Wyckoff Structure Targets 92K–94K Retest Before Continuation!A rare and highly instructive market structure is currently unfolding, presenting a textbook case of Wyckoff pattern integration across multiple timeframes.
Over the past weeks, I’ve been tracking a series of smaller Wyckoff accumulation and distribution patterns nested within a larger overarching Wyckoff structure. Each of these smaller formations has now successfully completed its expected move — validating the precision of supply/demand mechanics and the theory’s predictive strength.
With these mini-cycles resolved, the spotlight now shifts to the final, dominant Wyckoff structure — a larger accumulation phase that encompasses the full breadth of recent market activity. According to the logic of Phase C transitioning into Phase D, price appears poised to revisit the key retest zone between 92,000 and 94,000, a critical area of prior resistance turned demand.
📉 Current Market Behavior:
📐 Multiple minor Wyckoff patterns (accumulations/distributions) have played out as expected, both upward and downward — lending high credibility to the current macro setup.
🧩 All formations are nested within a major accumulation structure, now in the final phase of testing support.
🔁 The expected move is a pullback toward the 92K–94K zone, before the markup phase resumes with higher conviction.
📊 Wyckoff Confidence Factors:
✅ All Phase C spring and upthrust actions respected
✅ Volume behavior aligns with Wyckoff principles (climactic action → absorption → trend continuation)
✅ Clean reaccumulation signs within current structure
✅ Institutional footprint visible through shakeouts and well-defined support/resistance rotations
💬 Observation / Call to Action:
This setup is a rare opportunity to witness multi-layered Wyckoff theory in motion, offering not only a high-probability trading setup but also an educational blueprint. I invite fellow traders and Wyckoff analysts to share their interpretations or challenge the current thesis.
➡️ Do you see the same structural roadmap?
Let’s discuss in the comments.
BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin at Triple Resistance – Will the Third Time Break It?BTC/USD is pressing against a key resistance zone near $112,500 for the third time in recent months.
This time, the breakout attempt is backed by a clear ascending trendline, showing sustained bullish pressure from the lows.
Highlights:
Triple top formation? Or ascending triangle breakout?
$112.5K has rejected BTC twice already
Higher lows = buyers stepping in more aggressively
Watch for volume surge and daily close confirmation
Break above = $118K–$120K likely in play.
Reject = revisit of trendline support near $106K.
BTCUSD 7/16/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Full Top-Down Analysis with a Deep Dive Down into the 30min Timeframe. This is One you don't want to miss.
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BTC Nearing Completion of Wave 3Bitcoin is approaching the end of its Wave 3 movement, which suggests a possible correction phase in the near future.
However, this is likely just a temporary pause before the next bullish wave continues the uptrend.
Stay patient and watch for key support levels to prepare for the next buying opportunity.
[UPD] Trend analysis: BTC / ETH / SOL / XRP and other Just recorded a new video overview of the crypto market and the current trend developments in major coins: CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:XRP , CRYPTOCAP:LINK , GETTEX:HYPE , BSE:SUPER , $FLOKI.
Among the new assets on my radar I shared my view on the trend structure of $RENDER.
In my personal investment planning, I continue to treat any potential corrections into key support zones as opportunities to add or open new positions.
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
If you’d like to hear my take on any other coin you’re tracking — feel free to ask in the comments (just don’t forget to boost the idea first 😉).
Price action is the vehicle—but these charts show the road aheadIn the world of trading, technical analysis often gets the spotlight—candlesticks, moving averages, and indicators. But beneath every price movement lies a deeper current: macroeconomic forces. These forces shape the environment in which all trades happen.
Great traders don’t just react to price—they understand the context behind it. That context is found in macro charts: the financial “weather maps” of markets. These charts reveal whether capital is flowing toward risk or safety, whether inflation is heating up or cooling down, and whether liquidity is expanding or shrinking.
In this post, we’ll explore 10 macro charts that can elevate your edge, backed by proven examples of how they’ve helped traders stay on the right side of the market. These aren't just charts—they’re market truths in visual form.
1️⃣ DXY – U.S. Dollar Index
Why it matters:
The U.S. dollar affects everything: commodities, stocks, global trade, and especially forex. The DXY measures its strength against major currencies.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2022, DXY surged past 110 due to aggressive Fed rate hikes. This crushed EURUSD, pressured gold, and triggered a global risk-off move. Traders who tracked DXY rode USD strength across the board.
💡 Use it to: Confirm trends in FX and commodities. Strong DXY = bearish pressure on gold and risk assets.
2️⃣ US10Y – 10-Year Treasury Yield
Why it matters:
This is the benchmark for interest rates and inflation expectations. It guides borrowing costs, equity valuations, and safe-haven flows.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2023, the 10Y spiked from 3.5% to nearly 5%, leading to weakness in growth stocks and boosting USD/JPY. Bond traders saw it first—equities followed.
💡 Use it to: Anticipate moves in growth vs. value stocks, and confirm macro themes like inflation or deflation.
3️⃣ Fed Dot Plot
Why it matters:
This is the Fed’s forward guidance in visual form. Each dot shows where a policymaker expects interest rates to be in the future.
📉 Chart Reference:
In Dec 2021, the dot plot signaled a faster pace of hikes than the market expected. Those who caught the shift front-ran the USD rally and equity correction in early 2022.
💡 Use it to: Predict future rate policy and align your macro bias with the Fed's path.
4️⃣ M2 Money Supply (US)
Why it matters:
This chart tracks the amount of money in the system. More liquidity = fuel for risk. Less = tightening conditions.
📉 Chart Reference:
After COVID hit, M2 exploded, leading to a major bull run in stocks and crypto. When M2 began contracting in 2022, asset prices peaked and reversed.
💡 Use it to: Gauge macro liquidity conditions. Expansion is bullish; contraction is dangerous.
5️⃣ Copper/Gold Ratio
Why it matters:
Copper is a growth metal; gold is a fear hedge. Their ratio acts as a risk-on/risk-off indicator.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2021, the copper/gold ratio surged—signaling growth and optimism. This preceded strong gains in cyclical equities and commodity currencies like AUD and CAD.
💡 Use it to: Confirm risk sentiment and lead equity or FX trends.
6️⃣ VIX – Volatility Index
Why it matters:
VIX tracks expected volatility in the S&P 500. It's often called the "fear index."
📉Chart Reference :
In March 2020, VIX spiked to nearly 90 as COVID panic set in. This extreme fear was followed by one of the greatest buying opportunities of the decade.
💡 Use it to: Time entries and exits. High VIX = fear = possible reversal. Low VIX = complacency = caution.
7️⃣ Real Yields (10Y TIPS - CPI)
Why it matters:
Shows the inflation-adjusted return on bonds. Real yields affect gold, tech, and risk appetite.
📉Chart Reference :
In 2022, real yields went from deeply negative to positive—crushing gold and high-growth stocks.
💡 Use it to: Confirm direction in gold, NASDAQ, and broad macro trends.
8️⃣ Oil Prices (WTI or Brent)
Why it matters:
Oil is both a growth and inflation input. Rising prices mean higher costs and often precede policy tightening.
📉Chart Reference :
Oil’s rally in early 2022 foreshadowed CPI spikes and led central banks to turn hawkish. Traders who tracked it saw inflation risks building early.
💡 Use it to: Forecast inflation, assess energy-related equities, and understand global demand.
9️⃣ Global PMIs (Purchasing Managers’ Indexes)
Why it matters:
Leading indicator of economic health. PMIs above 50 = expansion. Below 50 = contraction.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2023, China’s PMI consistently printed below 50—signaling manufacturing weakness and global demand concerns. This helped traders avoid overexposure to emerging markets.
💡 Use it to: Gauge growth momentum globally and regionally.
🔟 SPX vs. Equal-Weighted SPX (Breadth Divergence)
Why it matters:
Shows whether the S&P 500 rally is broad-based or just driven by a few megacaps.
📉Chart Reference :
In early 2024, the index made new highs—but the equal-weighted version lagged badly. That divergence warned traders of a fragile rally.
💡 Use it to: Detect weakness beneath the surface and avoid false confidence in rallies.
🧠 Nerdy Tip: Macro Is the Invisible Hand
These charts don’t give you trade entries—but they give you conviction, timing, and perspective.
When you combine macro context with technical setups, you trade in sync with the market’s deeper rhythm.
So before you place your next trade, ask yourself:
What are yields doing?
Is liquidity expanding or drying up?
Is risk appetite rising or falling?
put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile
BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Forex Technical AnalysisDate: 11 July 2025
Momentum: Up
First Scenario : long positions above 115,706.14 with targets at 117,269.52, 117,904.51 and 118,513.05
Second Scenario : short positions below 115,706.14 with targets at 114,544.35, 113,774.89 and 113,053.39
Comment: RSI - Bullish.
Supports and resistances :
118,513.05 **
117,904.51 *
117,269.52
116,747.25 - Last price
114,544.35
113,774.89 *
113,053.39 **
BTC #ARC Structure has breakout its levelThe chart shows a 15-minute BTC/USD timeframe forming a cup and handle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. Price has broken above the handle resistance zone (~$118,400), suggesting a potential breakout. The red vertical line marks the expected target, projecting a move toward the $119,600 level based on the pattern height.
BTC: Buy idea: Bearish ChannelOn BTC we are in a bearish channel situation with a succession of numerous red candles. In such circumstances, we would have a high probability of seeing the market go up. This rise will be impressive if the resistance line is broken forcefully by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume. Good luck everyone!!!
Btcusd techinical analysis.This chart shows the Bitcoin (BTC) / USD 1-hour timeframe on OKX, with several technical analysis elements:
Key Observations:
1. Price Action:
Current price: $117,334.1, showing a −2.14% decline.
Price has dropped from around $123,000 down to $117,000, indicating a sharp bearish movement.
2. Harmonic/Pattern Zones:
The chart contains harmonic pattern structures with Fibonacci ratios:
The large upswing has a retracement level of 0.9655, nearly a full retracement.
A downward channel/retracement touches 0.8416, indicating a deep pullback.
Another smaller retracement at 0.3716, a shallower correction.
3. Support and Resistance Zones:
Multiple horizontal purple zones mark areas of past price reactions:
Around 121,000, 119,000, and 117,000 levels.
Price is currently testing the 117,000 support zone.
4. Projected Price Path (Yellow Arrows):
The projected movement shows a potential bullish recovery:
Minor pullbacks are expected, followed by higher highs.
The target appears to aim back toward the 119,000 – 120,000 resistance zone.
5. Icons on Chart
Bitcoin Renko Breakout Confirmation with CryptoQuant NetflowFrom late 2024 till now, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) was consolidating within a broad sideways range between well-defined support and resistance levels on the 4H Renko chart. During this time, market indecision was obvious as neither bulls nor bears could establish dominance.
Recently, BTC has decisively broken out above the major resistance zone at ~$108,000 — as seen with my custom Renko + Decision Tree + S/R Channel script ( ). This breakout above resistance technically suggests the end of range-bound price action and the potential start of a new bullish trend, especially when confirmed by on-chain data.
On-Chain Netflow Confirmation
As I originally highlighted in my CryptoQuant Netflow analysis (published under the username ‘cryptoonchain’ on CryptoQuant platform):
Total Exchange Netflow for Bitcoin has recently dropped to its lowest level since February 16, 2023 — at which point the last bullish cycle began.
Negative Netflow means more BTC is being withdrawn from exchanges than deposited, indicating reduced selling pressure and strong holder conviction.
Binance-specific Netflow also confirms massive outflows, a sign whales and large traders are accumulating and withdrawing funds from trading venues.
Historically, this combination — a technical breakout (Renko) and deep negative on-chain netflow (dataset: CryptoQuant) — has preceded major bull runs.
Summary
Based on both my Renko model and current on-chain flows:
The breakout above 108,000 resistance marks the start of a likely new uptrend for BTC (now 119,000).
On-chain data via CryptoQuant strongly supports the bullish scenario.
Invalidation
If BTC returns below $108,000 and consolidates there, this bullish outlook is invalidated and a reassessment is required.
Btcusd techinical analysis.This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 30-minute chart shows several key technical indicators and annotations, pointing to a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the chart elements:
Key Elements:
1. Price Level:
Current price: $121,315.1
Change: +$2,178.0 (+1.83%)
2. Break of Structure (BOS):
Marked in yellow — indicates a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish.
It suggests a bullish trend continuation after this key resistance was broken.
3. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The yellow "FVG" arrow points to an imbalance or gap between candle wicks that the market might return to for liquidity.
Often used as a potential entry point or pullback target.
4. Trendline:
The pink upward trendline shows current bullish momentum.
Price is currently testing or has broken above this trendline.
5. Bullish Flag/Channel:
Blue diagonal channel indicates a bullish flag or continuation pattern.
Price broke out upward from this flag — typically a bullish sign.
6. Fibonacci or Ratio Markers:
Numbers like 0.9612351706716865 and 0.305800778819... may
Bitcoin Breakout Confirmed – Eyes on Price DiscoveryBitcoin has officially flipped its macro resistance zone into support, continuing to follow a clean ascending structure from August 2024. With Stoch RSI pushing into overbought and no clear ceiling above, BTC may be entering a price discovery phase.
Stay alert for continuation or potential retest around $111K.