Bitcoin Cash? More Like Bitcoin CRASH!Bitcoin Cash (BCHUSD) has continued to pull back lower and sharper. We have hit a support at around 262, which may be the final low for our GREEN primary pattern.
Green Primary Pattern
Breaking the December 3rd low tells us that we are now pulling back deeper in a more conventional 5-wave C-wave instead of a 3-wave zigzag. If we are done with the correction or close to done, we'll have a to see a sharp impulsive 5-wave structure up really soon! Seeing anything other than this would more or less invalidate the GREEN pattern.
RED Alt Pattern
Turning back up and rallying in a clear 3-wave structure would make it very likely that the RED is the primary pattern in operation. This would call for a corrective bounce back up before a much deeper crash to complete the larger impulsive C-wave down. However, I am seeing this as a smaller and smaller possibility as this leg of the pullback is getting too far stretched downward to be counted as only a 1st wave. Breaking below 219 makes it far more likely that the PURPLE pattern is in operation.
PURPLE Alt Pattern
Stretching directly lower would instantly make the PURPLE pattern our primary. While the chart shows BCH going as low as 115 or so, there are several strong Fibonacci confluences below, any of which could form a bottom. The 186 extension is the point at which the C-wave would be the 1.00 extension of the preceding A-B structure, and this is typically the strongest possibility for the end of a correction. Seeing any kind of impulsive 5-wave rally upward would likely signal the end of the PURPLE correction.
Check out my YouTube explainer vid on BCH!
I use Elliott Wave analysis to project price levels for different assets and asset classes. EW is a form a technical analysis that is absolutely NOT based on fundamentals. Please be aware that this is not intended to act as financial advice. I am not a trained or certified financial professional. You may invest based on a strategy tailored to your own skill and risk-tolerance levels.
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