Bitcoin the next store of ValueBitcoin as a store of value is not a new idea. I've been on this road a long time and my old posts are just timestamps of that.
Currently price is sitting on the Dec/Jan highs. It appears that which was resistance before could become support now.
The fact that the market reacts very fast to small market dips with fear seems like a good sign to me. Though only useful as an indicator in context. We did not break market structure and large buyers are still accumulating. Also retail interest stats like google search have not hit new all time highs. Though google specifically might be a bad metric as AI search is highly used now. There is still a risk of something breaking in US markets while rates stay up and Fed balance sheet is not growing. Though not clear what exactly would break. Kind of like stomping on an orange don't get caught up exactly where the peel breaks. QT is squeezing and you squeeze hard enough and pop. Even with them net buying 10 year US Treasury Bonds. It's still technically a QT environment. Last year bonds almost broke the banks before the Fed aloud those bonds to be listed full term value on the balance sheet. Effectively covering up the issue instead of fixing anything. (Bank Term Funding Program - BTFP)
Pros
Bitcoin has not yet rate seen US rate cuts
Bitcoin has not yet see a new wave of money printing
Fund managers suggesting 2% allocation which is no where close to being reached yet
Recurring institutional buyers, such as corporations adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets (e.g., Strategy).
Cons
Large leveraged holders will need to watch cash flows vs interest payments. In 2022 bear market this was easy for Micro Strategy now renamed Strategy. The reason profits were roughly 7x interest payments. In 2024 that has dropped to 5x. They started with a lot of cash flow and found themselves sitting on melting pile of cash. If Bitcoin holdings out grow the software income enough then finding the money for interest payments becomes a new challenge.
It's still not 100% clear long term how Bitcoin fits in a portfolio.
Most narrative seems like you keep it in a locked room where you celebrate your great
fortune that has no material benefits in your life. I think it's probably not that.
Is it just something people collect and lend against?
Act as a index for the greater crypto asset class that people rebalance?
Cash flow with cover calls?
Lend it out if Fiat fails it could act like gold being borrowed.
Important Questions:
What % allocation to Bitcoin makes sense to hold in a bear market?
How do you grow Bitcoin holdings in a bull market?
"This is not financial advice. These are my personal opinions and observations. Do your own research before making any investment decisions."
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin.
K1 and K2 verified a potential strong support,
If the following candles K5 or K6 close upon the downtrend line like K2,
Another bull run will keep climbing up.
It will be a good place to buy it around the downtrend line.
If the following candles consolidate around the resistance to verify the bullish momentum,
It will also a good place to buy it around the resistance.
On the other hand,
If K5 or K6 close below K4 to verify the resistance,
The market will fall to test the support for more times,
I will try to buy it at about 100K area.
Long-101618/Stop-100618/Target-120K
Long-103188/Stop-102188/Target-120K
BTCUSD Trade Alert – SELL NOW Entry Point: 109,600BTCUSD Trade Alert – SELL NOW
Entry Point: 109,600
🎯 1st Target: 109,000
🎯 2nd Target: 107,000
🎯 Final Target: 105,000
📉 BTC showing signs of downward pressure
📊 Resistance zone forming near 110K
🔻 Momentum shift favors short setups
💼 Potential for high reward with smart execution
🧠 Risk Management is Critical
📍 Suggested Stop-Loss: Above 110,500
⚖️ Risk only what you can afford to lose
🔒 Never skip setting SL and TP
🧭 Be patient — don’t force the trade
⏱️ Let the setup confirm before execution
📌 Protect profits as you move toward targets
📊 Trail your SL as price moves in your favor
🚫 No overtrading — stick to the plan
✅ Stay focused, stay disciplined
📢 Trade the chart, not the hype!
Bitcoin Short: Wave CAfter a 6-days move up after we have hit our target in the previous analysis, I think Bitcoin has completed what I think to be the Wave B and is already on the Wave C run down.
Over in this video, I expressed my personal viewpoint that Bitcoin is not a hedge against the dollar and that it is actually a risk-on/off product more similar to the equities markets like the S&P500. I recommend that anyone who is interested to perform a study on the correlation and beta Bitcoin.
I suggested that the reason why it more closely related to the equity markets is due to it's deep integration within the financial sector (e.g. ETFs, structured products from banks).
Given that I think that the equity markets are primed to crash soon, I think that Bitcoin will follow suit.
Good luck!
Market Moves Ahead? | DXY, Gold, and Bitcoin 📊 The markets are on edge—and this week’s economic data could trigger major moves in the US Dollar Index (DXY), Gold (XAU/USD), and Bitcoin (BTC/USD).
In this video, we break down:
✅ The latest CPI inflation expectations
✅ Fed interest rate outlook and Trump’s pressure on rate cuts
✅ U.S.–China trade negotiations and what they mean for global risk sentiment
✅ Technical levels to watch for DXY, Gold, and BTC
✅ Key events to watch this week (CPI, PCE, Fed speeches)
Whether you're a trader, investor, or just market-curious, this analysis will keep you one step ahead. 🧠💹
🔔 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for real-time market insights!
#DXY #XAUUSD #BTCUSD #Inflation #GoldPrice #BitcoinNews #FedWatch #MarketUpdate
The magic fractal wave of BTCWell it is very interesting pulsation of BTC. ATH > Crash > New ath > Biger crash > recovery > Old ath > crash
I have pretty accurately predicted this cycle. I think we will see 150K this year and then crash to 77K in 2026 and then climb up to 0.5 Mil.
Tell me what you see.
Weekly trading plan for BitcoinAt the moment we see a very positive growth, after a rapid fall. The price has already got a reaction from the resistance zone formed on the chart and is now in a local correction. We can expect an ATH update, but the local correction may last a few days. Also noted an important level and in case of its breakdown there are more chances for a decline
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
BTC, where we can setup our sell positions.Hello, dear traders! It's Nika again.
I want to share this beautiful pattern and tell you some about its meaning...
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So, as we see here, we have this "triangular-shaped uprising pattern".
We got this pattern with its own few supporting and formatting levels.
Almost all of them are marked on our chart!
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The "usage" of this may be something like this...
First, we may see the price testing an important price level of pattern 96,000,00 very soon...
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After, if the price continues checking support levels below, we may also see the 91 & 89 K price levels.
You will profit from this price movement only if the price goes this way. :)
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Wishing you a happy trading day and much more success in your trades!
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If you have any questions, please comment or send a message.
Thank you!
Massive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance- LiveMassive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance
Post with emojis:
🚨💥 Massive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance 📈🔥
Okay, time to revisit the BTC chart because we’ve just arrived at a crucial intersection that could define the next major move!
In our previous update, we anticipated a dip — and it played out perfectly. Using Fibonacci support, we entered long right at the sweet spot, just before a strong upward move that tested resistance levels.
And now... it’s official — BTC has just broken through that massive dual resistance! 🚀
This breakout pushes us back into the ascending channel, which had previously flipped to resistance. Two major technical levels — white and yellow zones — just got cleared in one explosive move.
What's next?
🔹 Monitor for a possible retest of the breakout zone
🔹 Eyes on the 113 key resistance — that’s the next likely magnet for price
🔹 For those already in longs (like me), it’s smart to take partial profits and trail stops 🧠💼
This is a textbook breakout structure, and we’ll need to watch volume and structure confirmation closely.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BTC CONSOLIDATESBitcoin may be forming a *lower high* on the daily chart, with the most recent rally stalling at \$110,000 – just below the previous high near \$112,000. That failure to reclaim the prior high is an early sign of weakening momentum and suggests the strong uptrend that’s been in place since April might be losing steam.
The critical level now is \$100,000. That’s the most recent swing low, and it serves as the key structural support in this current move. A daily close below that level would confirm a *lower high–lower low* sequence, shifting the short-term trend from bullish to neutral or even bearish. If that happens, downside targets open up around \$97,000 – the next clear support – followed by \$95,500, where the rising 200-day moving average now sits.
Momentum indicators support this caution. RSI is trending down and making lower highs, showing a loss of bullish strength. Volume has also declined during recent rallies, hinting at buyer exhaustion rather than healthy consolidation.
For the bulls to retain control, the 50-day moving average near \$103,000 needs to hold. If that level fails, a test of \$100,000 is likely. On the flip side, a strong move back above \$110,000 would invalidate the lower high setup and put the breakout narrative back in play.
Right now, the market is at a decision point. The trend hasn’t broken yet, but structure is starting to crack. A confirmed lower high at \$110,000 – followed by a break below \$100,000 – would mark the first significant trend shift on the daily chart in months.
BTC - UH OH ? - RE CORK THE CHAMPAGNE ? Last night the momentum was so strong , and resistance levels where being taken out one after another. Today when we should have been making new highs, instead we hit a wall. Not good. That wall in yellow is the 7/8ths reflection line. The bounce backward from here could pick up massive steam downward. The 1st stop loss has already been hit, #2 and #3 look to be tested today, and from the way things look now, they look to yield. I am stopped out, and will not reenter long until a new high is made. Good Luck!
BTC/USD Technical Outlook – Potential Bearish Continuation BelowBTC/USD Technical Outlook – Potential Bearish Continuation Below Resistance 📉🧊
Chart Overview:
The chart illustrates a clear bearish rejection from a major resistance zone (⚠️ 110,000–111,000 USD), followed by the emergence of a bearish engulfing candle 🔻 marked in orange. This move suggests selling pressure has returned after a short-term bullish rally.
Key Zones & Levels:
🔵 Resistance Zone: 110,000–111,000 USD
Price was rejected from this region with a strong bearish reaction.
🟣 Mid-level Support: 105,531 USD
Currently acting as an interim level — if broken, it may lead to deeper declines.
🔵 Support Zone: 100,500–101,500 USD
This is the next strong demand area — price previously rebounded strongly from here.
Technical Signals:
✅ Double Top Structure formation at the resistance zone, indicating trend exhaustion.
❌ Bearish Engulfing Candle near resistance, confirming reversal strength.
📉 Downward Momentum Arrow suggests possible continuation toward support.
🔻 Lower Highs Formation reinforces bearish sentiment after failed breakout attempts.
Projection 🎯:
If the price closes below 105,531, a bearish continuation is likely, targeting the support zone at 101,000–100,500.
Conversely, a strong bounce above this level could delay the drop, but upside is capped below 110,000 unless a breakout occurs.
Summary:
🧭 Bias: Bearish below 105,531
📍 Targets:
Immediate: 105,531 (key level)
Bearish Target: 101,000
Invalidated if: price reclaims and closes above 110,000 with strength
📊 Trader's Note: Look for confirmation of breakdown with volume or candle close before short entry. Set tight risk management due to volatility.
BTC/USD: Daily Trading Strategy AnalysisToday, from a long-term daily chart perspective, yesterday's close formed a small bearish candle. The K-line pattern shows consecutive bullish candles followed by a single bearish candle, with prices still at high levels. The attached indicators are in a golden cross, but due to yesterday's pullback after the rally, there is currently no sign of a strong volume surge. Therefore, the current retracement is still a corrective move. As the overall uptrend remains dominant, shorting should only be considered for short-term trades—do not misalign your strategy.
On the short-term hourly chart, the price failed to break above the previous high during yesterday's European session, coming under pressure and retracing. The current K-line pattern shows consecutive bearish candles, with attached indicators in a death cross. The price is currently in an arc-shaped downward trend, with support near the 105,300 area.
BTC/USD
sell@108000-108500
tp:106500-106000
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