**News Impact:**
Recent regulatory updates in China signal a more stable policy environment, reducing existential risks for large-cap tech companies like Alibaba. Additionally, heightened consumer activity post-pandemic and possible improvements in China’s macroeconomic indicators form a supportive backdrop. Any insights into Alibaba’s operational roadmap, whether in the form of expansion strategies or business restructuring announcements, are likely to provide a positive trigger for the stock.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on Alibaba’s recent stability, strategic growth initiatives, and potential earnings-driven momentum, a LONG position is recommended. Investors should target the $123.50 level initially, with a more ambitious upside of $126.00. Stops are defined conservatively at $118.50 and $116.00, ensuring downside risk is managed appropriately while leaving room for the trade to play out profitably.
BABA UpdateBaba initally broke out, but with USA China tarriff uncertainty and poor PPI the other day the market fell and BABA fell with it. A good amount of BABA shares were also unloaded. It's holding onto the .236 fib, and back in the wedge. We still have the large wedge and an inverse head and shoulders and with Earnings projected to be on the 26th, we may get another stronger breakout soon. Gaps to fill above and below of course, but we have a gap recently created and many more to fill up to the 130s and 140s. Bridgewater and some Saudi groups dropped their BABA positions, however Michael Burry is still in leaps and shares and so is David Tepper and Cantor Fitzgerald. Also plenty of strong call flow in general for september, october, and even 2027 calls added recently this morning. Despite the failed breakout, I'm leaning bullish on BABA. Looking to get to the .618 fib at 128.4 before further breakout. Nfa.
Ali BABA Potential Huge Up Targets ALi BABA have Potential Huge Up Targets with potential 3 years accumulation range from March 2022 to today 15 August 2025.
P&F Chart targets calculations
ATR 20 1 Box Size 3.5 calculated on 15-08-2025
Position Opened on 13-08-2025
News on 15-08-2025:
Saudi Investment Sold all 1.6 Million American Depository shares in BABA in Q2 2025 Ending its investment in the Company!!!!!!!
Lets see what this chart will unfold in the future
Baba - Waking GiantIt was trading at 300 levels during the 2020. Compare the EPS and sales with 2020 and 2025, there is a growth but the stock price has been trending down.
But from 2024, it has started the reversal and its trying to break the trend line.
Its 4th largest cloud provider world wide and its AI model Qwen gained traction with lots of downloads recently.
Target 1: 155$
Target 2: 210$
Stop loss: $90
BABA WEDGEalthough baba has a gap to fill above and below, it's showing strength, wedging, volumes coming back in, and million in call flow were placed yesterday. It's been chopping tightly for a bit now on the daily chart on low volume, but as the volume is starting to come back in, earnings coming up, and other bullish sentiment, I'm leaning towards a BABA breakout soon towards the 130s. Nfa
BABA Long UpdateAlibaba Setup & Bullish Thesis
BABA remains held up in a low-volume node, which has historically acted as a headwind to price momentum. However, accumulation volume patterns are forming, and the weekly chart structure is in harmony with a move higher. Really likeing the breakout on the micro and holding it with an inside week candle, Clean break through 124 area with volume sends it, the first target is $150, with potential for $180+ if price can traverse the low-volume area above. Notably, this level aligns with major Fibonacci confluences, strengthening the technical case. Lets let earnings send it.
Fundamental Tailwinds
1. Strong AI Push
Launched Amap 2025, the world’s largest AI-native map platform
Entered the AI wearables space with smart glasses to compete with Meta, signaling ambition in next-gen consumer AI
2. Analyst & Investor Support
Analysts at Benchmark and Bank of America continue to maintain Buy ratings
Featured by Motley Fool and Zacks as a top stock to accumulate on pullbacks
3. Macro Tailwinds
U.S. easing chip restrictions benefits Alibaba Cloud and AI expansion
China tech rebound and the broader AI growth narrative are key catalysts supporting further upside
BABA – Cup and Handle Breakout with First HH/HLNYSE: BABA is forming a cup and handle pattern, with price breaking above the previous lower high, marking the first higher high and higher low in this potential trend reversal. Structure is turning bullish with momentum building.
BABA - Livermore's Speculative Chart Method Analysis
📊 Analysis Summary:
BABA (Alibaba) weekly chart shows completion of a 2+ year markdown phase and is currently forming what Jesse Livermore described as an "Accumulation Cylinder." The stock is now approaching a critical "Pivotal Point" that could signal transition into a major markup phase.
🔍 Analysis Phases:
**Markdown & Accumulation Stage:**
- Clear downtrend established from late 2020 highs
- Late 2022: Capitulation bottom formed with volume spike (white circle), initiating the "Accumulation Cylinder" phase
- During this period, stock quietly transferred from weak hands to strong hands, building a solid foundation
**Pivotal Point - Current Situation:**
- Price has broken above the major downtrend line
- Currently showing bull flag/pennant consolidation pattern (white declining trendline)
- Decisive breakout above this consolidation resistance represents Livermore's "The All-Important Action" - the key confirmation signal for new uptrend initiation
**Markup Phase & Targets:**
- Successful pivot point breakout should trigger the primary "Markup" phase
- Fibonacci-based targets (Levels 1-9) map the potential upside trajectory
- Ultimate target: **~$272 level (Level 8)** based on this analysis
- Following Livermore's strategy: Hold positions while trend persists, reassess on meaningful corrections
⚠️ **Risk Management:**
Monitor for failure to maintain stepped progression pattern that Livermore emphasized as critical for sustained major moves.
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is based on Jesse Livermore's theoretical framework for educational purposes and is not investment advice. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.
#Livermore #BABA #SpeculativeChart #TechnicalAnalysis #ClassicTA
BABA Daily Trade SetupsIn this update we review the recent price action in Alibaba and identify the next high-probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target. To review today's video analysis clcik here!
BABA could BREAKOUT back to ALL TIME HIGHS!I believe NYSE:BABA is priming up for a breakout, returning to All-Time Highs and possibly Higher!
- Technicals: Break and Retest (Symmetric Triangle)
- Upcoming Earnings: August 14th
- Potential Catalyst: US / China Trade Deal or Extension
BABA: We have a bounce but is it temporary? Too many questions but dss forecasts a price growth near-term on ticker symbol $BABA. We will see where it goes. Another one on the watch is NASDAQ:PDD
New Setup : $BABAInside this wedge there is a nice pullback to the ema 50.
Bullish ATR Break popped out with a new crossover.
Ready To Catch It !
Alibaba - A remarkable reversal!🛒Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) reversed exactly here:
🔎Analysis summary:
Recently Alibaba has perfectly been respecting market structure. With the current bullish break and retest playing out, there is a very high chance that Alibaba will rally at least another +20%. But all of this chart behaviour just looks like we will witness a major bottom formation soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$110, $135
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
BABA looks ready to drop.It’s been hitting the $125 wall since May and just can’t break it. This last bounce? Weak volume. No real buyers stepping in. RSI is already stretched and there’s no accumulation from big players.
If it loses $120 with conviction, we might see $110 or lower.
And let’s be real — China’s still struggling and the narrative isn’t exciting anyone anymore.
I’m eyeing a PUT. If it breaks $125 clean, I’ll flip my view. Until then… watch out.
